He makes 3 decisions a year (and beat the S&P 500 for 11 years)

0:00

And I was like, "What have you been doing?"

0:01

He's like, "Well, I actually I'm a public investor.

0:02

I'm I'm a um I invest in public stocks."

0:05

>> You're like, "Oh, you lose money for a living." >> Yeah.

0:07

I was like, "I'm pretty nosy.

0:07

Do you have your laptop on you?

0:09

Pull up your brokerage account right now." And he did. >> So, check this out.

0:19

So, um, a few weeks ago I met this guy in Hampton and basically his story is that a while back he sold his company and he made something like eight figures in in in money after he sold his business.

0:31

And I was like, "What have you been doing?"

0:34

He's like, "Well, actually, I'm a public investor.

0:35

I'm a I'm a um I invest in public stocks."

0:37

You're >> like, "Oh, you lose money for a living." >> Yeah.

0:40

I was like, "I'm pretty nosy.

0:40

Do you have your laptop on you?

0:41

Pull up your brokerage account right now." And he did.

0:45

And we like I was looking through his whole brokerage account and I want to show you his results.

0:49

But basically he's had a nearly a 22% annual return for the last decade which is amazing.

0:54

But that's not the interesting part.

0:56

I uh I had this idea where we basically exported his brokerage account and we put it in Claude and we asked it over the last 12 years how many decisions did you make a year?

1:06

A decision is defined as how many stocks you bought or sold in a year.

1:11

And if I remember correctly, he's roughly owned around 15 stocks over the last decade or so, give or take five.

1:19

But what was interesting is that he only made 2. 9 decisions a year.

1:25

And we put together this cool graph and there were some years, I believe uh three out of the last 10 years, he made zero decisions and at most he made six decisions in a year.

1:37

>> So let me let me let me just read the kind of because this is a great this is a great graphic by the way.

1:40

So if he had put a $100 in when he started, so this is 2014, so 12 13 years, he's averaged his annual return is 21. 8 versus 13. 5% for the S&P 500.

1:52

For 3 years, he did nothing.

1:56

That was the longest stretch of of no activity.

1:58

That was 20 2022 to 2025.

2:02

And it looks like he beat the market 11 out of 12 years.

2:05

It was only one year where he didn't beat the market. Uh, and that was 2022.

2:08

And basically, if you were to invest around $10 million when he started, I think I think that math is something like $60 million depending on what part of the year you started.

2:17

The reason why it was interesting to me is even though I preach patience, I mean, I preach all this [ __ ] I sound very smart when I preach this, but you know, you and I are very similar.

2:26

We we move a lot and we often times mistake movement with progress.

2:31

And I thought it was really interesting to see this guy's numbers every single year.

2:35

Because when you think about three decisions a year, that's four months of just thinking, planning, plotting, not doing anything, zero action.

2:44

>> What, by the way, what was he owning?

2:44

Is it like he basically bought the fang stocks or was he buying obscure things? What was he doing? >> They weren't obscure.

2:51

Um, one was a very I don't want to get reveal too much of his info, but um, one was a very large travel stock.

2:58

So like imagine a popular airline or something like that.

3:00

Another one was a was a popular clothing stock.

3:04

It wasn't Lululemon, but imagine like a Lululemon, things like that.

3:07

>> And and so he was do when you say, you know, he's got four months of thinking.

3:12

Was it actually four months?

3:12

Like was he just sitting every day and doing research basically?

3:15

Was he is that his actual day-to-day task or he was more of a passive investor kind of set it and forget it and then sometimes would would hear something or learn something and decide to make a change? >> So I texted him.

3:26

I go, "Hey, I want to talk about this.

3:29

Do I have your permission?" He said, "Yeah."

3:30

And then I said, "How do you actually make decisions?" Because I am curious. You know, 2. 9 decisions a year.

3:34

What are you actually doing?

3:36

He said, "I study a few things that I can understand and I study them very deeply.

3:39

I keep very detailed notes and then I just wait for an opportunity.

3:43

blank company for example.

3:46

I had studied them ex extensively for about six months prior to COVID and I really liked it but I thought it was expens expensive and so I spent a lot of days writing notes about it documenting my research saying what I'm learning the annual reports and I keep an eye on it and then when the market um presented itself and the opportunity presented itself and it got cheap enough I bought it that day.

4:04

it that day. M so he is he is doing the Buffett thing right he's basically spending every day learning and then when there's a a moment moment in time going ahead making a position were you what what surprised you the most was it the number of decisions what else what else surprised you

4:20

>> a few things surprised me the first thing is you know we love having investors on here from Howard Marks um >> radalio yeah >> and we're not investors uh not exactly you know sometimes maybe it's like a side hobby but I'm interested in those people because I'm very curious because it's such a black and white way to

4:40

figure out someone's decision framework because there's very clearly like I thought about this, I executed this whereas with startups it's a little bit more iterative where you can like you can go back in time and like fix something because you can kind of build it on the fly a little bit and so I'm very fascinated by this and there's this

4:55

cool quote it says um it's by Warren Buffett he says his investment strategy is lethargy bordering on sloth that's like the cornerstone of his investment uh thesis which I thought was interesting and I was like that's so fascinating and we had Kevin Ryan on the podcast. Uh Kevin Ryan is a guy who owns

5:09

Uh Kevin Ryan is a guy who owns sort of like an incubator uh a startup lab.

5:14

I don't know how you describe it but they've launched a handful of like tens of billions of dollar startups and he was like I basically get one good idea a year and I thought that that was interesting that a lot of the people who I admire they do tend to make very few decisions throughout the year.

5:27

The second thing is that they don't agonize over very small decisions.

5:30

I know that this is something that I do often and I think the way that you fix this is you determine what decision is reversible and which isn't.

5:38

And for the ones that are reversible, don't sweat over them. Don't agonize over them.

5:43

I actually think you there's a world where you're quite good at this where you're good at like categorizing which decisions are important versus which aren't. Would you agree?

