
76 segments available
Sam Altman is the CEO of OpenAI, the company behind GPT-4, ChatGPT, Sora, and many other state-of-the-art AI technologies. Please support this podcast by checking out our sponsors: - Cloaked: https://cloaked.com/lex and use code LexPod to get 25% off - Shopify: https://shopify.com/lex to get $1 per month trial - BetterHelp: https://betterhelp.com/lex to get 10% off - ExpressVPN: https://expressvpn.com/lexpod to get 3 months free TRANSCRIPT: https://lexfridman.com/sam-altman-2-transcript EPISODE LINKS: Sam's X: https://x.com/sama Sam's Blog: https://blog.samaltman.com/ OpenAI's X: https://x.com/OpenAI OpenAI's Website: https://openai.com ChatGPT Website: https://chat.openai.com/ Sora Website: https://openai.com/sora GPT-4 Website: https://openai.com/research/gpt-4 PODCAST INFO: Podcast website: https://lexfridman.com/podcast Apple Podcasts: https://apple.co/2lwqZIr Spotify: https://spoti.fi/2nEwCF8 RSS: https://lexfridman.com/feed/podcast/ Full episodes playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLrAXtmErZgOdP_8GztsuKi9nrraNbKKp4 Clips playlist: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLrAXtmErZgOeciFP3CBCIEElOJeitOr41 OUTLINE: 0:00 - Introduction 1:05 - OpenAI board saga 18:31 - Ilya Sutskever 24:40 - Elon Musk lawsuit 34:32 - Sora 44:23 - GPT-4 55:32 - Memory & privacy 1:02:36 - Q* 1:06:12 - GPT-5 1:09:27 - $7 trillion of compute 1:17:35 - Google and Gemini 1:28:40 - Leap to GPT-5 1:32:24 - AGI 1:50:57 - Aliens SOCIAL: - Twitter: https://twitter.com/lexfridman - LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/lexfridman - Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/lexfridman - Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/lexfridman - Medium: https://medium.com/@lexfridman - Reddit: https://reddit.com/r/lexfridman - Support on Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/lexfridman
Sam Altman discusses the pivotal role of compute as the future currency and its potential to become the most valuable commodity. He emphasizes the significance of capable systems in the journey towards AGI and the inherent power struggles that will accompany this technological evolution.
"- I think compute is gonna be the currency of the future. I think it'll be maybe the most precious commodity in the world. I expect that by the end of this decade. And possibly somewhat sooner than th..."
Altman shares his personal experiences during the tumultuous OpenAI board saga, describing it as the most painful professional experience of his life. He reflects on the chaos, the support he received, and the lessons learned about resilience and organizational structure in the face of challenges.
"Take me through the OpenAI board saga that started on Thursday, November 16th, maybe Friday, November 17th for you. - That was definitely the most painful professional experience of my life and chaoti..."
In this segment, Altman discusses the expected power struggles on the path to AGI. He emphasizes the importance of iterating on board structures and organizational dynamics to mitigate conflicts and ensure a smoother journey towards achieving AGI.
"and be ready for more challenges in the future. - But the thing you had a sense that you would experience is some kind of power struggle. - The road to AGI should be a giant power struggle. Like the w..."
Altman reflects on the high-stress moments faced by OpenAI and the valuable lessons learned regarding board structure and incentives. He discusses the need for resilience in the organization as they prepare for future challenges in the pursuit of AGI.
"There was a time after. There was like this fugue state for kind of like the month after, maybe 45 days after that was I was just sort of like drifting through the days, I was so out of it. I was feel..."
Altman sheds light on the decision-making process within the OpenAI board during stressful situations. He discusses the importance of having a board that can operate effectively under pressure and the challenges that arise when time is limited.
"to go both the personal psychological aspects of you as a leader and also just the board structure and all this kind of messy stuff. - Definitely learned a lot about structure and incentives and what ..."
