The ultimate guide to paid growth | Timothy Davis (Shopify)

0:00

Is performance marketing just something  every company should be doing?

0:02

Hot take, paid is for everyone.

0:02

If you look at  the way each platform is doing, Google, you have to scroll pretty far down to get to an organic  listing.

0:08

Meta, it's almost a pay for play now.

0:13

When you take over for an agency at a company, you crush their performance within a month.

0:16

I'm  curious to what you find they are doing wrong?

0:20

Instead of thinking about being on top of  the page, and that's like ego marketing, I want to be number one.

0:24

I want to  be there all the time.

0:24

It's about showing to the right person as often as possible.

0:31

Any other tips for people just  to experiment with the platform?

0:33

Each platform is different.

0:33

The user behavior  is different.

0:33

Make sure you're not too hard on yourself if it doesn't work.

0:37

It's okay to fail  because we're either winning or we're learning.

0:45

Today, my guest is Timothy Davis.

0:45

Timothy  has led performance marketing for all of Shopify for the past two and a half years, and as  a consultant has helped companies like Pinterest, LinkedIn, Redfin, and Eventbrite kickstart  and scale the performance marketing teams.

1:00

In our conversation, we get incredibly tactical  on all things to performance marketing and paid growth, when to start investing, how to  run signs of life tests on each platform, what platforms to investigate and what platforms  to bet big on, what types of companies are best

1:14

suited to invest big on paid growth whether you  should invest pre-product market fit or not, what agencies often get wrong and what to look  for in your investment when you're just getting started? Plus, what your first three hires should  look like, tips for which platforms are most

1:23

Plus, what your first three hires should  look like, tips for which platforms are most interesting right now, a peek at Timothy's actual  reports that he runs to judge performance, if you're watching this on YouTube and so much more.

1:34

This episode is for anyone who's trying to figure out how to kickstart or improve their performance  marketing investment, and I guarantee you'll get something out of this that'll make your  life better.

1:43

If you enjoy this podcast, don't forget to subscribe and follow it in your  favorite podcasting app or YouTube.

1:46

It's the best way to avoid missing future episodes and  it helps the podcast tremendously.

1:50

With that, I bring you Timothy Davis.

1:55

Timothy, thank you  so much for being here. Welcome to the podcast.

2:04

Yeah, thanks for having me. A long time coming.

2:06

Yeah, I'm really excited we're finally doing  this.

2:06

I actually posted on Twitter for people to suggest questions for this topic and there's  just so much interest in what we're going to be talking about, which essentially we're going  to be diving deep into all things paid growth, all things performance marketing.

2:18

By the way, I  have a cold.

2:18

For people, if in case you wonder why I sound a little weird, but the show must go  on.

2:22

I want to start with just setting a little context for folks that aren't super familiar  with performance marketing and paid growth.

2:27

When we talk about performance marketing/paid growth,  first of all, are those two terms interchangeable to you?

2:36

And second of all, what falls under the  umbrella of performance marketing/paid growth?

2:42

Paid can be a lot of things.

2:42

It can be online, it  can be offline, it can also even be affiliates.

2:49

Typically, when I talk about performance  marketing, it's about online only, but you could argue offline could be performing and affiliates  could be performing and stuff like that.

3:00

They can be interchangeable, but I would  recommend if you are talking about it, to specify which one you're talking about.

3:04

Because  when you do say paid, because I'm in the industry, I would just, "Oh, they do Google Search  and they do Meta and they do things like that."

3:15

But if you do offline and you just  say paid, we may be talking about things, but missing each other on two ships passing  in the night.

3:20

So I think historically, people, when they have said paid growth,  have been fully focused on just online. Just online. Okay. Got it.

3:31

But I would argue in the last couple of years, you could definitely roll offline  into that conversation as well. Okay.

3:37

So performance marketing,  when someone hears that term, it's essentially marketing that  you can measure the performance up. Correct. Yes, nail on the head.

3:46

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I'm excited to chat with Christina Gilbert, the founder of OneSchema, one  of our long time podcast sponsors. Hi, Christina. Yes.

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6:22

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6:26

Is performance marketing just something every company should be doing or is there certain  business models where it's like, "No, you're probably going to grow through other channels  mostly like SEO or sales or word of mouth. Hot take.

6:42

I would say, paid is for everyone.

6:42

If you look at the way each platform is doing, Google introducing AI, plus with paid taking up  the first four spots, you have to scroll pretty far down to get to an organic listing.

6:56

Meta, it's  almost a pay for play now.

6:56

You have to do promoted posts for people to even see your content.

7:02

I would  say it does depend on the industry you're in.

7:02

If you're say, leaning heavily into influencer  marketing, that is still a paid component.

7:14

You may not be doing Meta ads, you may not be  doing paid search, but that is a paid component.

7:20

But I would say at baseline, everyone should be  doing paid search.

7:20

The way I usually explain it to people is paid search is user driven.

7:27

You have  to type in a relevant keyword for your ad to show.

7:36

Anything else is more disruptive media.

7:36

You're on  Meta and you're looking at pictures of babies and cats, and then all of a sudden, you see an ad  for Shopify.

7:42

You're watching a YouTube video, maybe a YouTube podcast, and then in between, you  get advertisements maybe for Shopify, maybe for Pinterest, maybe for Eventbrite.

7:53

So all of that  being disruptive media may not make a whole lot of sense for where you are as a business, but I  would say paid search being user-driven, having to type in a relevant keyword for your ad to show,  should pretty much be for just about everybody. Everyone should do it. Super interesting.

8:11

There's also the most companies grow through one growth engine primarily, say word of mouth,  or SEO, or sales or paid.

8:16

So for some companies, paid will be most of how they grow like say, I  always think of Booking.

8:25

com and Credit Karma and just like most of their growth came from paid  growth online, paid growth.

8:31

For some companies, it's just like a layer, a small 10, 20% of  their growth.

8:36

What are signs that you have the potential for paid/performance marketing  to be most of your growth, like say 70, 80%?

8:47

I always say, where are your users?

8:47

You will have  some data that will allow you to understand that say right now, you're doing really well on TikTok.

8:54

Some would argue that's an emerging channel right now. Great.

8:59

If that's doing really  well for you, maybe you take...

8:59

Because that content could be used on something similar  like Snap, see how that does for you.

9:04

You could also lean into your Google Analytics or  whatever analytics tool you are using and see if you're already getting users from that  platform.

9:14

If you're currently managing that, if you don't have a profile on there and  obviously, you don't have a presence, it would be really hard for users to find you  and get there.

9:23

But always look at the data that's available to you within your analytics platforms  and say, "Users are already finding us here.

9:28

How can we turn that knob up to 11?"

9:34

And you can  do that with paid.

9:34

Because if they're already finding you through that channel, what would  happen if you were to just turn it up to 11?

9:45

Is there an example of a company you worked  with that's known that as an example of that, where you're like, "Oh, I see everyone's looking,  finding them on Google. Let's go turn it to 11." Yeah.

9:54

So there was a company I worked with  a couple of years ago called, Hairstory and IPSY. I know, very funny.

9:59

Guy with no  hair working on a company called Hairstory, but they were doing really well from a Google  shopping standpoint.

10:04

But when I started consulting with them, we looked at the analytics and we  actually saw that they were getting a lot of people from Meta and TikTok at the time.

10:14

And  TikTok was very, very new and they didn't really know what to do with it.

10:20

So said, "We'll  do a small test."

10:20

We can start on Meta with just some customer testimonials.

10:27

Let's see how that  does.

10:27

We'll get interest in, build a funnel, get retargeting, and hopefully get conversions.

10:34

TikTok was so new at the time that it was like, "We don't know what's going to work.

10:41

Let's  just try with what is currently available."

10:46

Then once we started doing it, we started  noticing, "Hey, this doesn't make a whole lot of sense from a creative standpoint."

10:50

We were  missing the mark of what we were using on Meta was working, was not working on TikTok.

10:57

So you can't  always just take what is currently working on one platform and apply it to another because it is  a different user experience.

11:03

It is a different mindset that the user has when they're on there.

11:07

So that was an example of where we were able to take those instances, look at their data and say,  "They're already finding us here.

11:13

How can we turn this up a little bit?"

11:18

And I don't remember the  numbers exactly, but it was pretty exponential. Okay.

11:24

So the core advice here so far, is look  for where people are coming to you from today, and then that gives you a sign of where you  should start to think about running paid ads, performance marketing on those platforms. Yeah.

11:38

And also, there's a saying that my current  director likes to use, which is signs of life.

11:44

You can always do a very, very small test.

11:44

You  can just put a little money into a platform, see if there's a sign of life.

11:51

If there is, then  you can pull back and say, "Okay, we have signs of life.

11:57

Now let's build a campaign around  that."

11:57

There's no reason to say, "All right, we have a signs of life.

12:02

Let's now turn it up  all the way."

12:02

Do we have the right creative?

12:06

Do we have the right campaign?

12:06

Do we have the  right messaging for the users on this platform?

12:12

Then let's take that approach, as opposed  to just, "Hey, signs of life, great, go run a hundred miles an hour."

12:17

Make sure you're doing  the right thing when you get into those platforms.

12:22

Let's follow that thread.

12:22

A lot of people run  little experiments on say, TikTok, and Snap, and Twitter, and things like LinkedIn, and they  often don't see a lot of results and it's always like, "Hey, did we do it wrong or is it the  platform's not working?"

12:31

I know it's a very difficult question to give like, "Here's how you  do a sign of life test correctly," But what are some things that you think either people do often  wrong when they're trying to experiment with the platform or that you just think they should do  when they're trying to look for signs of life?

12:48

The number one thing I tell people all the time  is use your own data, start with your own data.

12:55

So take the existing customer base you have, load  that up into the platform to build lookalikes.

13:02

From there, you can do...

13:02

And I'll use Meta as the  example.

13:02

You can do a 1%, all the way up to a 10%.

13:08

So 1% match, 2%, 3%, so on and so forth.

13:08

What I tend to do is build ad sets, one at 1% because we know that one's going to  be highly correlated to what we're looking for.

13:21

Then a two to four, and then a five to seven,  and then an eight plus.

13:21

More times than not, the eight plus does not work, but there have  been times where it has, so it's, "Hey, let's do it. Let's try it."

13:34

But if you also have a very  limited budget because some people don't have the luxury of having an unlimited budget like we do  in some of these other companies I've worked at, just start with the 1%.

13:45

See what that sign of  life is because you already know that this is so tied to your existing customer base.

13:49

If that  sign of life is giving you a positive signal, now you have the information you need to  build a campaign you need to be successful.

14:02

What are these percentages referring to?

14:02

You may  have mentioned it, but when you say 1%, 2%, 3%. Yeah, yeah.

14:07

So that is how closely tied  they are to that user's behavior on the platform.

