
56 segments available
Meb Faber is co-founder and the Chief Investment Officer of Cambria Investment Management, [author of multiple books](https://mebfaber.com/books), and host of “The Meb Faber Show” podcast. You can follow Meb on Twitter at https://twitter.com/MebFaber and know more about him and his work at https://mebfaber.com/ Show Notes: - Replicating the Yale endowment - Why investors won’t follow advice - Importance of writing down your investment plan - The challenges of buy and hold - Learning from your losses - Out of favor strategies - A dividend strategy without dividends - The branding issue with buybacks - Harsh book reviews - Investing in international markets - Are we in an expensive downtrend? - Stated vs. Actual preference - Not betting on merely sentiment - Robinhood with an educational spin
Jim O'Shaughnessy introduces the concept of 'infinite loops' in investing, emphasizing the cyclical nature of market research and the importance of resetting our thinking. He aims to provide listeners with fresh perspectives through various lenses, including quantitative analysis, to enhance their investment strategies and critical thinking skills.
"they're like jim don't use jargon we're trying to appeal to everyone good luck there's a couple of quants you kidding me come on [Music] hi i'm jim o'shaughnessy and welcome to infinite loops sometime..."
Jim welcomes Meb Faber, co-founder and Chief Investment Officer of Cambria Investment Management. Meb shares his initial reluctance to join the podcast, humorously referencing the pressure of meeting one's heroes. The conversation sets the stage for discussing Meb's influential work in the investment community.
"this episode of infinite loops jim o'shaughnessy is chairman and co-chief investment officer of o'shaughnessy asset management where jamie catherwood is an associate all opinions expressed by jim jami..."
Meb discusses his 2007 article on replicating the Yale endowment using ETFs. He highlights the unique asset allocation strategies of Yale's portfolio, which diverges significantly from traditional investment approaches. Meb emphasizes the importance of diversification and the lessons learned from endowment strategies.
"it's great to be here jim a little reluctant to be here but it's great to be here okay no okay so that's my first question why why are you reluctant to be here you know i mean jim it's a it's that old..."
Meb elaborates on the innovative paths taken by endowments like Yale, including early investments in timber and foreign markets. He reflects on how these strategies can be replicated by individual investors to achieve similar success, stressing the importance of understanding risk and opportunity in asset allocation.
"a lot of time and energy spent all day long like what does everyone talk about all day long is how to allocate your assets right and we have an infinite it's like the grocery aisle of cereal like an i..."
Jim and Meb discuss the difficulties investors face in adhering to investment strategies, particularly during market downturns. They explore the emotional barriers that prevent investors from following through on trend-following strategies and the importance of discipline in investment decisions.
"uh of required reading per year but if you look at their portfolio and it is extremely different than what most institutions look like now some institutions have quote copied this yale model over the ..."
Meb shares insights on the psychological challenges of investing, particularly in relation to trend-following strategies. He highlights the importance of emotional resilience and the tendency for investors to deviate from their plans during market volatility, emphasizing the need for a strong mental framework.
"actually replicate yale uh based on basic factor-based exposures you know speaking your language here um and a little bit of leverage right some of these some of these are leveraged some of the assets..."
Jim and Meb discuss the potential of replicating successful investment strategies at a lower cost. They reflect on the evolution of investment management and the opportunities that arise from understanding and implementing factor-based strategies, while also acknowledging the limitations of traditional management fees.
"well yeah no i was brought up under the pp model which is parents pay so i can't be done in my kids uh and and so i wrote that in i think 1994 and back then nobody knew what a quant was nobody knew i ..."
Meb addresses the common question of why investors often fail to implement strategies that are readily available. He reflects on the challenges of compliance and the emotional hurdles that prevent investors from acting on their knowledge, emphasizing the need for accountability in investment practices.
"day totally agree and you know that that was one of the first things i thought about back then was um man this could be a pretty amazing product uh but you know i was i i was a little ahead of the tec..."
Meb Faber discusses the simplicity of the 10-month moving average as a quant strategy, highlighting the emotional challenges investors face when it comes to compliance. He emphasizes that while trend following can perform well during market downturns, the difficulty lies in sticking to the strategy during tough times, especially after consecutive losses.
"the 200-day moving average uh but we used in the paper the 10-month moving average lip simplest uh quant strategy in the world either you're invested when above the price is above the average uh you'r..."