In this segment, Altman discusses the unique power dynamics of nonprofit boards, emphasizing that they often operate independently. He reflects on the need for the OpenAI board to be accountable to the broader world while navigating the complexities of governance.
"Was it just a few conversations and all of a sudden it escalates and why don't we fire Sam kind of thing? - I think the board members were far, well-meaning people on the whole. And I believe that in ..."
Altman recounts the rapid decision-making process that led to the selection of new board members during a tense weekend. He explains the criteria for choosing board members and the importance of having experienced individuals to guide OpenAI.
"- So there's a new board announced. - [Sam] Yeah. - There's, I guess, a new smaller board of first and now there's a new final board. - Not a final board yet. We've added some, we'll add more. - Added..."
Altman discusses the strategy of selecting board members in groups rather than individually, highlighting the need for diverse expertise. He emphasizes the importance of governance and thoughtful decision-making in the board's role.
"that both sort of the executive team here and the old board members felt would be reasonable. Larry was actually one of their suggestions, the old board members. Bret, previous to that weekend, sugges..."
In this segment, Altman emphasizes the need for a balance between technical expertise and societal impact in board discussions. He highlights the importance of having diverse perspectives to ensure that AI technologies benefit humanity.
"- So is technical savvy important for the individual board members? - Not for every board member, but certainly some you need that. That's part of what the board needs to do. - So I mean, the interest..."
Altman shares his personal coping mechanisms during the crisis at OpenAI, reflecting on the emotional toll and the support he received. He discusses the importance of focusing on the future and the excitement of new opportunities.
"something's very hard to replace. - Do you try to fit a polynomial function or exponential one to track record? - That's not that. An analogy doesn't carry that far. - All right. You mentioned some of..."
Altman describes the emotional highs and lows experienced during the board saga, emphasizing the exhaustion of public battles. He reflects on the love and support he felt from colleagues amidst the chaos.
"This was like Friday afternoon. - Oh, so you've accepted the death- - Very quickly, very quickly. I mean, I went through like a little period of confusion and rage, but very quickly. And by Friday nig..."
In this poignant segment, Altman discusses how love and support from colleagues dominated his emotions during the crisis at OpenAI. He contrasts this with the pain of the situation, highlighting the importance of human connection in challenging times.
"but I thought a little more and I was like, "Well, I really care about the people here, the partners, shareholders. I love this company." And so I thought about it and I was like, "Well, okay, but her..."
Altman praises Mira Murati for her leadership during the chaotic weekend, emphasizing the value of consistent, thoughtful decision-making in everyday situations. He reflects on the importance of leadership beyond crisis moments.
"of the weekend was love, not hate. - You've spoken highly of Mira Murati that she helped, especially as you put in a tweet, "In the quiet moments when it counts, perhaps we could take a bit of a tange..."
In this segment, Sam Altman discusses his relationship with Ilya Sutskever, co-founder of OpenAI, addressing rumors about Ilya's whereabouts and his commitment to AGI safety. Altman expresses deep respect for Ilya's long-term thinking and dedication to ensuring the responsible development of AI technologies.
"Let me ask you about Ilya. Is he being held hostage in a secret nuclear facility? - No. - What about a regular secret facility? - No. - What about a nuclear non-secure facility? - Neither, not that ei..."
Sam Altman clarifies that neither he nor Ilya has seen AGI, but emphasizes the seriousness with which Ilya approaches AGI safety and societal impacts. He shares insights into their discussions about the future of AI and the importance of getting it right as they progress in their mission.
"We've not built AGII. I do think one of the many things that I really love about Ilya is he takes AGI and the safety concerns broadly speaking, including things like the impact this is gonna have on s..."
Altman speculates on Ilya's recent quietness, suggesting it may be a period of introspection. He describes Ilya as a thoughtful individual who values silence and deep contemplation, hinting at the complexity of his character beyond the public persona.