14:13

So they're 1% tied to what they're  doing.

14:13

They're visiting similar pages or they have similar behavior on the platform, so  they're more than likely going to be tied to what that user...

14:25

They're not going to  be that user exactly, but they're going to be very correlated to them where 10% is  pretty wide base that you're going to hit. I see.

14:35

So the smaller the percentage, the closer  they are, the closer it will look like there. Yep, there you go.

14:40

How do you know if it's the creative  that is failing versus it's just never going to work?

14:43

Is there something that  tells you that's what's not working?

14:47

It's a million-dollar question, to be honest  with you.

14:47

Because you could look at some of the metrics that currently exist in the platform.

14:53

Click-through rate basically just tells you, are the users engaged?

14:58

Because start with the  target.

14:58

You're getting the impressions are there. Is the target right?

15:04

That should be your first  thing.

15:04

Yes, the target is correct.

15:04

Users that we want to see are seeing our ads, but they're not  engaging with it.

15:09

That would be the first thing.

15:15

But the part that I think you're really trying  to ask is creative versus the content.

15:15

Because sometimes depending on the ad unit, you could  have a story creative that is literally the creative has to stand on its own, not  necessarily the content that's in it, but something like an in-feed creative  has a headline, a primary, a description, and a creative.

15:38

That's where honestly, the  only way you're going to get an answer to that outside of the data that's available to you  like click-through rate, reach, frequency and all those things to pull in more metrics, is a focus  group to understand, "Hey, when you saw this image with this content, what was your result from it?"

15:54

Now, you can build a test within the platform to do a control versus a test where say, you  take the creative with the same primary and the same description versus a creative  that's just your logo with the headline and the description and see what the results are.

16:12

But more times than not, you're not getting the understanding from the user of, well, why doesn't  that creative resonate with you?

16:16

And they'll give you suggestions in the focus group.

16:21

Why does that  work better for you than not?

16:21

So that's a really, really hard question to answer without having  those dialogue with the user to understand that.

16:33

Yeah, that makes a lot of sense.

16:33

How long  do you recommend these tests run for these signs of life tests?

16:37

And I like this term,  by the way.

16:37

I haven't heard this before.

16:40

Ideally, in a perfect world, you're going to hear  the word, statistical relevance.

16:40

Mathematicians will tell you exactly what that number is.

16:46

And  I'm not going to pretend like a mathematician, but a lot of times, it's budget constraint.

16:51

So there could be a VP finance.

16:51

Anyone like that could just come to you and just say,  "Hey, do you have $25,000 for this test?" You only have 5,000.

17:03

Just get that information,  get that data.

17:03

You can then also build an off size off of that.

17:09

Hey guys, we worked with  our Meta partners, we worked with our Google partners.

17:13

We put $1,000 behind this test.

17:13

We know that our impression share was this, our reach was this.

17:21

If we were to put $10,000 into  it, this is the expected return we can get from it based on the click-through rate, the conversion  rate that we got from the test that we ran. Got it.

17:34

So basically, we have  limited number of dollars to spend.

17:37

That'll tell you how long  you could run one of these for. Yeah.

17:42

Any other tips for someone that's trying to  experiment with a platform early on for these signs of life tests?

17:47

So one is try a lookalike  that is the most targeted version of the lookalike.

17:53

So 1% you said, and then incrementally  grown and incrementally increase that percentage as you spend more.

18:00

Any other tips, I guess, for  people just to experiment with the platform?

18:04

Make sure you're not too hard on yourself  if it doesn't work.

18:04

A lot of times, companies I've either consulted with or worked  at, there was always pressure or there was always a need to succeed at whatever experiment we  put into market.

18:18

I believe in creating an environment where it's okay to fail because  we're either winning or we're learning.

18:23

And more times than not, if we put something new  into a platform that we know nothing about, we're learning the bells and whistles, we're  learning the functionality of it.

18:34

Just know there's going to be things you're not going  to understand because each platform is unique, each platform is different, the user behavior  is different.

18:42

So give yourself some grace, understand that this may not work.

18:48

And as long as  you're learning from it, you're going to be okay. I love that.

18:56

In terms of which platforms people  should explore, obviously there's Google, there's Facebook, Instagram, what are the platforms  people should seriously consider at this point? Google for sure.

19:09

And when we say Google, let's  make sure everyone understands what Google entails.

19:14

Google is YouTube, Google is Google  search, GDN, Google Display Network.

19:14

There's a lot of things in Google that you can do.

19:21

I  always say, if you have the creative available, you should really, really be looking at doing  video because video is one of those things that I'm very bullish on.

19:35

It is doing really well when  you measure it the right way.

19:35

And as long as you can get that creative and get it consistently  just because you have one piece of creative, if it's doing well, you do need to have that  creative refresh, kind of that flywheel going.

19:51

Make sure you're doing Google Search,  again, user-driven, YouTube, and Meta, and Meta contains both Facebook and Instagram.

19:57

And then based on the data available to you, if you do see users on TikTok, definitely  go after those.

20:03

But if you're just starting out and you just want to get your feet wet into  something, I would say start with Google Search, then get into Meta.

20:14

And if you have video  available, definitely get into YouTube. Awesome. Okay.

20:19

So Google Search,  YouTube, Facebook, Instagram, TikTok. What about LinkedIn?

20:22

Do you see  things happening there for say, B2B companies? Yeah.

20:30

LinkedIn is very expensive in comparison.

20:30

So just know if you're going into LinkedIn, it's going to look almost three times more  expensive than other channels.

20:38

The targeting that's available on LinkedIn, knowing job titles,  industries, actually targeting people at certain companies is very powerful.

20:52

The example I always  tend to use is that I worked at a company called SoftLayer.

20:59

SoftLayer was acquired by IBM  because they were trying to build out their cloud portfolio, couldn't do it.

21:04

So they're like,  "Hey, let's do the next best thing and buy this company."

21:08

But when we were just SoftLayer, we were  trying to get Coca-Cola as one of our clients.

21:08

And you know those Coke freestyles where you can pick  whatever drink you want and put the flavor in it? No, that's awesome. Oh man, these are great.

21:22

Maybe it's a cell thing,  but basically, you go up to a Coke freestyle and say, "I want Dr.

21:28

Pepper and I want cherry  flavor in it."

21:28

Or you want Coke Zero with cherry and vanilla in it, you can do that.

21:35

It's  the freestyle you get to pick.

21:35

The reason they wanted it to be cloud-based is because there's a  ton of drinks in there.

21:41

So you need to be able to efficiently and effectively say, "This store needs  more Sprite or this store needs more Sprite Zero."

21:55

Because you have your whole portfolio in this one  machine, so you want to be able to update things more readily.

22:01

And it was between us, AWS and  Microsoft.

22:01

And met with the sales team and said, "What do we need to do to win this?"

22:09

Because it was a big ticket item for us.

22:14

And what we found out was they had two concerns  about us.

22:14

It was recency and private security.

22:21

So what we did was we found out where the decision  makers were.

22:21

So A, in LinkedIn, we took the anyone who works at Coca-Cola, we want you to see ads  about security and recency.

22:27

Outside of that, we also geo-fenced it because you would think  Coca-Cola Atlanta, that's where the decision maker sits, but they were actually in LA.

22:40

So in LA, we  geo-fenced them, and we knew that they worked at Coca-Cola.

22:46

The next time the salesperson got on  the call with the team to say, "Hey, just wanted to check in."

22:52

He was like, "Hey, hey, I get it. Security is fine. Recency is fine. We hear you."

23:00

That was great to hear because it was something  we were able to do on LinkedIn and we did it in other platforms as well.

23:05

But we knew we were  able to get not only to the decision maker, but everyone around that decision maker to say, "Hey,  these guys may be the ones we need to go with." Okay.

23:16

So just to mirror back what you're saying,  you're saying you ran ads on LinkedIn targeting the execs at Coca-Cola, trying to influence  them to overcome these barriers they had to buying to working with you guys. Amazing.

23:27

I've seen people do that on Google Search, but I've never heard of...

23:33

It makes so much  sense to do on LinkedIn and it worked.

23:33

And did they know that you did this or they're  just like, "Oh, I just changed my mind"?

23:42

One of them was like, "We get it.

23:42

We're seeing  it everywhere."

23:42

We actually tried because at the time, we didn't have an offline team.

23:48

We  actually tried to buy the billboards around the office as well, but I didn't know enough  at the time from an offline perspective of the right people to talk to, how long it would take  to do it.

23:57

So we were trying to pour it on hard. That's incredible.

24:03

I could see why LinkedIn  is more expensive.

24:03

That's incredibly powerful.

24:07

And is the advice then that LinkedIn makes more  sense for higher LTV, higher CB type of products? Yeah, exactly.

24:15

I would not recommend  getting into LinkedIn and my LinkedIn reps may kill me for this.

24:19

I would  not recommend getting into LinkedIn until you've tested Google and Meta  first.

24:22

Now, you could be an enterprise level company and it does make sense to start with  LinkedIn for sure, but depending on your audience, I would say more times than not, it would be a  Google, Meta discussion before going to LinkedIn. Okay.

24:39

So just generally, start with Google and  Meta.

24:39

Is there one or the other usually?

24:39

I guess, yeah, which one would you start  with if you had to pick one? Always Google Search.

24:49

I'm always going to say,  start with Google search, but it's also creative dependent.

24:54

If you don't have the right creative  for Facebook, it's going to be really hard to convert because users are just going to either  be turned off by what you're putting out there.

25:03

And then also, depending on where your user base  is.

25:03

If they're not on Facebook, it's kind of a moot point.

25:08

But if they're browsing around on  GDN or YouTube, it makes more sense to go there.

25:14

And then you said this insight about video  is performing super well right now and you're recommending people use video.

25:19

And the key there  is you need to be able to make videos, video ads. Yeah.

25:25

You got to make sure you have that flywheel.

25:27

And the flywheel is just people internally or some  company agency that can make video ads for you? Correct. Yep. Cool.

25:33

I guess, is there any  advice there of just how to do that or what ads work well or  anything there for someone else- So yeah.

25:40

The thing with YouTube is I always  say, start with emotion.

25:40

If you can have an emotional connection with the user, is  going to be way more impactful and way more powerful than anything else.

25:51

And to  take that further, when I say emotion, I'm talking about comedy, I'm talking about...

26:01

I'm talking about happiness.

26:01

It's not necessarily just, "Oh, we need an emotional connection with the  brand."

26:07

It is just making sure the user feels something after seeing your ad.

26:12

Because then,  they're more times not going to remember it, which then they will take a  favorable action after the fact.

26:20

That is super interesting.

26:20

One last question  about platforms.

26:20

Are there any other platforms you see working for people that are emerging  maybe that people aren't thinking about, Reddit, or Snap, or X, or I don't  know, anything along those lines?

