E13: SPACsgiving Special! Vaccine news, innovation vs regulation, fixing higher ed, challenge trials

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hey everybody welcome back besties are back  and it's a bestie spax giving congratulations to the queen of quinoa his second company david  freeburg announces today hours before the taping of this special thanksgiving pod that he is taking  metro mile public through us back and that best ec

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and here is the quote that as only chamath can  tweet buffett had geico i picked metro miles i would just like to say that's how you  move markets uh lebron james has three rings uh freeburg tell us what is metro mile uh and um  well this isn't a self-promoting podcast is it i mean no no but i think it's just you know it's  your second company i started the company in

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2011 when i was running climate when i was the  ceo there and um you know we were climate was offering insurance at the time we learned a lot  about the insurance markets and figured like hey you know telematics or connecting cars to the  internet is going to be a big deal and we're going to be able to completely change the auto  insurance industry so we set up this company i

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was the chairman from the founding in 2011 and  you know been been chairman and i've been an active investor in the business in every round  since then um so the business has built some uh you know really compelling uh value proposition  for customers and you know it's got really good

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unit economics and it's um you know needed its  last round of capital to get profitable and turns out you know as we were thinking about that this  summer that a stack was a really good path for the business given the inflection point it's at um and  the basic premise of the business is instead of

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paying for insurance by month or time period the  innovation here is you pay per mile yeah insurance today is like you know you fill out a form and  you get a price for insurance you pay that rate for six months of coverage but you know depending  on when you're driving and how much you're driving

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you should be paying a different price right so  we we kind of changed the model to a rate per mile and so if you don't drive you save you know  so the average customer doesn't drive a lot with metro mile they save 47 over what they were  paying with like geico or progressive reassurance

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uh and you do that with that odb port it's like  a little plug-in device and increasingly we're actually doing it directly by connecting to  cars direct through ford and a couple other big automotive oems now have this ability  to send the data directly out of the car because they're all internet connected now  so um so that allows us to just basically

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you know see how many miles you're driving and the  rate per mile is what we bill you each month times the number of miles you drove on your on your  car and you you didn't mention how you drive i think that was a controversial concept for  a while you know if you speed if you're right is that on the roadmap yeah that is part of it  today but frankly 70 of the price difference you

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get in auto insurance is from the number of miles  you drive and only 30 percent is really in this variance around behavior you know most people are  generally pretty good drivers so believe it or not so the real variance in terms of you know your  risk to the insurance companies how many miles

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you drive so that really is the predominant factor  so if we can accurately track that now what's interesting is like in a world of autonomous  cars where you're like turning on the car to be autonomous or fully self-driving  at some point you know it's on and off you should be getting a different rate  for those miles right so if the car is

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if your tesla is on autopilot on the freeway  that should be safer than you on the freeway you shouldn't be paying as much even better you  can you can kind of think about how this moves into a world where everything is dynamically  priced and dynamically built usage priced yeah

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usage price and that and also fair so you know if  you're a good driver and you're driving well or if you're using autonomous features you shouldn't  pay as much and ultimately that translates uh you know into a truly kind of more dynamic  service and that's really where the world has to

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go because those low mileage drivers or those good  drivers or those drivers using autonomous features should be paying considerably less so they'll  start using our service and that'll force the other guys to raise their rates and it creates  this huge you know kind of market mode um great we're in that we're in the we're in the very  early days i mean it's like the first inning still

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so we're you know we're we're just getting going  chimav you chose to do a pipe um with the spac explain to the audience what a pipe is people  don't know and what you loved about metro mile sure um i think the uh what what is a pipe a pipe  is a a private investment in a public enterprise and basically what that means um is that uh you're  making the round bigger right so it's kind of like

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sequoia does your series a and invest 10 million  i would come in and put another 10 million and now your series a is 20 million um same terms as  the um as sequoyah's round except you're now just grossing up the amount of capital um why are why  is that helpful well what it does is it allows

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somebody to price the deal so in this case david's  back sponsor priced the deal did the diligence and decided to underwrite metro mile at that price and  then they came to me and said hey um you know do you want to come and join this round essentially  and um i got to know the business um a lot

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of things that david said basically are true  the the thing that i will say is like you know everybody talks about um the value of machine  learning right and data oriented learning um the most obvious thing that you can do is  if you learn on top of a huge subset of data especially out in the real world like driving  data or any other kind of information is you

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should be taking risk on top of it and this  is why sort of these next generation insurance companies to me are so interesting because  it's probably where you're going to see machine learning um be used that just massive  massive scale because you're just gonna reprice risk and make it as david said much more dynamic  so anyways they showed it to me i um i really

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like the the product the metrics are uh really  amazing and so um i joined it's great i'm really excited for i'm really excited for uh friedberg  yeah congratulations great jamaat and i've never worked on anything together so it's awesome we're  doing our first project here on the all in podcast

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together all right so it sounds like a brilliant  idea and i'm just pissed so i'm not part of it i know i'm feeling like i i read i read that  like you're from me and sax yeah jason do you know about this i don't know anything i get i'm  the latest cut out of it first we're both out of

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it i need to get my beak wet you two we got the  wet thorpe can't get my beak you two narcissistic besties have been have been running around all day  touting every single unicorn you guys a bit of fun and robin hood i missed my allocation or uber  or whatever yeah all right new bestie rule new

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bestie rule everybody gets a slice even a little  tasty poo everybody gets their beak like the old neighborhood like the old neighborhood back a  little share let's jason why don't you start an angel listen ticket for every all-in podcast  listener yes all in podcast syndicate it will