"So Ilya did not see AGI. But Ilya is a credit to humanity in terms of how much he thinks and worries about making sure we get this right. - I've had a bunch of conversation with him in the past. I thi..."
Sam Altman shares his feelings about the restructuring of OpenAI's board following a tumultuous period. He reflects on the painful experiences that led to valuable lessons about governance and trust, expressing gratitude for the team he works with while acknowledging the challenges faced.
"Do you have any idea why he's been kind of quiet? Is it he's just doing some soul searching? - Again, I don't wanna speak for Ilya. I think that you should ask him that. He's definitely a thoughtful g..."
In this segment, Altman discusses how the board saga has affected his personal trust in others. He admits to becoming more cautious while maintaining his inherently trusting nature, pondering the balance between trust and skepticism in leadership roles, especially in the context of developing AGI.
"I am kind of happy it happened when it did, but it was a shockingly painful thing to go through. - Did it make you be more hesitant in trusting people? - Yes. - Just on a personal level. - Yes. - I th..."
Sam Altman emphasizes the importance of surrounding oneself with trustworthy individuals in the tech industry. He reflects on the dynamics of trust and decision-making within OpenAI, highlighting the significance of having a strong, reliable team as they navigate the complexities of AI development.
"- I'm actually not sure which mode is best to operate in for a person who's developing AGI, trusting or untrusting. It's an interesting journey you're on. But in terms of structure, see, I'm more inte..."
Altman addresses the lawsuit filed by Elon Musk against OpenAI, discussing the essence of Musk's criticisms and the context of their professional relationship. He reflects on the early days of OpenAI and the evolution of its mission, acknowledging the challenges and misunderstandings that have arisen.
"And I think being surrounded with people like that is really important. - Our mutual friend Elon sued OpenAI. What is the essence of what he's criticizing? To what degree does he have a point? To what..."
Sam Altman recounts the initial vision for OpenAI as a research lab and how it has transformed over the years. He discusses the necessity of adapting their structure and approach as the technology evolved, emphasizing the importance of making reasonable decisions along the way despite the uncertainties.
"But we got here gradually with I think reasonable decisions at each point along the way and doesn't mean I wouldn't do it totally differently if we could go back now with an oracle, but you don't get ..."
In this segment, Altman explains the circumstances surrounding Elon Musk's departure from OpenAI. He outlines Musk's desire for control and direction that conflicted with OpenAI's vision, providing insight into the personal and professional dynamics that led to their split.
"You guys are a bunch of like a small group of researchers crazily talking about AGI when everybody's laughing at that thought. - Wasn't that long ago Elon was crazily talking about launching rockets w..."
Sam Altman reflects on the significance of the term 'Open' in OpenAI's name, discussing the organization's commitment to providing powerful AI tools as a public good. He emphasizes the importance of accessibility and the mission to empower individuals with technology, while also addressing the nuances of open-source versus closed-source models.
"than the partnership with Microsoft. - My memory is the proposal was just like, yeah, like get acquired by Tesla and have Tesla have full control over it. I'm pretty sure that's what it was. - So what..."
Altman discusses the implications of Musk's lawsuit against OpenAI, particularly regarding the name 'OpenAI.' He reflects on the seriousness of Musk's comments and the broader context of competition in the AI landscape, emphasizing the importance of healthy competition over legal disputes.
"for how we fulfill the mission. Open source or not, yeah, I think we should open source some stuff and not other stuff. It does become this like religious battle line where nuance is hard to have, but..."
In this segment, Altman explores the pros and cons of open-sourcing AI models, acknowledging the demand for smaller, locally runnable models. He discusses the evolving landscape of AI development and the potential for both open-source and closed-source approaches to coexist.
"- Well, I don't think the lawsuit maybe, correct me if I'm wrong, but I don't think the lawsuit is legally serious. It's more to make a point about the future of AGI and the company that's currently l..."
