"by the time we get to 2045 we'll be able to multiply our intelligence many millions fold and it's just very hard to imagine what that would be like the following is a conversation with ray kurzweil au..."

"in your 2005 book titled the singularities near you predicted that the singularity will happen in 2045. so now 18 years later do you still estimate that the singularity will happen on 2045 and maybe f..."

"stanford got very alarmed at my prediction about 2029 i made this in 1999 and my book the age of spiritual machines right and then you repeated the prediction in 2005 2005. yeah so they held internati..."

"with 2029 and they experts now agree with me but they didn't agree at first so alan touring formulated the touring test and right now what he said was very little about it i mean the 1950 paper where ..."

"anyway i i believe 2029 that six seven years from now uh we'll have something to pass this turing test and a valid turing test meaning it goes for hours not just a few minutes can you speak to that a ..."

"can appear that way you can read conversations and that they appear pretty good there are some problems with it it doesn't do math very well you can ask how many legs did 10 elephants have and they'll..."

"and another key issue is if somebody actually passes the turing test validly i would believe they're conscious and not everybody would say that say okay we can pass a turing test but we don't really b..."

"something where nobody's conscious the the world may as well not exist um and so some people like say marvin minsky [Music] said well consciousness is not logical it's not scientific and therefore we ..."

"but but that's a consciousness uh and anything so a computer that makes a more interesting decision still not at human levels but it's also conscious and at a higher level than your light switch so th..."

"different kind of connotation than humans do well perhaps you can do the same thing with humans it's just that we don't know how to do that yet yeah it's possible that we figure out all of these thing..."

"i've actually never lost it but you have to find it then you have to turn it on so there's a certain amount of steps it would actually be quite useful if someone would just listen to your conversation..."

"information but another step is to actually go inside your brain yeah and there are some prototypes where you can connect your brain they actually don't have the amount of bandwidth that we need they ..."

"and just do what we can do by using this machine do you think it would look like uh the brain computer interface of like neuralink so would it be well never length it's an attempt to do that it doesn'..."

"this low bandwidth mechanism of language yes spoken word exactly we don't know what that would be although we do know that computers can share information like language instantly they can share many m..."

"if you say uh lambda has a hundred a billion bytes what does that mean well what what if you had something that had one byte one one parameter maybe you want to tell whether or not something's uh an e..."

"and also be attached to information that we feel is reliable um so that's where we're headed so you think that there will be a merger in the 30s an increasing amount of merging between the either huma..."

"uh simulate many different things at once we already had one example of simulated biology which is the moderna vaccine and that's going to be now the way in which we create medications but they were a..."

"oh because we can stimulate how the body will respond to it yeah that's a little bit more complicated because the body's has a lot of different elements and we have to simulate all of that but that's ..."

"and within a couple of days it now played a master level of chess greater than any human being and and the same thing then worked for alpha foam uh which no human had done i mean human beings could do..."

"that starts with the very first computer actually created by german during world war ii and you might have thought that that might be significant but actually the germans didn't think computers were s..."

"then went to individual transistors and and then to integrated circuits um and the integrated circuits actually starts like in the middle of this graph and it has nothing to do with intel intel actual..."

"uh this is actually the fastest computer models that have been created and that actually expands roughly twice a year like every six months it expands by two so we're looking at a plot from 2010 to 20..."

"that would be like and that's the singularity what we can't even imagine right that's why we call it the singularity because the singularity in physics something gets sucked into its singularity and y..."

"advancement be in physical realm well that's a little bit like second life although the second life actually didn't work very well because it couldn't actually handle too many people and i don't think..."

"it's not just that you're touching someone or not there's a whole way of doing it and it's very subtle and but ultimately we can emulate all of that are you excited by that future do you worry about t..."

"it created increasingly complex organisms another key thing is actually not just brains but our thumb because because there's a lot of animals with brains even bigger than humans elephants have a bigg..."

"can already see that lisa dahl who's like the best go player in the world says he's not going to play go anymore yeah because playing go for human that was like the ultimate in intelligence because no..."

"super linearly i mean it's 20 21 constant dollars and it's gone way up that's not what you were to predict given that we would predict that all these jobs would go away yeah but the reason it's gone u..."

"whether lambda or gpt-3 is out there and maybe it's overcome some of its you know key problems and we really have an enhanced human intelligence that might be a negative scenario um but i mean that's ..."