26:34

When you say emerging channels, my brain  kind of goes to connected TV, podcast, VR, advertising, audio/voice search, and even AI  stuff right now.

26:42

I can tell you podcasts are doing really well for the people that I know  are able to measure it correctly.

26:51

Connected TV is also doing really well.

26:58

You can take  the, again, you're doing YouTube right now, being able to take that creative and repurpose  it.

27:04

But the VR stuff and the AI stuff, that is stuff that is, I would say, very emerging  right now.

27:11

Because to be completely transparent, I haven't experimented with those things yet.

27:20

I  kind of like letting other people be the guinea pig and learning from them, and then if someone  comes to me and they're like, "Hey, we have budget for this, let's go ahead and test it." "Great. Let's go.

27:30

Let's see what we can learn." Awesome. Podcast ads.

27:34

I'm glad you  suggested that. I'm a huge fan. Thank you.

27:39

They're working really well for a  lot of our sponsors and I'm very biased, so you don't need to pay attention to me.

27:44

But I  also think there's a lot of opportunity there. Okay.

27:50

Let's talk about when to start investing  in performance marketing/paid growth.

27:50

So, say, you're a startup, do you have any advice for  when it's time to start, signs of life test or even...

28:03

And then also, just when is it time to  scale to go like, "Okay, let's go big on this."

28:08

If you are a startup, typically, whenever I  consulted with them, it was what are the goals, what are we trying to achieve, and when?

28:16

Because  if you're looking for something quick, paid needs to start immediate.

28:22

And paid [inaudible 00:28:24]  started yesterday because SEO takes time.

28:22

SEO, depending on the market you're getting into,  if it's emerging, people may not even know your product exists.

28:32

There was a product I  was working on years ago that if you were traveling to a hotel, and say, it was a romantic  getaway with you and your partner.

28:39

And you wanted the hotel suite or room done up with flower  petals, and champagne, and stuff like that, they would do it for you.

28:52

Well, they were  working with someone before that was like, "Oh, we should totally be in paid search."

28:57

And  if you look at the keywords that they were doing, it was like, booking hotel rooms.

29:01

It's like, "No,  that's complete disconnect."

29:01

And they're like, "Yeah, but we're trying to build awareness."

29:06

You don't want to build awareness through search.

29:10

You build awareness through display media-based  type media.

29:10

When we transitioned all of their money over at the time, and this will age me,  before Meta was a thing, when we transitioned everything over to GDN, that's when the company  started really reaping the rewards.

29:23

Because we were building the awareness around the product.

29:29

So, it depends on what is the demand of your product and market.

29:37

If you're doing something  that is similar to another product and market, you could do competitor, I call it coattail  riding.

29:42

Say, Lenny, you and I create a product that is similar to monday. com.

29:51

We can go out there  and just start bidding on monday.

29:51

com and say, "See why Lenny and Tim are better than monday. com."

29:56

And start getting some people in interested, maybe kicking the tires, starting free trials,  but they also have other keywords that they can go after in market.

30:08

But if you're going  after something new like hotel room, flowers, and I forget what keywords we were bidding on for  that, it was years ago.

30:16

People weren't thinking of that.

30:21

It wasn't something they were searching  for.

30:21

So, it just really depends on, A, when do you expect results because SEO can take time.

30:26

And B,  what is the demand in the market for your product?

30:33

Some people use paid ads to drive  early growth to bring customers, to help them figure out what to build kind of  pre-product market fit growth.

30:39

Is that something you recommend?

30:43

Is that something you'd advise  against?

30:43

Is that strategy that you've seen work? Yeah.

30:48

Product market fit is a huge thing.

30:48

We've run into some of this at Shopify, and we definitely ran into this at IBM.

30:56

So, for the  longest time, IBM is, "We're a global company, we should be everywhere."

31:04

But when we started looking  at the data, it was, "Should we be everywhere?"

31:09

For example, Africa, we were in the whole  continent.

31:09

We weren't just in, say, South Africa, or Egypt, or something like that.

31:14

And the more  we dug into it, the more we realized the biggest issue wasn't necessarily that users weren't  interested in our product and weren't purchasing it, it was because we didn't have a product  market fit mainly from an operation standpoint.

31:33

In Africa, there are multitudes of different types  of currency.

31:33

There's the franc, there's the rand, there's the shill, and we were just, "Hey, USD,  thank you."

31:39

So, of course, they weren't converting unless they were going out of their way to make a  way to convert that.

31:46

So, when we took a step back and we said, "Okay, where do we want to start?" It was South Africa.

31:54

That's really where we were trying to get, quote, unquote, "stronghold" in,  so we had to make sure we had the rand available.

32:05

Once we did that, we started doing tremendously  better because we had a product market fit.

32:05

They had demand for our product, and now we were  able to serve them, meet them where they were.

32:18

So essentially, you're saying probably not  smart to run a bunch of ads if it's not working, if you don't have something people  actually want yet in that market? Right. Or able to convert.

32:31

Because conversion is going  to end up being really low, no one actually cares about what you're doing.

32:35

All you're going to do is really annoy the  users.

32:35

Because, say, in the future they are, "Hey, I'm still interested, but  I don't want to use that product because I already tried."

32:41

It's like,  "No, no, you can totally use it now." "I already tried.

32:46

I had a bad experience  with them."

32:46

And some users will hold you accountable to that.

32:53

One bad experience  and I'm just never giving you my business. Interesting.

32:56

So, is that generally your advice  if you're startup, you're not feeling like you actually have product market fit yet, should you  even experiment with and do signs of life tests, or should you hold off until it's like,  "Okay, it's actually working, let's go."

33:10

From an operation standpoint, I  always want to make sure those things are tied off.

33:13

Yeah, it  doesn't make sense to, again, if you have a major budget and you're trying  to get awareness into a market, great, yeah, you can go after a market.

33:23

But just know that  it's probably not going to convert very well. Got it.

33:28

So- I wouldn't recommend it. Okay, great. Awesome. Very clear answer.

33:31

Let's  talk about the mistakes that you see companies make when they're investing in performance  marketing.

33:37

We got introduced through Casey Winters's illustrious former podcast guest,  two-time podcast guest and asked them about you.

33:46

And he told me that when you take over for  an agency at a company that you've worked with, you crush their performance within  a month.

33:52

I'm curious to what you see and find they are doing wrong that allows you  to be such a hero when you come in and take over.

34:03

I think agencies have playbooks.

34:03

Now I've  worked at agencies, I did consulting for a long period of time and it was never an  approach I took.

34:08

I looked at each account and each company as its own thing.

34:13

But I think  a lot of agencies just come in and they go, "Oh, this is like AB&C company.

34:20

And this is what we're  doing.

34:20

Copy, paste, done, move on."

34:20

And they're also not willing to get deep, deep, deep into the  weeds of stuff.

34:27

I may get a little too far into data than some other people.

34:35

For example, I have  ops cadence that myself and my team follow.

34:35

So, within that ops cadence, we have things like  finance, performance, structure, keywords, ad copy, quality score, targeting, et cetera, et  cetera.

34:49

And then, within each of those we have specifics.

34:55

For example, the keyword subsection  is keyword granularity, brand versus non-brand, search query reports, negative, so on so forth.

35:03

I feel like agencies don't necessarily get into all of those things every single month where some  of those we're doing weekly, some of those we're doing biweekly, and some of those we're doing  monthly.

35:17

But they touch the things that they think they need to touch.

35:22

They turn on automated  bidding, they're doing their search query reports, and then they just kind of move on with their  day because they have 50 other clients they have to get to.

35:31

Well, what about looking at your  conversions? Where are we converting?

35:31

Have we tested different landing pages?

35:38

What is a better  user experience that we could be getting users right now?

35:43

It's a five-step process, can we get  it to a three?

35:43

Partnering with PMMs to say, "Hey, here's something that I think could help improve  our lead to conversion."

35:50

Just stuff like that, that they're too busy with too many other  things to focus really, really deep into those.

36:03

And typically, whenever I managed an agency in  the past and I consulted, I made sure that you weren't stretched thin enough that you couldn't  do those things.

36:11

Because I'm a firm believer in hiring smart people and then getting out of their  way.

36:17

But each week having one-on-ones with them, just spot checking things, just saying, "Hey, I  looked at this. This doesn't look right. What's going on there?"

36:30

"Oh yeah, I do that on this  day." "Okay, great.

36:30

Just making sure you're covered."

36:33

Because sometimes people won't  scream uncle when they should be screaming uncle because they think it's a sign of weakness.

36:37

But let me know when you're overwhelmed.

36:37

Maybe I have a solution for you.

36:42

Maybe there's a way  I can coach you to be better at something, or we just need to hire more resources.

36:46

Because the client portfolio you have is five, and when we took them on, they were all at 100K,  but now they're all spending 2 million plus.

36:57

We need to offload some of that from you because  you're doing such a good job that you've scaled them up.

37:03

Let's give you three clients instead  of five and hire someone to take those two.

37:08

So it sounds like basically they just don't have  the time to care and spend on all the things that they need to be doing.

37:15

And when you've held  companies, you actually go deep and you have the time to do it well.

37:21

I guess, when someone's  trying to find an agency or someone like you, I know you don't do this much anymore.

37:27

Any advice  for just how to know if they're going to be great?

37:33

Is it just agencies in general probably not a  good choice?

37:33

Is it hire someone in-house?

37:33

I guess, what advice do you offer people that are  like, "Oh man, I want to avoid this."

37:43

Agencies are a good place to get things started.

37:43

Even when I was consulting, I would, honestly, I'm a big believer in forward thinking, backwards  planning.

37:49

So, if I'm taking this contract on with this new client, what's the end goal for you?

37:57

If your end goal is to have this at performing in $100 million spend, there's no way one person  can do that.

38:06

So let's create milestones along the way of making sure we're checking in and saying,  when is the right time to hire?

38:12

Whether that's a data scientist, whether that's a creative person  in-house or replacing me full time.

38:19

There's no reason that you should be holding a company back.

38:26

If anything, you should be helping them get to that milestone.

38:31

And I think that's why I've been  able to do so well for myself because I show that, "Hey, I have the best interest for you and your  company."

38:37

As opposed to how much more money can I squeeze from you by holding onto you as a client.

38:44

I would say, agency consultant is a good way to start.

38:50

Because if you as a business owner,  you shouldn't have to log into, "Oh, I haven't logged into Google in three weeks  to look at stuff because I'm doing payroll, I'm doing HR stuff, and I'm meeting with  clients, and I'm doing sales."

39:00

Start there, get it to a good place.

39:06

Create that milestone of,  "Hey, when we're spending 50K a month, I need to hire somebody full time to take this over."

39:12

And  just have that conversation with your agency and your consultant.

39:16

I think more times than not,  you will have a positive reaction to that.