Sam Altman advises startups against transitioning from nonprofit to for-profit models, reflecting on OpenAI's journey. He shares insights into the challenges and considerations that arise from such a shift, emphasizing the importance of understanding the implications of business structures in the tech industry.
"But on the question of open source, do you think there's a lot of companies playing with this idea? It's quite interesting. I would say Meta, surprisingly, has led the way on this or like at least too..."
Altman expresses his hopes for a future relationship with Elon Musk, envisioning a scenario of amicable competition and collaboration. He emphasizes the importance of building innovative technologies together while maintaining respect for each other's contributions to the field.
"- Well, like in theory, if you like dance beautifully here, there's like some tax incentives or whatever - But I don't think that's like how most people think about these things. - Just not possible t..."
Sam Altman introduces Sora, discussing its impressive capabilities and the philosophical implications of the technology. He highlights the advancements in AI models and the potential for Sora to understand the world in ways that challenge conventional perceptions of AI limitations.
"- Yeah, I hope you guys have an amicable relationship like this month and just compete and win and explore these ideas together. I do suppose there's competition for talent or whatever, but it should ..."
Sam Altman discusses the capabilities of AI models in understanding world models, emphasizing that while they have limitations, they are improving significantly. He reflects on the advancements from DALL·E to Sora, highlighting how these models can represent complex physics and occlusions, showcasing their growing sophistication.
"like the world model when you train on these patches versus language tokens? - I think all of these models understand something more about the world model than most of us give them credit for. And bec..."
In this segment, Altman addresses the importance of human involvement in training AI models like Sora. He explains the balance between self-supervised learning and human data, discussing the complexities of labeling and the need for diverse data sources to enhance AI capabilities.
"- Well, the thing you just mentioned is kind of with the occlusions is basically modeling the physics of three dimensional physics of the world sufficiently well to capture those kinds of things. - We..."
Altman shares his concerns about the potential dangers of releasing advanced AI systems, such as deep fakes and misinformation. He emphasizes the need for efficiency and ethical considerations before making such technologies widely available, reflecting on the responsibilities of AI developers.
"- I mentioned LLMs have tokens, text tokens and Sora has visual patches so it converts all visual data, a diverse kinds of visual data videos and images into patches. Is the training to the degree you..."
This segment explores the ethical implications of using copyrighted material for AI training. Altman discusses the need for creators to be compensated for their work and the evolving models that could address these concerns, drawing parallels to the music industry's transition from CDs to streaming.
"a little more details - We have. You mean, for sora specifically? - Sora specifically because it's so interesting. Can the same magic of LLMs now start moving towards visual data and what does that ta..."
Altman reflects on how AI tools like Sora will influence creative industries, suggesting that while AI will assist in content creation, human creativity will remain central. He discusses the potential for AI to enhance productivity and the importance of human oversight in creative processes.
"- But the reward might not be monetary, financial. It might be like fame and celebration of other cool- - Maybe financial in some other way. Again, I don't think we've seen like the last evolution of ..."
In this segment, Altman speculates on the future of AI-generated content, particularly in platforms like YouTube. He emphasizes that while AI will play a significant role in production, human input will still be crucial in shaping and directing content.
"by a person thinking about it, putting it together, doing parts of it, sort of directing it and running it. - Yeah, it's so interesting. I mean, it's scary, but it's interesting to think about. I tend..."
Altman discusses the advancements from GPT-3 to GPT-4, expressing his views on the limitations of current models and the expectations for future iterations. He highlights the importance of continuous improvement and the need to view current technologies with a forward-looking perspective.
"when it's specific people versus generic people. Let me ask you about GPT-4. There's so many questions. First of all, also amazing. Looking back, it'll probably be this kind of historic pivotal moment..."
In this segment, Altman shares how he uses GPT-4 as a brainstorming partner, highlighting its potential in creative problem-solving. He discusses the model's capabilities in generating ideas and assisting with complex tasks, while also acknowledging its current limitations.