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be on the syndicate.com ageless but yeah okay  yeah we'll do it we'll do with us into kit.com all in podcast and then we'll aggregate all  these uh subscribers can i just say twenty percent carry and you guys can suggest ideas we'll  do zero carry and we'll allow all the listeners to participate in our deals which i think would  be pretty cool um yeah listen i love how every

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time you loop my business into this whether it's  podcasting or syndicates you take out the money and the process i tell you what i have an idea  how about we spec this week in startups and uh you do it for no participation i'm the father of  growth you know how you grow by making things free

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you want to maximize demand just make  it free by the way uh on this topic uh sexy poo had this incredible tweet  this week which was basically like wow this is like my 95th uh unicorn that went  that filed to go public i mean literally every single unicorn that filed the speak tickle public  sacks was an angel investor which is incredible

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but the best follow-up to eat was zach weinberg  the co-founder of flatiron health whose tweet was i just want to congratulate myself on nothing for  having not been a part of any of these companies i would like to congratulate myself for making no  bets and taking no risk and getting no reward no

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i thought i thought zach's tweet was the best  sex don't you find it tiring like all these investments that you've made like don't these guys  call you and want to do meetings and chat all the time i mean you know this has got to be like a  huge amount of effort right well not not not i mean not just put the money in and turn around  well you know if you're not on the board your

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obligation is basically to respond when somebody  asks you for something and as an angel investor it is a little different when you're actually  like leading around and you're a board member i was making these investments back in 2012  2013 that's when these seeds were planted right

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these were 50k 100k 250k checks right so the  responsibilities proportional to the dollar amount so somewhere a little bigger than that  actually but um i mean i've written i've written checks you know seven figure checks in  some of these companies well sex according to your personal balance sheet that we got from  your accountants this week yeah phil hellmuth

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we see here a transaction for houzz is it true  you did the series b of houzz the entire series b no no i heard it was you led the series no no nea led that round i mean i invested  a lot as an individual i did co-lead um the series b or c of atapar um that was one that  i did as an individual that's incredible yeah

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that's amazing gonna be huge i have no idea  what that company is but that sounds awesome they manage funds they do portfolio software  yeah it's coming up on you know 100 million i'm just kidding i'm totally  kidding i'm totally kidding let's start the pod jkl where are we gonna start  well i mean i think now that we've also promoted

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exactly well i'm just happy to hear that that  jason was cut out of your deal as much as me when i yeah when i read about it on twitter i'm like i  better not be the only best to cut out this thing all right you're right you're totally you're  right you're right it is it is getting awkward

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now because people who watch this podcast  assume that we do everything together like literally they're like well you guys go grocery  shopping together you go on vacation together you guys live in the same time house yeah it's  that's not how it works um i i think the first thing we should we should talk about is just this  amazing uh moment in time when because of science

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you know in this podcast started during the  pandemic we have had as predicted by freeburg who gets to take two victory laps he said by the end  of the year we'd have vaccines and they would have because of this mrna if i remember  correctly 90 95 efficacy and sure enough

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the week after trump uh wins i'm sorry loses sorry  sacks he lost actually um the week after trump lost i know you didn't vote for him um the week  after he lost modern a pfizer then the next week moderna and then the next week oxford and  i understand johnson johnson is about to announce something and all of these have 90  to 95 percent efficacy and that they're going

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to be 40 50 and 60 million doses in december  january and february just from the first two in america alone so friedberg if you were to  put a number on when herd immunity hits because probably 20 or 30 percent of people have had it 20  30 percent of people have um some natural immunity how long is this going to take and could we be  out of be doing this from you know a warriors game

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next year when are we going to be able to do this  in person i think i don't know if it was test yeah i don't know if it was fouchy or someone that's  closer to the operation shared that they do think they can get 70 of americans immunized by may so  um my may yeah so you know if you'll remember a

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few podcasts ago i think i tried to explain a big  part of the budget that went into this operation warp speed was to parallelize production of  these vaccines while they were being tested and so we've been scaling up the production  and the manufacturing of these and if they

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weren't going to work we're just going to crash  them right a couple billion dollars who cares it's a good option for the american people  so we've got a ton of doses that have been produced it's about packaging and distribution  now and that's you know supposed to be kind of underway with the plan to be that on december  11th or 12th when they uh give the emergency

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use authorization these doses start showing up  uh we went all in we basically went all in blind like we just shoved the chips in and said we're  gonna make these vaccines even you know if they're not like it's more like a spray and pray um angel  investment portfolio you know we we bought uh a

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but we bought like four different things or five  different things we made it bets in all of them and hope that one of them pays off and it turns  out they're all going to pay off so you know or or chunk of them are going to pay off and we get  to have them ready you know in time to kind of

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make a difference here now all that being said if  you look at the case numbers in the us right now we could be as high as 30 percent of the american  people have already been infected with coronavirus based on some estimates so as of the june 30th  paper that was published from those dialysis

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patients and they did a pretty good statistical  interpretation of looking at antibodies in people's blood they estimate 10 of the american  population was infected by coronavirus as of june 30th and then if you look at the number of  people that have been infected since then and you apply this similar sort of multiple that you would  assume based on tests you know there's an estimate

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that we could already be up to 30 percent  of the u.s population has been infected wow and therefore immune and they're theoretically  mostly immune let's just say that right and so sure there's anecdotes and so on  but yeah let's just say generally yes immune and so you combine that with these vaccines  starting to roll out and we get you know a pretty