5:51

>> Yeah, I do think I I do think I do that pretty well.

5:54

But it's because on this show we have spent hours talking to some of the best investors alive.

5:59

Well, lucky for you, the team at HubSpot, they have pulled out the principles that matter most and turned it into a very simple, easy to read wealth guide.

6:07

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6:10

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6:19

So, these are all their frameworks, their mental models, their rules.

6:22

Basically, how to play the long game and how to avoid ruin.

6:23

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6:27

My default state is I don't care.

6:27

So it's pretty easy then everything is ruled out unless it has a real reason I need to care.

6:35

Whereas I think if your natural wiring is the opposite where you really are anxious or you think about everything and you think about everything it feels like everything matters by default.

6:44

If that's your default it's very hard to then pull down 89 different things and convince yourself that they don't matter to find the one that does.

6:51

So I think it's a lot of just your kind of nature in that sense of my nature is to not really care about most things.

7:01

>> My nature is the opposite which is I tell myself well >> like the way you do one thing there's all these like cute phrases we tell ourselves the way you do one thing is the way you do everything.

7:10

Therefore if you have a typo in this sentence you're going to make bad business decisions. Yeah.

7:16

You're you're just a mess.

7:16

And so that tends to like tell my like neurotic voice or my neurotic voice is kind of like telling myself like oh well everything matters.

7:24

But the last two things I noticed that these people I was trying to write down like trends I' I've noticed amongst these people is that they know their circle of competence quite well.

7:32

And there was a time where I was telling my friend I was like hey have you thought about investing in this company?

7:37

And I made this argument.

7:37

I was like I'm not actually going to do it but I do like to study it.

7:40

And he was like yeah that all sounds really good.

7:42

I don't know anything about that industry though.

7:45

So, no, I would never do that and I've not ever thought of it.

7:46

And there's this like weird like they say no not because it's a bad opportunity, just because it's not within their like realm of genius.

7:54

And then the last thing was they tend to write their ideas down where they will write it down.

7:58

Often times you'll notice people write premortems.

8:01

Have you heard of a premortem where you write down everything that can go wrong? Like was I still happy?

8:06

I you don't want to do this thing called resulting where you say like this was a bad decision because the result was bad.

8:10

it should be this was a bad decision because the input or the framework was bad.

8:14

And so they'll do things like premortem or they journal or they'll make arguments to themsel on why this is or is not a good idea.

8:20

So those are some of the trends I've noticed.

8:21

But I thought this was really cool to see on paper how many decisions a year this guy's making who is he's a retail investor who's outperformed the market.

8:32

>> Have you heard of the Jack Dorsey premortem he did before he started Square? >> No. What did what did he do?

8:37

So Jack Dorsey had helped create Twitter.

8:39

You know, I supposedly he it was his idea for Twitter and he was the CEO of Twitter for a long time.

8:45

So his next company was going to be Square >> and it is very easy when you just were the guy who created Twitter and all of Silicon Valley has purchased real estate on your balls and you know it's very easy to get high on your own supply and so what did Jack Dorsey do?

9:02

He humbled himself with a premortem.

9:05

And so before he started Square, I think he created a list called 140 reasons why Square will fail.

9:12

And he wrote down 140 reasons why. And he he gave it to U.

9:18

>> Can we put uh buying real estate on your balls into the Hall of Fame? >> Thank you.

9:25

>> You know, sometimes it's like words just come out of your mouth before you can think about it.

9:28

That one I had the idea and I made a decision and I said it's it's I'm going to let this one fly.

9:33

Yeah, let's that that one that one just uh that won its place in the uh Hall of Fame.

9:38

>> Some farts were not meant to be silent. Let's put it that way.

9:40

And I decided to let that one rip. Okay. So, so yeah.

9:42

So, Jack Dorsey wrote this thing and he said it was very useful because it's kind of the Charlie Mer thing where tell me if you know all I want to know is where I'm going to die so I know not to go there.

9:54

And um if you know why the reasons your company might fail in advance, you can then and and not avoid that not not avoid the elephant in the room well then you can actually design a company that's going to achieve despite those potential failure modes.

10:09

You also so uh you know while you were talking about this I was thinking about Mark Zuckerberg while you were talking about it because he recently has been doing a lot of press.

10:18

He's on a bit of a victory lap at the moment >> again, >> which feels honestly a little premature because like AI changes every the leader changes every you know 6 months of who seems like they're dead versus who seems like they're ahead and right now Muse is doing really well and so he's really excited and he's going out and talking a bunch and but the stock agrees that it was a good decision so far. >> Right. Sure.

10:42

Um so he's but he's doing all kinds of stuff.

10:44

Uh, he's dropping fbombs in interviews now, which he, you know, >> did he really?

10:50

>> Yeah, >> that doesn't seem natural. What?

10:52

>> There's two different ones.

10:52

We could play the clips, but the the first one he's in the backyard. He's he's barbecuing.

10:58

And so they were it was some he was like facetiming somebody >> and they were like, "Oh, Mark, you smoking you smoking meats again?"

11:03

cuz remember like >> many years ago when he was trying to be trying to be cool and casual and he >> outed himself as a robot basically >> and he was like I'm just smoking some meat in the smoker and he tried to have like a chilled 4-hour barbecue stream that didn't go well.

11:20

>> So this time he was like smoking meat like what type of meat he goes whatever the we want. >> Oh my god.

11:26

>> And then the second one he was talking about he did an interview with Alexander Wang who Alexander Wang is I think the youngest billionaire in the world right now.

11:32

So, Alex Wang uh was a kind of math olympiad kid who then went on to start scale AI which was like the one of the first big data companies for these AI labs.

11:46

Meaning the AI labs need data to train their models.

11:49

Where do you get that data?

11:50

It's you know takes a lot of it's a grindy kind of operational business to go collect and have clean data for the labs. So scale was doing that.