"and that's how we make sure the future is better. - What are the most glorious ways that GPT-4 sucks? Meaning- - [Sam] What are the best things it can do? - What are the best things it can do in the l..."
Altman emphasizes the value of iterative collaboration between humans and AI, particularly in tackling complex problems. He discusses the potential for AI to assist in multi-step tasks and the need for human guidance to maximize its effectiveness.
"One of the other things that you can see a very small glimpse of is what I can help on longer horizon tasks. Break down something in multiple steps, maybe execute some of those steps, search the inter..."
This segment explores the future of AI context windows, with Altman envisioning a time when models will handle vast amounts of information seamlessly. He reflects on the exponential growth of technology and the potential for AI to adapt to increasingly complex tasks.
"- And how you make the scale work where a lot of people can use it at the same time, all that kind of stuff. - But that was like a known difficult thing. We knew we were gonna have to scale it up. We ..."
Altman concludes by discussing the role of AI in knowledge work, particularly among younger users who leverage it as a starting point for various tasks. He highlights the model's ability to enhance productivity and provide nuanced insights, positioning AI as a valuable tool in modern workflows.
"- Yeah, even saying billions 10 years from now might seem dumb because it'll be like trillions upon trillions. - [Sam] Sure. - There'd be some kind of breakthrough that will effectively feel like infi..."
Sam Altman addresses the critical issue of fact-checking when using AI models like GPT-4. He acknowledges the potential for AI to generate convincing but inaccurate information, emphasizing the need for users to verify facts, especially in mission-critical situations. This segment raises concerns about the implications of relying on AI for accurate information.
"especially when the books are classic, so it's really well written about and it actually is... I find it often to be significantly better than even like Wikipedia on well-covered topics. It's somehow ..."
In this discussion, Altman critiques the journalistic practices surrounding AI usage, noting that journalists often overlook the need for fact-checking. He argues that the fast-paced nature of journalism can lead to shortcuts that compromise accuracy. This segment highlights the broader societal implications of AI in media and the need for responsible reporting.
"- Well, the scary thing is like as it gets better. You'll start not doing the fact checking more and more, right? - I'm of two minds about that. I think people are like much more sophisticated users o..."
Sam Altman explores the concept of AI memory, discussing the potential for AI to remember past interactions and learn from them over time. He emphasizes the importance of user choice in managing what the AI retains or forgets, addressing privacy concerns while advocating for a system that evolves with the user.
"and headlines that mischaracterize completely. I'm sure you have a lot of people dunking on... Well, all that drama probably got a lot of clicks. - Probably did. - And that's a bigger problem about hu..."
In this segment, Altman expresses his desire for AI to not only remember facts but also integrate life lessons and experiences. He discusses the potential for AI to provide personalized advice based on past interactions, highlighting the importance of learning from experiences in enhancing AI's utility.
"You'd like to use a model and over the course of your life or use a system, it'd be many models. And over the course of your life, it gets better and better. - Yeah. How hard is that problem? 'Cause r..."
Sam Altman addresses the balance between privacy and utility in AI systems. He advocates for user control over their data and emphasizes the need for transparency from companies regarding data usage. This segment underscores the importance of user trust in the development of AI technologies.
"So if we go back and let ourselves imagine that trillions and trillions of contact length, if I can put every conversation I've ever had with anybody in my life in there, if I can have all of my email..."
Altman shares his personal struggles during a challenging period in his career, reflecting on the importance of resilience and moving forward. He discusses the need for AI to evolve and adapt, drawing parallels between personal growth and technological advancement.
"'cause sometimes company in the past, companies in the past have been kind of absolutely shady about like, yeah, it's kind of presumed that we're collecting all your data and we're using it for a good..."
In this segment, Altman discusses the potential for AI to develop better reasoning capabilities. He explores the idea of allocating more computational resources to complex problems, suggesting that future AI models may need to think more deeply about challenging tasks.
