
42 segments available
In this episode of Infinite Loops, we speak with Packy McCormick, author of the Not Boring newsletter. We discuss many aspects of the Great Reshuffle like: 1. UBI with crypto 2. Designing new money 3. How to increase crypto adoption 4. Will NFTs go mainstream? 5. Future of work and workspaces 6. And MUCH more! Follow Packy on Twitter at https://twitter.com/packyM and subscribe to his newsletter at https://www.notboring.co/
In the introduction to Infinite Loops, Jim O'Shaughnessy sets the stage for exploring complex ideas and resetting our thinking. He emphasizes the podcast's goal of providing fresh perspectives on various issues through a multi-faceted lens, including history, philosophy, and quantitative analysis, ultimately aiming to help listeners become better investors and nuanced thinkers.
"[Music] hi i'm jim o'shaughnessy and welcome to infinite loops sometimes we get caught up in what feel like infinite loops when trying to figure things out markets go up and down research is presented..."
Jim introduces Packy McCormick, the author of the Not Boring newsletter, expressing excitement about their discussion. They humorously reflect on the significance of having an Irish perspective on future trends, setting a light-hearted tone for the conversation about the Great Online Game and the Great Reshuffle.
"thanks for joining us now please enjoy this episode of infinite loops jim o'shaughnessy is chairman and co-chief investment officer of o'shaughnessy asset management where jamie catherwood is an assoc..."
Packy McCormick explains the concept of the Great Online Game, which he describes as a way to articulate the transformative experiences he had while engaging online. He shares his journey from working at a startup to becoming a full-time writer, highlighting how the internet allows individuals to connect and collaborate globally, especially during the COVID-19 pandemic.
"what does the world come to when they let the mix talk about what's gonna happen it's amazing once you figure out the potato situation and everyone's well fed you can focus on other things boom there ..."
Packy discusses the collapse of geography as a pivotal aspect of the Great Reshuffle. He emphasizes how this shift allows individuals from different parts of the world to connect and collaborate, creating new opportunities. He shares his experience of discovering talent on Twitter and how social media is evolving into a global intelligence network, reshaping traditional notions of education and professional development.
"and a half ago and it was one of those pieces that i thought when i was writing it and when i hit send that it wasn't going to do very well because it seemed kind of obvious right it's one of those pi..."
In this segment, Jim and Packy explore the importance of building relationships in the digital landscape. They discuss how social media enables individuals to create a living resume and foster connections that can lead to job opportunities. Packy shares insights on how authenticity and genuine engagement can lead to meaningful relationships and career advancements.
"one like just kind of big misinterpretation of it i think a few people read it as like oh this is about getting a bunch of followers and like how you find followers on twitter and and that's not it at..."
Packy highlights the need for a new skill set in the evolving job market, emphasizing the importance of non-linear thinking and synthesizing knowledge. He warns that those who struggle with these skills may find it challenging to compete in a world where opportunities are increasingly accessible. The conversation touches on the changing nature of work and the necessity for adaptability in the face of rapid technological advancements.
"and so i'm not pan glossian about this i think that for the people like that sold my colleague his opportunity set just exploded upward and i think that some of our younger people in this country migh..."
Jim shares his evolving perspective on Universal Basic Income (UBI), arguing for its necessity in a future where many may struggle to adapt to new economic realities. He discusses the potential for UBI to support individuals who face challenges in the job market, particularly those affected by automation and technological change. The segment raises questions about how society can effectively implement UBI to ensure inclusivity and opportunity.
"building those two things at the same time and you do it i don't think either uri does this in like some weird nefarious networking kind of way and i think that can go really bad just if you're being ..."
Packy discusses the play-to-earn model exemplified by Axie Infinity, a game that allows players in the Philippines to earn a living through gameplay. He explores the potential of integrating UBI with gaming to create engaging economic opportunities. The conversation delves into the challenges of tracking UBI and the importance of community engagement in ensuring its success.
"than the one that people developed in the physical world so for example i believe if you are uncomfortable with non-linear thought you're going to really have a hard time because the new world as i se..."
Packy McCormick proposes the idea of using gaming platforms like Axie Infinity to conduct UBI experiments. He suggests that these environments could help track the effects of providing income while keeping individuals engaged and part of a community, addressing the challenges of traditional UBI implementations.