11:58

that. ultimately uh Meta bought it for I think $15 billion or bought like a huge chunk of it and acquired they basically a big part of it was just getting Alex and so they asked Zuck they go in the interview they were like why you know why Alex and he's like yeah it's kind of

12:17

weird right like what is this data guy going to do with the social media guy and that's going to be like the leading AI lab how does that work this is why just kissed him on the mouth and he's like this is my golden basically verbally verbally kissed him on the mouth. So they're sitting there

12:30

So they're sitting there this on Cheeky Pint and he's um he says I tried to meet as many of the great founders of his kind of age group, his generation as I could and I you know I would try to meet as many of them as I could and he he said I just realized Alex is the guy.

12:45

He's the guy and that's it.

12:48

he's the guy and he's complimenting him like in this in this like just more absolute not overly intellectual thing but he's the guy and they were you know they were talking about how you know Meta was getting trounced for when they were doing VR and he was calling you know talking about the metaverse and then it was just kind of like it wasn't really working.

13:08

Uh he had made a big bet.

13:10

I think he put like $60 billion or so.

13:12

They put absurd amount of money into developing this.

13:14

Like 10 times the amount that they they spent developing the iPhone was spent on Oculus >> and the VR program and had produced nothing on par with the iPhone.

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So in terms of popularity and and users actually wanting it.

13:28

>> And so he was wrong in that.

13:28

But when AI came around, he correctly pivoted to it and he said out loud, he goes, "Yeah, this is a type of game where you're not like it doesn't m you don't get judged by your mistakes.

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You're only judged by the things you got right and how right you got them when you got them right."

13:46

And so he kind of has given himself permission to make mistakes, but make the type of mistakes where if I'm right, I'm going to be right in such a major way that it wipes out the history of all the battles I lost cuz I won the war.

13:58

And if you know Zuck, he like loves the Roman Empire. He loves war.

14:00

He loves his favorite game was civilization.

14:03

And um if you see even his shirts are like like Latin for, you know, it's always like Latin phrases for like give me Zuck or give me nothing, you know, like stuff like stuff that used to be like about Caesar.

14:14

And so I I just think it's an interesting idea that's very different than investing of what you you were talking about where investing Warren Buffett's you know, famously is like, you know, rule number one is investing is don't lose money.

14:23

Rule number two, don't forget rule number one where it's about having not making mistakes.

14:29

Whereas entrepreneurship is the opposite.

14:30

You can make tons of mistakes as long as when you do get something right, you have enough chips on the table and you actually get them right in a big enough way.

14:37

Bezos talks about this like with in baseball, the the most you can get from a great hit is four runs.

14:43

But in business, you can get a thousand runs with one correct swing of the bat.

14:46

And so you just have to focus on getting those correct swings of the bat because when you do, it's a,000x. It's a 10,000x.

14:51

Can I ask you a question about this?

14:54

Uh, I want to ask about the Zucks up, but for Alex Wang, uh, he's 29, so scale was a 14 billion company.

15:00

So, one of the largest private companies, uh, maybe top 200 or something whenever he was bought or top 100.

15:06

When I hear what you're describing, it's sort of like you're saying Zuck was saying this guy is technical and knows what he's talking about, and I've interviewed all these people, and you almost sounded like you were describing him as an individual contributor.

15:19

Are you saying that this guy led a $ 14 billion company and typically if you're the CEO of a company that big, you're not the smartest in the room, you're just pretty good at a bunch of the important stuff.

15:29

But when you described him, it was like, oh, he's a great leader. He's good at everything.

15:34

And also, he knows AI better than all these other people.

15:36

So he was saying what he said about him specifically was his strategic mind.

15:41

So figuring out what should we be doing, his clarative communication, so his ability to communicate that effectively.

15:48

And then his like strong beliefs on execution.

15:51

So for example, that for meta to win in AI, they needed to have an extremely small team working on it, not a big team.

15:59

So talent density, how talent density was one of the most important factors in the in the vic in victory in AI, meaning what you don't want is 2,000 pretty smart people on this.

16:12

You want 20 or max 200 extremely smart people who can all hold the problem in their head, the whole pro project in their head and they all know each other and they're talking to each other and it's tight and there's not too many voices in the room and that it should be extremely flat the way it's organized.

16:30

So he had these very strong opinions that Zucker believed was the correct answer and that because of that they should go ahead and and and try to pull it off.

16:36

So that's what he he kind of described as his his attributes of what what it meant when he said he's the guy.

16:42

>> So a leader kind of for sure like leadership ability not not he's not doing all the work.

16:47

>> Another interesting part of this was um is they were ask I think it was on Senra's podcast and Sen was asking him like so how did he know that you were good at those?

16:55

How did you even meet the guy?

16:57

How did you even meet Mark Zuckerberg? Why why did you meet?

16:57

He's like, "Well, you know, Meta was one of our big customers at scale, but he goes, "Yeah, Zach kind of just like does this every once in a while, like every few months, you know, he would uh like he just hit you up and he he's like he'll send he's like if I ever sent him a question in WhatsApp, like, "Hey, what do you think we should do about this?"

17:13

I would get this extremely thorough, extremely crisp WhatsApp message that's almost like a blog post length delivered back to me.

17:22

He goes, he goes, "That's just one of Zuck's like superpowers.

17:25

He's extremely good writer.

17:25

He's extremely clear in his thinking and he's able to the way most people send short quick text messages.

17:32

He's able to send long thorough text messages in the same amount of brain power like in the same like time that it takes a normal person.

17:40

And then the exact opposite was true was he goes he also is quite you know humble for for a guy who basically runs one of the um you know the most valuable companies in the world.

17:49

He would always just text me hey what do you think we should do about X?

17:52

He's like and it wasn't just me.

17:53

He's sending that to, you know, 20 people that are not on the official board of adviserss.

17:56

He's not waiting for the quarterly board meeting to discuss this with these like, you know, fivestar generals.