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kind of comfortable position in terms of the  pandemic and hopefully a couple of months here and that's why the market's going nuts and that's  why everyone i mean i don't know about you guys but i got some conference invites this last week  for conferences for next year that have been

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canceled this year and we're being put on  hold yeah so oh wow people are starting to lean for what time frame third quarter or fourth  quarter uh summer july yeah so people are now assuming that and they're booking hotel spaces  based on it that is extraordinary sacks you shared this new york times story why don't you  summarize it for the audience and i'd love

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to get your thoughts in addition to this as to  what this recovery might look like if in fact we have more vaccine than we need and even you  know a reasonable number of americans take it and don't believe that it's a conspiracy theory by  bill gates to control and the illuminati and all

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that stuff yeah i mean this new york times story  is pretty remarkable it's called politics science and the remarkable race for a coronavirus vaccine  this came out i think it just came out today in the new york times actually sorry it's published  it published november 21st updated november 24th

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um and it's pretty remarkable it describes  the effort by operation warp speed by the administration by pfizer by maduro and that kind  of gives you the behind the scenes play-by-play and reading the article you have to come away  thinking that the trump administration did a pretty good job with this whole warp speed  project um i don't know if the new york times

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uh realizes that it's making the trump  administration look so good or maybe they don't care anymore because he's he's  lost the election but the article does make um the administration look very good i mean  competitive first very confident first of all they shoveled money to the right people they you  know they offered fiser money pfizer didn't want

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it or need it but modernity did so they got a few  billion dollars moderna uh they parallel processed a bunch of different attempts here so that if  one company failed the others might succeed there was a sort of a reaganite cutting of  bureaucratic red tape wherever they could

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there were examples in the story of a drug company  needing something some supplies or what have you and they would call the administration and  they would you know make it happen and then finally the administration didn't do anything  to um to kind of mess with the science you know um in fact they describe how this the um this  new experimental mrna technique that they used

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to generate the vaccine they had the code for that  within two days they actually had the vaccine sort of printed if you will within weeks and really  what took all this time were the human trials with you know the three stage human trials which  the administration did not do anything to speed up

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and probably the irony of ironies the  supreme irony is there's a story there's a there's a bit in the story it actually begins with  the uh this guy slowly who's the head of the trump administration's effort to produce the vaccine he  actually slowed down the moderna human trials by

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about three weeks because they weren't including  enough minorities in the you know in the in the trial and that cost him three weeks if it weren't  for those three weeks the modernist vaccine would have happened before pfizer and it would  have come out about a week before the election so you gotta wonder like trump has got  to be pulling out his hair about um what

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about about about this twist of fate david  how does it attribute credit for warp speed and i'm going someplace with this so i'm just  asking you the question well i don't the article's not trying to attribute credit they're just kind  of describing the behind the scenes of of how pfizer moderna came up with their vaccines and um  it just but but in in describing you know pfizer

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modernity did the work of creating the vaccine but  in describing the ways that warp speed contributed they did things that were only helpful and nothing  that was harmful and so in that sense it made the trump administration look quite good yeah i think  the point is that the warp speed folks which

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is probably the least well-known working group  working on coronavirus to the rest of the public is because it was a lot of wonky insiders it was  sign of almost proving the exact opposite of what trump typically does which is you know some  idiotic nepotistic leaning where it's his daughter or it's his son-in-law running around  um you know completely and effectively you know

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uh doing something um where they become sort of  front and center for taking credit um in this case it was just a bunch of policy walks you never  heard about the project we only know about warp speed because a handful of us have talked about  it um and it turns out to actually have been good

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because they knew what they were doing and they  do enough to to not try to seek the credit and just get out of the way i mean it it proves almost  the antithesis of how the trump campaign you know managed their time in the white house well i mean  i you have a point where you know i was kind of

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reading this article wondering you know where was  jared kushner because if kushner knew about this there's no way he slows down the moderna vaccine  by three weeks um i mean that might have made the difference right there and whether trump wins or  not can you imagine the effect on the election

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if the vaccine had come out one week before  november 3rd decide i think trump would have won decidedly if he had a vaccine or two out with 90  percent but i think he had no credibility even though modern and pfizer were saying late november  and he said the the vaccines are around the corner

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his whole tenure was based on so much lying he was  the boy who cried wolf he's he was the president who cried wolf by the time he told the truth  and he was telling the truth about the vaccines he it was like oh my lord he he told the truth in  the final three months can i give you the opposite david of that which is that if modernity basically  says hey guys we have a vaccine that works

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for white people and a disease that's you know  disproportionately killing blacks and you know hispanics and brown people uh native americans um  and all of a sudden people are like wait what the maybe they would have gone into georgia and  they would have just crushed them even more

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and then you would have actually had the senate  flip too so you could have had a whole kind of distribution of outcomes there in a different  case because you could have had an angry reaction as well we don't know um i guess well yeah i mean  i i think it's ironic that an administration that

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was constantly accused of white supremacy probably  lost the election because they slowed down this vaccine trial group to include more  minorities no i know but i think what we're saying is it wasn't the actual administration it  was somebody it was somebody that actually knows

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what they were doing we call that redemption  in the movie when the person actually loses because they did the right thing it's kind of  redemption free book when you look at these mrna vaccines you were educating us about them  last night um and also for a long time uh tell the audience just one more time how um these  work briefly and what the potential for them is

