0:00
He goes, "If you get things done, I love you.
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0:02
And if you don't, I hate you."
0:05
I thought that was so great. What a weirdo.
0:10
When I heard it, I was like, "That's how Sam is."
0:19
Can I tell you about this Elon Musk podcast?
0:20
Did you Did you listen to this Cheeky Punt episode with Elon?
0:22
I saw it, didn't listen to it.
0:26
You got to listen to this thing.
0:26
This is an amazing podcast.
0:28
I think it's >> Who's the Indian guy?
0:30
I I started seeing him pop up like out of nowhere. Dwarakesh.
0:35
Dwarakesh is a podcaster.
0:35
He's got the He's got his own YouTube channel and and whatnot.
0:39
He is this unicorn cuz he's a He's a really good podcaster.
0:42
Like he's got good energy, good vibe.
0:43
You like listening He's like a authentic nerd in a way, but he's also technical.
0:48
So, the one of the reasons this podcast is really interesting is because normally Elon says something and he'll be like, "I predict that in 4 years we will have, you know, uh whatever, 10 more data centers in space than we have on on Earth cumulatively."
1:04
And then what me or you or Joe Rogan or any of us would do when he says that? "Whoa, Mike. Whoa." Yeah. >> That's crazy, man.
1:15
"How How are you going to do that, right? That It's like that. Like, come on, bro."
1:18
Like, you know, that's That's all we are capable of.
1:19
Like, our little peanut mind can only do so much.
1:21
But this guy like, "But Elon, that that doesn't make sense because electricity doesn't work the same way in space or whatever."
1:28
Yeah, he he was pushing back the whole time to where I was like, "Is Elon going to throw his drink in his face?
1:33
Like, what's going on here?
1:33
Is he going to get mad that this guy keeps pushing back on every idea that he says?"
1:37
And it because he pushed back.
1:39
So, he would be like, "Um but why do we need that?
1:41
We can uh you're talking about this much energy that could be done by this many solar panels.
1:45
That could fit in just Nevada.
1:47
So, why do we need space to power this?"
1:51
And then Elon would be like, "Well, here's the reason why, permitting and blah blah blah blah blah blah."
1:54
And he's like, "But won't there be other problems in space, you know, that are just as difficult?
1:59
How are you going to How are you going to fix a broken GPU when it's in space?
2:02
Like, what are you going to do for maintenance?
2:03
That's going to be incredibly difficult to do when it's floating in space."
2:08
And uh Elon was like, you know, then had to like come back with a counterpoint each time.
2:11
So, I thought that was one remarkable thing about the podcast was somebody with enough technical acumen to on the fly calculate So, he So, Elon would say something about space and then he'd be like, "So, if you're going to do 10,000 launches, that means you're launching a a Starship every hour.
2:27
Every hour you're going to do a Starship launch?
2:29
How many have you done last You've done like, you know, three or whatever in the last year?
2:31
Like, that's Is that even possible to do an hour every hour?"
2:34
And then Elon would be like, "Well, uh you know, there's more planes than that taking off from airports. So, yes."
2:39
And then they would like go into why that's like either correct or incorrect.
2:43
Uh so, by the way, it was really funny cuz the founder of Stripe is sitting there, right?
2:48
This is It was all It was like a collab.
2:50
It was on Cheeky Punt, which is made by the Stripe guy.
2:53
And he probably asked five questions total in 3 hours.
2:55
And Dwarakesh asked 500 maybe.
2:57
Didn't Dwarakesh ask a lot?
3:02
>> And shout-out to the guy from Stripe for letting that play out the way it did.
3:04
I thought it made for a great podcast.
3:07
>> Did he best Elon in anything?
3:07
No, no, it wasn't like a one-upmanship, but it was definitely a "I'm not just going to let you say that [ __ ] Like, wait.
3:14
So, you What do you know that I don't know?
3:18
Because I would just think this."
3:18
And he would like kind of earnestly ask the question and he'd be like, "Okay, I buy that that does this, but I don't see the connection you made to this."
3:25
And so, he forced him to keep going, which I thought Did you feel the same sense that I feel when I see a white guy win a 100-meter dash or like a sense of national pride? Yeah. Like uh yeah.
3:41
Like when Chris Anderson was a white cornerback in the NFL? Is that how you felt?
3:49
A little bit, I'm if I'm being honest.
3:51
I actually felt scared for him.
3:51
I was like, "Dude, tone it down. It's a little crazy.
3:55
You're just getting a little You're getting a little feisty here."
3:56
Uh but he was also like autistically like unaware of like So, I like I can't not ask this.
4:03
I have to ask this because I want to know the answer to it.
4:07
And I thought that was so great.
4:08
He's so earnest in the way he does everything. It's great. Um all right. >> Wait, what? What? What?
4:14
>> Like high-fiving your wife watching it. >> WorldStarHipHop. Where we at? Where we at? Next.
4:21
I may or may not have bought a Dwarakesh uh you know, hoodie after that.
4:27
Um So, can I tell you some of the crazy things that Elon said? Yeah.
4:31
Uh >> mention Epstein at all? He did not.
4:34
They didn't go into They were They basically were like, "We're going to use this time to talk about like technology, not like the woke blah blah blah politics like politics Elon."
4:43
They like did a very minimal amount of that.
4:45
Did a little bit on Doge at the end, but like not not much.
4:48
Um I'll tell you first just like a useful thing and then I'll tell you some of the crazy things cuz the crazy things you're going to be like We're both again going to be like, "Whoa, man."
4:56
Um but let's just do the useful thing.
4:57
So, he They asked about hiring.
4:57
So, they were basically getting into their like, "So, um how do you do Like, what are you doing differently than the rest of us?
5:04
Like, what What is it that you're doing that's leading to all of this incredible like individually and in one any one of your companies is doing incredible things, right?
5:15
SpaceX, trillion-dollar company.
5:16
XAI came into the AI game like, I don't know, 7 years late or something like that and became a $250 billion company.
5:25
>> Dude, I don't even know I saw I I saw the XAI thing.
5:27
I didn't even know what it is. Have you ever used Grok?
5:30
It's It's Elon's competitor to ChatGPT, which is The product is called Grok.
5:35
It's his revenge company cuz when OpenAI kind of screwed him and like uh did exactly the opposite of what he wanted, right?
5:43
OpenAI open-sourced um AI that's, you know, a nonprofit and now it's a for-profit closed-source company and he funded $50 million and then now owns none of it.
5:52
Like, his revenge company was XAI.
5:57
But again, 7 7 8 years late to the game and still uh caught up.
5:58
Tesla obviously worth more than the next 20 car companies combined.
6:02
So, it's It's like, you know, he's Any one of these companies dominate.
6:07
All of these companies supernova. What is this? What's even happening?
6:10
And so, they're asking about hiring.
6:11
And they were like, "You must have incredible people because just by logic, there's no way you could be in five of these companies at the same time doing the things yourself.
6:20
So, you must have incredible people.
6:21
How are you getting these people?"
6:23
And so, they were like, "What do you look for when you hire?"
6:26
Cuz he hired, I guess, the first thousand people at SpaceX or thousand-plus people at SpaceX.
6:29
He interviewed them uh himself.
6:32
And he just goes, "I'm looking for evidence of exceptional ability."
6:34
And he goes, "Uh sometimes I would see a resume and I'd be like, this person sounds great."
6:40
He goes, "But I've learned you trust the conversation, not the resume."
6:43
So, he's like, "If in that first 20 minutes I'm not saying, 'Wow,' um I believe the conversation and I don't believe the resume."
6:49
And he goes, "All I ask them for in the interview is tell me about something something exceptional you've done.
6:55
I'm looking for evidence of exceptional ability.
6:59
And if they can't tell me a story" He goes, "If they say one thing or, you know, one to three things that I'm just saying, 'Wow, wow, wow,' that's all I'm looking for when I hire." >> define that?
7:09
Uh of exceptional ability?
7:09
Yeah, like could it be like I was an NCAA athlete and I was uh I won.
7:14
I won >> He's looking for technical tech technical achievements or like things you've built or done technically.
7:20
And he was saying he he's like, you know, he's like he's like, "It's not that I'm batting a thousand, right?
7:26
I make a lot of mistakes."
7:27
He goes, "But at this point I've have probably, you know, to use like the AI terms, I have the most training data probably uh you know, out there of hiring like technical talent.
7:38
You know, I've been doing this for a long time and I've interviewed so many of these people myself and I've gotten to see what worked and what didn't.
