Dwarkesh Podcast
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OpenAI researcher on agent swarms & recursive self-improvement

AI researchers debate how far the current paradigm goes

Ajeya Cotra – "This might be the clearest warning shot we ever get"

Dylan Patel – Two labs will soon control most of the world's workforce

Ryan Greenblatt – What happens once AI can automate AI research?

General relativity from first principles – Adam Brown

Grant Sanderson (@3Blue1Brown) – AI disproved a famous math conjecture. Now what?

Machiavelli is the most misunderstood thinker of all time – Ada Palmer

Sarah Paine - Why Putin and Xi can't escape geography

The better AI gets, the smaller its share of the economy might get – Alex Imas and Phil Trammell

Chip design from the bottom up – Reiner Pope

What rebuilding AlphaGo teaches us about self-play, RL, and future of LLMs - Eric Jang

David Reich – Bronze Age shock, the Neanderthal puzzle, & the sudden spread of farming

How GPT, Claude, and Gemini are actually trained and served – Reiner Pope

Jensen Huang – Will Nvidia’s moat persist?

Michael Nielsen – Why aliens will have a different tech stack than us

Terence Tao – How the world’s top mathematician uses AI

Dylan Patel — The single biggest bottleneck to scaling AI compute

Why Leonardo was a saboteur, Gutenberg went broke, and Florence was weird – Ada Palmer

Dario Amodei — “We are near the end of the exponential”

Elon Musk – "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Adam Marblestone – AI is missing something fundamental about the brain

Sarah Paine – Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Ilya Sutskever – We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

Satya Nadella – How Microsoft thinks about AGI

Sarah Paine — How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Andrej Karpathy — “We’re summoning ghosts, not building animals”

“I find it almost disturbing that the universe favors life this strongly” – Nick Lane

Richard Sutton – Father of RL thinks LLMs are a dead end

Fully autonomous robots are much closer than you think – Sergey Levine

Sarah Paine – How Hitler almost starved Britain

Evolution designed us to die fast; we can change that — Jacob Kimmel

China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

Artificial meat is harder than artificial intelligence — Lewis Bollard

Sarah Paine — How Imperial Japan defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

Stephen Kotkin — How Stalin became the most powerful dictator in history

A billion years of evolution in a single afternoon — George Church

Why China's manufacturing economy is dominating — Arthur Kroeber

"China is digging out of a crisis. And America’s luck is wearing thin." — Ken Rogoff

Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

Is RL + LLMs enough for AGI? — Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken

Mark Zuckerberg — AI will write most Meta code in 18 months

Why Rome actually fell: plagues, slavery, & ice age — Kyle Harper

AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

AMA: career advice given AGI, how I research ft. Sholto & Trenton

Joseph Henrich — Humans defeated smarter species with cultural evolution

Satya Nadella — Microsoft’s AGI plan & quantum breakthrough

Jeff Dean & Noam Shazeer — 25 years at Google: from PageRank to AGI

Sarah Paine — How Mao conquered China (lecture & interview)

Sarah Paine — Why Japan lost WWII (lecture & interview)

Sarah Paine — The war for India (Lecture & interview)

Tyler Cowen — The #1 bottleneck to AI progress is humans

Adam Brown — Bubble universes, space elevators, & AdS/CFT

Gwern — Anonymous writer who predicted AI trajectory on $12K/year salary

@Asianometry & Dylan Patel — How the semiconductor industry actually works

Daniel Yergin — Oil destroyed Hitler, fracking destroyed Putin

David Reich — How one small tribe conquered the world 70,000 years ago

Joe Carlsmith — Preventing an AI takeover

Patrick McKenzie — Money laundering, big tech censorship, SBF & Japan

Tony Blair — Why political leaders keep failing at major change

Francois Chollet — Why the biggest AI models can't solve simple puzzles

Leopold Aschenbrenner — 2027 AGI, China/US super-intelligence race, & the return of history

John Schulman (OpenAI Cofounder) — Reasoning, RLHF, & plan for 2027 AGI

Mark Zuckerberg — Llama 3, $10B models, Caesar Augustus, & 1 GW datacenters

Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken — How LLMs actually think

Demis Hassabis — Scaling, superhuman AIs, AlphaZero atop LLMs, AlphaFold

Patrick Collison — Why Silicon Valley's most talented should leave

Tyler Cowen — Hayek, Keynes, & Smith on AI, animal spirits, anarchy, & growth

Jung Chang (Wild Swans author) — Living through history's largest man-made famine