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in the future because i think a lot of us now are  starting to see the light at the end of the tunnel this is going to be over we're going to be at  conferences or going traveling to europe or whatever it is next summer but we all are  all going to be scarred for life thinking

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you know when is the next coronavirus just like  for a decade we were on pins and needles when is the next 911. so this is going to be scar  tissue uh for a generation or two of people when the next covid comes how quickly will warp  speed 2.0 go yeah it's it's a it's the right question um because our approach to doing  vaccines may have just changed permanently

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um so you know every cell has your dna and dna  basically codes proteins uh every three letters of dna makes an amino acid codes for a specific  amino acid there's 20 amino acids the way that dna turns into proteins is through rna so rna is  kind of like a mirror copy of your dna it floats into these things called ribosomes in your cells  and outcome proteins and those it's like a printer

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right and so those ribosomes make your proteins  using those amino acid sequences coded by the rna so the way that the vaccines work historically  is you'll get a dead virus which is basically the protein of a virus your immune system then learns  to kill that or that protein oh man jesus my dog

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your immune system then learns to remove  that protein from your body uh and that's how you develop this memory uh your immune memory  to a specific protein and so they put this dead art vaccine virus in your body and hopefully  your immune system learns a good response to it mrna basically puts the rna in your body that  codes for that protein your cells then make that

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protein and because it's making a lot more of  the protein in a more consistent you know way theoretically the idea is your body develops a  much more robust immune memory and immune response without it overloading your system with all  the immune cells trying to wipe that protein

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out right away and so on the challenge is you're  putting rna in your body and we've always been worried about we don't know what the side effects  of mixing rna in your body would be is it going to change your dna is it going to change your genetic  makeup is it going to cause other delicarious side

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effects so this technology this capability  this knowledge has been around forever i'm not forever but for you know a long time and the  idea has always been we could use rna in this way but you know no one wanted and we've used it in  animals and we've used it in plants and we've seen the capabilities of using rna to do different  things like this but this is a big leap and so

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uh you know we kind of left forward here  getting to the point that we felt comfortable with you know rna as a treatment like this  and it's um it's working so in theory in the future as sax points out you could take any  virus or any bacteria you could read its dna you could do that in an hour then you could take  chunks of that dna and code rna force that your

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body makes those proteins and theoretically  produce an immune response so that that's the that's the science of like how do you how do you  create a new magazine i think that's the amazing part is the way it's described you know in this  article is that it's almost like laser printing

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or 3d printing a vaccine it's kind of like the  equivalent of that you just take the genome of the virus and you know boom you've got the vaccine  and then all the other delay is about human trials and testing of it but imagine if that there  was the next coronavirus is 10 times as deadly

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you know something that says spreads as  contagiously as smallpox and as you know as deadly as ebola or something like that we could have  a vaccine the next day you know like you could we could have a challenge david would be as  we'd have it the next day like we did here but we would be going through this  three-phase trial and so i want to

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take a moment here and talk to chamoth about  something which is challenge trials um in the uk they will start doing challenge trials for  those people who don't know what a challenge trial is essentially they expose you to something  dangerous i.e a virus like covid and then

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they give you the vaccine and then they give  you uh the virus as opposed to how we do a three-phase trial which is you give the vaccine  to 30 000 people and placebo to 30 000 and then you come back three months later and see how  many people got infected and it takes time and money whereas challenge trials only take  risk on the individuals who are part of it

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chamath hundreds of people in the science  community signed a letter and in the uk they're going to be doing the first challenge trials in  january the united states is not doing these i'm certain china is um do you think it's a moment in  time where we need to think about the ethics and morality of challenge trials specifically and then  if so how do you execute them with that how do you

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execute a challenge trial without it being unfair  um or too dangerous for people obviously you're not going to just go into a prison and say hey  anybody want to get 10 years off the sentence join the challenge trial that seems morally bankrupt  but we let people climb mountains without ropes so

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right well i think this speaks to a whole bunch  of other issues that we've talked about on the pod before you know another example of this  was section 230 before when we talked about it we had a body of law that was created in a  moment of time that essentially was about framing and understanding a specific pathway and  a way to use technologies that today look archaic

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and we have to rewrite the laws in order to just  compensate and understand for where we are so if i if you double click on trials as an example you  know if you have a solution for a rare disease you can go in a specific pathway with the fda  and get breakthrough and fast track approval

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but if you for example have uh you know a novel  immunotherapy cancer drug you probably you cannot you know you have to do a multi-phase trial a  typical three-phase trial you have to solve for very typical things like fatigue etc etc all these  things slow progress down now in a world where we

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were somewhat flying blind 40 or 50 years ago we  didn't have you know things like crispr we didn't have you know a real understanding of the genome  we didn't have delivery mechanisms like cartie you would say okay yeah we should be really really  careful but i would say that the more you know

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the more you can ease up on the rules because  you can actually empower people with a lot of information and it shouldn't take a disaster  scenario for us to be iterative and experimental so i think the challenge trial is really important  i think the concept of them make a lot of sense i think a lot of government should employ  incentives to figure out who is eligible

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and why but if you're a healthy adult male or  female and you want to participate in a trial for whatever set of reasons you should be allowed to  do so and companies that want to run those trials should be allowed to run them similarly if you  want to find a complementary pathway through

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regulatory agencies to get drugs to the starting  line you should be able to do those too and i think what we have to do is multi-path um these  compounds going forward because i think that's where you accelerate all these technologies  ability to actually solve these diseases freeberg why is it so controversial that um a  rocket ship company uh or you know people who want