Faber reflects on the emotional barriers investors encounter, particularly when it comes to following investment rules. He shares anecdotes about the skepticism he faced when presenting strategies, illustrating the disconnect between knowledge and action in investing.
"know and so um the old turtles of uh trend following lore eckhart and dennis many moons ago you know they were like uh teaching traders these trend following rules a long time ago and and they said yo..."
Meb Faber stresses the significance of having a written investment plan, noting that many investors, including professionals, often lack one. He argues that without clear guidelines, investors are prone to making impulsive decisions during market volatility, which can lead to significant losses.
"basis points oh and note from one of my new colleagues i'm getting this staff of young guys and women and like they're like jim don't use jargon we're trying to appeal to everyone good luck there's a ..."
In this segment, Faber discusses the mismatch between investor expectations and market realities. He highlights the importance of understanding potential drawdowns and the psychological impact of market downturns, emphasizing that many investors underestimate the risks involved.
"thought yeah yeah yeah but but the the idea like so i think you know when you're a veteran of this stuff like you and i are and i'm much older veteran than you it's just like you can screen you we cou..."
Faber critiques the buy and hold investment strategy, pointing out that while it can be effective, it often leads to challenges during market downturns. He discusses the necessity of managing expectations and the importance of being prepared for significant losses.
"take for many but but the bigger challenge i think for many is the compliance and you know we i like doing polls on twitter kind of like you like gifs so meb is the poles as jim is the gifts and i do ..."
Meb Faber emphasizes the need for humility in investing, warning against overconfidence. He shares insights on how understanding the potential for loss can lead to better investment decisions and compliance with strategies, ultimately benefiting long-term performance.
"stuff over and over and over again um and so you know it's funny you and i can probably spend hours and hours talking about like the final 10 of investing debates and ideas and strategies but this ver..."
Faber discusses the importance of setting realistic expectations for investment performance. He highlights how many investors fail to grasp the potential for significant losses, which can lead to panic selling during downturns. This segment underscores the need for education and awareness in investment practices.
"more homework but again it's like much of life right woody allen uh what 80 of success is just showing up you know it's pretty true 80 90 of what we do right and we're crazy because we're obsessed and..."
In this segment, Faber reflects on the lessons learned from past investment mistakes. He emphasizes that while successful trades may not teach much, the scars from losses provide valuable insights that can improve future decision-making.
"the poll is gonna be like trying to demonstrate a lesson but the answer was over 60 percent right obviously it was during the great depression when stocks lost well over 60 percent but i mean over 80 ..."
Meb Faber warns about the dangers of ignorance in investing, particularly regarding market behavior and potential losses. He stresses the importance of being informed and prepared for the realities of the market to avoid costly mistakes.
"when it happens you're like well okay now i gotta deal with it but um but also that's one of the challenges of buying hold you know i think um as a great portfolio the difficulty for many of of buying..."
Faber shares a profound quote about trading: 'Every trade makes you richer or wiser, but never both at the same time.' He reflects on the scars of past trading mistakes, emphasizing the importance of learning from losses rather than simply chasing profits.
"and there's nothing they like more than uh than the opposite side which i think we'd see time and time again in our world we definitely do and uh you're also right about humility uh wasn't it um where..."
Meb Faber warns that the stock market can be an expensive place to learn about oneself. He references Adam Smith's quote about the dangers of overconfidence in investing, stressing that humility is crucial for long-term success in the market.
"what do you learn from these trades you make a ton of money on usually nothing it's the scars you and i could take off our shirts we're not going to do it youtube uh we take off for sure we got scars ..."
Faber and his co-host discuss the value of experience in trading, likening their scars to badges of honor. They emphasize that younger investors should learn from their mistakes instead of blaming external factors for their losses.
"there's going to be you and i arm wrestling overseas it's got to be because like as i'm preparing for this i'm going through the stuff i'm like i don't like we should have just crossed all this i wou..."
Meb Faber reflects on the 'curse of knowledge' that can afflict even the smartest investors. He discusses how overconfidence can lead to poor decision-making and the importance of recognizing that the market is always right.
"figure out something listen okay we'll find something to fight about but the the other thing i mean like i've had that conversation you just went through um you know not a million times i'm exaggerati..."
Faber describes the ups and downs of a career in active management, comparing it to a sine wave. He emphasizes that without the scars of experience, investors are likely to face significant challenges in their careers.