18:01

He would just, anybody who we thought was smart, he'll just say, "Hey, what do you think we're getting wrong here? Hey, what do you think?

18:07

What do you think we should be doing about this?"

18:08

And, you know, he's not necessarily going to just do what we say, but he's constantly seeking from very smart people their take.

18:14

And then he's also using that to assess the talent of those people of who he thinks is consistently giving him back high signal on those things.

18:24

>> So I guess there's like two uh sides of the spectrum.

18:26

But basically like there are people where it's a dictatorship and they like for example um Cornelius Vanderbilt was like basically sort of like the Elon Musk of uh the 1800s.

18:35

He was the richest man in America and he was known for just like he would make decisions with very little transparency.

18:44

People wouldn't know why he was doing it.

18:45

He was described as shrewd where he would make a decision and people would be like, "We have no idea why you're doing that."

18:51

And 6 months later it would reveal itself like, "Oh, he was right. He predicted this.

18:54

Like he was doing all this stuff in secrecy."

18:56

But then there's so many other leaders that tend to make uh decisions almost in a consensus way, which is very different from the popular belief on how leaders are.

19:06

Um, and I have noticed that when I have when you and I or I've hung out with like people that are 100 times more successful than I am, often times they'll ask my opinion and in my head I'm like, I'm way dumber than you.

19:19

Why are you asking my opinion?

19:21

Like, and I could tell that they're gathering information and I have found that to be like a superpower amongst a lot of leaders.

19:28

>> Yeah, there's a what's that thing called Dunning Krueger uh the Dunning Krueger effect where if you know nothing about a subject, you have very little confidence.

19:36

If you know a little bit about the subject, you have this false sense of too much confidence on it.

19:40

And then as you actually learn more about it, you realize how little you really knew and and your confidence on the subject dips. Right?

19:48

And this is why black belts in jiu-jitsu who've been doing for 20 years are the ones who talk about how like I'm still at the beginner. I'm a beginner at this.

19:56

I'm still just figuring this stuff out.

20:00

There are so there's so much more that I don't know than what I do know.

20:02

And then you have Jonah Hill who becomes a blue belt.

20:06

It's like I'll murder anybody who fights me.

20:08

You know, like it's like you get that blue belt confidence.

20:09

Uh the blue belts feel like black belts and the black belts feel like blue belts.

20:13

Like it's this weird thing that happens with how much you know about a subject.

20:16

how much you know about a subject. And it does seem like, you know, some of the smartest people are the ones who are the quickest to a admit how little they know, b understand how big of a factor luck is in their success, and c constantly be searching for insight from

20:36

people who on paper should be, you know, are less accomplished, less intelligent about the subject than they are because they they know they're kind of always hunting for anything that resonates, anything that has some signal to and they know it can come from different places and they're they're humble enough to do it. >> The shitty part about doing this podcast

20:51

>> The shitty part about doing this podcast is I um I signed up for an executive coach and I've like done three or four sessions with them plus this like assessment and he was like, "You're really self-critical of yourself."

20:59

I'm like, "Dude, it really sucks.

21:00

My job is I hang out with the people who are the best in the world at everything they do."

21:08

And he was like, "You described yourself as lazy.

21:10

You said that you're not ambitious."

21:12

He's like, "You seem very ambitious."

21:14

I'm like, I am hanging out with literally the 30th richest person on earth.

21:20

When you compare like whatever it is I am doing compared to that, it is actually quite challenging because I realize what the levels are and how high they go.

21:30

And every once in a while, I will definitely like [ __ ] on myself for feeling that way.

21:34

Do you feel that way sometimes?

21:36

>> I mean, I try not to, but I definitely feel that way.

21:39

you know, one of the comparison thief of joy [ __ ] you know, like, yeah, that that's definitely true.

21:44

The only way to cope with it is to do two things.

21:47

One, get comfortable in the game you're playing that, oh, I'm not playing the game that those guys are playing.

21:53

Those guys are trying to change the world or they're trying to be the richest guy in the world or they're trying to have the most power, they want to run for president.

21:57

I I don't want to do any of those things.

22:00

And um, you know, so that's the that's the first thing is like get really comfortable in what game are you actually playing.

22:05

And I don't think most people even are aware of what game they're playing in life.

22:10

Like if I ask if you ask a normal person or even you ask one of your smart friends, do you think they know what game they play? >> No.

22:17

And in fact, I've been doing this exercise where I've been asking people like before they ask me advice or whatever if they're wanting to brainstorm with me on their problem.

22:23

I'm like, well, where are you trying to be in 5 years?

22:25

And they'll be like, I don't know.

22:28

I've never thought about that.

22:29

Like there is a even amongst really successful people driven people there is a lack of like the end state looks something like this.

22:37

>> So I want you to I want you to imagine close your eyes and imagine uh a friend who is somebody you respect smart accomplished let's say you somebody you think is smarter than you and more successful than you. All right. Yeah. All right.

22:49

If you ask that person what game are you playing?

22:53

What do you think that would be the words that come out of their mouth?

22:56

They'd be like, "What are you talking about?"

22:58

Like it would be like shock. >> Okay.

23:00

So, first they're confused.

23:00

What are you even What are you even really asking me?

23:03

And then you sort of explain, "Well, we're all playing some sort of game."

23:07

And maybe uh LeBron James is playing right now.

23:09

LeBron James, age 42, is playing a game of I'm trying to defeat father time and catch Michael Jordan.

23:15

That's really what he's doing.

23:17

So, he's trying to defy the laws of aging to keep playing basketball at age 42.

23:21

and then he goes and joins Philly because he wants to win a championship and he wants to, you know, really cement himself as the greatest of all time.

23:28

Right now, it's him and Jordan who are comparing.

23:30

That's the game LeBron is playing in the NBA.

23:32

Now, another player on his same team might be playing a different game, Jaylen Brown, who just left the Celtics um or, you know, got traded away from the Celtics and he was always the number two there.