"- Well, that's beautifully said, but there could be some lingering stuff in there. What I would be concerned about is that trust thing that you mentioned that being paranoid about people as opposed to..."
Sam Altman addresses the enigmatic Q-Star project, hinting at its significance in AI research. He emphasizes the importance of better reasoning in AI systems and acknowledges that while they have not yet cracked the code, they are actively pursuing advancements in this area.
"than the question you were getting out, which is do we need a way to do a slower kind of thinking where the answer doesn't have to get like... I guess like spiritually, you could say that you want an ..."
Altman discusses OpenAI's strategy of iterative deployment, emphasizing the need for transparency and gradual updates in AI development. He reflects on the importance of allowing society to adapt to advancements in AI, rather than introducing sudden changes.
"- But can it look like a basically LLM talking to itself, that kind of thing? - Maybe. I mean, there's a lot of things that you could imagine working what the right or the best way to do that will be...."
In this concluding segment, Altman reflects on the continuous nature of AI innovation. He acknowledges the perception of significant leaps in AI development while asserting that progress is often incremental. This segment encapsulates the ongoing journey of AI and the importance of thoughtful development.
"- Can you speak to what Q-Star is? - We are not ready to talk about that. - See, but an answer like that means there's something to talk about. It's very mysterious, Sam. - I mean, we work on all kind..."
Sam Altman discusses the concept of distributed innovation at OpenAI, emphasizing how combining multiple medium-sized innovations can lead to significant breakthroughs. He reflects on the importance of understanding the big picture while working on detailed technical aspects, suggesting that insights often come from seeing connections across different areas of technology.
"What's the one big unlock? Is it a bigger computer? Is it like a new secret? Is it something else? It's all of these things together. The thing that OpenAI I think does really well, this is actually a..."
In this segment, Sam Altman addresses the future of compute as a vital resource, likening it to a precious commodity. He discusses the implications of compute costs on its usage and the challenges of scaling up compute resources, including energy and infrastructure needs, while hinting at the potential of nuclear fusion as a solution.
"Even if most of the time, you're operating in the weeds in one area, pays off with surprising insights. In fact, one of the things that I used to have and I think was super valuable was I used to have..."
Sam Altman shares his belief in nuclear fusion as a key to solving the energy challenges associated with compute demands. He discusses the current state of nuclear technology and the need for new reactors, while addressing public fears stemming from historical incidents like Chernobyl.
"Compute is... I think it's gonna be an unusual market. People think about the market for like chips for mobile phones or something like that. And you can say that, okay, there's 8 billion people in th..."
Altman expresses concerns about the potential for AI to be politicized and the risks associated with its public perception. He highlights the difference between real dangers and those that capture public attention, emphasizing the need for a balanced understanding of AI's impact on society.
"- So to you, part of the puzzle is nuclear fusion, like nuclear reactors as we currently have them and a lot of people are terrified because of Chernobyl and so on. - Well, I think we should make new ..."
Sam Altman discusses the competitive landscape in AI, outlining the benefits of innovation and improved products while cautioning against the risks of an arms race. He emphasizes the importance of prioritizing safety amidst rapid advancements in technology.
"but on a slow burn. - Well, that's why truth matters and hopefully AI can help us see the truth of things to have balance to understand what are the actual risks, what are the actual dangers of things..."
In this segment, Altman reflects on the need for collaboration in AI safety, contrasting it with the competitive nature of the industry. He acknowledges Elon Musk's concerns about AI safety while advocating for a cooperative approach to ensure responsible development.
"And the con is that I think if we're not careful, it could lead to an increase in sort of an arms race that I'm nervous about. - Do you feel the pressure of the arms race in some negative co- - Defini..."
Sam Altman critiques the traditional search engine model exemplified by Google, arguing for a more innovative approach to information access. He envisions a future where AI can synthesize and deliver information more effectively than simply ranking web pages.