"that and if you don't understand that the market not you the market is always right and the market's going to pound your ass and you know i always say that a career in active management is like a sine..."
Meb Faber discusses the pitfalls of chasing the best-performing strategies. He shares insights on how investors often seek out strategies that are currently performing well, rather than those that may be undervalued or out of favor.
"the way you do that because i used to do that too when i wrote what works like most of the money came in over the transit literally again couldn't happen now because back then when the first edition c..."
Faber talks about the importance of recognizing and profiling underperforming strategies. He shares a personal anecdote about a strategy that had been performing poorly but later became one of the best performers, highlighting the need for patience and humility in investing.
"you want to avoid that strategy and you want to see and these are like live strategies that work but are underperforming so yeah because you kind of want to avoid it currently and you want to go to so..."
Meb Faber explains his strategy of looking for 'hated' assets that are undervalued. He discusses how these assets often present the best opportunities for investment when they start to show signs of recovery.
"for the past five years so it's a it was a factor based value and momentum strategy basic stuff you know could write it down in five minutes on a napkin you and i but it also would hedge the portfolio..."
Faber shares insights on market trends and the importance of recognizing when certain sectors or asset classes are out of favor. He emphasizes the potential for significant returns when investing in these undervalued areas.
"inquiries and i'm like you're asking me now come on guys like i like let's talk about it when it was really sucking it up not now like you know that come on man so i'm just gonna do that every year ju..."
Meb Faber discusses the psychological aspects of investing, particularly the tendency for investors to focus on their winners while ignoring their many losers. He emphasizes the importance of understanding this psychology to improve investment outcomes.
"or when they were down 60 to 80 to 90 percent and then we expanded it to sectors and industries you had to expand the length of time because obviously if you're looking at a tiny industry it's going t..."
Meb Faber emphasizes the importance of owning up to investment mistakes and communicating with clients during tough times. He discusses the necessity of being a good loser in investing, highlighting that markets spend a significant amount of time in drawdowns. This segment underscores the mindset required for successful investing, including the acceptance of losses and the need to move on from them.
"technically overrode a model that's right it's basically well that's another kind of belief i've always had um and so it's just part of osam's culture right is like i you don't have to talk to clients..."
In this segment, Meb Faber discusses the inevitability of losses in investing and the importance of resilience. He compares the mindset of investors to that of athletes, emphasizing the need to quickly recover from setbacks. Faber encourages investors to embrace losses as part of the journey and to avoid blaming external factors for their performance.
"and then same thing with like angel investing like you talk about it and no one thinks about in terms of their actual portfolio they're like well my s p this year was driven all by these five stocks a..."
Meb Faber explores the concept of dividends in investing, questioning their effectiveness as a strategy. He discusses the potential drawbacks of focusing solely on high dividend stocks and suggests that a better approach may be to invest in low or no-yielding stocks with value characteristics. This segment challenges traditional views on dividends and presents a nuanced perspective on capital allocation.
"yeah happens man yeah speaking of happening jim we can't do podcasts anymore because every day every 100 of the time you and i do a podcast the market goes down four percent five percent from my tech..."
Faber introduces a novel approach to replicating dividend strategies without actually investing in dividend-paying stocks. He discusses the potential for outperforming traditional high dividend strategies by focusing on value stocks that do not pay dividends. This segment highlights the importance of tax considerations in investment strategies and presents a unique perspective on capital allocation.
"and so uh and so you think about investing and someone was tweeting about this the other day and i think buffett really gets this he's really a great example of it and there's nothing that makes peopl..."
In this segment, Meb Faber reflects on the difficulties of marketing unconventional investment strategies, particularly those that avoid high dividend yielders. He discusses the challenges of gaining acceptance for innovative ideas in the investment community and the importance of data-driven approaches. Faber emphasizes the need for better branding and communication to convey the value of these strategies.
"and it's expensive to live here i love it i think it's worth it but my goodness if you make a lot of money you pay a lot in taxes and so dividends you have to pay taxes every year so theoretically a w..."
Meb Faber discusses the narrative surrounding stock buybacks and their often negative perception in the media. He presents data showing that companies engaging in buybacks tend to perform better than those that do not. This segment highlights the importance of understanding capital allocation decisions and the need to challenge prevailing narratives in the investment world.