Andrew Roberts — Why Hitler lost WWII, Churchill as applied historian, & Napoleon as startup founder

Dominic Cummings — Inside the collapse of western government

Paul Christiano — Preventing an AI takeover

Shane Legg (DeepMind Founder) — 2028 AGI, superhuman alignment, new architectures

Grant Sanderson (@3blue1brown) — Past, present, & future of mathematics

Sarah C. M. Paine — Why dictators keep making the same fatal mistake

George Hotz vs Eliezer Yudkowsky

Dario Amodei (Anthropic CEO) — The hidden pattern behind every AI breakthrough

Andy Matuschak — The reason most learning tools fail

Carl Shulman (Pt 2) — AI Takeover, bio & cyber attacks, detecting deception, & humanity's far future

Carl Shulman (Pt 1) — Intelligence explosion, primate evolution, robot doublings, & alignment

Richard Rhodes — The making of the atomic bomb

Eliezer Yudkowsky — Why AI will kill us, aligning LLMs, nature of intelligence, SciFi, & rationality

Ilya Sutskever (OpenAI Chief Scientist) — Why next-token prediction could surpass human intelligence

Nat Friedman (Github CEO) — Reading ancient scrolls, open source, & AI

Brett Harrison — FTX US former president speaks out

Marc Andreessen — AI, crypto, 1000 Elon Musks, regrets, vulnerabilities, & managerial revolution

Garett Jones — Immigration, national IQ, & less democracy

Lars Doucet — Progress, poverty, Georgism, & why rent is too damn high

Holden Karnofsky — History's most important century

Bethany McLean — Enron, FTX, 2008, Musk, frauds, & visionaries

Nadia Asparouhova — Tech elites, democracy, open source, & philanthropy

Byrne Hobart - FTX, Drugs, Twitter, Taiwan, & Monasticism

Edward Glaeser - Cities, Terrorism, Housing, & Remote Work

Kenneth T. Jackson - Robert Moses, Hero of New York?

Brian Potter - Future of Construction, Ugly Modernism, & Environmental Review

Bryan Caplan - Feminists, Billionaires, and Demagogues

Tyler Cowen - Why Society Will Collapse & Why Sex is Pessimistic

Charles C. Mann - Americas Before Columbus & Scientific Wizardry

Austin Vernon - Energy Superabundance, Starship Missiles, & Finding Alpha

Steve Hsu - Intelligence, Embryo Selection, & The Future of Humanity

Will MacAskill - Longtermism, Effective Altruism, History, & Technology

Joseph Carlsmith - Utopia, AI, & Infinite Ethics

Fin Moorhouse - Longtermism, Space, & Entrepreneurship

Alexander Mikaberidze - Napoleon, War, Progress, and Global Order

Sam Bankman-Fried - Crypto, FTX, Altruism, & Leadership

Agustin Lebron - Trading, Crypto, and Adverse Selection

Ananyo Bhattacharya - John von Neumann, Jewish Genius, and Nuclear War

Manifold Markets Founder - Predictions Markets & Revolutionizing Governance

Pradyu Prasad - Imperial Japan, the God Emperor, and Militarization in the Modern World

Razib Khan - Genomics, Intelligence, and The Church of Science

Jimmy Soni - Peter Thiel, Elon Musk, and the Paypal Mafia

Bryan Caplan - Labor Econ Versus the World

Richard Hanania - Foreign Policy, Fertility, and Experts

David Deutsch - AI, America, Fun, & Bayes

Byrne Hobart - Optionality, Stagnation, and Secret Societies

David Friedman - Dating Markets, Legal Systems, Bitcoin, and Automation

Sarah Fitz-Claridge - Taking Children Seriously | The Lunar Society #15

Michael Huemer - Anarchy, Capitalism, and Progress

Uncle Bob - The Long Reach of Code, Automating Programming, and Developing Coding Talent

Scott Aaronson - Quantum Computing, Complexity, and Creativity

Scott Young - Ultralearning, The MIT Challenge

Charles Murray - Human Accomplishment and the Future of Liberty | The Lunar Society #10

Alex Tabarrok - Prizes, Prices, and Public Goods

Caleb Watney - America's Innovation Engine

Robin Hanson - The Long View and The Elephant in the Brain

Jason Crawford - The Roots of Progress & the History of Technology

Matjaž Leonardis - Science, Identity and Probability

Tyler Cowen - The Great Reset

Bryan Caplan - Nurturing Orphaned Ideas, Education, and UBI