39:16

But if you don't, I would say that's a major red flag and  probably someone you shouldn't be partnering with. Awesome.

39:27

Okay, so your advice is to get started  on paid growth, buying an agency or a small shop consultant type person to get you started, have a  conversation.

39:33

And when we reach a certain scale, we're going to hire someone internally to run  this for us.

39:38

And then, potentially, they'll keep working with you.

39:42

Potentially they'll start things  in their own.

39:42

Or is the assumption they'll start working with you, they'll become the owner of this  thing, or is it like we may transition you out?

39:52

That's a really good point actually.

39:52

So, there  have been times where a client's like, "Hey, we've reached our milestone.

39:56

I want to bring someone  in."

39:56

That person comes in, and say, they're an expert in social media, like, "Hey, I still want  you to execute on Google and Bing, because that is just not my bailiwick.

40:08

I'll take over the  social stuff, but we do need to talk about your fee.

40:13

Maybe it does need to go down." "Completely  acceptable.

40:13

Let's have that discussion, make sure we're both aligned to what that should be."

40:18

But  yeah, there have been times where they're like, "Hey, we've reached our milestone.

40:23

We got to  bring someone on."

40:23

But that person that they bring on is like, "Actually, I see expansion in this  direction, but I can't do this.

40:27

Are you willing to stay on, and help me with this? Great.

40:32

If not,  I'll just have to find someone else who can."

40:37

I want to talk about the team that you build over  time, but later.

40:37

But specifically, for this first person that you hire, what sort of person is this  person?

40:43

Is it like a data person?

40:43

Is it a person that's just done specific performance marketing  on channel?

40:49

Or what do you look for ideally? I'm a big believer in...

40:54

There was a book written by Nate Silver called The Signal and  the Noise.

40:59

Are you familiar with it? No.

41:07

So, Nate Silver is the guy who created. FiveThirtySeven? Yeah, yeah.

41:10

And in the book, he basically...

41:10

I'm  going to use the word art, I'm going to use the word art, detailed the art of probability  statistics and applied him to real world circumstances.

41:28

It included case studies with  baseball, which of course I loved.

41:28

Elections, climate change, poker, stuff like that. And  I liked that book. It's kind of dense.

41:34

But the thing I liked the most about it was the  title.

41:42

And just changing the title ever so slightly to signal not noise.

41:47

So typically,  whenever I hire people, I want to hire smart people and kind of get out of their way.

41:55

But  the biggest thing I want to focus on is what is your thought process when it comes to data?

41:59

Because I can teach anyone how to do Google ads.

42:07

I can teach anyone how to do Meta ads.

42:07

That is  not the hard part.

42:07

It is the data part that is the hard part because there is so much noise going  on in those accounts.

42:12

They give you everything, which is great.

42:19

It's great that  they give you all this information, but you can have someone that's "Oh, but  look at the reach, look at the frequency, look at the CPMs, look at the CPC, look at the  conversion rate.

42:27

Look at the cost per lead.

42:27

Look at the cost per MQL. Look at this."

42:31

Hold on,  that's a lot of noise you just said.

42:31

So what is the signal and what is the noise?

42:38

And let's make  sure we're focusing on the right signal versus the right noise.

42:44

And that has to be a data person  because there's a lot of data in these platforms.

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43:13

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43:30

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43:44

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44:00

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44:10

Everyone I talked to that's worked with you is  just like, "Timothy is incredible at working with tons of data and finding the things that matter."

44:14

Someone told me that it actually comes from your love of baseball, that you just go crazy with  stats and spreadsheets of baseball games, and players, and things like that.

44:23

Is there something  there that you could share that is interesting? Yeah.

44:28

So I played baseball my whole life, but  when you blow out your arm and you're as fast as a sea otter, it's not very conducive for  you to continue chasing that dream.

44:36

But the one thing I always liked was the stats.

44:43

Even as  a kid when I would watch baseball games on TV, it's like, what's this guy batting?

44:50

How often is  he getting on base? How many RBIs?

44:50

Like, "Oh, this guy is terrible average, but he has a lot of RBIs,  so that means if there's a runner on base, he may not get a hit, but he's going to get that guy in.

45:01

So you want to make sure you put him in the right spot in the batting order, so on and so forth."

45:06

I could talk about that for hours.

45:06

But again, that could be another thing where there's a lot  of data available, which one should you focus on?

45:16

And ultimately, what is the optimization you're  going to make to the lineup or to where you place fielders on the field to ensure that we're doing  the right thing and becoming as efficient and effective as possible?

45:31

As far as dealing with all  that data, that is just, I would say, a skill I've learned over time.

45:38

Early in my career, whenever  someone was like, "Oh, we have this new project.

45:46

Who wants to work on it?" "I'll do it."

45:46

I was  always just eager like a sponge.

45:46

I wanted to get in as much stuff as possible.

45:52

I did SEO for a  portion of my career. I did email marketing. I did affiliates.

45:58

And then, eventually, I remember  the first time I saw paid, because again, I was doing SEO where I was like, "Yeah, we're  going to do this and we think it's going to work."

46:07

But we won't know for about six months.

46:07

Someone showed me the paid platform.

46:07

I was like, "Wait, you know this is the keyword you're bidding  on.

46:13

This is how many times the ad was shown, how many people clicked on it? How many... Wow, this is amazing.

46:19

I need to get more into this."

46:25

And that's just kind of where it  started.

46:25

And when I usually hire people and we go through the interview process, I make  sure that they can be data focused.

46:32

Really, it's just ensuring that we're focusing on  that signal and not the noise.

46:37

And one of the interview questions I usually ask is I throw  a bunch of data points at them and then say, "Out of all that, what would you do to optimize  the account?"

46:49

And more times than not that they're just overwhelmed.

46:54

But the people that I like are  like, " Well, what's the purpose of the campaign?"

47:02

"The purpose of the campaign is to drive  conversions."

47:02

"Okay, well, I would focus here, focus on how many clicks we're getting, and  how many conversions, are we targeting the right people?"

47:12

Because who cares about how many  impressions you're getting?

47:12

Who cares about the reach?

47:16

Who cares about the frequency?

47:16

If the  goal of the campaign is to get the conversions, that's what we should be doing.

47:20

If it was  awareness, it's how many people saw it.

47:20

If it was a consideration, how many people were  getting into the funnel and are considering us from a white paper download or a demo as the  product solution that they're looking for.

47:34

That's a great segue to the next question I  wanted to ask you, which is just metrics that you love to focus on, pay attention to when  you're helping people with paid ads.

47:38

A lot of people think about CAC, a lot of people think  about return on ad spend, LTV to CAC.

47:46

I know it really depends on the goals as you said, but I  guess, is there anything that you find is like, forget these metrics, these are kind  of the bucket that you focus on most?

48:01

Yeah, so for those metrics, I would say, I  really hope you have a great finance partner.

48:08

Shout out to Courtney and Nick the fantastic  finance partners I have at Shopify.

48:08

Nick's not there anymore. Sad cry emoji.

48:15

But Courtney, we're  able to collaborate on those things.

48:15

Understand, this is the investment we're putting in,  this is the expected return, this is the CAC that we can basically put a guardrail on. You have to be within.

48:27

So, hopefully you have a really strong financial partner you can use for  those.

48:34

But as far as the stuff that I focus on, there are things that whenever we're looking  at accounts, we'll kind of hyperfocus on.

48:40

For example, Google will give you information about  what is going on with your ad copy and how to ultimately show as often as possible.

48:55

What  I'm showing here is a visual of brand versus non-brand when it comes to expected click-through  rate, landing page experience, and ad relevance.

49:08

The reason I like building reports like this  is because it'll kind of show you where your hole in the ship is.

49:13

If you look on the left side  expected click-through rate, 75% above average.

49:20

Landing page experience, 84% above average.

49:20

Then you get down to ad relevance, a lot more colors than there are green, only 35%  above average.

49:27

So, for your brand ad copy, the clear direction you have from the data that's  available to you is jump into the account and make it more relevant.

49:40

That will improve your ad  strength.

49:40

And once you improve your ad strength, that will improve your quality score.

49:48

And more  times than, I think, it's a 12% increase in the number of impressions you can get if you increase  from a below average to an above average for the data that's available here.

50:05

And then, on the  non-brand side, clear expected click-through rate, you really need to be working on.

50:11

And that data is also available here that you can kind of see.

50:16

I put in red the one  for brand, your quality score being at a nine, but your average CPC is $8.

50:23

That is very  interesting.

50:23

It should be, the higher your CPC is, the lower your CPC should be.

50:32

So that is an  investigation that's like, "Hey, here's a signal, let's go do a deep dive."

50:38

So there's further  reports that you could look at.

50:38

Looking at the ad strength again, average, excellent, good, or  poor.

50:45

You can see clearly on the non-brand side doing really well.

50:53

They're doing really well here.

50:53

Most of their ads, 46 of their ads are excellent and a bulk of their spend is going there.

51:00

But  if we look on the brand side, you have one ad, one ad that you could go in and just click pause  on, that is a poor. And look at that CPC $7.

51:19

So just turning that ad off by itself, not only  will...

51:19

I'm a firm believer in that there's an account level quality score, not just  necessarily a keyword or an ad quality score.

51:27

So, just turning this one off and removing it from the  account, this one ad could dramatically improve your performance.

51:39

And then, Google actually tells  you what you need to do to increase those strength things.

51:46

So this report is ultimately powered by  this one.

51:46

So for your ad strength improvements, they'll tell you, "Try adding a few more  unique headlines or unpinning some of the ad sets.

51:58

Try including more keywords in  your descriptions or your headlines."

51:58

So- Including more keywords in your descriptions  or your headlines.

51:59

So they're actually giving you this information, but more times than not, I  just feel like people are just missing this and just not taking action on it.

52:09

So definitely  some stuff available within the account that will help you focus on that signal versus  the noise that you could be just getting from the clicks, the impressions and all  those things that are available to you. That was amazing.

52:24

For folks not  watching on YouTube, you pulled up actual reports from, I think, imagine,  past clients, is that what the data was from? Yep.

52:32

Okay, so actual reports from past clients of how  you evaluate, and this is Google Ads, basically. Correct. Google Ads data. Incredible. Okay.

52:38

And  so within those reports, you had poor, excellent.

52:45

How do you determine when something  is going great?

52:45

Is that something you set, like if it's above this threshold?

52:49

Is that a benchmark you have, or is that Google telling you,  "This is poor, or this..."

52:54

Yeah, so that's Google telling you. Okay.

52:57

There's sometimes where you'll work really, really  hard to take that poor to an average, that average to an excellent, and there's just not a whole lot  you can do sometimes.

53:03

It kind of is what it is.

53:11

But I would argue more times than not, people  are not doing those things to improve their ad strength.

53:18

So just if you have the change history  available in every account, in Meta, in Google, if people are doing the test to try and improve  and get better, great.