"I do hope humanity prevails. - I was thinking, someone just reminded me the other day about how the day that he got surpassed Jeff Bezos for like richest person in the world, he tweeted a silver medal..."
Altman discusses the challenges and opportunities of integrating AI, like ChatGPT, with search engines. He emphasizes the need for a seamless user experience that enhances information retrieval rather than merely replicating existing models.
"- I find that boring. I mean, if the question is if we can build a better search engine than Google or whatever, then sure, we should go... Like people should use a better product. But I think that wo..."
In this segment, Altman shares his views on monetization strategies for AI products, expressing a preference for subscription models over ad-supported systems. He discusses the potential pitfalls of advertising in AI and the importance of maintaining user trust.
"and yet others? But a lot of people have tried to just make a better search engine than Google, and it's a hard technical problem, it's a hard branding problem, it's a hard ecosystem problem. I don't ..."
Sam Altman addresses concerns about bias in AI models and the importance of transparency in defining expected behaviors. He advocates for clear guidelines and public input to ensure AI systems operate fairly and responsibly, while acknowledging the challenges of achieving this goal.
"And when I go use Twitter, or Facebook, or Google, or any other great product, but ad-supported great product, I don't love that and I think it gets worse, not better in a world with AI. - Yeah. I mea..."
Altman reflects on the ideological pressures within tech companies, particularly in San Francisco. He expresses gratitude that OpenAI has not faced the same challenges as other companies, noting that while ideological influences exist, they do not dominate the company's culture or product development.
"of image generation if there's great examples. So San Francisco is a bit of an ideological bubble tech in general as well. Do you feel the pressure of that within a company that there's like a lean to..."
Sam Altman explains that safety is a core concern for OpenAI, integrated into the entire company's operations rather than being the responsibility of a single team. He highlights the need for a collective effort to address safety issues as AI technology evolves and becomes more powerful.
"- So what in general is the process for the bigger question of safety? How do you provide that layer that protects the model from doing crazy dangerous things? - I think there will come a point where ..."
Altman shares his excitement about the advancements from GPT-4 to GPT-5, noting that improvements are not limited to specific areas but are holistic. He describes the unique understanding that the model develops, enhancing its ability to grasp deeper questions posed by users.
"- How hard do you think people, state actors perhaps are trying to hack? First of all, infiltrate OpenAI, but second of all, infiltrate unseen, - They're trying. - What kind of accent do they have? - ..."
In this segment, Altman discusses the future of programming, suggesting that humans may increasingly use natural language to code. He speculates on how this shift will change the skill set required for programmers and the nature of programming itself.
"It's getting like better across the board. That's I think super cool. - Yeah, there's this magical moment. I mean, you meet certain people, you hang out with people and you talk to them. You can't qui..."
Sam Altman addresses the importance of embodied AI and the potential for OpenAI to develop robots. He expresses hope that as AGI progresses, it will also lead to advancements in robotics, allowing AI to interact with the physical world more effectively.
"On the programming front, looking out into the future, how much programming do you think humans will be doing 5, 10 years from now? - I mean, a lot, but I think it'll be in a very different shape. Lik..."
Altman reflects on the definition of AGI and its significance. He emphasizes that AGI should not be viewed as an endpoint but rather as a milestone in AI development. He anticipates that by the end of the decade, we will see systems that demonstrate remarkable capabilities.
"- I mean, OpenAI has some history and quite a bit of history working in robotics, but it hasn't quite done in terms of emphasis. - Well, we're like a small company. We have to really focus and also ro..."
In this segment, Altman discusses the impact of GPT-4 on societal expectations regarding AI. He acknowledges that while GPT-4 may not have fundamentally changed the world, it has shifted perceptions and encouraged more serious consideration of AI's future.
"than either of those things. But what I would say in the interest of not trying to dodge a question is I expect that by the end of this decade and possibly somewhat sooner than that, we will have quit..."