"is to work with governments at some point when they have x percent of certain populations and say like all right cool what happens if we do ubi experiments through axi where we actually have this kind..."
McCormick emphasizes the importance of empirical proof in validating new economic experiments, particularly regarding UBI. He discusses the necessity of running multiple experiments in controlled environments to gather data and adapt strategies effectively.
"do we get proof with running thousands of experiments at the same time seeing what works and kind of continuing to adapt and so there has to be a period where there's people like me out there who are ..."
In this segment, McCormick expresses his skepticism about centralized digital currencies like FedCoin, citing concerns about government control and surveillance. He discusses the historical context of currencies and the potential for new, decentralized currencies to emerge.
"i have the power so you touched on crypto being sort of the native currency native token in the great online game and i'm still a dummy on crypto i did an investment and it did ridiculously well i mea..."
Packy McCormick reflects on the evolution of currency, comparing traditional forms of value to modern cryptocurrencies. He discusses the unique properties of crypto and its potential to revolutionize how value is exchanged and perceived in the digital age.
"and it's scalable and it's fast and it's all of those things and so certainly there could be something like that i think the interesting thing thus far about crypto has been that it's essentially like..."
McCormick addresses the challenge of onboarding individuals to cryptocurrency, particularly those who are neither desperate nor overly optimistic. He suggests that companies need to create clear value propositions to gradually introduce people to crypto without overwhelming them.
"that get people excited and what about in our little bubble this is pretty much what we talk about we're all super excited about what is coming i am what i would call a rational optimist which means a..."
In this segment, McCormick discusses the difficulties in engaging the middle class with cryptocurrency. He highlights the need for innovative approaches to attract those who are cautious about new technologies while managing their everyday financial concerns.
"where they have a mortgage and student loans and all these things to pay off and they're like just trying to do their job and they're like what the hell is this thing i completely understand why you w..."
Packy McCormick shares insights on generational differences in technology adoption, particularly regarding crypto. He reflects on how younger generations, like his grandson, naturally embrace digital innovations, while older generations may struggle to understand and engage with them.
"because if you have the skills and the tools the leverage that this new digital world gives us is literally unprecedented we haven't ever seen it and i was actually talking to my seven-year-old grands..."
Packy McCormick elaborates on the dual challenges of education and political will in promoting technology adoption. He argues that while technology can match individuals with opportunities, the real hurdle lies in getting people to engage and participate. This segment underscores the complexity of integrating new technologies into society and the need for a supportive environment.
"but then there's also a we've had a hard time convincing people to take a vaccine that is going to save you from coven so if you even if you said do this thing and it will be fantastic for you financi..."
McCormick discusses how the internet has changed the landscape of public discourse, allowing previously unheard voices to be amplified. He reflects on whether the internet makes society worse or simply exposes underlying issues. This segment explores the implications of online platforms on communication and societal behavior.
"so you get this if you understand history this is nothing new it feels new because there's so many of these subgroups and all the village idiots get to talk to each other online and so it seems like t..."
In this thought-provoking segment, McCormick warns about the dangers of echo chambers created by algorithms on social media. He discusses the need for diverse perspectives to foster healthy discourse and the challenges of breaking out of these self-reinforcing bubbles. This highlights the importance of open-mindedness in a polarized digital landscape.
"have now i also kind of have a theory that is still in its nascent stages and i'm probably wrong but i think that social media also serves as a steam valve and by that i mean without social media wher..."
Packy McCormick poses critical questions about how to design systems that prevent the formation of echo chambers. He emphasizes the need for innovative solutions that encourage exposure to differing viewpoints without coercion. This segment delves into the complexities of fostering a more inclusive digital environment.
"back to the idea of a downside i think i was talking about tim irvin and i'm doing a live thing with him and this is going to be a big part of the conversation which is essentially we are creating alm..."
In this segment, McCormick shares his optimism about the mainstream adoption of NFTs, citing recent trends and examples. He discusses how NFTs can serve as digital assets that reflect personal identity and status, potentially becoming more integrated into everyday life. This highlights the evolving landscape of digital ownership and cultural significance.
"it now so my best thought on it now is almost a addition to oddly an algorithm that ads follows that really disagree with your prevailing worldview and i don't like that though because that's a little..."