53:28

You have the right people working.

53:34

But if not, that's a clear indication  that there's definitely room for improvement.

53:40

Something that someone asked on  Twitter is for benchmarks around any of the stuff.

53:43

How do you know when  your CPC is good?

53:43

I guess you just look at...

53:47

Do you look at Google telling you  it's excellent versus poor?

53:47

How do you know if your conversion rate is good?

53:50

How do you know if your CAC is good?

53:54

Yeah, every industry and every company is  going to be different, healthcare, lawyers, those are some of the highest cost and average  CPCs I've seen.

54:00

If I was to compare that industry, say to a B2B industry, it would not be  very good at all.

54:08

Honestly, what I would tell the user to do, every single platform  has partners available, more times than not, they're kind of like salespeople.

54:22

I actually  really like the partners that we have at Shopify, because I do feel that they are partners.

54:27

Shout out to Francisco at Google, and Sami and Alana at Meta.

54:32

And Nick, and  Sam, and Brian at LinkedIn, in case they all hear this.

54:39

But I think they're really great  partners, and they will give you that information.

54:44

They will actually say, "If you give me the five  people you consider to be your top competitors, I will tell you if you are above or below a  certain threshold."

54:52

Now they can't tell you CAC because they would have to have transparency into  conversions.

54:58

But click-through rate, conversion rate, cost per click, things like that, they  will give you that information because they will anonymize it, so you won't know who is who.

55:09

If you  say, "My competitor's monday.

55:09

com," they won't say, "monday.

55:16

com has a click-through rate of 5%."

55:16

They won't tell you that.

55:16

But they will tell you, "Of the competitors you gave us, and we added  three more in just to say, hey, we found some people."

55:27

And also to where if you only give them  two, you can be like, "Oh, it's one or the other."

55:31

That they'll give you that information because  they want you to succeed.

55:31

Because if you succeed, you spend more money on their platform.

55:35

So if you find out your average CPC is really high, take the actions that are in the account  that tell you what you can do to lower it.

55:40

But if you find out that you have a lower CPC, you're  like, "Oh, great, I thought that was worse."

55:49

And then you can communicate that internally  to your team and say, "Hey, our average CPCs may seem high, but in reality we got with our  partners, and we are on par with the industry." Got it.

56:01

So the advice is, don't  seek generic benchmarks for any of these metrics.

56:05

You can talk  to your rep at Google, Facebook, LinkedIn, et cetera.

56:10

And they'll  give you essentially the numbers- Great summary. Yes, yes. Amazing.

56:14

Okay, going back to  the report you just showed, is that a report you developed custom that  gives you, here's the most important stuff to pay attention to?

56:21

Or is it basically  an export from Google Ad Manager, and...

56:26

So these are all exports, so that this is just  the visualization of the data that's available.

56:32

So this all data is available in every account.

56:32

This is data available in the account, this is data available in the account.

56:38

Now in saying that,  there are more reports that we get into, like impression sharing frequency.

56:43

This is something  I tend to look at, that not a lot of other people do.

56:48

It's not about showing as often as possible  because that's what impression share tells you, and that's kind of like ego marketing.

56:56

I want to be number one, I want to be there all the time.

57:00

It's about showing  to the right person as often as possible.

57:06

Instead of thinking about being on top of the  page, you should think about serving the right user, which can be measured with our click share.

57:11

And then Google will put us on top of the page, which we can see through our top impression share.

57:17

That's what this whole visualization is here for, where I feel like a lot of people don't do this  type of visualization.

57:24

And this can be done by leveraging all the user data available on  Google, such as demographics, locations, if any audiences, in-market audiences.

57:35

Testing different bid strategies and more.

57:40

So the data's readily available, but  it's just making the visualization a little bit more digestible.

57:45

And the  reason that I actually have two here to show is because this is an example of when  I was working on an account back in 2023, where we started making some changes.

57:57

And you  can see that, clearly, our impression share, I would say was baseline.

58:02

It didn't really change  too much, but look at our click share going up.

58:08

Because now again, we're talking more to the  right people, not necessarily just everyone, generic people.

58:14

Versus this campaign that was...

58:14

This was the test and this was the control, and you can clearly see that we were talking to  a lot of people, but no one cared about what we were talking about.

58:27

So this was an easy test to  call and just say, "This one's performing a lot better."

58:31

And then verifying the other metrics  still look good, conversion rate, number of conversions, stuff like that.

58:36

This one was the  clear winner, so we went in this direction. This is super cool.

58:41

I love that you're showing  this.

58:41

And again, plug for YouTube to actually see the charts you're talking about.

58:45

I see one more  slide on this deck.

58:45

I'm curious, what's there?

58:49

Yeah, so this one, I'm hoping you have show  notes that we can give a shout-out to somebody. Yeah, absolutely. Yep.

58:56

There's a website called PPC Hero.

58:56

What  I usually tell people is, "Terrible name, great content."

59:02

The actual website used to be a  little bit more cartoonish with superheroes on it, but now it's, they've refined it.

59:08

But the writer  there, his name's Jacob Brown.

59:08

This is what he calls the true competition metric.

59:15

And again,  this is why I highly recommend we give people the link to the article because this does get a  little dense.

59:21

So what he does is that he creates four new metrics with the Auction Insights  that are available.

59:28

And two of those metrics are position above rate when we show, and amount  of times they show and we don't.

59:34

Added together, and it will show how often a competitor  ranks above you in all auctions you're available for.

59:48

Using this type of lens is an  effective way to identify genuine threats.

59:56

Not that just, this data can be used to gain  comprehensive insights like determining your position and impression share, but by creating a  baseline that you can see how this data changes over time through different bid strategies,  keyword ad copy optimizations and more.

1:00:07

This is a very, very powerful one, because I do know  a lot of people are always concerned about, "What are my competitors doing? How are they  doing it? Why are they doing it?"

1:00:18

And with all the smart bidding currently available...

1:00:21

Back in my day, it was all manual bid, so you could change the bid ever so slightly, and then be  like, "Oh, now my competitor's showing above me," and this is even before Google gave us Auction  Insights data.

1:00:35

This is now available to us in the platform.

1:00:41

Using this report will actually identify  a true threat, as opposed to making an assumption based on personalization that maybe you're seeing  when you Google a keyword, or using a tool like Semrush that ultimately is saying, "Oh, this  person's appearing above you.

1:00:57

Well, let's run this report and see if it's a genuine threat,"  as opposed to just maybe ego marketing going on. Super cool.

1:01:09

And this comes from PPC  Hero, is this what you're saying? Yep. Cool.

1:01:13

We'll definitely link to  that.

1:01:13

Are there any other tools or workflows that you find really helpful  in analyzing this endless amount of data?

1:01:24

Please, audience, if you are using AI in  this way, let me know because a lot of this stuff I do can be a little manual and  can be a little time-consuming.

1:01:31

If they've found ways to automate through AI where I can  provide the information that isn't sensitive, that they will make it a lot cleaner, and a lot  more digestible, let me know.

1:01:46

But a lot of the things, I have templates that you can load the  data into, and it will just automatically give you the result from it.

1:01:57

But yeah, right now,  it is a little manual, but if there's a way to automate this through AI, please, users,  contact me on LinkedIn and let me know.

1:02:08

Sounds like a startup opportunity right there. Yeah. Sweet.

1:02:12

Okay, let's move in a slightly different  direction.

1:02:12

Attribution, what a sexy, exciting topic.

1:02:19

So attribution, basically it's how do you  assign credit to a channel and to a campaign, so that you know where growth is coming from,  what's working?

1:02:25

What's the state of attribution today?

1:02:29

What do you find is helpful?

1:02:29

How do  people do attribution well in today's world?

1:02:35

Yeah, I'm a big believer and proponent in  multi-touch.

1:02:35

I fall into the camp of more time decay.

1:02:43

Historically, the research I've done,  users tend to forget very quickly where they first found your brand.

1:02:51

Yes, you should get credit  because this is the first time they saw your brand or the first time they interacted with  it, for sure, let's give you some credit for that.

1:03:00

But definitely not the reason that they  ultimately converted.

1:03:00

Linear is fine as well, but overall, I do think attribution by itself is  biased.

1:03:07

It does not answer the question of whether the person clicking on or seeing an ad would've  converted anyways, even in the absence of that ad.

1:03:24

This is why numerous companies like Netflix and  eBay have done studies to get an understanding of the incrementality of paid advertising  campaigns, whether that's conducting GeoX or Conversion Lift tests at important slices  of the marketing channel.

1:03:35

I know eBay was very popular when they did that experiment.

1:03:42

I  think it was like 2012, and I'll have a link for you for that as well.

1:03:47

Where they ultimately  decided to cut almost all of their brand spend, because they found that users were already  going to find them through organic anyway, so they were just kind of throwing money  out the window.

1:03:58

And it was really hard for competitors to get their ads at the top of the  page because their quality scores were so low.

1:04:07

Okay, so multi-touch is the way you like  to think about it.

1:04:07

Basically give credits to all of the channels that you  detected the user saw your ad on, and less credit if it was further back in time. Right, yep.

1:04:20

And then in terms of tooling, is there  tools you love?

1:04:20

Is it stuff you build in-house generally?

1:04:24

How do people  go about doing this sort of stuff?

1:04:28

Yeah, I don't know if I want to  say I have been fortunate or not, but most of the companies I've worked with, like  the big companies of the world, the Pinterests, the Shopifys, the IBMs of the world tend to build  things in-house.

1:04:37

So from a third-party tool, unfortunately, I don't have a whole lot of  go-tos for that.

1:04:44

So again, either that's a, I've been fortunate or I've been sheltered.

1:04:54

And then, are there tools that you see people use,  or is it just really nothing amazing out there?

1:05:00

Yeah, none that I've seen that's like, "Oh  wow, that's amazing."

1:05:00

I will always say, make sure you're trying to leverage the in-platform  tools because the biggest thing with performance marketing is the signal you're sending the  platform.

1:05:11

Because if you are telling the platform, "Oh, I want to get more of the users that are  doing this action," it's going to do a really good job of giving you that.

1:05:24

But if that action  doesn't equal business results, you're not helping yourself at the end of the day.

1:05:32

You're giving  it, again, a lot of noise instead of the right signal.

1:05:36

So try and leverage the in-platform  tools.

1:05:36

Or if there is a tool you're using, make sure it does allow third-party integration  through the Google, Meta, TikToks of the world.

1:05:50

Then let's talk about incrementality.

1:05:50

You  mentioned this idea of how do you know if the money you spent led to incremental growth that  wouldn't have happened if you didn't run that ad.

1:06:01

Is there any advice there, anything you've  seen about just how to think about incrementality correctly, and not just give yourself all this  credit for stuff that would've happened anyway?