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to climb on mountains without ropes or or a rocket  ship coming like there are experimental pilots we have astronauts they they take unbelievable risk  we send thousands of troops into harm's way for many different reasons many of which sadly die and  they volunteer for those activities those people

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are volunteering and compensated but when we  look at science and we look at a challenge trial scientists say this is morally reprehensible to  compensate somebody for taking risk when that's exactly what we do in the army we do it with  police officers and we do it with astronauts

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help us understand how scientists think so  differently than say war i don't know if it's scientists as much as it is you know regulatory  framework like the some people would call it a nanny state and you know there are things  that the nanny state assumes individuals uh don't have the capacity to understand the  extent of the potential loss or the or the nature

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of the risk this is true for angel investing right  you have to be a qualified investor to invest in a private company without appropriate disclosures  and it's true in a lot of other contexts so um you know to to give people the authority to  make decisions like this it seems like my i have

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no point of view that i'm kind of making here but  it seems like the the the the government assumes or the elected officials assume or the populist  assumes that there are things that people aren't really equipped to make decisions on because they  can't understand the risk because they're not qualified and that and they get excluded from  those activities but sacs is the uh issue how

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should we reframe stuff yeah yeah well i think  how should we frame it yeah i think assumption of risk is is a is a really good principle and  it is a way for people to engage in potentially harmful behaviors just because the behavior is is  potentially harmful doesn't mean you don't get to

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do it um in the united states you're allowed to  do things that are manifestly harmful to yourself like smoking well you know even worse if you're  an organ you can now do all kinds of hard drugs i mean you can assume that risk for yourself so  you know if in portland oregon you can now take

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heroin openly in the street with no consequence  but you can't participate in a trial that could basically cure a cancer that's insane to me  i'll tell you what's the script yeah i'll tell you i'll tell you the flip side of it um you're  allowed in nevada to play roulette i mean what the

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[ __ ] like you know it's got a negative expected  value statistically factually for individuals but the individual doesn't have the capacity  generally speaking that's playing roulette to recognize that every dollar they're spending  at the roulette table is likely going to be you know taken away from them like there's some  percentage of that that's going to be taken away

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there's a five percent edge for the house on that  uh on that game and um and so we make the argument in some cases that people don't have the capacity  to understand risk but in other cases it's okay for them to not have the capacity to to take  risk and i think that there is this notion of

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what some people call regulatory capture  that probably encompasses both of these which is that there is some degree of profiteering  that has created some set of laws that kind of manifestly capture that system in a certain way  so there are profitable casino enterprises that say let's get people to spend their money  in a risky way that they don't understand

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and that becomes the law and then  people in nevada are allowed to do that there are also pharmaceutical companies that  will say we need to have huge regulatory burdens so once we make that big investment and we get  patent approval and we can lock in that drug we can charge a lot of money for it so i would  argue to some extent that the regulatory capture

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associated with the profit hearing that happens on  the back end in pharmaceuticals has in large part driven the structure around risk taking in in drug  trials particularly in the u.s i mean you can go get whatever drug you want over the counter in  mexico right i mean we have a very different

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system um it's the most it also happens to be the  most expensive in the world and the the rationale is well you're the most protected right well the  dr drug infrastructure here has created to your point because of regulation the entire um you know  cro industry which is a multi-multi-billion dollar

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industry which basically is um  essentially a retardant of r d velocity right its entire job is to slow things down create  these double-blinded studies by the way and so many of these studies are not even double-blinded  they're not even actually scientifically rigorous they get basically blown apart after the fact  so what are they really in the business of doing

33:25

it's because they're exploiting a business model  that was created by laws laws that were written by regulators regulators that were in the hands  of lobbyists none of those folks truly understood at the time but especially today what's really  possible so um you know it it does not make sense

33:41

in the united states of america just writ large  simply put that you can buy alcohol and drink yourself into the ground buy cigarettes and smoke  yourself to death you know jump pull away your money gamble away your money where your negative  ev or open you know openly do illicit drugs but you can't participate in a thoughtful  trial backed by scientific research

34:03

in fairness jamath you can get away with smoking  fentanyl uh in san francisco and oregon but it is illegal to use that plastic straw so be  careful folks the laws are very clear here that plastic straw is going to get you in a lot of  trouble i don't know what the fine is but it is

34:23

i mean it would it wouldn't be so crazy if it  weren't true but to your point like you would actually get arrested for having a plastic  bag then you will for having fentanyl in san francisco absolutely they'll they'll arrest you  for the bag that the fentanyl is in but chester boudin will not arrest you for the fentanyl in  the plastic bag uh stacks we've totally lost

34:42

the script but uh chamath sort of bridged this  with the 230 um discussion of common carrier and hey you know uh we we had great intent with this  law but nobody saw social networks becoming this dominant addictive et cetera so we need to be  more nimble as a government in changing these

35:03

regulations whether it's straws fentanyl challenge  trials or 230 you wrote a blog post about it after we had our 2 30 discussion a lot of people  started talking about it have you come to some conclusion as to an exit ramp for 230 or a  way to maintain it without you know throwing the baby with the bath water yeah yeah well  okay just can i make one concluding thought on

35:24

sure of course so the reason why innovations  happen so fast on the internet is because of you know one word permissionless right  permissionless innovation nobody who has an idea for a startup needs to go get permission  from someone in the government you know repeatedly that's really what makes a difference you know  mark zuckerberg as a you know sophomore in college