23:43

And I think he wants to show what he's really capable of.

23:45

He wants to show that this, you know, I would say this year he's playing a game of proving himself.

23:50

It's a prove myself game.

23:50

I want to prove I'm one of the best players and they made a mistake trading me away.

23:55

>> And most of the NBA players that probably if you talk to them, I've talked to a couple of these guys.

23:59

They're like, I'm just trying to have fun and make a good living. >> Yeah, exactly.

24:02

I'm trying to trying to, you know, get this bread while the bread is there for the getting, you know, I'm trying to I'm trying to make my first All-Star team.

24:07

I'm trying to get that next contract.

24:08

I'm trying to do something.

24:10

And so, if you break it down into the Aeron Sorcin way of thinking about things, the hero has something that they want and there's something that stands in their way.

24:16

That's a story, intention, and obstacle.

24:17

And so, you know, for example, when we were in our 20s, what was the game we were trying to play?

24:23

If we're honest, it was trying to make it.

24:25

And I think make it meant be a successful person, make money.

24:30

You know, become a multi-millionaire was, I think, both of our goals.

24:33

Hence, you know, part of the spirit of this podcast, why it works, cuz we kind of shared that chase. That's when we met.

24:38

And we were both chasing that same thing.

24:40

We were both playing that same game.

24:42

Now, we played it different ways, but we were both fundamentally playing that game.

24:44

And then when we got into our 30s, it was like we started playing a different game. It was this family.

24:49

I'm going to start a family while still being successful, but not in the sweaty, grindy way I played in my 20s.

24:56

And I didn't know what that meant, but I knew that's what I was trying to do.

24:59

And figured out how to do that through some combination of investing and having kids and doing all this good stuff.

25:05

And you know, then you might play a different game at a different phase.

25:09

And so, what do you that person you were thinking about, what game do you think they're actually playing?

25:13

probably just trying to um do the same thing they were before, which is they're already successful, but they want to go a level a level above and be more successful and more powerful and more prominent.

25:25

>> And what's the why on that?

25:28

>> They don't they don't feel like they have enough.

25:29

They don't feel like >> they feel like they won their game and they need to win another game in order to feel whole. >> Right. Okay.

25:36

So So I think it's, you know, but if you if that person said that out loud, they'd probably feel a little bit silly saying it.

25:41

little bit silly saying it. they see feel stupid and I don't know I've never thought dude I'm just trying to like build something great you know what I mean that's usually like the answer >> they get somewhat defensive there's a great book called the score and it talks about how games are this incredibly

25:54

powerful thing so let's take a game like he the way he says it is the game like if you if you decide to play a game the game decides what you want and who you need to be to get it so for example he's like let's say you play a game like charades well to to play a game like charades what do you It's like I want my team to guess what I'm doing and so who do I need to be? It's like I need to be

26:15

It's like I need to be really expressive.

26:16

I need to be really collaborative.

26:18

I need to be a great communicator.

26:19

That's what I need to be to win this game.

26:21

If that same person goes and plays mafia, it's like I need to be a lying cheating bastard.

26:25

I need to be a scoundrel in order to win this game.

26:29

And it's like it will change your whole personality depending on the game that you play.

26:33

It'll tell you what matters.

26:35

You play a certain game and then all of a sudden mobility and flexibility matters because you're playing twister versus another game that where you're playing, you know, uh, bodybuilder and you're trying to be as strong as possible.

26:44

And who cares about flexibility?

26:46

It'll completely change the shape of your body depending on what game you play.

26:50

And so I think it's pretty wild that most people put zero effort into this.

26:53

I just added it to my good readads. I'm reading it. Good suggestion.

26:57

Normally when you say you re read a book, you don't really read the book.

27:02

So, if you've read this whole thing, then uh >> I didn't say I read the whole thing.

27:05

I got I got like a voting majority. I got over 51%.

27:10

I want to give you one more uh little well because we are crispy cream right now and it's just a full glaze of Silicon Valley CEOs.

27:18

I want to read you one more one more little story here about Elon Musk. Can I do that?

27:24

Can we just finish the glaze? >> Yeah.

27:27

I don't think you glazed Zuck, by the way.

27:29

I think you uh made Did you see him?

27:31

Uh there was a meme of him trying to enjoy.

27:34

to enjoy. So basically the thing you're talking about is uh it was Zuck and Alex Wang and they were drinking Guennis in an interview with the Stripe founder and there was this funny meme of him drinking Guennis beer and they were like

27:45

check out Zuck trying to act like he likes drinking Guennis beer and you could tell he had a little bit of a scowl when he tasted it and it was sort of like a 17-year-old going to their first college party like >> Okay, here's the take. Everyone's making

27:58

Everyone's making fun of him.

28:00

To me, most relatable thing Zuckerberg has done in in decades.

28:05

Anybody who's had their first sip of Guinness is like, "What the hell is that?"

28:10

>> I remember the first time I drank Guinness.

28:11

I literally had the same reaction.

28:13

The face he made, he's like to the side like >> and then he's doing like the there was no music playing, but >> no, it's good. It's savory. That's what I wanted.

28:24

>> I like my beer creamy. >> What did he say? >> Okay. What about uh a lot?

28:29

>> There's a Elon story um that I don't even know if it's true, but uh it's kind of like who cares. It's a good myth.

28:36

It's a good fable if if nothing else.

28:38

So, it says uh Elon Musk was asked at a private dinner what he would do if SpaceX and Tesla both failed simultaneously and he lost every dollar he had.

28:46

I believe this was back in like according to the story, this is like back in 0809 some when when Tesla was on the brink of failure and so was SpaceX after three rockets failed.

28:54

The question was intended as a simple hypothetical icebreaker, but his his answer lasted 8 minutes and the table went silent.

29:04

Here's what he said he would do.

29:04

He said he would move to the cheapest apartment he could find, buy a computer, and start building the next thing within 24 hours.