McCormick explores the intersection of digital fashion and social media, discussing how platforms like Instagram can influence consumer behavior. He highlights the potential for digital clothing and assets to become status symbols in online spaces, reflecting broader trends in identity and self-expression. This segment emphasizes the cultural shift towards digital representation.
"in an effective manner that is like good for people i don't want to compel people to do anything i just think that's wrong and it goes against everything that i believe in freedom and as you're kind o..."
In this concluding segment, McCormick discusses the future of digital assets and their role in personal identity. He reflects on how the transition from physical to digital ownership will shape consumer behavior and community dynamics. This segment encapsulates the ongoing evolution of how we perceive value and identity in a digital world.
"little bit because it's something that people are familiar with obviously axis doing it a little bit in different parts of the world but i think a fascinating thing to me that i put in this last piece..."
Packy McCormick discusses the emergence of digital fashion and NFTs, highlighting how platforms like Artifact are changing the way people express their identity online. He emphasizes that as society becomes more digital, showcasing unique digital assets will become a natural behavior, especially on social media platforms like Instagram.
"kind of seeds the idea that these are legitimate ways that people can show off what they believe in and that they have a certain status in a certain community i think that will certainly continue to g..."
In this segment, McCormick speculates about the future of virtual reality, referencing 'Ready Player One' and discussing how advancements like Oculus 5 could transform social interactions. He reflects on the potential for immersive experiences that feel real, suggesting that the transition from video calls to VR meetings may soon feel natural.
"instagram it's like this weird in between phase where we're representing ourselves mostly digital we're like most people you know way more people digitally than you know in person at this point and if..."
Packy McCormick addresses the potential dangers of immersive technologies, such as VR, and the risk of becoming overly absorbed in entertainment. He draws parallels to the concept of 'amusing ourselves to death' and discusses the implications of technologies like Neuralink that could enhance emotional connections in virtual environments.
"the whole idea of ready player one the book not the movie in that when oculus 5 comes out man my youngest daughter is a comedian and she was here recently and she's like dad i am the very thin tether ..."
McCormick explores how technology is reshaping education, emphasizing the need for fun and engaging learning experiences. He critiques traditional educational systems and suggests that new methods could better prepare future generations, highlighting the importance of adapting to technological advancements.
"those things than it is now so i'm not weirded out by that at all i mean i think the challenge is that it becomes like so fun and so amusing yourself to death or the infinite chess right where there's..."
In this segment, McCormick discusses the future of educational credentials, advocating for a shift away from traditional degrees towards more innovative measures of aptitude. He reflects on the challenges of changing societal perceptions and the potential for new educational models that prioritize skills over formal qualifications.
"there's a great cartoon from like the 1920s that showed airplanes flying around and the caption was well first it was like an illustration of when airplanes were first becoming kind of more common and..."
Packy McCormick delves into the complexities of systemic change in education and healthcare, emphasizing the need for comprehensive solutions that address various societal challenges. He discusses the balance between innovation and standardization, particularly in fields requiring rigorous training, and the implications of centralized control in different countries.
"but when there was was it the native americans standing on the shore and there were yeah i do know that story and they couldn't see the boats because they just didn't have the concept and they didn't ..."
Packy McCormick discusses the challenges of traditional education and healthcare systems, emphasizing the need for innovative thinking and systemic solutions. He critiques the authoritarian mindset in education that focuses on teaching what to think rather than how to think, and highlights the complexities involved in reforming these essential sectors.
"that could actually make people smarter i think that there's just too many people have this authoritarian mindset where they want to teach people what to think not how to think and i just think that t..."
In this segment, McCormick reflects on the implications of central control in systems like China's tech regulations. He contrasts this with the complexities of decentralized systems, arguing that while central control can lead to faster redesigns, it poses significant risks to individual freedoms and innovation.
"like even how do you train for medicine or something where people are cutting into people's bodies without somebody going through this path maybe there's testing along the way or something but like ar..."
Packy McCormick explains the concept of complex adaptive systems, emphasizing that solutions often emerge from the bottom rather than being imposed from the top. He uses the analogy of an economist's joke to illustrate the unpredictability of systems and the challenges of assuming all variables remain constant.
"than we could ever do here so the only pushback i would give you there is that most systems are complex adaptive systems and in complex adaptive systems emergent behavior comes from the bottom not the..."