35:43

can just build his project larry and sergey as  phd students can just build their project ship it start you know getting users and they don't  have to get the permission of a regulator whose incentive by the way is just typically not to get  fired by approving something that might rebound on

36:01

them in some you know in some bad way and to keep  their job yeah keep their job i mean imagine if you know imagine just taking like a random example  when elon launched starman remember where he put the like he launched the tesla into space and  there's like a astronaut in there and it was like this kind of really cool moment i assume he  just did it i assume he didn't get permission from

36:24

anybody to do it but could a moment like that have  really happened if he did have to get permission no way it'd be like making its way up through  the chain no one would know what to think of it no one would know whether they could be the one to  approve it and then what if something goes wrong

36:39

what if the tesla comes back down to earth and  you know turns into a meteor or whatever those the scenarios that be running through their heads  nobody would have allowed it right and so when you just let entrepreneurs do things like good things  happen right and that's why we've had so much

36:53

progress on the internet and in so many of these  other areas we've had much less progress because you know what what a system like that selects for  is your ability to go lobby regulators as opposed to just building your project and shipping it  i think that um one of the things that maybe

37:10

happens is that you know we we're all expecting or  maybe some of us i have definitely some version of a new deal and some grand bargain and i wonder  maybe whether the new deal and our sort of like our version of fdr over the next i don't know  10 years is the person that actually says guys

37:28

we're going to have a wholesale rewrite of  the regulatory infrastructure to account for technology just period we're going to start  someplace reasonable and small and we're going to make common sense reforms just observing the times  as they exist today right and we're going to go and systematically try to make these industries  a little bit more resilient a little bit more

37:48

entrepreneurial you know a little bit uh less  corrupted by regulatory capture and lobbyists and laws that just don't make sense 100 years later i  mean it'd be great if we could do that the reason we can't is because how do you reform the law  without the lobbyists getting their fingers in it

38:06

right and and the problem is there's no  there's no lobbyist for the company that doesn't exist yet right for the founder for the  entrepreneur who's got an idea in their head but they haven't built their company yet there's  nobody representing that person in washington right and what happens is you get new regulations  in washington some agency gets created they reach

38:27

out and touch an industry now every player that's  affected has to create their own lobbying you know not true and david what do you think about this  what if the the advocate for the entrepreneur or the uncreated company an uncreated product  is really the same as just individual civil

38:45

liberties and rights how are they really that  different because really what it's doing is saying the entrenched organizational infrastructure  that runs my life gets deconstructed and then power gets pushed down to be the individual  that's tantamount to the same thing i think well we we have seen some we have seen some  pushback well i mean there is some silver

39:08

lining here if you look right now the citizens  of california obviously people have been fleeing and we've been talking about california and the  one party system here causing so many problems but we did have prop 22 uh pass and we  now have 900 000 people have signed to recall governor newsom uh and these  seem to be some pushback against this

39:32

sort of nanny state uh where people can't  make decisions and then additionally uh today the sec announced um that they will  allow gig working companies to give stock to employees as part of their compensation up  to 15 of their compensation in fact uh hester um uh how do you pronounce her last name it's not  pierce um you can't pronounce the word pierce

40:02

purse first person no it's spelled pierce but a  hester purse is worth following on the twitter e h-e-s-t-e-r-p-e-i r c e hester purse i had her  on my pockets this week in startups and she um they're they're really getting aggressive in  changing the accreditation law so anybody's

40:18

gonna be able to be an accredited investor you  become sophisticated through a testing mechanism and now they want to let gig workers get by  the way sorry here's a perfect example of um a regulatory body and infrastructure  that actually has changed with the times i think the sec in fact i think we maybe we  talked about this a little bit the last time

40:39

i actually think one of the best trump appointees  has been jay clayton um and i actually think jay clayton has done an incredibly good job and a  lot of what he's done is just deconstruct this kind of nanny state and say people can become  educated and make good decisions for themselves

40:55

and because it's in some it's an area that's  relatively benign i.e investing people kind of just let it happen without a lot of pushback and  everybody kind of generally supports it democrats support it republicans support it and the outcomes  are really good to your point jason which is in

41:10

a world of zero rates how do you expect any just  you know average ordinary middle american who just works a decent job to save for their retirement  to actually make enough money well they're going to have to get educated and they're going to have  to find a way of putting their money to work in

41:24

in uh in assets that have a better return which  literally was illegal up until very recently you were systematically letting the rich stay  rich and you were blocking the poor from having an opportunity to advance like what if apple  store employees could get their paycheck and say i want to take my paycheck 70 cash 30 you know  restrict restricted stock units at this discount

41:49

like we could let apple store employees make you  know a million dollars after five or ten years of working there 10 20 years from now and have  generational wealth change david sacks you had comment well i was going to astromoth do you  think this type of deregulation is going to

42:04

happen in the biden administration yes what you're  discussing is like a very really kind of classical republican reaganite idea right i i agree and and  i think what's going to happen is you're i think you're going to continue to see deregulation  in areas that are benign and non-controversial so i think the sec um the fcc i think all  of these places you'll see movement i think

42:31

you'll probably actually see a lot more choice and  deregulation effectively in in medicare and cmmi i think those places will move first and then  i think it'll be up to some leader politician to then really rally the troops on some higher  order bits um and one of the biggest higher

42:54

order bits would be sort of around the broader  healthcare infrastructure um social security education education is probably the  biggest one that's that's like the it's just too sacrosanct for the democrats you  cannot get elected without the teachers and so unless there is a startup that completely disrupts  teacher pay and teacher compensation um then the