"exponentially faster and i say that's just like cell phones i mean there's like 4 billion cell phones in the world today in fact when cell phones first came out you had to be fairly wealthy they weren..."

"because otherwise we wouldn't exist yeah viruses don't want to do that they want they want to spread and keep the host alive yeah somewhat so you can describe various dangers with biology uh also nano..."

"what's exciting is that that's a way to communicate with our neocortex because it's each neocortex is pretty small and you need a small entity that can actually get in there and establish a communicat..."

"what worries you about nanobots is it similar to with the viruses well i mean this is the great goo channel challenge yes um if you had a nanobot that wanted to create any any kind of entity and repea..."

"yeah even with the tensions we've had with this one nuclear power plant that's been taken over um it's very tense but i don't actually see a lot of people worrying that that's going to happen i think ..."

"computer in a way where we might even transcend the constraints of our bodies so copy our mind into a computer and leave the body behind let me describe one thing i've already done with my father that..."

"i didn't think this actually would work that well because uh stuff he'd written was stuff about how to lay out i mean he did directed coral groups and music groups and he would be laying out how the p..."

"and you did ask about the meaning of life and he answered love yeah do you miss him yes i do um you know you get used to missing somebody after 52 years and i didn't really have intelligent conversati..."

"i got involved with technology at like age five and you fell in love with it in the same way he did with music yeah yeah i remember this actually happened with my grandmother she had a manual typewrit..."

"when she presented to me i was not so interested in the story of the of the school but i was totally amazed with this manual typewriter i mean here is something you could put a blank piece of paper in..."

"any problem and i actually remember talking to these very old girls i think they were 10 and telling them if i could just figure this out like we could fly we could do anything and they said well you ..."

"creativity because you maybe talk through that maybe the process of how to you've invented a lot of things you've came up and thought through some very interesting ideas what advice would you give or ..."

"how much of a good idea is about timing how much is it about your genius versus that its time has come timing's very important i mean that that's really why i got into futurism i'm not i didn't i wasn..."

"thing in itself because looking at what uh things will be like in the future reflect such dramatic changes in in how humans will live that was worth communicating also so you developed that muscle of ..."

"people work is there practical advices you give in the book about each what each of us can do to be a danielle well she looks at the situation and tries to imagine uh how she can overcome various obst..."

"it's pretty good exactly when we upload the story you told about your dad and having a conversation with him we're talking about uploading your mind to the computer do you think we'll have a future wi..."

"and that would be very worthwhile so do you think we'll have a world of replicants of copies would there be a bunch of raker as well as like i could hang out with one i can download it for five bucks ..."

"maybe they're a copy of the best version of me on a good day yeah but if you hang out with a replicant of me and that turned out to be successful i'd feel proud of that person because it was based on ..."

"you have to if you want to get an official replica okay it's not so easy suppose you created multiple replicants uh the original rights uh maybe for one person and not for a whole group of per people ..."

"and eventually as we go forward we're going to have more and more of this data because we're going to have nanobots that are inside our neocortex and we're going to collect a lot of data in fact anyth..."

"one of the advantages of a replicant that can recreate the communications of that that person do you hope do you think do you hope humans will become a multi-planetary species you've talked about the ..."

"i have two analyses of the drake equation both with very reasonable assumptions and one gives you thousands of advanced civilizations in each galaxy and another one gives you one civilization and we k..."

"so either they don't exist or this very universe is a construction of an alien species we're living inside a video game well that's another explanation that yes you've got some teenage kids in another..."

"and creativity um and somehow we've gotten into a world where love actually exists and that has to do actually with consciousness because you can't have love without consciousness so to me that's god ..."

"about cellular automata is it's a primitive building blocks and they somehow create beautiful things is there some deep truth to that about how our universe works is the the emergence from simple rule..."

"and i think we can get there within by the end of this decade how do you think we do it so there's practical things um and transcend the nine steps to living well forever your book you describe just t..."

"i have had some discussions with relatives who were like almost 100 and saying well we're working on it as quickly as possible then i don't know if that's gonna work is there a case this is a difficul..."

"limitation to that in fact these kinds of uh trends are going to provide greater and greater opportunity for everybody even if we have more people so let me ask about an alien species or a super intel..."