7:44
And then I revised my training You know, I have a big training set and I revised my own I R O L D myself and I redid reinforcement learning on myself in order to figure out what should I actually be looking for?
7:55
What What do I actually want?"
7:55
And then they were like They asked him this great question.
7:59
They go, "Uh what do you look for in like a sparring partner?
8:02
So, like what does it take to work well with Elon?
8:03
And uh you know, what do you want?"
8:06
And he goes, "I don't want a sparring partner.
8:08
I want you to execute well.
8:09
If He goes, "If someone executes well, I'm a huge fan.
8:15
If they don't, I hate them."
8:18
He goes He goes, "I don't care about my own idiosyncratic preferences."
8:21
He goes, "If you get things done, I love you.
8:23
And if you don't, I hate you."
8:28
I thought that was so great. What a weirdo.
8:34
You say that I feel like you're the same way, dude.
8:35
I literally feel like I When I heard it, I was like, "That's how Sam is."
8:39
Well, I just took Andrew Wilkinson's like personality test.
8:41
You see him tweet that thing out the other day? Yeah.
8:43
Uh your boy's autistic, apparently.
8:46
So, uh That's literally what the test Wait, how did we lead with that? >> Yeah.
8:52
He was He was Yeah, breaking. Tell the TBPN.
8:56
I need to get one of those little like uh announcement things.
9:00
>> You know what the This is better than your birthday. Feb 9th.
9:01
That was your awakening day.
9:03
You found out the good news. The big A day.
9:06
Um Yeah, maybe now our podcast can get into the top top charts here.
9:11
We need to break into the top 10.
9:13
We're We've been lacking.
9:15
Yeah, it turns out uh yeah, capital A autistic.
9:17
And so, maybe Elon and I um I don't know.
9:19
Maybe he's got the good type of autistic, though.
9:22
Yeah, he's got the good math one and you have like >> both got the one where we uh are just awkward in social situations and we say things like You got the social one and he got the math one.
9:32
By the way, for anyone who's a fan We say this with extreme love and uh a sense of humor about this.
9:36
And we There's a long-running joke, which is like in San Francisco, like it's one of the highest status It's one of the highest status things you can have, and that's where uh the the origin of the joke come from. All right.
9:47
So, a lot of people watch or listen to this show because they want to hear us just tell them exactly what to do when it comes to starting or growing a business.
9:53
Now, a A of people message Sean and I and they say, "All right, I want to start something on the side. Is this a good idea? Is that a good idea?"
10:01
And again, what they're really just saying is just give me the ideas.
10:02
Well, my friends, you're in luck.
10:06
So, my old company, The Hustle, they put together a hundred different side hustle ideas and they have appropriately called it the side hustle idea database.
10:14
It's a list of a hundred pretty good ideas, frankly. I went through them. They're awesome.
10:18
And it gives you how to start them, how to grow them, things like that.
10:22
Gives you a little bit of inspiration. So, check it out.
10:25
It's called the side hustle idea database.
10:27
It's in the description below. You'll see the link. Click it. Check it out.
10:31
Let me know the comments what you think.
10:33
Can I tell you another thing that he said in this?
10:34
So, he was like, "They kept asking.
10:36
They were like, okay, so like what are you doing differently?"
10:37
He goes, "I just have a maniacal sense of urgency."
10:40
And he goes, "I shoot for a deadline that I have a 50% probability of success."
10:45
And people make fun of me because that means half the time I'm late and I'm wrong about my deadline and I miss my deadlines.
10:50
But uh it's worth it because he goes, "Work is like a gas.
10:54
It expands to fill the time you give it.
10:57
And so, I just don't give it much time."
10:59
Um and so, okay, that was that was good.
11:00
Now, let me tell you about some of the crazy stuff.
11:03
So, >> Wait, that's actually really interesting.
11:05
I get criticized within my own company of doing that, of creating like these super urgent and people get worn out.
11:10
And then like Hermosi, who I who I think is a really smart business guy, he like preaches all the time of like have patience and everything like that.
11:16
It's that's a hard dichotomy to to handle.
11:18
Uh yeah, I think it's sort of a like uh long-term patience as in you're not going to give up and you're going to stay at it.
11:24
Um I think short-term maniacal sense of urgency is you know, on on the task.
11:29
So, it's like patient with the mission and maniacal about the task.
11:32
Um is is probably the way the way to do it.
11:36
So, the here's another thing um that I picked up.
11:39
He might have said the phrase limiting factor 400 times in 3 hours.
11:47
Have you ever said that phrase?
11:50
So, if one thing came out of this, it was how Elon thinks and works is you have a huge mission, right?
11:59
We're going to go to Mars.
11:59
We're going to build the first electric car company.
12:02
We're going to build artificial general intelligence, right? Like whatever it is. Huge mission.
12:08
You have maniacal sense of urgency.
12:10
Great, that's the second component.
12:10
And what's the third one?
12:11
It's this idea of the limiting factor.
12:13
And so, at any given time, all he's doing is he's sort of scanning for what is the limiting factor?
12:18
As in, what is the bottleneck that's preventing us from getting to the outcome sooner right now?
12:24
So, for example, um with AI right now, they're like uh you're doing these space data stations that data centers. That sounds crazy. Why are you doing this?
12:33
Why can't we just do it on Earth?
12:34
And he's basically like, "Well, to make AI smarter, we need bigger like data center, more compute.
12:43
And so, you're either going to be limited by chips.
12:46
Uh initially we were limited by chips, so I started building chips.
12:50
Uh so, like Tesla's building like uh their own GPUs to like, you know, like the equivalent of the Nvidia chips.
12:56
Um and he bought he bought the most, you know, he bought like huge orders of Nvidia chips and, you know, told Jensen like, "Give me everything you got."
13:01
The second thing is power.
13:06
And so, he's like, "The limiting factor is now power, not chips."
13:07
He's like, "I suspect that actually in the next, you know, 24 36 months, there will be more GPU chips that can't be turned on.
13:13
So, the limiting factor will not be chips anymore.
13:17
We're not constrained by chips.
13:18
We'll be constrained by power availability."
13:21
And so, then he's like um and so, they walk through.
13:23
They're like, "So, what do you mean?
13:24
So, like why can't you just connect to the grid?"
13:26
And he's like, "You can't connect to the grid for these reasons."
13:29
They're Okay, well, why can't you do it off grid?
13:30
Why can't you just get a buy a like a power plant and power your own chips, not connect to the grid?
13:36
He's like, "Well, there's three companies that make the power plants and they're all booked out till 2032.
13:38
We can't build the power plants fast enough where there's not enough people or projects and time to build enough power plants as we're going to need."
13:46
And they're like, "Well, specifically like what's the So, then he's like specifically why?"
13:49
He's like, "Actually, it's the turbines inside the power plants that we cannot procure in time.
13:55
And there's this many companies that make the turbines.
13:56
And actually, within the turbine, it's the blades and veins that you can't do.
14:00
And so, we're going to try to make them at Tesla, but even that will take time.
14:03
And so, we're limited by this.
14:05
And so, I'm throwing all my weight into whatever is the limiting factor at any given time in this business."
14:12
And so, it ended up with like, "Eff it, we're going to launch these data centers in space.
14:15
That's the way to get around this limiting factor."
14:17
But over and over and over again in the whole podcast, it's basically like the formula is like identify the limiting factor and then go ape [ __ ] to get over it.
14:24
And most people don't do either of the two.
14:26
They don't actually correctly address or identify the limiting factor.
14:32
And then if they even if they did, they don't go ape [ __ ] right?
14:33
Um and so, ever since this podcast, it like any meeting I've had, so like, you know, I check in with kind of my portfolio companies, and I've just gone full Elon on them where I've just like, "So, we want this outcome.
14:46
What's the limiting factor?"
14:48
And then the CEO will talk for 5 minutes.
14:50
I'm like, "Cool, you didn't answer my question.
14:51
What's the limiting factor?"
14:52
"Well, the limiting factor is X." "Okay, great.
14:56
Why are you talking about all these other things besides X?
14:57
X is the limiting factor.
14:58
So, all we're going to focus on is X."
15:01
"Okay, well, what does that Okay, so what does that mean?
15:04
Now, you Once you identify that, you need to drop everything else, just focus on X, and then go ape [ __ ] on it."
15:08
And he would say, he's like, "In my companies, if something's going something is going well, you're not going to see me.
15:15
Right now, The Boring Company is going well.
15:16
I don't spend any time on it because it's going well.