1:06:09

Yeah, I mean, there are many ways to judge the  effectiveness of growth overall.

1:06:09

Like some of the stuff we talked about before, brand metrics,  awareness, recall, things along those lines.

1:06:16

There are also, I know some companies look at leading  indicators like visits, and clicks, or tribute, which of the efforts are linked to or perceived  drivers of actions.

1:06:29

Like leads, conversions to prospect, prospect to scale.

1:06:35

But really the  results should be coming from either that GeoX or Geo experiment or Conversion Lift.

1:06:44

The results  of those experiments should ultimately fuel the plans for what we call IAF, incrementality  adjusted factor, and will allow you to be more precise and how efficient each channel is.

1:06:59

Ideally, by region, sometimes you just have a holistic of like, "This is how Meta is, this  is how YouTube is."

1:07:05

But if you don't have it by region, don't fret, it's fine, just have it by  platform.

1:07:10

And kind of like what does that look in practice?

1:07:15

When you're running a Conversion  Lift test, you intentionally do not show your ad to some users when you win an auction,  and instead Google shows the next bidders' ad.

1:07:27

This is your control group, and adds up to some  opportunity costs that is estimated in terms of impression share percentage, as well as spend  holdback.

1:07:32

Spend holdback is like how much money you will not spend because of this test.

1:07:39

And all of the platforms are willing to partner with you on this, because Facebook knows  this, LinkedIn knows this.

1:07:45

All of them know that they are very visually-based creative assets  that are not getting as much credit as they deserve.

1:07:58

So if you go to any of them, if say  you don't have a dedicated rep you can call, and if you ask for this, more times than not, they  are willing to partner with you in saying that, if you're not spending enough, they probably will  not help you with this.

1:08:10

Because there are certain spend thresholds you do need to meet.

1:08:16

But I would  say at least start there.

1:08:16

And also if you're not spending more than I would say 50K a month in  the platform, doing this is going to be a lot more work than you're going to get result from,  you're just not going to have enough signal there.

1:08:36

So basically don't worry about running  incrementality tests when you're- Yeah, when you're starting out. Got it. Okay.

1:08:41

And so basically to understand  actual incrementality, every platform has a way for you to actually test it on the platform,  and the team there can help you run it. Yep. Awesome. Okay.

1:08:52

Let's go back to talking  about team structure and how to build your own performance marketing team.

1:08:56

So we  talked about the first person that you hire and the advice there was someone that's very,  understands how to find signal in noise.

1:09:00

So there's that one person, and your advice  there was maybe around like 50K.

1:09:05

Was that like an actual threshold that you usually  recommend, or is that just like an example?

1:09:14

Every business is slightly different.

1:09:14

I mean, if they're well funded, 50K may not...

1:09:17

the threshold may be higher.

1:09:17

But yeah, everyone's different.

1:09:17

50K may be, like if somebody said...

1:09:24

If you were to just  say, "Hey, give me a number," I would say, "50K to start having those conversations."

1:09:28

Because if  you're at 50K, say for the month of June, great, it's going to take us three months to hire someone  anyway, so at least start the conversations now. Awesome. Okay.

1:09:39

What do the first three  to five hires look like generally, that you recommend for scaling  internally from its marketing?

1:09:48

So the first thing, like we said, someone  data-driven that can get into the platforms.

1:09:54

The next is going to be creative.

1:09:54

Because I need  those two now working hand-in-hand, making sure the creative is matching the tone and also the  performance that we're trying to achieve as a business.

1:10:08

And then third would be a dedicated data  scientist, a fully dedicated person.

1:10:08

Because they can help you with things like the incrementality  testing.

1:10:15

They can help create reports that will ultimately make everyone's lives better.

1:10:23

They will  be able to build analyses that as a generalist will not be able to do yourself.

1:10:31

There's a  saying of like, "I'm not a data scientist, but I like to play one online."

1:10:38

Because what  they do, they ultimately make us look really good.

1:10:45

Because we're ultimately the ones reporting  on the performance of it, but they were the ones that helped build that environment, and  build all those things for us to succeed.

1:10:53

And then in terms of the creative person,  is that like a graphic designer?

1:10:53

Is it like a marketing person?

1:10:57

What's  the actual skill set there?

1:11:01

It would be more graphic design/branding.

1:11:01

The  reason for that is because if you have a good marketing mix, you're going to have...

1:11:12

If we  keep it to a three-step funnel of awareness, consideration, purchase, you're going to need to  build some brand equity in a specific direction.

1:11:22

You're going to need to make sure you're  communicating value, which now you're not being as creative, you're being more directional.

1:11:30

And then  ultimately the purchase is like, "Hey, click here, convert now."

1:11:36

So you do want to give them the  ability to still be creative.

1:11:36

"Hey, I hired you because you have a good creative eye and you're  good at what you do, but now we need to focus on getting that person to convert."

1:11:45

So you give them  a little free rein to be creative, but then you also need them to be able to execute against that  creative, you need to get those users to convert.

1:11:54

And they're also writing the copy,  I imagine for the Google Ads.

1:11:59

I usually say that should be collaborative.

1:11:59

The  performance marketer should be able to write most of the ads, but I can't tell you how many times in  my career where I've written an ad and I'm like, "This is the greatest ad ever written known to  man.

1:12:11

People will write stories about this ad, it is amazing."

1:12:18

And it flops because I'm not the  target audience, more times than not.

1:12:18

So I think it should be collaborative, and no idea should  be left on the cutting room floor because... Perfect example.

1:12:30

I was working with ADT, the  security company.

1:12:30

We wrote the most perfect ad when Google Ads only allowed a headline and two  descriptions of 35 and 35.

1:12:38

We got every single value prop in there somehow, it was amazing.

1:12:45

And the ad that it was going against was dollar sign, zero setup fee, dollar sign, zero install  fee. That ad won. It was like that is... No, how did that...

1:13:04

It barely uses any of the characters,  and it tells you almost nothing, but it won.

1:13:04

Had more conversions, a higher click-through rate.

1:13:13

So  we took that, and we applied that with the value props, and it did better.

1:13:18

So it should never be  like, unless the idea is don't buy our product, which hopefully someone is not writing  that ad copy.

1:13:25

It shouldn't be left on the cutting room floor. Always test it.

1:13:28

Always  be willing to learn what works, what doesn't.

1:13:33

For this first hire, what's the title of  this person, usually in your experience?

1:13:38

Lately, it's been growth marketing specialist,  growth marketing manager, because they're going to wear multiple hats.

1:13:45

Like at any startup that  you're at, you're going to be asked one day to, "Hey, I want you to do performance  ads," and then tomorrow it's like, "Hey, I need you to help me build out this  spreadsheet for a spec sheet that you have no idea what you're doing."

1:14:01

So you're always  going to wear multiple hats, so just having a general title like that to start out with.

1:14:05

And then if that person matures into a role, you can make them more of a specialist.

1:14:11

Or if they  start showing signs of like, "Hey, I really like doing the social stuff, and we've scaled enough.

1:14:17

Okay, let me hire a paid search person."

1:14:17

So yeah, I always start with a general, and then as  the team grows, we get more into specialties.

1:14:28

So growth marketing person, it's  kind of like the broad umbrella. Yeah.

1:14:32

And then are these people  sitting in Google Ad Manager and Meta Ads and just like running ads manually?

1:14:39

At Shopify, we call it GSD, getting shit done.

1:14:39

I'm a firm believer in getting shit done.

1:14:39

You should be in the account, like I mentioned earlier  with that ops cadence, we have stuff we need to be doing weekly, bi-weekly, monthly.

1:14:50

The bigger  the company gets, the [inaudible 01:14:55] you wind up in more and more meetings talking  about the things you want to do, and how you're going to do it and stuff like that.

1:14:59

But keeping  those people kind of sheltered away from that and focused on those things, are going to drive  the best results for you, you possibly can get.

1:15:10

And that means hands-on keyboards in the  Ads Manager, tweaking things. Setting up a calendar.

1:15:16

I'm a firm believer in setting up  a calendar.

1:15:16

"We started this test on this day, that means this test will end a month from  now."

1:15:22

Put a notification, so you have a cool down period, and you report out to the org  what you did, how you did it, why you did it, and then the results from it.

1:15:31

And then, all  right, what we learned from this is this, and we will be applying that to our next test,  and this is how.

1:15:36

So yeah, hands-on keyboards doing all of those things.

1:15:41

So again, hiring those  smart people, and just getting out of their way. I love that.

1:15:47

In terms of how this team grows, you  mentioned when we were chatting, that you wait for someone to cry uncle, to hire more and to add to  the team to kind of avoid bloat. Talk about that.

1:16:01

Unfortunately, we've seen a lot in the news  lately with a lot of tech companies letting go of some really talented people, and that is, I  feel like just created bloated organizations.

1:16:07

We, every month, my current manager, Dean, created  this calculator that we look at that says, "How much time are you spending in  meetings?"

1:16:24

If you have any PTO coming up, put that in there.

1:16:27

Optimizations, reporting,  stuff like that to basically add up to how many days are in the quarter?

1:16:33

Because  every quarter...

1:16:33

Well, not every quarter, but most quarters you'll have vacation, or  you'll have, say, what we call a Shopify burst, where it's we meet in real life to get shit  done in real life as opposed to remotely.

1:16:51

Put all that in there, and then what does  the number equate to?

1:16:51

Oh, we're in the red right now for these two to five people.

1:16:55

How many quarters has it been that way?

1:16:55

Okay, it's only this quarter.

1:17:01

This quarter, we have a  summit coming up, or we have a burst coming up, or we have a lot of travel because we're meeting  with partners, so on and so forth.

1:17:05

So maybe this is an isolated thing, let's go ahead and wait  till next quarter.

1:17:11

All right, next quarter, it's red again.

1:17:16

All right, now maybe we need to start  having the conversation of, what this new hire will take over, what they will be responsible for,  and how much work they'll be taking on and doing, to replace some of this red that is going on.

1:17:28

And if it equates to a full head, great, we can move forward, we've made our business case.

1:17:35

But  sometimes it doesn't.

1:17:35

Sometimes we're just red, and we need to do a better job of making  sure, "Hey, we need to step out of these meetings.

1:17:44

These meetings are sucking out our  time and we don't need to be a part of it."

1:17:44

Or, "This launch, we don't need to be a part of.

1:17:50

We just need to be consulted on it.

1:17:50

We don't need to be in every single meeting every single  time, or every single communication."

1:17:54

So just making sure we're looking at the right things  before we decide to hire someone and making- Just making sure we're looking at the right things  before we decide to hire someone and making sure that we have stuff for them to do.

1:18:06

And red means they have more work? Yeah.

1:18:09

More days than there are in the quarter.

1:18:12

And so they basically estimate, "Here's how many  days I need to do the things I've committed to for the quarter."