"i understand this but um but the reality is like it's hard if not impossible to argue with the data and so um this concept is like our least downloaded paper i think uh we wrote one in the during the ..."
Faber elaborates on the importance of smart capital allocation by CEOs and how it impacts stock performance. He contrasts the performance of companies that buy back stock versus those that dilute shares or take on debt. This segment emphasizes the need for investors to look beyond surface-level narratives and understand the underlying data driving investment decisions.
"but i got to think of a better marketing phrase low no yielder is probably not the right uh we we have a constant back and forth the sec over our naming we've had a number of challenges coming up with..."
In this concluding segment, Meb Faber discusses the branding issues associated with dividends and buybacks. He argues that the perception of these strategies can significantly influence investor behavior. Faber calls for a reevaluation of how these concepts are marketed and understood, suggesting that better communication could lead to more informed investment decisions.
"and i think that i think the the thing that you guys did in this paper that was so clear uh was that you basically showed in in particular levels of buybacks so the ceos that were buying back a lot ve..."
Meb Faber shares his humorous approach to dealing with online trolls and criticism in the investment world. He discusses compiling negative comments to highlight the resilience required in entrepreneurship and investing, emphasizing that surviving the harsh feedback is a significant achievement.
"every day a day doesn't go by where we don't get uh trolled we've actually started compiling uh i haven't i haven't uh mentioned this um but for the past decade i told my team i say you know we've had..."
Faber reflects on his early experiences with branding at Netfolio, where he aimed to personalize investment funds. He discusses the backlash he faced from traditional mutual fund strategies and the importance of adapting branding to align with consumer expectations.
"entrepreneurs out there because like it it's you know being an entrepreneur and you've been through this many times um you know it's like the hardest job on the planet and our favorite phrase there is..."
Meb Faber opens up about the tough criticism he received for his books, particularly from notable figures in finance. He emphasizes the importance of maintaining a sense of humor and resilience in the face of harsh reviews, which can be a rite of passage for authors.
"we had four no load mutual funds uh my first company oceano c capital management and we sold them to a company called hennessey and the reason we sold them was because i just found the ad cam we were ..."
Faber discusses the historical performance of 'vice' industries, such as tobacco and alcohol, and how they have been some of the best-performing sectors in the stock market. He humorously reflects on the challenges of marketing these investments while addressing societal concerns.
"but you know it it is what it is you gotta you gotta have a a good sense of humor about it but jim i need some netfolio gear you gotta like you gotta if you dig in find a little t-shirt i'm a large no..."
Meb Faber argues for the importance of global investing, countering the common American perspective of focusing solely on domestic markets. He highlights the risks of over-concentration in U.S. stocks and the potential benefits of diversifying into international markets.
"um the the funeral companies uh healthcare companies etc that thing i mean and you know go out and try and market that and and so you know everyone that's horrible that's awful how could you be so cru..."
Faber explains the significance of market valuations and the historical context of U.S. stock performance compared to international markets. He discusses the implications of current valuations and the potential for future market corrections.
"deal that we were trying to figure out was like we had this whole sort of series of things that like really looked great and then like you just said coming up with a name and a marketing strategy it's..."
In this segment, Meb Faber warns against the dangers of going all-in on a single asset class, whether it be stocks, gold, or crypto. He shares insights on the cyclical nature of investments and the importance of maintaining a diversified portfolio to mitigate risks.
"impossible to get to the end and think you know what i should have all my money in one stock market and so i did a post the other day where i said you know here's my top five investing mistakes one is..."
Faber discusses his outlook on the U.S. stock market, expressing concerns about potential downturns and the implications of current market trends. He emphasizes the need for investors to be cautious and consider the broader economic indicators that could affect future performance.
"the broad u.s stock market's expense so it's it's a is it dumb usually yes it's dumb usually you put all your money in one country reams of research on that is it dumb particularly right now absolutel..."
Meb Faber introduces the concept of 'portfolio patriotism,' where investors disproportionately allocate funds to their home markets. He critiques this tendency, suggesting that it limits exposure to potentially lucrative opportunities in international markets and emphasizes the need for a global investment perspective.
"is absolutely insane i don't care if it's greece i don't care if it's brazil i don't care if it's argentina or the us and it's the normally it's the least bad offense in the u.s because you're 60 of t..."
Faber shares insights from his travels, highlighting the innovative spirit of entrepreneurs in emerging markets. He contrasts the entrepreneurial landscape in various countries, emphasizing the potential for growth and investment opportunities outside of traditional markets.