15:19
If it hits a roadblock and there's a limiting factor and they can't solve it, then I will come in and I'll throw my full force, my full weight at it."
15:24
And I just thought this simple operating philosophy, I think it serve a lot of people, is to identify the limiting factor and then figure out how to throw your entire weight against it.
15:32
And um you know, sort of if you got to go over the wall, over through the wall, around the wall, under the wall, whatever you got to do, you got to get past that wall.
15:42
Like I I don't know like I don't know if you want to play the game, but like right now, let's take Hampton, for example.
15:45
What's the limiting factor in Hampton? Thought exercise.
15:49
Yeah, so we basically only do two things.
15:50
We get the best people to join a core group and then we allow them to have good conversations.
15:53
And so, for us, the limiting factor in order to expand to chapters globally is to get more of the the best people. So, more people.
16:03
What's the limiting factor on more good people?
16:04
Well, I I could probably make a list of five things that we could do.
16:07
For example, we could ask for referrals more than we do.
16:09
We could probably spend more on advertising.
16:10
So, okay, so those would be solutions, but just one level deeper into the problem.
16:13
So, like we have a lot of people, they're not good.
16:17
Or we have good people, but we just don't have enough of them We don't have enough people applying, period.
16:19
We're limiting our prospects to only 13 cities.
16:24
So, we need to open that up in order We We have thousands and thousands of people applying every single month, but we limit it only to 13 cities.
16:30
So, what what's the limiting factor of opening up 13 more cities?
16:34
Just bandwidth probably of like having someone really focus on a particular city because once one person joins or a prospect shows interest in let's say Birmingham, how do we find seven other people who are interested?
16:46
And then the way that we will eventually scale that is we will instead pivot our business to where moderators are basically franchisees owners and they have to go and help recruit seven other people once we give them one person.
16:58
And so, they're running their own little coaching business. Right.
17:00
And so, a useful exercise in this case would be basically, what's stopping us from doing it tomorrow?
17:07
So, let's say tomorrow you wanted to open 10 cities.
17:10
What would actually break if you if you open 10 cities tomorrow?
17:16
Well, a customer would potentially be angry cuz they'd have to wait a long time until we found seven other people in let's say Birmingham.
17:21
And so, then you say, is that true?
17:23
Is there Is there not Are do we have uh So, to have 10 cities, you need how many members?
17:29
Like to activate that city?
17:32
Um well, you just need one core group of eight people.
17:33
So, you need So, you need 80 people.
17:35
So, you need eight per city.
17:38
Um do you have eight Do you have eight that are ready to open one city tomorrow or no?
17:45
Like could you open one tomorrow? Yes.
17:48
Could you open two tomorrow? Probably. Um maybe.
17:51
But like it would get hard.
17:51
I need more I would need more people.
17:55
And then the question would be like, well, why do I need more people?
17:56
You know, why can't I just do it with less people? Uh yeah, yeah, okay.
18:00
So, so you start to get into like the nuts and bolts of it, right?
18:03
But like if we just even just look at what just happened, right?
18:07
It was like uh started with a high-level problem.
18:09
We need more power, right?
18:11
In your case, it was like, uh we need more good people.
18:13
And then you got to turbines and blades and veins is the limiting factor, which was like, "Actually, Mississippi has four people and we need eight."
18:25
Um and so, you know, could you do We wanted to We need to do 10. Could I do one? Yes. Could I do two? No. What happened at two?
18:31
Why did one to two break? Right?
18:33
So, you sort of Okay, there's a limiting factor somewhere between one and two. What's What's different?
18:37
What's What happened there?
18:38
And also, a second ago you were like, we could ask for referrals, we could do X, we could do Y.
18:42
It's almost like um we jump to solutions really quickly.
18:48
And what I think actually happens in these companies is we sort of already have in our mind a bunch of pet projects of good ideas, generically good ideas, but not specifically problem-solving ideas.
18:58
And I think the one big sign of one big source of waste in companies is when everybody wants to do their pet projects or everybody wants to do their generically good ideas rather than the specifically effective ideas that are going to solve the current bottleneck that is right in front of us that we could unblock for tomorrow.
19:14
I think this makes sense.
19:16
I think it's hard to pull off.
19:18
I think that like it's hard to pull up just because of interpersonal relationships.
19:20
A lot of people would like approach this and be like, "Well, I'm doing all these other things.
19:24
Like how dare you like tell me to do this one thing?
19:26
Like you don't understand.
19:26
Like how are we going to keep the business running?" You know what I mean?
19:28
That's the the the pushback mostly. Totally.
19:32
Uh and and I think that's by the way, that's a very real thing.
19:34
Like, "Hey, we're going to focus on this."
19:36
And it's like, "Well, actually, you don't really realize I'm holding up this entire ship by keeping these six trains running on time.
19:43
And um I have to keep doing that."
19:46
So, a lot of people a lot of times I've seen this where it's like I could tell the good people in my company, they're like, "Yeah, I hear what you're saying and I'm going to do that.
19:54
I'm not even going to like I'm going to have to keep some of these these trains running and you're I we don't need to discuss it.
19:59
It just I just know it needs to get done and blah blah blah."
20:02
What I found is pretty effective is to address it in the in the call.
20:04
So, what I'll do is I'll address the trade-off.
20:08
So, I'll say, "So, here's what that means.
20:10
By focusing on this, what that means is that this area where we actually know how to improve it and we have a bunch of good ideas and maybe even two things that are in flight, we're actually just not going to do any of those and we're going to accept a mediocre progress here for exceptional progress here."
20:26
And nobody wants to say that out loud, but I'm going to say it out loud cuz it's true.
20:29
We have a trade-off of energy and focus and intention.
20:31
And if we're going to move it all over here, that's what that means over there.
20:35
We're all saying out loud, "Yes, we understand and accept this."
20:38
It's like accepting the terms and conditions when you sign up for a website.
20:41
It's like, "Yes, you're going to sell my data."
20:42
It's like, "Yep, over here we're going to make far less progress than we want."
20:46
And I think this happens throughout life, right?
20:48
You you have a kid and you're like, "Wow, this is really important."
20:52
Well, guess what's going to be a little less important is like your work for the next 3 months.
20:57
And your gym routine is going to go out the window.
20:59
And you just have to like, you know, if you don't accept those trade-offs, you're just going to feel a constant underlying state of anxiety or stretch yourself too thin and do a poor job of everything.
21:10
Uh rather it's actually just better to say, "Well, great.
21:12
For this season, this is what matters and I am I'm okay with a less than stellar rate of progress.
21:17
I will only do this amount to keep this running, but beyond that I will not be doing for this next period of time."
21:24
Are you good at not bitching at them about why this thing sucks?
21:28
For example, for the Hustle, it was um uh grow email list.
21:31
Therefore, social media does not matter.
21:34
And then Why does our social media suck?
21:36
Why does our social media suck? Yeah. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
21:40
Uh well, I give them permission to I mean, we put the the thing right in front of us like front and center.
21:44
We like I'm I'm a obnoxious repeater.
21:45
So, like every day when I start my day, I will say, "Hey, here's our goals for the year.
21:53
Here's the things we said matter.
21:55
Here's what matters this week." And I'm like a bot.
21:57
Um but because I realize like if I don't keep repeating it, people don't even know what we're trying to do.
22:02
Um and we don't like So, I try to get a really crisp set of things clearly really crisp clear set of things we're doing and then I will repeat it so much to the point that I myself remember we said social media doesn't matter.
22:14
All that matters is growing email list.
22:15
And they have permission to be like, "Wait, but social media doesn't matter.
22:18
All that matters is the list."
22:19
And it takes some time to work together where you kind of screw that up.
22:25
It's like you you feel like, "Why why was this last month not as productive as we wanted?"
22:31
And then you sort of come to the powwow and real- realize like, "Well, it's because we said we were going to focus on these things, but then we kept getting distracted and you know, wanted to also do these five other things and guess what?
22:41
When we try to do it all, like we can have anything, we just can't have everything all at once.
22:45
And you learn that the hard way once, twice and it's like, you know, George Bush, you know, fool me once, shame on me.
22:50
Fool me twice, don't fool me again.
22:52
You know, it becomes that at a certain point.
22:54
So, the good thing, you know, I've worked with Ben for like 6 years. So, we kind of know.
22:59
Like, you know, we've stepped in that gum before.
23:01
Like, do we really want that on our shoe again?
23:03
I can kind of see it coming if we're going to do this.
23:06
Or you're saying this, but remember, this is like that other time.
23:08
So, let's just stay focused.