1:18:16

And then it's like, "How  many actual days do you have this quarter?" Yeah. That is super cool.

1:18:20

And so step one is, 'Okay,  if you're in the red, let's cut some stuff."

1:18:20

And then if they're still in the red and you've cut  stuff, then, " Okay, we need to start hiring." Yeah. That is very cool.

1:18:32

Is that a Shopify thing  or is that something you do at your team?

1:18:36

I've done stuff like that at other companies  before, but kind of bringing it forward again, I don't want to take the credit for it.

1:18:42

Dean was  the one that brought it back up.

1:18:42

It was like, "Oh yeah, I used to do this.

1:18:45

I don't  know why I stopped doing it."

1:18:45

So it's definitely something I've used  at other companies for sure. That is super cool.

1:18:52

You  mentioned this opps cadence.

1:18:55

Is that something you can describe just  what this cadence looks like of how you run? Yeah.

1:18:59

So I love me a spreadsheet.

1:18:59

So  it's just a spreadsheet.

1:18:59

And visually, I'll do my best to describe it.

1:19:05

Let's say column  A has those buckets I was talking about a finance, performance structure, keywords, so on and so  forth.

1:19:11

And then within those buckets ... Or let's call those ...

1:19:17

Everyone loves rocks  and pebbles right now, right? So that's your big rock.

1:19:21

Your big rock is keywords.

1:19:21

Then within that you have pebbles.

1:19:21

Keyword granularity, brand versus non-brand, search  query reports, negatives, so on, so forth.

1:19:34

And then within that we say how often we're doing  it.

1:19:34

Are we doing it weekly, bi-weekly, monthly?

1:19:39

And then that allows us to ...

1:19:39

If anyone in the  organization's like, "Hey, how often are you guys updating ad copy?" Easy answer.

1:19:45

"How often are  you guys doing search query reports?"

1:19:45

Easy answer, And it allows us to make sure we hold ourselves  accountable to those things because a lot of times we have a lot we're doing, We're working in  Google, we're working in Meta, we're working in YouTube.

1:20:00

You could easily forget, "Oh, I didn't do  that.

1:20:00

I got to make sure I do that again."

1:20:00

So it's a way to hold yourself accountable, but it's also  a way for me as a manager to go in and kind of spot check that and make sure that they're doing  the things that need to be done in the account.

1:20:19

The core of this, essentially, there's  a spreadsheet that everyone aligns on of here's when and how often we do  certain activity to operate this performance marketing machine that you've built. Yeah. Awesome.

1:20:30

And it's both internally so that  everyone knows, and then also when people ask, "Hey, when are you going to do  this?" "Okay, here's the data." Yeah. Yeah.

1:20:37

So if a cross-functional  team or partner wants to know, easy answer.

1:20:42

"We got it for you right  here.

1:20:42

Here's our whole opps cadence."

1:20:45

In terms of the team, something else folks  told me about you is that you're very hardcore about training new people that  you hire.

1:20:50

What does people mean by that? Yeah.

1:20:55

There's a book called ...

1:20:55

I think it's The  First 90 Days, and in it actually has a graph that shows when the person starts having impact and  how many days it's been.

1:21:04

And more times than not, it takes about ... We've all heard it.

1:21:09

90 days for someone to have impact.

1:21:14

I want to try and make that 45 days, if not  30.

1:21:14

Most of the time it has to do with learning the culture, learning the people understanding,  "Yes, you've done paid before at this other job, but this is how we do it here."

1:21:31

That's where the  opps cadence really comes in handy.

1:21:31

It's like, "Here's how often we do it here.

1:21:37

I understand  maybe you did it monthly there, but we do it here biweekly.

1:21:41

And you're saying you used to do  it biweekly, we do it weekly and this is how."

1:21:47

And also giving them responsibility early on for  something.

1:21:47

For example, Kat on my team was hired 8ish months ago.

1:21:57

She was thrown into the fire very  quickly.

1:21:57

It was like, "Hey, we have this campaign coming up called additions.

1:22:04

Here's everything  we did last additions. This is the results.

1:22:11

These are your responsibilities, these are the  expectations. Go. Go forth and conquer. As you come along.

1:22:17

There may be something that doesn't  make sense.

1:22:17

I'm here by all means ask questions."

1:22:24

But what I've noticed is twofold.

1:22:24

One, when  you're clear in what is expected of them, like, "You are expected to do this when and you already  know how to do it. Great."

1:22:30

Or also in one-on-ones, I'll just open up the account and say, "Hey,  this is how I do it.

1:22:40

Let me show you the way I'm doing it and how quick it is for me.

1:22:46

And you  can learn, even though we're remote, I'm showing you as if you're sitting right over my shoulder  or we're face to face. This is how I do it."

1:22:56

So if you're doing something different maybe ...

1:22:56

One plus one is two, three minus one is two, and that's fine.

1:23:02

We both got to the same answer.

1:23:02

But  if you're doing nine times five minus two times 12 divided by 15, nope, we can simplify this."

1:23:09

So making sure that they're efficient and effective with their time, they're focusing  on that signal versus that noise and giving them responsibility early on to really take  ownership of something.

1:23:21

You can see that people are a lot more quicker to pick up things  and start getting that flywheel going of, "Hey, I want to have impact as soon as possible."

1:23:34

Versus, "Oh, hey, go read this handbook week one.

1:23:41

Week two, let me introduce you to the  team. Week three." It's like slow rolling.

1:23:47

"We can speed this up guys.

1:23:47

We can get people  up to speed and making impact a lot sooner."

1:23:52

And also don't expect them to be perfect.

1:23:52

You  can't expect people to be perfect right out the gate.

1:23:58

" I can't remember every little thing I need  to tell you, and there may be things I can learn from you."

1:24:07

I can't tell you how many times I'm  still learning from people around me.

1:24:07

It's like, "Oh, that's great.

1:24:13

I didn't even think of that or  I haven't tried that.

1:24:13

I should totally do that."

1:24:18

So just know that they're not going to be perfect  out of the gate, but giving them clear direction and expectations, we'll get  them where they need to be.

1:24:28

I could see why your team is so effective and so  successful.

1:24:28

This all makes a lot of sense.

1:24:28

You mind if I do a rapid fire set of questions that  people asked on Twitter about very specific stuff? Yeah. By all means.

1:24:41

Okay, ATT, there was a huge change to  the way cookies and attribution and tracking worked online and it felt  like paid ads kind of like, "Oh, shit.

1:24:50

That's not going to work anymore. It's over. Facebook is dead."

1:24:50

Clearly that hasn't happened at this point.

1:24:55

Just what is the impact that ATT  has had on paid ads and performance marketing?

1:25:02

We were just talking about this the other  day because we have ...

1:25:02

Full transparency, we have people fully dedicated to mobile  on the team, and I had reached out to Sasha who's on the team and said, "Hey,  what are we doing with ATT? What are we doing scan? All those things?

1:25:19

Because has any  of our tactics really changed because of say, low opt-in rates?"

1:25:27

And the direct answer  I got from her was, "As long as we can use scan to provide attribution and measurement for  iOS, we're fine."

1:25:36

It's like, "Okay, that's very straightforward. I appreciate it."

1:25:44

So as long as  you're doing those things, you should be okay. Amazing. That's great.

1:25:50

So basically  the show goes on, things change, but people find ways to work around it. Okay.

1:25:54

Creatives, how impactful are creative in the performance of ads generally?

1:25:59

Is that  like, "Holy shit.

1:25:59

People are way under estimating the power of a creative."

1:26:05

Or is  it like, "Okay, it's like a fringe impact?"

1:26:09

Way underestimating the power  of creative.

1:26:09

The best example I can give ...

1:26:16

Do you remember Dollar Shave Club? Absolutely. Their video. All right. There you go. You remember it. That was creative.

1:26:24

Now the person buying it may have  done a really good job of just targeting males, but I would argue girlfriends at the time probably  would've been aware of it as well.

1:26:30

Really good creative should be doing a really good job of  telling a story. And if it does that ...

1:26:41

Again, going back to what we talked about at the very  beginning, if you get that emotion with users, whether that's pulling at the hard strings or  comedy, it's going to have a lasting impact. Okay.

1:26:57

Chuck on Twitter asked, "When someone  steals your traffic, say in Google search results and buying up keywords around your  companies, what should you do? Any advice?" Yeah.

1:27:07

So that actually goes back to the visual  that we showed and I'll pull it back up as I'm talking through it.

1:27:11

The biggest thing is just  know that anyone can do that.

1:27:11

You can do it too, if you are ultimately concerned  about it.

1:27:19

But a lot of times competitors could be doing it on accident.

1:27:24

And  what I mean by accident is within Google, if you're bidding on keywords, Google will do what's  called a close variant.

1:27:30

If you were to do say e-commerce solution, I bet you Shopify shows up as  a close variant at some point or Square or anyone like that.

1:27:45

So they could just be mismanaging  their account first and foremost.

1:27:45

Don't give them that much credit that they're doing this  maliciously or even doing it with intent.

1:27:59

And again, it will be in the show notes.

1:27:59

If you  do pull this report and you do notice that there is a clear threat that's going on here, first  things first, let's make sure that they're not doing anything egregious like saying,  "Lenny and Tim are better than Monday. com."

1:28:15

You cannot be, if the brand is trademarked within  Google, they cannot use your name within the ad copy.

1:28:23

Google more times than not will disallow  it, but they could misspell it.

1:28:23

I can't tell you how many times I've seen Shopify spelled  with two I's because Google isn't catching it, but we can always put in a claim to  say, "Hey Google, please remove this."

1:28:39

But if we do run this ...

1:28:39

You can kind of see that  the orange line here, and for those that are just listening.

1:28:46

Orange line is rather consistent over  time.

1:28:46

There is a two week period where it dips, but it does come back up.

1:28:52

There's another  line that at the beginning of this visual, green is actually above orange.

1:28:58

And if you look  at the green one over time it almost disappears.

1:29:05

So the reason I would say make sure you're looking  at this report, and it's not just ego marketing, it could be an error.

1:29:11

The issue could be  the green one, specifically, could have been getting a close variant.

1:29:16

They identified it, they  removed it.

1:29:16

"Oh wait, a couple of weeks later, we didn't fully remove it.

1:29:22

Now let's remove  it completely.

1:29:22

And now they're almost gone completely."

1:29:26

So make sure you're looking at  the data and reacting to consistent competitor conquesting versus something that could just be an  accident or users not knowing what they're doing. Amazing.

1:29:40

And this is PPC Hero again,  right? PPChero. com or whatever? Yes. Okay, cool. We'll share it. Yeah.

1:29:46

We'll link it to it in the show notes. Okay. Last question. AI. You mentioned AI.

1:29:50

You're looking for AI tools to help you with  your workflows and analyze data.

