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The Truth About The AI Bubble
Y Combinator Partners

The Truth About The AI Bubble

Dec 22, 2025

Key Takeaways


  • Anthropic's models have become more popular than OpenAI's among recent YC startups, indicating shifting preferences in AI tech stacks.
  • Many AI startups are moving towards using multiple AI models interchangeably to optimize specific tasks.
  • The AI economy in 2025 feels more stable with clearer divisions between model, application, and infrastructure layers.
  • There's increasing confidence that more AI startups will arise from applying AI to solve specific industry problems.
  • The perceived AI bubble presents opportunities, akin to the telecom bubble, by creating an excess of infrastructure resources to build upon.
  • Infrastructural development in AI, such as power and data center capacity, is a major area of investment.
  • The concept of space-based data centers has gained traction, originally viewed skeptically but now considered a viable solution.
  • There is significant interest from entrepreneurs in starting both large-scale and niche model companies, reflecting a democratization of AI expertise.
  • Despite the AI advancements, there remains a need to hire teams, as scaling beyond initial success requires more human resources.
  • A familiar playbook is emerging for building successful AI-native companies, thanks to a mature ecosystem of models and tools.
  • The return to focus on the application layer signals a potential boom in AI consumer applications and tailored solutions.
  • Vibe coding has become a significant category, with startups and even large companies exploring its potential for simplifying coding tasks.
  • The discussion of an AI bubble is nuanced, with arguments suggesting that current exuberance sets the stage for future applicative success.
  • There is ongoing discourse on the economic implications of AI investments, likening the situation to other historical tech booms.
  • The industry anticipates a proliferation of applied AI companies using more domain-specific, fine-tuned models.

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