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No one can predict AI –Dario Amodei
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Dario Amodei (Anthropic CEO) #ai
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The Unpredictability of AI's Future
Dario Amodei discusses the overwhelming assumptions and overconfidence surrounding the future of AI. He expresses concern about the potential for disaster, emphasizing that while scaling laws are predictable, the timeline for commercial breakthroughs and the roles of AI models remain uncertain. Amodei reflects on his own track record of predictions, noting that even experts struggle to foresee the trajectory of AI development.
"I think right now there's just there's way too many assumptions there's way too much overconfidence about how all this is going to go I have a substantial probability Mass on this all goes wrong it's ..."
The Unpredictability of AI's Future
Dario Amodei, CEO of Anthropic, discusses the overwhelming assumptions and overconfidence surrounding the future of AI. He expresses concern about the potential for disaster, emphasizing that while scaling laws are predictable, predicting commercial breakthroughs and the role of AI in relation to humans remains highly uncertain. Amodei reflects on his own track record of predictions, noting that even experts struggle to foresee the trajectory of AI development.
"I think right now there's just there's way too many assumptions there's way too much overconfidence about how all this is going to go I have a substantial probability Mass on this all goes wrong it's ..."