43:16

public school teachers unions will continue to  dominate a lot of the federal and uh state policy for the worse unfortunately freeberg if  you had one um regulation or series of regulations or regulatory body you would most  like to see change for the good of humanity and you know americans and the rest of humans  on the planet what would it be um uh probably

43:44

health uh yeah it's probably the drug process  the drug development process you know there was a um a gene editing uh program that ran and  someone died this was what year was this 97 99 and they basically halted all  gene editing programs for 13 years you know how many people died during that  time it was [ __ ] it's a crazy crazy um uh

44:12

fact uh where you know they're the um  you know the one death is too many rule um you know basically doesn't take into  account the uh the kind of broader implications um on the downside so yeah i think that one's  probably pretty important but you know there's a good interview if you if you want to hear some  interesting thoughts and uh again uh not trying

44:36

to be an advocate for any political point of view  but um charles coke goes on tim ferriss have you guys heard this podcast interview i've listened to  it yeah yeah and he highlights a couple of really good examples about this regulatory capture  problem like if you're poor and you want to

44:51

become a hairdresser and you know start a salon  or go work in a salon and make money cutting hair the cost and the burden for you to go get  the necessary approvals from the cosmetician association is too burdensome for you know  the average person who's poor needs to

45:07

become a hairdresser and it's just insane  that you can't just go be a hairdresser um the government government needs to ensure  that people don't get bad haircuts it's worse yeah you could you you can you don't  need a license to be the engineer that writes the machine learning code that either  drives a car autonomously or that you know uh

45:31

helps propel disinformation in the social network  but you do need to have a license to give someone a buzz cut oh that's a bingo statement right there  yeah i mean in fairness i'm i am checking out sax's new haircut here and i'm kind of thinking  so there should be more regulation there might be

45:47

i was practicing without a license you work  i mean yeah did you do that you can't see the result of this one you're so you're so white and  pale you're you're blending into the background shade it's impossible to see where your skin ends  your hair starts and the shade but i feel like the the regulatory if you think about the framework  you know it extends into education too

46:11

like you can't go get an entry entry-level  job without a quote-unquote college degree how [ __ ] useful is a college philosophy degree  to someone that's trying to get an entry level job working at x y or z bank right like it's um it's  a bit absurd that the structure is set up so that

46:25

there are whether it's you know government or not  but there is effectively a hurdle um which is this alternative to regulatory capture but it's like  call it embedded system you know capture it like uh there is a significant kind of hurdle that  you have to get through that costs a lot and the point of entry has gotten too high for most  and it really stalls things out and it's gonna

46:45

cause more damage than good well and it's also  been completely disconnected from the reality of your employment potential people are going  into debt for two hundred thousand dollars in a liberal arts degree that provides no skill that  is do we all agree that that makes sense like

46:59

does anyone on this in this group argue for  needing a bachelor's degree for everyone no i don't think i i think i think it's useless  what do you guys think of isas income sharing agreements these have become kind of lambda  school does them a bunch of other schools david you saw a startup we just invested  in that's doing them and i think you liked

47:18

them at the demo day we did uh with kraft maybe  you know this idea is who should take the risk for an education and when you look at an isa an  income sharing agreement what they're saying is uh the school takes the risk they let you come  to school for free they give you what would be

47:34

the equivalent of let's say a fifteen thousand  dollar coding camp or growth marketer uh risk then you pay double that amount over five six seven  years as a percentage of your income but if you don't get income if you don't break 50k a year you  don't have to pay it back if you decide to go back

47:51

to school or your income drops below 50 you don't  have to do it can you imagine if a college had to make that promise they should do it they should  start in college sports but they should do it imagine you you know duke basically went  recruited kids and said listen we're going to pay you to come to duke we're going to get  you educate educated we're going to teach you

48:10

how to play basketball better than anybody else  and we're going to take five percent of your future earnings yes or no you're not going to  have to go to boosters you're not going to have to take money you're not going to have to do any  of this stuff on the side but just be your best

48:21

learn to play the game we'll get you a reasonable  education we'll give you a good infrastructure and we take five percent of the back end with  the so you could cap the upside right or maybe maybe there's no cap and and but why do we always  have to care about all of this like it's like

48:35

you know it's like whatever maybe it's five  percent for the rest of your life you're going to pay the government 50 you get nothing in return  so if you pay 5 and you get coach k to teach you how to shoot a jumper it's better than that  right so why why isn't it possible and i remember how people had this unbelievably paternalistic  allergic reaction to income sharing agreements

48:54

when they were first talked about they called  them indentured servitude and modern compared to slavery and it was like oh my god oh so insulting  to but it's no different than signing a contract with an agent to represent you when you first  start out in any industry music or or sports or

49:08

uh film or whatever one you could sign an agency  agreement where the agent is your rep for 10 20 years right i mean some of those agreements can  have long tails on them and that's effectively the same you know look at what's happening look  at look at uh we can talk about this in a second but like you know did you see what happened  with chappelle the last couple of days where

49:26

yeah let's go did you watch the video i loved it  yeah the video was incredible video was incredible so the the the quick story on this is chappelle  basically did um he had a request he went to netflix and he said take down chappelle show  netflix took it down and he did a little stand

49:41

up it's on his instagram it's like 18 minutes it's  it's fabulous as most chapelle stuff peaks peak chapelle and he basically told this story which  essentially the punch line is like you know he signed a contract where he just got completely  [ __ ] and he's like this is happening every single day in so many markets and so the idea  that then you have actually a different market