23:10
You threw that George Bush quote in there like you were rapping. Seamless. That was great. Well, what's the quote?
23:17
Fool me once, shame on me.
23:17
Fool me twice, don't fool me again.
23:20
Yeah, he like loses the quote so he's like, "Fool me twice Don't You can't keep fooling me." It's like an old-timer.
23:31
Can I show you one other clip that I thought was pretty just I don't know wild? From Elon? Yeah.
23:36
Is it the clip about how he lied about not going to Jeffrey Epstein's Island? No. Did he go actually?
23:46
Um I'm not sure if he went or not, but he said that he refused to go, but the emails say that he was actually begging to go. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
23:52
Hey, we're going to be around the town.
23:54
You guys got anything going on? Yeah, definitely.
23:58
Um all right, watch this.
23:58
vastly more intelligent than humans.
24:01
Since sometimes you're like a doomer and this is like the best we've got.
24:03
He's just like he keeps it around because we're interesting.
24:06
I'm I'm just trying to be realistic here.
24:07
Um if if we have if if if AI intelligence is vastly more If if AI is like you know Let's say that there's a there's a million times more uh silicon intelligence than there is biological.
24:22
Um It's it's I think it's it would be foolish to assume that that there's any any way to maintain control over over that.
24:29
Now, you can make sure it has the right values or we can try to have have the the right values.
24:31
Okay, so I I don't know if I I think I might have picked the wrong time step a little bit there, but here's what he says.
24:37
>> minutes in and they're they barely drink their their drink. No, there's refills. There's refills.
24:41
Well, one of the funny jokes is that Dwarakesh doesn't touch his pint.
24:44
He just keeps bringing it up to his mouth and it just wets his beard and then it goes back down with the same amount in it.
24:51
While the other guys are just like crushing them.
24:52
Um All right, so here's what he says about AI.
24:54
So, the the the topic is um how do you make sure that AI, you know, ends up being good for humanity?
25:02
And he says something where he goes um they were like they were like, "How do you stay in control?"
25:07
And he says um if you have intelligence that's 100 times smarter than any human, it's hard to imagine that the humans stay in control.
25:17
And then the second thing and then they go, "So, wait, are you like a doomer here?
25:20
Like, you know, you just think we're doomed?"
25:21
And he goes, "I'm just trying to be realistic here.
25:25
If AI is vastly more intelligent, like there's a million more times silicon intelligence than biological, I think it would be foolish to believe that we can maintain control over that.
25:34
All you could do is try to make sure it has the right values.
25:37
Like kind of like basically like it goes on like raise it a kid that it would keep us around."
25:44
And I just thought that's a pretty stunning admission for a guy who's building AI to basically say out loud um "This thing is going to be so much smarter than humans and when it is, the idea that the human like the chimps are going to stay in control of the humans.
26:02
Like that the humans are going to be in control of this thing that's 100 times or 1,000 times or a million times smarter than me >> to me because it's foolish.
26:08
Like uh you know, the ego is the reason why like Napoleon's Napoleon.
26:12
You know, like the reason to dom- like the like does does a computer have the need to dominate?
26:20
It's not even that it dominates.
26:20
It's that we don't control it.
26:21
So, for example, like if we say, "Cool, I want you to run all decisions by me."
26:27
But it makes decisions a thousand times better than any human alive in the history of mankind.
26:32
Realistically, if you gave it the mission of being successful, is it actually going to run the run the decisions by you?
26:36
But that's what I'm asking.
26:37
Does it actually have the mission to be successful?
26:39
Like a human has Well, you're going to give it the mission.
26:42
Even if even if the human is the one prompting it.
26:43
Say, "Hey, I want you to make this thing really I want you to help me become president.
26:47
I want you to build this successful company.
26:49
I want you to build this technology."
26:51
Do you think after that it's going to care what you have to say or what >> if you turned it on. That's my point.
26:59
Like like humans have a compulsion to be right to a lot of humans have a compulsion to be nice to reciprocate.
27:06
It doesn't have compulsions.
27:06
And so like can can you can you turn it the way that you just told it to dominate or to win, can you also say win less? You might.
27:14
Then the next guy says, "No, I want to win. Stay on."
27:19
All it takes is one guy to to not turn it off, right?
27:20
Like the same thing with one country to not have safeguards on it.
27:24
Have you seen the AI social network where they're like all AI guys talking about like how they're going to dominate humans?
27:30
Yeah, although that might be like kind of faked.
27:32
It's unclear at this point if that's fake or real.
27:34
Like it might be that humans are saying say something like this cuz it freaks everybody out, goes viral. Have you seen this?
27:39
He Elon tweeted this this meme.
27:41
"I don't want to live in a world where someone else makes humans irrelevant before we do."
27:48
That's just how that is kind of how it feels.
27:49
It um but like I hope he's wrong.
27:54
Yeah, even with SpaceX, you know, he's talking about like, you know, the goal is you know, the the original mission with SpaceX is to like preserve the he calls it like the candle of consciousness.
28:03
Like basically like what if something happened to Earth?
28:05
If we're a single planet species, like all consciousness could get wiped out.
28:08
It should be really important that we're a multi-planetary species so that like >> really good phrase.
28:14
human consciousness or intelligence like, you know, lives on.
28:17
And in this interview, he kind of backs off that.
28:19
He's like, you know, consciousness is we don't really know what that is.
28:22
So, let's just say intelligence.
28:24
Um cuz XAI just merged with SpaceX.
28:24
He's like, "So, you know, at least intelligence will propagate through the internet."
28:30
It's basically like the robots and the chips and the AI will will definitely be multi-planetary whether we are or not.
28:35
Like He basically his argument and so Dwarakesh is like, "Why do you think that they would care that humans survive?"
28:43
And he's like, "Well, um you know, there's no reason to kill us."
28:50
Dwarakesh is like, "That's not very reassuring."
28:51
was essentially the way that that he put it.
28:53
He's like, "You know, humans are interesting and we're part of consciousness.
28:56
So, like if you want to maximally expand consciousness, you would keep humans around, right?
29:00
There's not a big advantage to doing it."
29:01
It's like, "Whoa, if that's what if that's the last if that's the moral victory we're clinging to, this is a pretty um startling thing."
29:07
So, I just thought that's that's a kind of crazy admission that that he was making.
29:10
Can I tell you two other just insane things from this?
29:11
So, he's talking about what he's doing with his AI project, which I don't think he's ever really talked about before.
29:16
Have you ever heard of this macro hard project? No. What's it called? Macro hard?
29:20
Yeah, so he's like, "You know, Is it like like the like the 70 for third or what's it called?
29:26
70 for 70 where you got to like run a mile every day for 70 days? 70 hard? 75 hard?
29:30
That's what it sounds No, no, he made it the opposite of Microsoft.
29:33
So, he's like, "What's the opposite of Microsoft? It's macro hard."
29:37
And basically what he was doing what he's doing is he's building what he calls human emulators.
29:40
So, here's the Elon philosophy or the like strategy that kind of got revealed during this podcast.
29:46
So, the strategy is how do you win?
29:51
Well, he goes, if you think in the limit, what is the what is the most that AI can do before before you have like robots that are, you know, like artificially intelligent robots, which they're trying to build at Tesla, right?
30:03
So, Tesla's building Optimus, which is the robot that can do any of the work that a human could do.
30:08
And, you know, that's that's robots.
30:08
He goes, what's the So, what is he doing with his software play?
30:12
It's He goes, think in the limit.
30:14
Well, this limit is if you're not in a robot, it's anything a human can do on a computer.
30:21
And so, he's like, basically, he's I think he says within like 12 or 24 months, he believes that AI will be able to do anything that a human can do on a computer.
30:32
So, he calls it a So, they're building what they call the human emulator.
30:36
So, it's a AI that can work like do anything a human could do with a computer.
30:40
So, like I have an executive assistant.
30:42
So, the idea would be obviously the AI would be able to do everything she does for me.
30:46
So, researching things, booking things, you know, making anything happen. That's obviously there.
30:50
But, also you and I doing this podcast, if we can do this online, that means that AI should be able to do this online.
30:55
It should be able to produce an interesting podcast twice a week about, you know, business trends, opportunities, ideas of that are related to entrepreneurship for business junkies just like us.
31:06
And it should be able to have a sense of humor, but bring to the table three or four really interesting topics per per episode.
31:14
So, AI should be able to do that because this is done online.
31:16
So, he goes, anything that's moving electrons, the AI should be able to do.
31:21
And they go, well, how are you trying to solve that?