Altman shares his vision for AGI's role in accelerating scientific discovery. He believes that a significant achievement of AGI would be its ability to enhance the rate of scientific progress, which he views as crucial for economic growth and innovation.
"- So to you, you're looking for some really major transition in how the world? - For me, that's part of what AGI implies. - Like singularity level transition? - No. Definitely not. - But just a major,..."
Sam Altman contemplates what questions he would ask the first AGI. He expresses curiosity about fundamental scientific theories and the existence of extraterrestrial life, highlighting the profound implications of interacting with such an advanced system.
"I believe that most real economic growth comes from scientific and technological progress. - I agree with you, hence why I don't like the skepticism about science in the recent years. - Totally. - But..."
Altman discusses the governance of AGI and the importance of not allowing any single individual to have total control over it. He reflects on the challenges faced by OpenAI's board and emphasizes the need for a balanced power structure to ensure responsible development and oversight of AGI.
"- Hmm. Maybe it can start assigning probabilities. - Maybe we need to go invent more technology and measure more things first. - But if it's any AGI... Oh I see. It just doesn't have enough data. - I ..."
In this segment, Altman explores the dynamics between board authority and public influence, suggesting that while boards have power, the people must also retain their voice. He addresses concerns about losing control over AGI, noting that while it's a valid worry, it is not his primary concern at the moment.
"That was really powerful and that was really insightful that this idea that the board can fire you is legally true. And human beings can manipulate the masses into overriding the board and so on. But ..."
Altman critiques the fixation of some AI safety researchers on specific risks, arguing that this focus can overshadow other significant AI-related dangers. He acknowledges the importance of addressing these concerns while also emphasizing the need for a broader discourse on AI safety.
"We could be surprised. - For sure, of course. Saying it's not my top worry doesn't mean I don't think we need to like... I think we need to work on it super hard. We have great people here who do work..."
In a lighter moment, Altman explains his choice to tweet without capitalization, likening it to a form of rebellion against societal norms. He reflects on how this style connects to his early online experiences and discusses the evolving conventions of written communication.
"- Let me ask you about you tweeting with no capitalization. Does the shift keep broken on your keyboard? - Why does anyone care about that? - I deeply care. - But why? I mean, other people ask me abou..."
Altman contemplates the implications of AI's ability to generate simulated worlds, suggesting it may lend credence to the idea that we could be living in a simulation. He acknowledges that while this isn't the strongest evidence for the simulation hypothesis, it does open up new avenues of thought about reality.
"And then slowly, stuff like shorter form, less formal stuff has slowly drifted to like closer and closer to how I would text my friends. If I write, if I pull up a Word document and I'm writing a stra..."
Discussing his upcoming trip to the Amazon jungle, Altman reflects on the intricate machinery of nature and its role in human evolution. He expresses a sense of awe for the natural world and its connection to human civilization, emphasizing the collective achievements that have shaped our current reality.
"Does this increase your belief if you ever had one that we live in a simulation, maybe a simulated world generated by an AI system? - Yes, somewhat. I don't think that's like the strongest piece of ev..."
Altman shares his belief in the existence of intelligent alien civilizations, pondering the paradox of their absence despite the vastness of the universe. He suggests that AI might help us redefine our understanding of intelligence and its manifestations beyond human comprehension.
"It makes you appreciate like this thing we have here, this human thing came from somewhere. This evolutionary machine has created that and it's most clearly on display in the jungle. So hopefully, I'l..."
In a reflective conclusion, Altman expresses optimism about humanity's trajectory, acknowledging past flaws while celebrating collective progress. He emphasizes the importance of collaboration in achieving advancements and leaves the audience with a thought-provoking quote about creation and existence.
"Well, what gives you hope about the future of humanity? This thing we've got going on, this human civilization. - I think the past is like a lot. I mean, we just look at what humanity has done in a no..."