1:29:50

I guess is there anything you've seen AI impact in the  work of paid growth and performance marketing, or is it like in the future might, other than  obviously the algorithms on the platforms?

1:30:06

I remember having this conversation a couple  of months ago.

1:30:06

AI, couldn't get away from it, right?

1:30:16

It was everywhere, and what we were doing  was leadership on know, "In all of our quarterly planning, what are we doing about AI? How are we  using ai?

1:30:25

What are we doing that's different?"

1:30:31

As always, I go to the partners and I say, "Hey,  what are we doing about this?"

1:30:31

And Francisco at Google, actually, he made a really good point.

1:30:36

"You guys have been using AI for years now. Smart Bidding is AI.

1:30:46

All of the recommendations within  Google Ads is AI.

1:30:46

Ad copy recommendations is AI, and that's always been in the platform,  so we've always used those things."

1:30:59

So it was kind of like, let's  reset the conversation of, "Hey, this has been here.

1:31:04

We have been using it, this  is how we've been using it and moving forward, these are some of the things we think we'll start  doing."

1:31:09

I do think it's having a huge impact from a content standpoint and a creative standpoint.

1:31:15

Now, if those two kind of converge together, you have a perfect storm, right?

1:31:23

But it is  something that I keep a relative close eye on, but like I said earlier, hopefully some of your  users can share more information with me.

1:31:31

But it's not something that I would say is overly  impactful yet, but I could see how it could be used maliciously if you can do API connections  and things along those lines, for sure.

1:31:47

Wait, what do you mean by that?

1:31:49

Again, Google will disallow certain things,  but it takes time sometimes.

1:31:49

If the term is copyrighted in Google for ad copy, it'll disallow  it immediately.

1:31:57

But say they need to do a check, you'll see a lot of times under review or  pending in the account.

1:32:04

But you'll also see impressions potentially attached  to that.

1:32:09

It's because Google's like, "Oh, we'll serve a little bit of  it, and then if it's malicious, we'll pull it back."

1:32:16

I could see a way that  somebody could automate AI to where it's always updating it to where it's like, "Oh, let's  just get a little drip here, a little drip here, a little drip here."

1:32:26

And that little drip  equates to a lot, but that's something AI could help with a human doing that would just  take forever and be a total waste of time. Got it.

1:32:34

Just run tons of ads, just keep  trying, trying, trying trying stuff. Slip through the cracks. You mentioned creative.

1:32:38

It  actually came back to question I forgot to ask.

1:32:43

Going back to the team that you hired to run  this sort of stuff, you hire this one person, growth marketer, specialist type of person, and  the next hire is a creative.

1:32:47

What's a sign that it's time to hire the creative person?

1:32:51

Is there  anything there?

1:32:51

Is it just like, "We have budget and this is working?"

1:32:55

Or is there anything  else of, "Like, okay, this is a good time?"

1:32:59

Yeah, if you're using a creative agency and  they're getting you everything you want and you're happy with it, then it may not make sense to hire  a creative.

1:33:05

But more times not what I've noticed from creative ...

1:33:12

Creative independence tend to  do better than an agency.

1:33:12

The biggest difference I see is that matching the right tone, matching  the right creative look and feel that you're going for is accomplished way better in-house,  and also coming up with new ideas that you can test quickly and iterate on versus, "We only  have so many hours with the agency this month, or we only have so much budget we can spend  with them."

1:33:39

Where if you have that person in-house fully dedicated to the product  itself, you'll never run into those caps.

1:33:49

It feels like if anywhere that scenario  AI is going to empower that initial hire to do more creative on their own, you would think? Yeah. Yeah.

1:33:56

And that's not always the best way to  go.

1:33:56

I've seen some ads in there where it's like, "Oh yeah, they're being scrappy.

1:34:02

I see what  they're doing."

1:34:02

But to your point, maybe that's where AI kind of bridges the gap.

1:34:07

Because I can't  tell you how many times in the past it's like, Guys, we've got to be able to do retargeting,  but we have no creative to do."

1:34:13

Google has the dynamic ad builder and they've had it for I  feel like years now, and that was just like, "Give us a couple of images and we will make a  display ad for you that should perform because we're testing many different iterations of  it."

1:34:30

Meta is probably going to come along with something as well that it's like, "Give  us a picture of your product and we'll put different backgrounds on it and test what works  and what doesn't."

1:34:40

Things along those lines.

1:34:44

That makes so much sense.

1:34:44

Timothy, we've  covered so much ground.

1:34:44

This is everything I was hoping it would be.

1:34:50

Before we get  to our very exciting lightning round, is there anything else that you think would be  important or valuable for listeners when they're trying to do this stuff on their own?

1:34:59

Any other  nuggets left that we haven't already covered? Yeah.

1:35:05

I said it at one point, but I'll  reiterate it.

1:35:05

I'm always forward thinking, backwards planning.

1:35:10

Just as you're going  through it, "Where do you want to be and ultimately how do you think you're going to get  there?"

1:35:16

Because say your goal is to be on all platforms.

1:35:23

"I want to be on Pinterest, I want  to be on X, I want to be on everything." "Okay, forward think.

1:35:30

That's where you want to be.

1:35:30

Now  let's backwards plan.

1:35:30

"What can we do right now?

1:35:35

We can do search because that's only content  and that's keywords. We can do that.

1:35:35

All right, now we need creative, but where do we  start?"

1:35:39

And then make iterations along the way.

1:35:44

It's just always forward think,  backwards plan, and that's for anything.

1:35:49

What are other examples of forward thinking?

1:35:49

Because in a sense everyone will be like, "I want to be on every platform."

1:35:54

I guess  what are other things that people think about when they're like, the forward thinking  is like, "Oh, we want to win Google search."

1:35:59

Is that an example of forward thinking? What  else?

1:36:03

What else should people thinking? Yeah, exactly.

1:36:06

What are those goals you want to  hit?

1:36:06

One of the things that we look at is what emerging channels to perform in it.

1:36:15

"So what is  it going to take for us to consider this channel a performing channel that is an always on, we're  we're adopting it as BAU?

1:36:20

So that's going to take a thousand conversions a month at this much spend  with this much lift associated with it.

1:36:31

So okay, we know what that looks like, so we're going  to backwards plan where we're going to start.

1:36:45

We're going to start with this one ad creative. "Okay, that works.

1:36:45

Then we're going to go to this next ..."

1:36:50

Because within each platform, they all  have multiple types of ad units You can use.

1:36:50

Say in LinkedIn, there's feed, there's conversation,  there's video, there's carousel.

1:36:56

So it's what are the milestones along the way that you're going  to do to ultimately get it from testing emerging channel to perform them?

1:37:10

So that would be an  example of something more micro than macro. Got it.

1:37:16

Well, with that, we reached our very  exciting lightning round. Are you ready? Oh yeah. First question.

1:37:23

What are two or three books  that you've recommended most to other people? Daily Stoic by far.

1:37:28

A book I read every  day.

1:37:28

Quick excerpt of what you can do from a stoic philosophy standpoint.

1:37:36

Great By  Choice is another good one. And Deep Work.

1:37:44

Favorite recent movie or TV  show that you've really enjoyed? X-Men '97. Thoroughly enjoyed that.

1:37:48

But that may be a lot of nostalgia.

1:37:53

I actually never watched RRR when it first  came out. Highly recommend that.

1:37:53

That was a lot more enjoyable than I was anticipating.

1:38:00

The Playlist, which is about Spotify, Welcome to Wrexham and Billion Dollar Code, also  on Netflix, about Google Earth. Very interesting. Yeah, RRR.

1:38:16

That movie is intense and  very long also.

1:38:16

It's like, man, I Three and a half hours. ...

1:38:22

just have to split it up into different  days to finish it, but it is incredible. No intent. Okay.

1:38:27

Favorite recent product you've  recently discovered that you really love?

1:38:31

I drink too much caffeine and I've been trying  to cut it out and I kind of circled back to this product I used to use called Magic Mind.

1:38:38

It's  a little shot every single day.

1:38:38

Tastes really good and it does help with focus I find.

1:38:44

If it's a  placebo, great, I don't care, but it's helping me. That's amazing.

1:38:52

I'm also a huge fan of  Magic Mind.

1:38:52

I'm friends with the guy that started it.

1:38:55

So funny that  you love it. I drink it often. Great.

1:39:00

I am on the subscription plan and  I think he uses Shopify to sell it. He does. Yeah. It all connects. Amazing.

1:39:05

Do you have  a favorite life motto that you often come back to share with friends or  family?

1:39:10

Find useful in work in life?

1:39:14

Happiness is dedicated by expectations or dictated by expectations.

1:39:18

That can't be  more true more times than not, and it's similar.

1:39:23

That's why I said there's  two, and this one's similar to it.

1:39:23

You won't see it for what it is until you stop looking  through the lens of what you want it to be. Amazing.

1:39:35

It reminds me of an equation a  colleague of mine once shared.

1:39:35

He wrote a book of emotional equations or life equations.

1:39:40

It was happiness is reality minus expectations. Yeah. Love that. Okay, next question.

1:39:51

Who's had the  most influence on you in your career?

1:39:55

Well, we mentioned him before, so I got to  bring him back up. Kasey Winters for sure. We were at a wedding.

1:40:03

He showed me the original  version of Google Analytics.

1:40:03

For those of you that don't know, it's called Urchin, and when  he showed that to me, it was, "Wait, you know all of this information about users coming to  the site."

1:40:13

I knew I wanted to do marketing, but at that moment I knew I was going to do  digital marketing and watch him grow in his career.

1:40:26

He's watching me grow in my career.

1:40:26

We still balance each questions off of each other.

1:40:30

We cannot not have a phone call under  an hour.

1:40:30

So definitely the most impactful.

1:40:36

Is there something about Casey Winters  that people may not know?

1:40:36

He's a two time podcast guest, huge friend of the show.

1:40:43

Casey is really good at tennis, like insanely  good at tennis.

1:40:43

You want to know how good? This is how good he was.

1:40:50

In high school, he played  ...

1:40:50

I'm pretty sure it was our senior year.

1:40:50

He hadn't played in a year, maybe a year plus.

1:40:58

He was  still ranked top 10 in the state of Louisiana for tennis players.

1:41:07

Hasn't played in a year and still  considered one of the top 10 players. Insane. Did not know that.

1:41:15

I actually played tennis in  high school, and so that's amazing. I did not know this. Thanks for sharing that.

1:41:21

Timothy,  this was incredible.

1:41:21

I think this is going to help a lot of people figure out [inaudible  01:41:28] marketing, run more paid growth ads, figure out who to bring in to help them do this.

1:41:30

Thank you so much for sharing and for being here. Of course. Appreciate the time. Bye, everyone.

1:41:38

Thank you so much for listening.

1:41:41

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1:41:45

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1:41:50

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1:41:55

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