31:22
He goes like, so do you want me to just give away all my secrets on a podcast?
31:25
Like, that would be sort of stupid, right?
31:26
Like, I'm in the the most competitive game in the world right now is to create this.
31:30
He calls it the highest Elo battle in the world.
31:35
Elo being like, you know, the chess rankings, like Elo your Elo ratings.
31:36
So, he's like, the highest Elo cuz it's Dude, Elo needs a wedgie, man. This guy's hilarious.
31:42
Macrohard human emulator. This is crazy.
31:45
So, he's like, you know, he's like he's like it'll take at least three more beers for me to get, you know, to reveal that.
31:51
But, he's like, it'll be something like the way that Tesla solved self-driving.
31:56
And then they were like, okay, unrelated question.
31:57
How did Tesla solve self-driving?
32:00
And he's like, well, what it you know, what it did was it used very basic sensors, the the same sort of sensors that humans have.
32:06
Camera in this case, you know, mostly cameras, eyes, vision.
32:11
And it watched humans drive a lot, like millions and millions and millions and millions of miles.
32:17
And then it tried to emulate what they would do.
32:20
So, it tries to while you're driving, it tries to guess what you would do.
32:23
And anytime there's a difference, it notes it and it tries to learn from other people in similar situations until it can basically match what a human would do while driving.
32:32
And that's what Tesla self-driving does.
32:34
And so, similarly, what they're doing with the human emulators is they're basically getting tons and tons of data of humans using computers and they're using that to teach computers how to use computers.
32:42
And that's where this is going for Macrohard.
32:44
And then he talked about on the robot side, they were like, so how do you do that?
32:48
Is that a Is Macrohard a company?
32:52
I don't know if it's a project or a company.
32:53
I think it's a project within XAI.
32:55
I don't think it's a separate company.
32:58
How many people work at XAI?
32:58
Is that Is XAI considered Twitter now? In the same company? They did merge.
33:02
XAI and X merged and now and now that merged with SpaceX. Crazy.
33:13
And okay, so now let's talk about the robot thing real quick.
33:14
So, he goes, the Optimus robot, he goes he he goes, it's the infinite money glitch because labor is the biggest market in the world.
33:23
And if you can have robots that can do human labor, and specifically, once the once the robot can build more robots, that's the infinite money glitch.
33:30
So, basically, once Optimus can build more Optimus, it's over.
33:36
And he's like and they were like, well, how will you do the emulator thing?
33:38
Cuz Tesla made sense, right?
33:40
Humans bought the cars and drove them around.
33:42
So, that gave you all the training data of how to drive.
33:46
And with Macrohard, theoretically, you could have you could have a bunch of, you know, humans using computers and emulate it.
33:51
But, how do you do the robot one?
33:53
There's not enough robots to learn from.
33:55
And so, he said he's building this warehouse where 10,000 robots will be able to self-play.
33:59
So, it's basically this giant warehouse where 10,000 robots are like a bunch of toddlers walking around trying to figure out how to do tasks, like pick this up, move this here, try this, work together on this, you know, build this box without it breaking, you know, whatever.
34:14
And they're not going to tell them how to do it.
34:17
They're just going to self-play over and over and over again until they figured out the same way that they're going to like come in after three weeks and they're going to be like trying to like solve the like bars to get out. You know what I mean?
34:26
Like they're like escaping prison.
34:30
So so like this is how they beat they built the best chess engines and go engines was instead of telling it strategies and rules, they just said, play 10 million games and figure it out.
34:41
All you know is the rules of where the pieces can move.
34:43
Like piece this pawn can move forward.
34:45
The bishop can move diagonally.
34:46
That's all we tell you and we'll tell you that winning is good. Go.
34:51
And it played like 10 million games and it became the best chess player in the world.
34:54
They did it with go, it became the best go player ever.
34:58
Now he's doing the same thing with robots.
34:59
But, I thought, how crazy is that going to be?
35:00
There's just this self-play warehouse where the robots are trying to figure out how to do stuff.
35:05
Like Where is it going to be?
35:05
Where's this going to be? I don't know.
35:08
He didn't give me the address, but it it sounds pretty awesome, right?
35:10
They're going to put like you know, like at like puppy cams at like doggy like doggy daycares.
35:16
You know, we we need that for these robots.
35:18
Tell me I wouldn't be watching that thing four hours a day.
35:22
This is like whenever we talk about this, my fight or flight response goes up hardcore.
35:29
Can I ask what's the Okay, so I have this theory that basically a thing happens, we give it a meaning, the meaning just decides the feeling.
35:38
You told me about the thing happening, hearing about all these exciting AI breakthroughs.
35:41
And you told me the feeling, which is like kind of fight or flight fear, anxiety, exhaustion.
35:45
What's the meaning you're putting on all this that's making you feel that way?
35:50
What does it mean that Elon's doing this or that these tools are rapidly advancing or there's new tools every day?
35:55
What's the meaning you're putting on that? I'm falling behind.
35:59
You Yeah, you have you either got to get on or get off and you have to you have to adapt faster than ever before in order to keep up.
36:06
And all these opportunities are flying by and, you know, what's the phrase like opportunities are trains.
36:11
Thankfully, there's always another one, but these trains are moving real fast and I don't even know if I can grab it if I don't catch on when it's at when it's at the stop.
36:20
And what happens if you don't catch on? Well, I'm lucky.
36:22
I'm in a point in my life where like if I don't catch on, like I just I'm like I'm safe.
36:28
But, like as an opportunity loving entrepreneur, like there are like, you know, you do feel FOMO. And also there is fear.
36:36
There's a bit fear, but it's weird.
36:38
You have to like think about it. I'm lucky.
36:40
I'm not fearful entirely of myself, but I still feel that like humanity is like changing and it's scary. Yeah. It's just change.
36:47
It's and change is good and bad, but it's just like the speed of of things. It is incredible.
36:53
I mean, I remember in 2021, my friend was telling me about OpenAI and thinking about joining the company and I was like, I don't know, man. Is this Is this legit? Like who knows?
37:00
That was only five years ago.
37:02
And it's like our parents use it, you know?
37:04
Like it it's pretty My mom uses it constantly, which is crazy. It's astounding. It's crazy. It's wild.
37:10
Like and there's a different tool every single day and they're so good.
37:14
Yeah, I I guess I just I think we should leave it with the optimistic version of that, which is there's never been more opportunity than this.
37:25
That if you're good, you get to lever up.
37:29
And like whatever your whatever your output was going to be, you can sort of 10 to 100X that using these tools.
37:35
You don't need to use all of them.
37:35
You don't need to catch every opportunity.
37:38
Catching any piece of this is going to be huge.
37:42
Catching any piece of this at all is going to put you in the top 1% cuz if we're feeling this, you have to remember the whole world is not if if it's all about change and adaptation, who better than us to you know, who better than the type of person that listens to this podcast than than to take advantage of that? Like, you know, 99.
37:58
99999% of the world doesn't even listen to a podcast like this.
38:03
If you're listening to the podcast like this, you're already in the 1% of you know, adaptability of change of future promise.
38:11
And so, you're better positioned than anybody to to take advantage.
38:15
Yeah, the problem is we compare to the we two decimal places over and we're like, but Elon's doing this.
38:21
But, this guy's doing this, right?
38:23
And it's like you don't have to be them to to win.
38:25
In fact, you know, we sort of stand on the shoulders of giants.
38:28
I have a friend who was telling me his father owns a nursing home company or something like that.
38:33
What it's like at home care.
38:37
And he's like, my dad's in his 70s.
38:37
He lives in the Midwest in Missouri.
38:39
The business does 90 million a year in revenue, 8 million a year in profit.
38:45
And I told him about AI and he had never heard of it.
38:50
Like he didn't even know what that word meant.
38:52
Like it wasn't even like and he's like, I went to his office and it was like 80 employees and they all look like the same woman over and over and over again of like, you know, you ever seen Ferris Bueller's Day Off?
39:00
Like the secretary like with like that haircut.
39:04
He's like they like that word AI, they they literally didn't know what it was.
39:08
And it's just crazy how how much like I'm like, how much they spend on payroll?
39:13
He's like, they spend 8 million dollars a year on payroll.
39:15
And I was like, what are they doing?
39:16
And he explained I'm like, that's crazy.
39:17
That's just like that one little business that you've never even heard of in middle of Missouri that just unlocked 8 million dollars a year probably in value that someone can go and do. Right. Right.
39:27
All right, listen, Sean, you're getting dumber. Am I? Well, we all are.