29:10

Not a week later, not after processing the loss within 24 hours.

29:12

He said the loss of money would not bother him, but the loss of the companies would devastate him.

29:17

But he would only let the devastation last one night.

29:19

The bu the building would have to start the next day.

29:22

that somebody asked what would the next thing be.

29:25

He said he doesn't know and that not knowing would not slow him down. The thing finds you.

29:28

You just have to be building when it arrives.

29:31

I think it's a pretty powerful idea and I wanted to share it here because that advice has really helped me in life.

29:38

My dad told me a very similar thing.

29:41

He goes, you know, yeah, you want to know which direction to go, but if you don't, you just got to get moving.

29:46

It's it's about motion, not direction.

29:48

And once you're in motion, it's a lot easier to figure out direction.

29:52

And it's not that hard to change direction once you're in motion, but it's pretty hard to do anything from a standstill.

29:56

And so this idea of of, you know, you just got to get moving and and kind of be in a state of action when you're in a when you're in a a world of uncertainty.

30:06

>> Didn't you just have some something like that in your newsletter?

30:08

Was that your newsletter that said something about like plan and action?

30:13

>> There was a Napoleon quote that was very asked Napoleon, "Sir, what is your next plan?"

30:18

and he replied, "I act and the plan emerges from my action." And I really like this.

30:22

Scott Galloway had a good one that was on he said on the podcast that I remember writing down where he goes, "You got to keep your sales up."

30:29

And we asked him, we go, "What do you mean keep your sales up?"

30:30

And he goes, "Um, like look, when shit's not good, it's pretty easy to just get down on yourself and like droop, but like if you're a boat, just keep your sales up because you know, you want to be ready when that wind comes and it'll give you that boost.

30:44

But it won't it won't work if you if you put your sales down when you're down.

30:47

And I just thought that's like a great piece of motivation for people is like look, all right, you might be getting your your [ __ ] kicked right now, but keep your sales up because that wind will come and when it does, you know, it'll help your boat.

30:59

So, this is like a little bit of you've talked about this like motivation corner.

31:03

You know, motivation is this cheesy thing that you're supposed to be too smart for, but I don't know.

31:06

Kind of kind of love me a good quote. >> I do too.

31:09

when I we've said basically like motivation is good when you're like not successful but you want to be successful.

31:16

It's not particularly good when you're in the thick of it and then it's also good again when you already become successful and you're like what do I make of all this?

31:22

>> What uh when have you applied this to your life?

31:25

>> You know I remember when we were doing our first company and things were not going well. Um >> was like blab era.

31:31

>> No, this was like in the sushi era.

31:31

I just remember I was living in an apartment.

31:34

We were sleeping on air mattress.

31:35

We had like I just remember we didn't even have like little we didn't have a trash can.

31:38

And we would just take the garbage bag and we had a nail that we nailed into the wall and we would just nail the garbage bag to the wall.

31:47

And I remember like we would go out and like you know if if any friend or a girl came over to our apartment she was just like what is what what are you guys? This is terrible.

31:55

And it was like kind of unnecessarily bad.

31:57

Meaning we were letting the badness of our company seep into the badness of our life. And that was a mistake.

32:04

And I remember one day we lived in Boulder.

32:06

You're like, "I deserve this. I'm filth.

32:09

I don't even deserve a trash can." >> Yeah, exactly.

32:12

We We treated ourselves poorly.

32:15

We We let kind of like the last playffect affect the next play.

32:18

If you ever play sports, they always talk like a next play mentality.

32:21

We didn't have a next play mentality.

32:23

We had a last play mentality.

32:24

Things were bad yesterday, probably going to be pretty bad today.

32:28

We weren't saying that, but we were acting that way.

32:29

And our level of productivity was going down.

32:31

And actually to switch it didn't require anything to change in our business.

32:35

It didn't even require a new strategy.

32:37

We just changed our routine.

32:38

And so we we kind of got our sales up a little bit.

32:42

Meaning we um I remember we went for a hike.

32:44

We just like one morning we were like forget work.

32:46

We're going for a hike and we lived in Boulder and we we hiked the Flat Irons and we were just on such a high from physically doing something hard and having like a win.

32:54

Even though it was a win unrelated to the business, it was a win to ourselves.

32:58

And then when we came back in, we like had a better attitude and therefore had better ideas. And we had better ideas.

33:04

cuz we actually kind of believed in them a little more because we had just had a win this morning.

33:08

And this is all sounds very basic to anybody who's like lives a good life and has like healthy routines and whatnot, but we were in a a bit of a downward spiral and needed to like reverse it.

33:18

And reversing it, like what we thought needed to reverse was that our situation needed to change or our outcomes needed to change or like success needed to change.

33:25

And in actuality, we just needed to like do some basic [ __ ] to get our sales back up.

33:31

It's like get the trash can, go for the go for the hike, clean up the room, you know, wear your good outfit today.

33:39

Like, let's go let's go like start stacking some small wife wins and um and then operate from that place.

33:46

>> I think that these things that you're talking about, like we can make fun of them because they're small and it seems silly to like tell your tell your bros like about these small little motivational things, but they make huge impacts.

33:55

For example, I hate flying.

33:58

Every time I've flown for the last 15 years, I've been on Xanax.

34:00

I take I have Xanax for flying. I hate it.

34:03

I read this book about a month ago. It's called DARE. D A R E.

34:11

>> The drug the drug program.

34:13

>> It's the same name, but it stands for um it's a book on how to deal with panic attacks.

34:17

And the D stands for dismiss.

34:20

And so what that means is yeah, I'm going to get panicky. So what? Who cares? Whatever. >> A stands for allow.

34:26

and be like, "Yeah, let's go. I'm ready. I'm open to it. Let's get panicky."

34:30

R stands for run towards, which is now I want it.

34:32

I want this panic attack to come faster. Let's go, baby.