"tokyo vice on netflix great show but it reminds me of this was a different country 40 years ago in japan right like that was the biggest market gap country in the world and the biggest bubble we've ev..."
In this segment, Faber explores the paradox of high stock allocations amidst bearish sentiment. He discusses how investor behavior often diverges from stated preferences, leading to a complex relationship between market sentiment and actual investment decisions.
"right like we did a post where we blinded multiples in value versus bullish bear sentiment and they move in very similar movements over time and my favorite example ai highest bullish sentiment ever w..."
Faber delves into the nuances of market sentiment, explaining how it can be misleading. He references historical trends where high bullish sentiment coincided with market peaks, urging investors to focus on actual market data rather than sentiment-driven narratives.
"do what i say versus do what i do so everyone is super bearish right now your stock market's only down like mid teens right or low teens and usually you don't see that until you're really down the 20 ..."
Meb Faber discusses the increasing interest of younger investors in learning about the stock market. He emphasizes the importance of education in investing and the need for a shift in understanding how market narratives are influenced by price movements.
"stated preferences over the last 15 years have become more and more falsified people have been gotten used to simply lying about how they feel and you know there's a lot of reasons for that right that..."
Faber proposes innovative ideas for enhancing investment education, suggesting that platforms like Robinhood could evolve to better serve educational needs. He envisions a future where investment education is integrated into trading platforms, empowering a new generation of investors.
"they tend to be much more kind of conservative so that one puzzles me still the uh double a double i american association of individual investors uh but i do think that the answer to the bearishness t..."
In this concluding segment, Faber reflects on the predictive nature of investor behavior and market allocations. He emphasizes the importance of understanding historical patterns and how they can inform future investment strategies, reinforcing the need for a data-driven approach.
"prefer the actual numbers yeah but that's an interesting question actually there's a great quote i think it's ned davis um where he says like price is unique in that it's indicator that can't diverge ..."
Meb Faber discusses the potential for a company to replicate the success of Vanguard but expresses skepticism about their willingness to adopt necessary strategies. He emphasizes the importance of timing in launching investment strategies, particularly those that are currently out of favor, and reflects on the challenges of waiting for the right moment in the market.
"they absolutely don't want to right no they they they they could do these five things and become vanguard 2.0 in no way will they ever do these uh you know so i'm uh i don't think history is going to ..."
In a light-hearted segment, Meb Faber humorously imagines being given a magic microphone to influence the world. He reflects on the importance of compassion and understanding in human interactions, especially during challenging times, and shares a personal story about travel and its ability to broaden perspectives.
"ticker at some point but uh it's that's a great ticker i love to do this yeah that's fantastic well listen man this has been so much fun um we should uh we should promise this is just our one of six l..."
Meb shares a personal travel experience to Bhutan, highlighting how travel exposes individuals to diverse perspectives and cultures. He recounts a conversation with a local guide that led to a deeper understanding of compassion and the human experience, emphasizing the need to consider others' struggles in daily interactions.
"of the world which a lot of people like um and a lot of people really dislike and guess which group i like better um but you can't kill anybody you can't put anybody in re-education camps what you can..."
Meb and his co-host discuss the fragility of human emotions and experiences, particularly in light of recent global challenges. They emphasize the importance of empathy and understanding in dealing with difficult behaviors, encouraging listeners to consider the underlying struggles that others may be facing.
"and ideas um and i'm gonna tell you one quick story and then give you my answer um but growing up i got a little colorado little north carolina background in me but but love the fish and fly fish and ..."
Meb reflects on the cultural significance of humor and light-heartedness in Bhutan, where art often features playful symbols. He connects this to the broader theme of not taking life too seriously and the importance of maintaining a positive outlook, even amidst challenges.
"you you don't get exposure to but there was a phrase um and this goes back to one of the old dalai lama books and um you know he was talking about uh you know a mantra or idea and and i am not there o..."
As the podcast wraps up, Meb and his co-host express their enjoyment of the conversation and the desire to continue exploring these themes in future discussions. They highlight the importance of connection and understanding in both personal and professional realms, leaving listeners with a sense of optimism and curiosity.
"health problem and i haven't told anybody you know i've been dealing with um you know some of my companies just stole all the money you know on and on like all these like things that are going on in t..."