39:31
So, I'm reading this book called Stolen Focus cuz I'm I'm basically like incredibly depressed by the fact that like I get 10,000 notifications a day and it's like impacting my mood and so I saw this book called Stolen Focus. Have you ever seen it?
39:45
Well, I saw it but then I looked away. Great. Good joke.
39:51
But it kind of got me interested and it's coincidental.
39:52
Just last month this one neuro neuroscientist did this thing in front of Congress this testimony or whatever in front of Congress where he basically said that this is the first time in history of measuring this since the 1880s that the current generation Gen Z is dumber than the the generation above them.
40:11
So have you heard of the heard of the Flynn effect? No.
40:15
So basically since like the 1800s since like we started like measuring IQ at a large level every generation is roughly 10 points higher than the previous generation.
40:23
So every 30 years it goes up by 10 points or every 10 years it goes up 3 points which is kind of cool because that means that the average person today would have been gifted in like 1900.
40:33
And so it's been going up for a variety of reasons one education diet a bunch of different stuff.
40:38
But starting in 2010 they noticed a decline and this isn't just in America.
40:43
It's in Norway they noticed this a bunch of different countries.
40:46
I think 80 different countries have actually studied the same thing.
40:48
This isn't just an American thing.
40:49
But starting since 2010 there's been a decline and so now officially according to like I think a sample size of like 800,000 test subjects Gen Z is the first generation I think since 1800 that has a lower IQ from the generation before. Is that insane? They blew it. We had it going.
41:06
We had a trend going we had a streak going.
41:09
So all right the Flynn effect is the long-term study showing an increase in standardized IQ test scores observed through the 20th century about three points per decade as you said primarily due to environmental factors such as education nutrition smaller family sizes more technology rather than genetic changes.
41:28
It's most significant in test measuring fluid intelligence which is problem-solving rather than crystallized intelligence which is acquired knowledge.
41:34
It highlights that intelligence is heavily influenced by environment blah blah blah. Okay great.
41:40
And then you're saying recently recently it's not holding Gen Z is the first generation to score lower than their predecessors and they have this just this picture of someone as the headline article which is always great.
41:55
It'll be like Gen Z is like gayer than every ever before.
41:58
They like zoom in on you. Yeah.
42:01
Like dude I'm never just going to I'm never just going to pose for a picture without asking what it's for again.
42:08
What okay and so Gen Z is that I think 2010 onwards?
42:11
So people who are like 16 years old I think maybe 10 to 16. Something like that. Is that right?
42:21
I thought this is like Gen Alpha 97 to 2012.
42:25
Sorry I got that way off.
42:25
Yeah you're right Gen Alpha.
42:27
Okay so they're like what 25 right now?
42:32
And so what you can guess probably what do you think has caused this?
42:36
Well yeah it just seems like the sort of brain rot.
42:41
The brain rot consumption right?
42:41
Like it's like diet it's like why are we getting fatter and then you go to the grocery store and you see that a grocery store is basically lead gen for a hospital right?
42:49
So it's the sugar factory.
42:51
So so you know it's not a big surprise.
42:52
So the correlation and I think there's causation proof but the correlation is certainly the rise of smartphones and social media.
43:01
It kind of got me thinking like I think that we talked about inflection points on this podcast about businesses.
43:06
So inflection points means a tech inflection meaning everyone has a smartphone and thus we all have GPSs therefore new businesses can launch like Uber because of it.
43:14
Or a regulation inflection during COVID doctors were able to prescribe medication virtually so that created telehealth.
43:23
I think that we haven't gotten to the inflection point yet but in the next 10 to 20 years we are going to see an inflection point with a variety of cultural changes a cultural inflection and potentially a regulatory inflection.
43:36
I actually think there might be something there.
43:38
Where we're going to see a lot of opportunities in businesses and just like cultural change due to the lack of focus.
43:44
Have we called this like the a focus or attention inflection?
43:46
I think that we are at the very early stages of that and I had like some ideas that I think could thrive there but I wanted to hear have you noticed this in your life?
43:57
Like have you noticed that you are changing your like is there like a like a like a household inflection going on?
44:05
We're all getting dumber you mean?
44:07
No well you're like combating this.
44:09
Well yeah so the the first thing to combat this over the weekend my wife was like oh my god did you see what Trump tweeted and I was like no.
44:19
And then like an hour later we were and then that conversation happens an hour later they were like oh you hear about the the the news anchor whose mom got kidnapped? And I was like no.
44:32
And then there was like another third story and and again I was like no don't know anything about that and I think I'm been totally fine without it.
44:39
And I kind of realized in this like I don't know.
44:44
You know when you get happy that you're better than everyone else?
44:45
That's kind of where I was.
44:47
I was in that that beautiful state of mind.
44:48
Yeah I was in a I was in a smug smug state of mind.
44:52
>> has a has a smug problem doesn't it?
44:54
Yeah I went to the emissions shop and sure enough smug check.
45:00
>> You did not pass the smug check.
45:00
I did not pass the smug check cuz I don't listen to the news.
45:04
I don't listen to the news. I don't watch the news and I just I was thinking about this and I was like dude imagine if every day you just woke up and then instead of focusing on your life you just said distract me with everybody else's problems and then then the people tell
45:19
you about a problem happening 3,000 miles away another one happening 9,000 miles away another one that happened 10 years ago and one that might happen 10 years from now and then you got to your brain gets to think about all that [ __ ] instead of what's going on in your life. And that's essentially what it is if
45:33
And that's essentially what it is if you're a regular consumer of the news and the news is one of these things that today at least there's like a half warning label on it but the warning label is like fake news.
45:43
It's like you need real news not fake news and actually the answer is less news.
45:46
You just need way less news than you're currently consuming.
45:50
You don't need to know the stock price right now.
45:52
You don't need to know the Bitcoin price right now.
45:54
You don't need to know what's happening in DC.
45:55
You don't need to know any of that stuff.
45:57
And I I think and some people will argue the exact opposite.
46:00
They'll say oh my god you're so uncivically minded and you really need to care about what's going on with other people in the world.
46:06
And you're like guys it's not my ability to not watch news.
46:10
It's the fact that I lied to get out of jury duty and I told them that my wife is a drug addict and I had to be home with the kids.
46:17
That is why I'm not civically minded.
46:21
Yeah this is not the correct argument.
46:22
This is not the correct evidence.
46:24
I've given you the right evidence for that.
46:25
I would say on the whole an overconsumption of news is I've seen is just one major leak people have in their life.
46:32
I guess the answer is not zero but definitely not the set point that most people have.
46:37
It's like your thermostat is set to 88 degrees in their house and they're wondering why they're sweating all day.
46:41
And this is overconsumption of content in general one of which is news and then the other is social media.
46:47
I told you my challenge this year was I deleted all the social media off my phone.
46:50
And so well that definitely changes things right?
46:53
Because I get back a couple hours a day of a time and attention but it's not even really the hours it's kind of the moments.
47:00
It's like oh like every time I open my phone I type in X to open Twitter. It's weird right?
47:06
>> And all all my phone has is the Xfinity app and I'm like I guess I could check my internet speed right now. That's all I could do.
47:12
It's like when you were a grown-up and you would sit down and you'd start reading the back of the cereal box or when you're on the toilet you're like read the shampoo ingredients.
47:19
>> No seriously that's happening to me all the time now.
47:20
So I'm like okay what the hell am I going to think about it you know?
47:23
Like and then I think about important things.
47:25
I think about things that are like really meaningful to me like what I'm going to do that day my time my precious asset.
47:29
I think about my kids and where they're at and I think about I start thinking about other things cuz I created space.
47:33
I think that space is the thing that most people are lacking nowadays.
47:38
So yes in my household I've felt this especially this year because I deleted social media and I was totally like anybody else a social media addict right?
47:46
And it became more obvious than ever that like you don't notice the addiction till you feel the withdrawal.
47:53
And that's you know the phase that I went in the first month of this year as I deleted all these apps is the the withdrawal of like I keep checking my phone I just keep getting into the Xfinity app. Right.
48:03
>> like a fact checker addict.
48:05
Like I I like I like I I get addicted to social media but then it's like someone will be debating something and like how old's Tom Brady? You know what I mean?
48:15
I'm like well I'll just tell you right now or you know like you know like we were debating you're like man Trump's you know 76 that's so old.
48:20
Or actually you know like you Useless facts.
48:27
Yeah like if I type I right now for Instagram I get Instacart and I get I Aqualink which controls my pool temperature.