34:37

And then E stands for engage.

34:40

Once the panic attack has reached its climax, you think, "Okay, it's passed.

34:44

Let's engage in a new activity." Uh, let's read.

34:46

Let's listen to whatever music I'm listening to.

34:47

Let's engage in this conversation.

34:49

And I read that book and I had a flight coming up.

34:52

I had to go to Jackson Hole the other day and I went sober.

34:56

It was the first time that I've done that in 15 years.

34:58

And it was because of that one.

35:00

Like I I read I I read half the book because I I just needed to for it to tell me what DARE meant.

35:07

And I was like, I'm good. I'm going to try that.

35:09

And so I found myself like putting myself in situations where I would get >> So walk me through your Where did you start the D? Is it at the airport? Is it way before that?

35:17

Walk me through step by step. >> There was two.

35:20

One was it was the first time that we had left both of our kids for like a a four-night trip that so I was like nervous not because my I was going to miss them but my little girl was showing a little bit signs of separation.

35:32

So I was starting to get nervous and so I found that it was like compounding.

35:35

I was like getting her worked up and I was getting and I was like oh my gosh.

35:38

So I started it the night before but then when I got to the airport I found myself like okay in about 40 minutes I'm getting on that plane the door's going to shut and I'm going to get panicky. Let's go.

35:48

Let's see how powerful this thing is.

35:49

I'm so excited to put this into place. I'm pumped.

35:53

I'm going to get panicked.

35:53

I'm going to freak out for a minute and I'm going to see how wonderful this new exercise is. I'm so excited.

35:57

And there is like some science behind this which is basically like when you want to get panicky, it's kind of impossible to get panicky.

36:06

It's like do you know cra do do you know are you actually crazy?

36:08

If you tell yourself that you're crazy and you're aware you're crazy.

36:11

It's like one of these things where it's like hard, you know?

36:14

It's like some weird logic like that.

36:15

But um and so like 40 minutes before I was like, "All right, I'm going to feel it."

36:19

And then when I actually sit in the seat, I'm like, in 2 minutes they're about to close that door and it's go time. There's no getting out.

36:25

I'm trapped in here, baby.

36:25

Like it was as if like uh instead of like being like I'm trapped in here with you, it was like you're trapped in here with me now.

36:34

Like yeah, I remember like it was as if I'm in the octagon with this is like you hear the door close, it's like you're stuck, baby.

36:46

Uh like and I have and it totally worked.

36:49

This exercise which was totally a woo woo mind thing.

36:54

>> Was it like night and day meaning it was a totally different experience or it was just a lessened version of what you usually have?

37:01

>> You know it's messed up.

37:01

I've flown a my whole life. It landed.

37:05

>> It's on the tarmac after we landed Jackson Hole. It land.

37:10

>> It takes right off again.

37:10

And my wife my wife touched me.

37:13

She goes, "Why are we taking off again?"

37:15

And I'm looking around and it took eight minutes and I was like, "What is going on?" I put my shoes on.

37:20

I'm like, "If there's a attack like we're going to get ready."

37:22

I was like getting starting to get really nervous.

37:28

>> The Israel plane thing had just happened and I'm like, "We got to get ready.

37:30

I don't know what's happening."

37:32

And then the guy's like, "Okay, so our brakes went out and I had to make the last minute decision to take off again.

37:37

Um, we have to go to Salt Lake City now." out.

37:43

Now, don't freak out because planes have multiple types of brakes.

37:45

I'm going to do like a reverse thruster and when we land, there's going to be a lot of fire trucks there.

37:50

Don't worry, it's probably going to be fine.

37:51

And that was my next 45 minutes.

37:54

And I still did it drug free. But that was lymphoma.

37:59

>> Ladies and gentlemen, we heard Sam thinks that he coped this.

38:01

We're just going to quickly test this. >> Yeah.

38:03

Who's locked in with who, [ __ ] >> Exactly. Dare this, [ __ ] Yeah.

38:13

>> Dare me to reverse land.

38:16

>> So, I freaked out a little bit, but it totally worked.

38:19

>> I feel like that method works for many more things than uh panic attacks, right? >> Yeah.

38:24

I think that um I saw this great um I've been really I was I've been trying to work with this panic thing for claustrophobia.

38:29

It's been a huge issue with me.

38:31

>> But your panic is about being locked in that it's claustrophobic or that it's an airplane that could >> It's claustrophobia.

38:36

So like for years I wouldn't take the New York subway and then I started like doing like exposure therapy where I was like all right I used Claude and I found the shortest destination on subway I'm going to go on it just that day >> and like I worked on it and like the idea of going on like a cruise ship and being out in the middle of the ocean I that is like the worst thing on earth to me when I hear about that.

38:54

Um and so I've been working on this and so I was like studying like fear and panic and how to get used to it and I saw this really cool video with the coach of Did I tell you about this George St. Pierre?

39:05

Um, I don't think you told me about this video.

39:07

>> So, um, a lot of sort of like investors, a lot of MMA coaches who you'd expect to be these like big meattheads, and many of them are, they're really, they're like philosophers a little bit.

39:16

They're like really into this stuff.

39:18

And the reason they're into this is because getting in your underwear and going to like kind of fight to the death in front of a million people, that's a very traumatic, scary thing.

39:25

And so, how do you prepare yourself to do that?

39:27

And so, they start to study this stuff about fear.

39:31

And this guy, um, I forget his name, um, but he's >> a hobby or >> Yes. Yes.

39:36

Is that the Arab guy from, uh, Canada? >> He's cool. He's very thoughtful.

39:39

He's he he comes off like a philosophy guy, but he's a coach for MMA. And George St.

39:46

Pierre, one of the greatest UFC fighters of all time, also a very academicy sounding person.

39:50

And he was like, you know, George doesn't like to fight.

39:55

Like, he doesn't like to hurt people, but he loved training.

39:56

And, you know, he got good and so he kind of came to his career, but he didn't like to fight.