McCormick shares insights from his experience in the physical workspace industry, predicting a shift towards less reliance on traditional office environments. He discusses the potential for hybrid work models and the importance of social spaces for team bonding and creativity in the evolving work landscape.
"let's assume we have a can opener i've never heard that one that's amazing and one of the things that i think is interesting that i want your opinion on my recurring guest alex danko has a very strong..."
In this segment, McCormick introduces the concept of liquid employment, where individuals juggle multiple jobs and projects simultaneously. He argues that the traditional 9-to-5 model is outdated, and highlights the flexibility and opportunities that come with this new employment paradigm.
"important that talent obviously wins like if you spend any time in startups the number one thing that everybody needs is engineers right now or designers or whatever else and if you're limiting yourse..."
Packy McCormick discusses the evolution of workplace interactions, comparing the serendipity of physical encounters with the potential for digital interactions. He suggests that while physical accidents led to discoveries in the past, digital platforms now offer new avenues for unexpected collaborations.
"osam i wasn't able to go but jamie was telling me how much fun it was because i do think at the end of the day we are human beings we thrive on being with one another we also gain a tremendous amount ..."
McCormick elaborates on the idea of high-leverage work, where individuals can maximize their impact across multiple projects. He emphasizes the importance of matching skills with opportunities and the potential for individuals to thrive outside traditional employment structures.
"and physical kind of encounters because that's the only kind that we had but i do think there's a lot more room for kind of digital accidents and encounters too and it's so much more fun like that kin..."
In this segment, McCormick reflects on the increasing optionality in the workforce, where individuals can choose diverse paths and projects. He shares his personal journey of moving away from traditional employment to embrace freelance opportunities and collaborative projects.
"we have our weekly engineering stand up and now our exec team is talking to the company about our quarterly results like all this dumb that you have to do that's just been a part of work if that goes ..."
Packy McCormick critiques the outdated notion of face time in the workplace, advocating for a results-oriented approach. He discusses the importance of flexibility and trust in modern work environments, especially in light of the pandemic's impact on work-life balance.
"of marketing campaigns before and so i just think there's a lot of those opportunities where a bunch of high leverage people can do a bunch of different things this goes back to the original place whe..."
McCormick speculates on the emergence of billion-dollar companies led by single individuals, discussing the potential for software and smart distribution to enable this trend. He reflects on the changing landscape of entrepreneurship and the role of technology in shaping future business models.
"this whole idea of the people who want people back in the offices those are the weekends man those are the weekends because they're the face time people and that is dead that is just dead yes and i ha..."
In this segment, McCormick shares his vision for the future, predicting that the next decade will bring unprecedented changes, including the normalization of virtual reality experiences and the democratization of space travel. He highlights the importance of being prepared for these shifts and acknowledges the challenges that may arise as technology continues to evolve.
" give me your most out there speculation that you think is going to happen that even when you tell your most switched on friends they look at you like come on man come on oh this is a really good one ..."
Packy McCormick emphasizes the necessity of open-mindedness as we approach a rapidly changing future. He suggests that fostering a mindset of curiosity and adaptability will be crucial for navigating the complexities of emerging technologies and societal shifts. McCormick advocates for a balanced perspective that acknowledges potential challenges while remaining optimistic about future possibilities.
"combine with each other and so like that's the thing that makes it really really really difficult to understand is like what happens when you have all these technologies in 50 20 30 whatever years all..."
In this thought-provoking segment, McCormick discusses the value of understanding different perspectives, drawing from his experience in debate. He argues that being able to argue both sides of an issue fosters empathy and critical thinking, which are essential skills for the future. This approach encourages listeners to remain open to new ideas and to challenge their own beliefs.
"we're not going to face a whole host of problems but we are putting in place in my opinion the tools to deal with them better than we ever have in the past so i'm very bullish listen man this has been..."
Packy McCormick reflects on the courage required to share one's thoughts publicly, especially in the face of criticism. He encourages young creators to embrace the process of putting their ideas out into the world, highlighting the importance of resilience and humor in dealing with feedback. This segment serves as an inspiring call to action for aspiring thinkers and innovators.
"to give me though oh no you got two man that's why we make it hard oh and i went with such a broad first one so it's hard to do anything else there i guess this is like kind of a similar track but i d..."