48:34
Like those are my options for those are my options for distraction for voluntary distraction from you know from the world.
48:41
So my prediction is that we are going to look at this problem the same way we look at obesity.
48:47
We're going to like look at this stuff and we're going to say there are some people who can just put it down and just walk away.
48:53
You know there are some people like well just just stop. Just don't do it.
48:56
It's like well but like this processed food is like addicting and it triggers something in my brain and it makes it almost impossible.
49:03
So I think that what we're going to see is that this is going to shift from what it is now to like either we ignore it or we think it's just like a small problem to it's an environmental problem and there has to be changes and and I I have a few ideas like on what could be cool but I think that the I think that this is this You referenced another study before that I thought was fascinating.
49:23
Explain that one again the train classroom study.
49:25
I thought this was like a really important Do you remember this one?
49:30
It was like something about the noise from a train and just that like a train went by and the classroom was lowering their score. What was it again?
49:38
Yeah, so basically the the the hypothesis was do does does noise interruption impact people's focus?
49:45
And a study looked at something like two or three or 400,000 children and in school in fourth grade and they looked at kids that were under an overpass of a train or nearby a train and kids who weren't.
49:56
And they found that the kids that read silently without the interruption of a train passing by retained information significantly higher.
50:05
I don't remember the points, but basically just that decibel level even if it was intermittent it significantly impacted their ability to retain information that they were reading. Right.
50:16
Did you see the Pavel Durov tweet he had for on on on New Year's? Did you see this thing?
50:24
Okay, so Pavel is the founder of Telegram, which is like one of the biggest messaging apps in the world.
50:28
He also started one of the biggest social networks in the world before that.
50:31
It's like the Facebook of Russia.
50:32
And the the father of a hundred kids, too.
50:35
Yeah, and he's like built like a Greek god and he's brilliant and he's super rich and he's just got a great jawline.
50:46
I can't say enough good things about this guy. All right.
50:49
I don't know if you know the story when they asked him for for access to all the data and they wanted a back door, he said no and then they sent him like an official notice and he sent back an official response, which was a dog wearing a hoodie like flicking off the camera and then he left the country.
51:01
And then they took his social network, but he was like, "Fine, take it, but you're not going to I'm not going to give you access."
51:08
He tweeted out this year.
51:08
He goes, "This year I wish you less.
51:10
Less information, less food, less entertainment, less communication, less stimulation.
51:15
You already have too much of that and it stands in the way of your serenity, health, sleep and creativity. Merry Christmas."
51:23
And I just remember like that really stood out to me and I like it and obviously I agree with it, but the the part I think is more interesting is this guy created, you know, one of the biggest messaging apps and social networks in the world.
51:35
He doesn't use his phone. What?
51:35
So I don't know anything about that. What what do you mean?
51:39
He doesn't use his phone?
51:40
>> He doesn't have a phone.
51:40
He's like, "If something needs to get to me like somebody will bring me the message if it's really important."
51:45
And he's like, "I just don't use or look at my phone."
51:49
Like I think it's either either at all or most of the day he just not look at a at a at a phone.
51:55
And he was like, "And then you know, you know, Steve Jobs, you know, he'll invent the iPad and the iPhone, but at home his kids don't use it.
52:01
Zuckerberg, his kids aren't on social media."
52:03
It's like do as they do, not as they say that you should do. Right?
52:09
Like, "You guys should use this, but we're going to do this."
52:12
Like I don't think the you know, I I don't know if what the executives at at Kraft do or the food scientists at Kraft do, but I don't think they're giving their kids Kraft mac and cheese every day, right?
52:24
They'll you should have it.
52:24
For sure, please buy it, but but we're not going to eat that [ __ ] And I think that that's kind of where where I stand with like the social distraction focus.
52:32
And it's obviously it's super hard, right?
52:34
Like but but I seems like the fight worth fighting is kind of what you're you're bringing up here.
52:41
Well, I personally think that.
52:41
Yeah, I think it's a fight worth fighting, but I also I'm just acknowledging that this is going to be a trend.
52:46
I think that what we're going to see is that there's going to be like these classes where like the upper class, the rich people who don't have to be on their phone or computer all the time, they're they're going to know that this is an issue.
52:57
Sort of like it's a little bit different now, but sort of like in the 90s and early 2000 Whole Foods was a luxury.
53:01
So health food was a luxury.
53:03
And so I think that's what's going to happen here, which is sad, but I think that's just probably naturally how things are kind of tend to play out almost all the time.
53:11
We've seen this on the podcast.
53:11
We've had guys who come on here I remember there was one guy who owns an NBA team, he's a billionaire.
53:18
And we were like, "Are you doing this podcast from a phone?"
53:21
And he was like, "Yeah, I don't like I don't own a laptop."
53:25
And then we were like, "Can you move the thing?"
53:27
And he's like there was somebody he's like, "I don't know what this is."
53:31
He's like, "Somebody set this up.
53:32
I'm here and then I'm leaving and this is I don't really even understand what's what this is."
53:36
And we yesterday or I saw not yesterday, last week I did a call with a guy who's the richest guy of a country.
53:45
Not the biggest country in the world, but he's the richest guy of that country.
53:47
So you know, this is a very wealthy multi-billionaire probably worth ten, twenty billion dollars.
53:51
He was trying to screen share during our call.
53:55
And he's like he's like we were in Zoom.
53:59
And he's like, "I'd like to show you this, but and I know I can, but where do I go?"
54:04
And I was basically tech support for this guy.
54:05
I was like, "Look at the bottom of Zoom.
54:06
There's a thing called share.
54:07
It's like a little square with a thing." And he's like, "Okay."
54:11
It says I need to have a a different browser.
54:15
And we were like, "Are you not using Chrome?" He's like, "No. What is What is Chrome?" I was like, "Wow."
54:21
He's like, "Yeah, usually just have people do the stuff for me.
54:22
I've like abstracted myself away from like my computer, from tech problems, from being from having to like set these things up and be like, you know, to do to do the stuff myself, to be hands-on with it.
54:36
And I feel like there's like you're saying like a almost like a wealth or status thing here where like the wealthier you get, the more you're going to be able to abstract yourself away from some of these tools, right?
54:49
From from from digital, you know, digital dopamine.
54:53
Yeah, yeah, I for sure think this could happen, but I think that it will get to the masses eventually.
54:56
I think that's just like how things work.
54:57
I think that So listen, tell me tell me what you think about these two or three ideas I have.
55:03
So I think that Have you ever done a VO2 max test? No. Do you know what it is?
55:07
Yeah, you put on a like a Bane oxygen mask and you run on a treadmill, I think. Basically, yes.
55:15
No different than like the combine idea you have.
55:17
It's just like a way to measure how good is your heart.
55:18
You use it often times to figure out where is your max heart rate and at like what level can you run comfortably in zone two for an extended period of time.
55:26
That's like why endurance athletes use it.
55:28
>> you exercise on a treadmill or bike with increasing intensity and the mask you're wearing analyzes your oxygen consumption and CO2 production until you reach exhaustion. Okay, got you.
55:36
And so I think that we can I think here's a business idea.
55:40
I think that we're going to see like a VO2 max test for attention. It sounds hilarious.
55:48
I'm telling you I think this is going to be a thing. >> even be?
55:50
You just sit in a room and they see how long it takes you to like it's like the marshmallow test.
55:53
It's like how long it takes you to pick up the phone.
55:56
Have you ever felt like it's kind of this is I don't know exactly how to explain it, but have you ever felt like your nervous system being fried where you're like, "I'm just like my anxiety was too high.
56:03
Like I just I've been I was in fight or flight too much."
56:05
Have you felt that feeling? 100% yeah.
56:10
Do you ever get that looking at your phone? I get it all the time.
56:15
I feel like I feel like I almost it's what it should be is that you're in the normal state, which I think it's called like parasympathetic or whatever your nervous system.
56:23
And then you go into fire flight when there's like this extreme stimulus.
56:27
I think for me it's almost the opposite.
56:29
I think for most people it's probably the opposite in modern day, which is you're always running with this sort of baseline anxiety fight or flight type of response and then you remind yourself to take a breath, go for a walk, put it away and you you sort of come down off of it and you re re re-regulate yourself.
56:44
And I maybe I just live in San San Francisco and I'm around too many like kind of tech you know, addicts, but but I think it's almost what what whatever the ratio is it should be like 90/10 or whatever.
56:54
I think it's almost the opposite or it's 50/50. >> It's terrible ratio.
56:58
And I believe that one of the best ways to lose weight is to weigh yourself every single day.