40:00

And frankly, he was very fearful.

40:01

Uh he was not this guy that was like Conor McGregor that's like, I cannot wait to get into combat. That wasn't George.

40:08

And so what we did to make him less fearful is months leading up to the fight, we would start training the actual day of.

40:19

So he would eat the meal before training that he was going to eat that morning before the fight.

40:22

But then we would take it a step further.

40:24

We would we got UFC gloves, so not like practice gloves.

40:26

He would wear the exact ones that we thought he was going to wear.

40:29

He would dress in his UFC outfit and then also before he would train, we would have the competitor's walkout music play.

40:34

And then we also went and got these huge lights that we put around the octagon so it felt the same heat and the same brightness and so he could start getting used to these jitters.

40:44

And I was thinking I was like, it's kind of interesting that um they do this for like the scariest thing on earth, but when I have a hard conversation, like I have to fire someone or something, often times I'm going through that motion unprepared.

40:56

unprepared. meaning in my head I've sort of thought about it and I was like next time I'm like going to actually do like a yepy corporate thing that I'm fearful of a negotiation a firing having a tough conversation I'm like the next day I'm going into that conference room and I'm literally going to do like the walk through of exactly how I feel and I should do that for everything I feel and so in preparation for this flight stuff

41:17

I found myself like occasionally I would like actually pack my suitcase or I would like go through the same motions and I'm like this feels silly but like it does feel nice because this does make me nervous when I'm packing for a flight

41:28

to get and so uh it was really useful to hear his perspective on how they would get down to the very granular details of the the fight and replicate it so your nervous system was used to it. >> That's really interesting. There's also

41:39

>> That's really interesting.

41:39

There's also probably a um sometimes you really anticipate events like let's say something you're excited about, you think something's going to happen and often the anticipation is is more than the actual thing and it kind of leads to disappointment.

41:52

You see this often with founders who sell their company or you know achieving something and you know and then you kind of almost the anticipation was more more exciting.

42:02

This and science has studied this that actually the peak of enjoyment comes in the anticipation lead up to the event not the event itself or the aftermath of the event.

42:11

the event. I feel that way whenever I buy anything like when I'm the three months that I'm researching buying a new car or buying like >> right >> a winter coat I love it and then I like get the coat and I'm like oh okay like you know what I mean like just buying even the smallest things I anticipate it

42:26

so much what happens is rarely in on a high anticipation event rarely does reality match the high so this leads to disappointment when it's something you're excited about now when it's something you're dreading but it sounds like you're allowing the anticipation to happen in a big way beforehand. Well,

42:41

Well, then when the real thing happens, it's kind of dull compared to what you anticipated and it almost blunts the effect.

42:48

Just it's kind of like using the thing that disappoints you on something you're excited about.

42:51

Well, with something you're scared of, you use it to your advantage because the real thing is actually less scary, less less novel, less has less stimulation because you've spent the time in the anticipatory state.

43:03

I mean, my guess is that that has something to do with it. >> Yeah.

43:06

because all the things leading up to anything that you're fearful of contribute often times just more you know as much as the actual nervous thing.

43:14

So like uh when you're laying in bed the night before you have to have a difficult conversation often times that part is more miserable than when you're actually in the middle of it.

43:22

When I used to run track and field and and we run these races and it's not like the UFC and that you get beat up but it's the same thing where you're like even if I do good during this race I'm about to go through pain.

43:32

All my friends and family are here.

43:34

I don't want to be nervous.

43:35

I don't want to embarrass myself.

43:36

And often times in the middle of the race, you're not fearful at all, but leading up to it, you freak out.

43:41

>> And the weird thing is, uh, if I think about like the scariest thing I ever did was probably probably this the the scariest thing I ever kind of signed up to do was was skydiving.

43:48

I wasn't really scared going into it.

43:50

Again, mostly because I didn't really I didn't really care.

43:54

I didn't really think too much about it, but once you start going up and you realize, oh, 10,000 ft is we're over the clouds.

43:59

I literally can't even see the Earth.

44:01

see the Earth. like I and then you know my friend went before me and I just saw him go he just jumps and just disappears and I don't know my friend is gone so I'm like actually you know I'm feeling it when I was up there and the weird thing is that the antidote to the fear

44:18

was not really like bravery or getting over it or convincing myself that it's not scary like that was hard to impossible for me it was just acceptance I was like I'm like you know when you skydive for the first you don't do it by yourself, you're hooked to an instructor. And I was like,

44:34

And I was like, >> you're not getting out of that plane.

44:35

>> I'm hooked to the guy. He's going out. He's going out. I'm hooked to him. It's happening.

44:39

And just the acceptance of like, well, it's happening.

44:40

So that so that part is like the kind of like do I don't I should I shouldn't I I don't want to.

44:47

I'm going to have to I don't have to do it. It's going to happen.

44:52

Once I accepted that it is already going to happen, that already like neutralized I don't know 50% of the fear.

44:57

And then it was kind of more of what you were talking about was like, well, if it's going to happen, then all right, bring it. Let's feel the rush. Let's see what this is. Let's go.

45:04

I want I want this to go. Let's go for it then.

45:08

If we're going to do this, I don't I don't want to go skydiving and half do this or be scared the whole time while I'm doing this panicked.

45:14

Let me let me enjoy this cuz it's happening anyways.

45:16

And the acceptance was pretty key to like moving past that first emotion to the next emotion, which was not like not like still still had fear in it and in in that cocktail, but wasn't like pure fear.

45:30

>> Well, maybe Dare will change your life, too.

45:32

>> Uh it's already changed my life once.

45:35

>> Dismiss, allow, run towards, engage.

45:39

>> It was a great little a great little thing.

45:41

>> You should just refilm the commercial with the egg.

45:42

Crack the egg and be like, "This is your bra.

45:44

This is my brain on a plane. getting fried. >> Um, all right. That's it. That's the B