
24 segments available
The War everyone assumed was over may be about to become something far worse than we could have expected. Professor Robert Pape explains exactly why the deadliest phase of this war is still ahead, and how this could trigger a wave of terror across the world. Robert Pape is a Professor of Political Science at the University of Chicago and director of the Chicago Project on Security and Threats. A renowned political scientist, he has advised every White House since 9/11 on military strategy and is the author of the upcoming book “Our Own Worst Enemies: America and the Age of Violent Populism”. He explains: ■ Why the US bombing campaign failed to topple Iran’s regime, even after killing its top leaders ■ How Iran seized control of 20% of the world’s oil supply within days of the war starting ■ Why the failed agreement handed Iran a path to becoming the most powerful country in the region ■ Why both China and Russia gain from America staying stuck in the Middle East ■ Why he thinks US ground troops could be next ■ Why he thinks there will be a clash between Congress and the president over who really controls the power to go to war 00:00:00 Intro 00:02:42 Why Robert Pape Isn't Surprised 00:04:24 Why the US Blocked the Strait of Hormuz 00:05:43 The Secret JD Vance Peace Deal (MOU) 00:08:33 Iran as Regional Hegemon, Explained 00:10:00 How Do We Know This Is the Real Document? 00:21:25 Did the War Actually Make Iran Stronger? 00:22:26 The Viral Tweet: How Is Iran Still Hitting US Bases? 00:24:57 Trump Says Iran Is Destroyed — So How? 00:25:59 Where Iran Hides Its Drones ("A Truck in California") 00:29:24 Iran Is Building New Drones the Whole Time 00:32:37 Are We on the Verge of a Global Economic Crisis? 00:36:47 What "Owning the L" Would Actually Look Like 00:38:57 Trump: The US Runs Out of Oil in 4 Weeks 00:40:52 The Midterm Elections Time Bomb 00:52:33 The Vietnam Parallel: LBJ's Trap 00:55:26 Can the US Force the Strait of Hormuz Open? 01:03:27 A 70% Chance of Boots on the Ground in Iran 01:14:59 Why Invading (Not Bombing) Sparks Suicide Attacks 01:24:25 When the Two Crises Collide: A New 1960s? 01:25:21 Will Trump Lose the Midterms? 01:27:00 Is the US Running Out of Weapons? 01:29:00 What Is Trump's Real Objective? 01:34:39 Pape's Prediction for the Next Few Months Follow Robert: ◼ X - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/168aNAX ◼LinkedIn - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/EeC1Rpx ◼Substack - https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/6GWlu8Q You can pre-order Robert's new book, ‘Our Own Worst Enemies: America and the Age of Violent Populism’ here: https://link.thediaryofaceo.com/9XIQBJ9 The Diary Of A CEO: ■ Join DOAC circle here - https://doaccircle.com/ ■ Buy The Diary Of A CEO book here - https://smarturl.it/DOACbook ■ The 1% Diary is back, limited time only - https://bit.ly/3YFbJbt ■ The Diary Of A CEO Conversation Cards - https://linkly.link/2hm7r ■ Get email updates - https://bit.ly/diary-of-a-ceo-yt ■ Follow Steven - https://g2ul0.app.link/gnGqL4IsKKb Sponsors: Pipedrive - https://pipedrive.com/CEO HeyGen - https://heygen.com/doac
"Iran is stronger today than it was before the [music] war started. And this is literally the nightmare scenario that we've been worrying about. And the reason you're having me here is because in the n..."
"Robert Pap, with everything that's going on with Iran at the moment, the US Iran war, and everything that I've learned from you in the two previous conversations we've had on the D of CEO, I'm guessin..."
"punishment. So, the US said that they were going to block the straight of Hormuse, basically trying to take control of it themselves and therefore kind of punishing the rest of the world. >> U well, t..."
">> which was the I sat here with JD Vance and he told me that they were about to sign an agreement with Iran to ultimately end the war and they had that agreement. >> Yeah. >> JD told me that it was a..."
">> Hegimon what does that mean? >> The most dominant state in the Persian Gulf in the Middle East. Wait, so you're saying that this agreement would make them the most dominant state in the Middle East..."
">> How do we know that this is the actual document >> because both the Iranian government and the White House put out exactly the same document word for word um so that we can actually compare them li..."
"fair to hypothesize that actually this war might have strengthened Iran because now it has this control over energy on a global basis that it didn't have before. >> Without a doubt. Without a doubt, S..."
">> There was a a tweet that went viral this week um about this. I'm going to read the tweet here. It says, "I'm confused. The US has the most powerful military on Earth. We've bombed the hell out of I..."
"It's been knocked out. They have no air force that's been knocked out. They have no air detection that's been knocked out. Their radar has been knocked out. And just about everything's been knocked ou..."
">> Explain to me in just simple terms why it's so difficult to remove that capability. You know, I was looking at this picture here which shows the size of a drone relative to another object. So, I gu..."
"of them. >> I guess also an important point of context is they're also making new ones this whole time. >> Exactly. So our estimates that we have leaked from the Pentagon are in April. That's months a..."
"of Hermoose closed. We've got the Houthis closing, >> the Red Sea. So, there's no oil flowing through there. >> Yeah. >> So, are we on the verge of an economic crisis if things don't change quickly? >..."
">> He'd rather take the risk with the world's economy than just own the L. So what would owning the L in this scenario? >> Owning the L would allow Iran to follow through with Article 5. So if we go b..."
"when you just said that Trump said recently that the US would run out of oil within 4 weeks. So, I did I just looked down at some research here and it says that during a recent press conference at the..."
">> But there's also another before, which is the midterm elections. >> Yes. Am I right in thinking that this midterm election takes place in 3 months time and if his approval rating is low at that poi..."
"It's funny cuz you mentioned LBJ. So I was looking at some of his quotes around the time to see how they link because everybody knows the Vietnam War as being a war that just lasted forever and really..."
">> Yeah, I love it. Um, one of them is can the United States actually force the straight of Hummus fully open with our current strategy or does Iran now hold lasting leverage over this critical choke ..."
">> How real is the risk that the US will do some kind of limited ground operation with boots on the ground in Iran? uh well over 50%. I think it's uh bordering on 70% now. Um and the reasons are that ..."
"What is it? What is it about okay invading their country in particular versus bombing their country in particular that causes suicide terrorist attacks from your research? Like what is it? Because bom..."
">> Why? What does that mean? What are those two things colliding? >> Those two things colliding start to look like the 1960s. And what happened in the 1960s? >> The 1960s we had mass uh demonstrations..."
">> So do you think that Trump is likely to lose the midterms as things stand? Do you think the Republicans are likely to lose >> here? Here's here's the thing. If um if we have a mass casualty attack,..."
"Is the current US air campaign sustainable? You hinted at this earlier on that actually the US might be running out of some of their their weapons. Um, it's estimated that the daily cost of this this ..."
">> So, what do you think the United States/Trump's objective is at this particular point? Like, what is the goal? The the real goal? Cuz there's lots of press conferences I see where they say it's nuc..."
"my last question then before I go to the diary is um if you were to predict how the next couple of months play out, what would your prediction be? And this is a on a on probability, 51% probability of..."