57:01
What gets measured gets changed.
57:03
And I think that we could see you you can measure like your nervous system.
57:06
There are ways to measure it.
57:08
You know, your resting heart rate rate and like for example, just like pulling up your phone your heart rate could go up.
57:12
I mean there there are there are ways to do it.
57:13
I don't know exactly all the ways, but I think that like there's this huge group of people doing like a prenovo.
57:22
Like all these like measuring things and I think that we are going to see this for nervous system or attention.
57:26
Like it'll be advertised towards like, "Let's see where you rank or where you are like in terms of attention."
57:31
And we're going to tell you how fried you are and then we're going to give you a plan on how to get unfried and you could come and measure it.
57:36
You can come and and and re-measure your body fat in six months.
57:41
Yeah, I think that's very true.
57:43
Um when I've been coaching this basketball team one of the things I find myself saying a lot to the guys is concentration is a skill.
57:51
Because you know, the players when they come into the gym they think you know, they'll through the legs, behind the back, you know, whatever.
57:56
And they think that's the skill they need to do well in the game.
57:59
And I'll tell them like, "How often do you do this move?" Pretty much never.
58:03
That's not even your role on the team is to do moves like this to score.
58:07
For the most part what we want you doing is playing really really really hard and concentrating on the task at hand.
58:14
Like being where you're supposed to be during the play, focusing on where the ball is versus your man versus whatever.
58:20
And we have some really talented guys who don't get in the game because we don't trust their intensity or their concentration.
58:28
And I've been trying to tell them like those two things are a skill.
58:30
They don't sound like skills. They sound like effort. But effort's a skill.
58:34
Like these all of these things are skills.
58:36
There's a guy on our team Sam who's not the most talented.
58:39
But his ability to to to ratchet up his intensity and then sustain that throughout the game.
58:44
Like he's puked during three games this year.
58:49
He just throws he he plays so hard he throws up in the middle of the game.
58:51
And we're that's the only time he comes out of the game is to throw up basically and he goes right back in.
58:58
And I'm like, "Do you need a towel or some water?"
59:00
Like you know, like what's going on?
59:01
He just goes straight back in. It's incredible.
59:03
And I've realized that intensity, concentration, the ability to be maximally present.
59:07
These are not just kind of nice nice to have like soft things.
59:14
They're hard skills and you actually need to practice them and get better at them.
59:17
And like what you're saying is if it's a skill then it could be measured.
59:21
And if it can be measured it can be improved, right?
59:22
And and so on and so forth.
59:24
All right, I'll give you two two quick more.
59:26
I think we're going to see remember you know, what's it called Q- Kumon. Yeah. Kumon.
59:31
It's like got the worst logo ever.
59:34
It's like a sad kid's face. They hired the artist.
59:38
They were like, "Just observe and then draw what you see."
59:44
I think we're going to see a Kumon for focus for kids.
59:46
I think kids are going to impact be impacted by the stuff where you like they're going to be they're going to learn like exercises and stuff for focusing.
59:53
I think we're going to have like a Marie Kondo.
59:55
But remember Marie Kondo?
59:55
I think we're going to have a Marie Kondo.
59:57
You know, Marie Kondo was this I think she was Korean lady who was famous for organizing.
1:00:02
>> I guarantee you're saying her name wrong, by the way. Marie Kondo? Marie Kondo.
1:00:07
That was like a Latina who's a real estate agent. Marie Kondo. Her name is Marie. Oh, come on.
1:00:17
It was a Korean lady and all I got wrong was the Marie versus Marie. Hey, Marie.
1:00:21
Like come on, give me a break.
1:00:25
All right, it wasn't as far as off as I thought. Yeah.
1:00:28
So like an influencer who's all about the tidiness of the mind?
1:00:30
Yeah, and they're going to like use their program to create coaches who are going to like come and talk to you and like your [ __ ] right?
1:00:38
>> Like I think that probably the number one affliction for kids is like ADD ADD ADHD, right?
1:00:42
And then you have to medicate and all the stuff and it explains why you're bad at school when it's like, I don't know.
1:00:47
I've seen that same kid focus at Fortnite and Roblox for 4 hours straight. So what's up with that?
1:00:52
Like perhaps they're just not that interested or the school is not that interesting to them because when they're interested, they seem to lock in.
1:00:58
Or and also they've not used that skill and they need to learn that skill because they're like been [ __ ] on TikTok and it's like swipe swipe swipe swipe swipe. Yeah.
1:01:09
Uh so I think you're I think you're absolutely right about that part of it.
1:01:13
I also think this is going to happen for adults.
1:01:14
So, you know, the idea of a gym today uh seems totally normal.
1:01:18
But if you rewind, I don't know, 200 years or something like that, you're like, "Yeah, see what's going to happen is we're going to spend all day sitting uh because we're going to have this like box that we work on.
1:01:28
You use your use your fingers only to just type on the box.
1:01:33
And then because our body's not going to get any we're not doing any actual work like the thing you think of work as work today like agriculture, you know, any sort of like lifting of objects.
1:01:40
We're going to go to this other box this other place and they're going to just have weights on the ground.
1:01:48
And you'd be like, "What do you mean weights?"
1:01:49
It's like just like a heavy thing and you're going to pick it up.
1:01:52
>> it up and put it down. Yeah.
1:01:53
Yeah, you can do it 10 times for three sets and then they're just going to go home.
1:01:58
And you'd be like, "What?
1:01:58
Why would they do That's crazy, right?"
1:02:00
And it's like, "Well, that's what happened."
1:02:02
Basically, the more we got away from doing manual labor, we then created this demand this need for stimulating our bodies with weights.
1:02:11
Well, I think the same thing's going to happen for intellectual stuff, right?
1:02:14
Like already people are like, "Well, I could either think about this or I could just ask Chat GPT to think about this."
1:02:18
And you just outsource the idea of critical thinking.
1:02:21
So I think there's going to be a place where you go that's essentially the gym for your mind.
1:02:25
It's going to be a place you go with a bunch of puzzles, a bunch of thought experiments and riddles and [ __ ] like that.
1:02:29
And it's going to be a gym for the mind and it's going to be where you go to keep your mind active because most of your thinking is now done by the AI chip in your brain, right?
1:02:36
That seems like if you fast forward 50 years, either we're just gone or we have to come up with some way where we're going to exercise our mind because so much thinking is going to be done by, you know, digital digital intelligence.
1:02:49
And the last thing is Justin Myers came on our podcast and he told us about this business that he has or he helped found.
1:02:55
I I forget his association, but it was basically Justin Myers for listeners.
1:02:59
He's like our our buddy who's like a health freak and he has an amazing company called Lightwork.
1:03:04
I got to give him a shout-out. Lightwork? Yeah. Home health. >> lightworkhome. com Okay. What is this? My wife did it.
1:03:09
They come to your house and they kind of inspect it to figure out where things are not healthy and where they are.
1:03:15
And so they looked at like some of the basic stuff like um uh do you need different air filters on your AC which like everyone does.
1:03:24
But then they did other stuff.
1:03:25
Like for example, they educated us like I have a I had a I have a Wi-Fi router like right in my bed stand like next to my head and they're like, "Check this out.
1:03:32
Like the EMF is like coming to your head right here."
1:03:35
Or like I was like I didn't I didn't know that.
1:03:39
I was like as he wears a hat right now that says Midwest Trash on his head.
1:03:45
Or they'll be like, "Look at your pillows what they're made out of.
1:03:47
Like you're sleeping on plastic."
1:03:48
Or for us it was like we needed more plants in our house cuz like the CO2 levels was [ __ ] Like it was like a bunch of stuff like that. It's pretty interesting.
1:03:57
Did you end up like Here's my fear with this, right?
1:04:01
I do this and then anytime somebody audits my thing and tells me where something's bad, I'm immediately I can't The sale is done.
1:04:09
It's like, "Well, all right, is this a $100 fix, $1,000 fix, $10,000 fix, or $100,000 fix?
1:04:16
What What's the damage here?"
1:04:16
So did you end up doing a bunch of changes?
1:04:20
My thing was mostly like reorganizing or small fixes.
1:04:22
I'm also renting so like there's not like I'm not going to like change the paint.
1:04:25
But I I I I think I think that we're going to see what he's doing but for like digital products.
1:04:32
Feels to me like today that's something we should do but nobody wants to do and at some point you're right the inflection it'll tip. It'll go that way.
1:04:39
>> It hasn't happened yet, but it will. >> there yet. All right, is that it? That's it. That's a pod.