50:05

which disrupts something by actually creating  transparency and something reasonable is all of a sudden completely immoral makes no sense  to me so there's abuses happening all the time that is but the the contract that chappelle  signed was indentured servitude he doesn't even have the rights to his name he cannot  they took his name and likeness right yeah

50:34

this is a perfect tie back to the earlier  statement about uh you know do you have the appropriate kind of um understanding of the risk  you're taking or the benefit that you're getting um i think kanye's been doing this whole thing  about he doesn't own the masters to his music

50:47

originally right at the moment that he signed that  contract when he signed over all the masters you know the master recordings and all the future  revenue rights to his music he was getting paid a ton of money in his mind at that time he said oh  my gosh i'm getting whatever it was let's say it's

51:01

five million dollars i'm getting five million  dollars the most amount of money i've ever seen it is absolutely worth me giving over the masters  of this music and the future royalty rights to this music for 12 songs or whatever it is for me  to get five million dollars today and i can live an amazing life and it will change everything for  me who is to say that he was not um you know of

51:20

the appropriate sound mind and understanding to  decide in that moment to take that five million dollars and give up all future royalties to his  music well chappelle's chappelle's argument was the people who are in that ecosystem are  all friends they're all working together and they've commoditized the artist and they  collude to do this kind of uh and decide limiting

51:41

deals and i think what makes silicon valley so  special is that we collude the other direction we want people to have equity participation and  we want the social contract of silicon valley is i'm giving you equity i hope your your penny stock  becomes worth fifteen hundred dollars and that you

51:58

create multi-generational wealth and you become  an angel but i don't know look if i if i'm an angel investor or want to be an angel investor and  some schmo tricks me into investing in his shitty company and i just lose twenty thousand dollars  but i didn't know how to determine whether that

52:11

company was shitty or not because i've never done  investing before my book is it for the government to regulate that circumstance and say you know  what you need to be a quote-unquote qualified investor to be able to discern a good company for  a bad company or [ __ ] from not and it's going to

52:23

mean for these contracts right like i mean so you  know we're making the argument i think for the the you know the regulatory framework for preventing  people from being able to have freedom of choice and i think like earlier you know that the case  was made like people should be able to make

52:38

have freedom of choice at any point why should the  government kind of step in and make a decision for me i think that they're i'm not i'm not advocating  advocating for government intervention my only point is that there are morally reprehensible  things that are happening today using contracts and that you know something like an income  sharing agreement actually rights the ship

52:56

in so many ways that's definitely the burden of  capitalism ultimately you know it devolves to that right where like oh you're sick you have cancer  pay me a million dollars i'll give you this drug so hollywood's a little bit of its own  beast where there's all these gatekeepers and the gatekeepers are always trying to get  control over you know the creative product

53:15

and so yeah like you know signing contracts with  those sharks is always a dangerous thing to do um i think silicon valley is very different we  have much more of a culture of of equity i think the income sharing agreements are much more in  that vein and i think they're a great idea for

53:32

like any trade that demonstrably increases  your earning power right so the beauty of lambda school is they pay for you to get an  education being a coder it then increases your salary and they get a piece of that that's like  a win-win for everybody i think where this goes if these isas are successful is that every trade  that's valuable will get its own isa type school

53:57

and then that gets peeled out of a university  education so what's left for colleges to do it's basically you know all the stuff that doesn't  add value they're museums they're basically like these monasteries again right they go back to  being monasteries not places where you get skills

54:14

we need to set we need to celebrate vocational  capability because i think like you know we have we have so celebrated this mythical bachelor's  degree and it just means [ __ ] nothing it's like it doesn't learn a trade and that's just  as frankly that should be as respected or more

54:30

but in the american culture you don't do that  right now i've never understood that if you go for example to different countries around the  world europe's a good example actually of this because it's the closest analog in terms of  quality of living to america there's a real celebration of uh people who choose vocational  traitcraft because there's an entire educational

54:50

infrastructure that you can onboard yourself into  you can become a skilled person and you can have a really good decent life and there's pride in the  work and there's pride in that work and in america you know you covet this piece of paper the  piece of paper is really just a scam that

55:06

allows you know administrators to basically pay  themselves millions of dollars and or run an asset management business as a the trojan horse of that  purpose um it just doesn't make any sense and so you know i don't know it's i just think it's i  just think the most amazing thing about these

55:23

companies i've i've been digging into them  because i'm looking for more to invest in and um these companies these uh companies that are  the trade schools that are basing themselves on isis and there are ones who are doing welding  and plumbing and all kinds of different things and there are isa platforms that are providing isis to  any school that wants them and doing like the sort

55:43

of aws of isis anyway these um for what this firm  told me was inside of one of these trade schools they spend 50 percent of their time on placement  50 on education and that out of college they spend 99.x amount of time on uh the education  and less than one percent on placement which

56:03

kind of attracts right i mean when we went to  college i don't know if it's changed much but the career services center was like this  two-person office like in the worst part of campus and they don't when you're doing an isa if you  accept more people who are unqualified and can't

56:20

aren't ready for the education are not motivated  for it it works against you because they're not going to pay back the isa so you then get  sharper you know you sharpen the blade of who gets accepted you start accepting the right  people these colleges they would accept anybody who would come in and take the loans that was your  qualifier is did you pass your loan the isa as a

56:41

service idea is a brilliant idea i would invest in  that i like that idea as an investment way better than running one of these uh schools you know  that that's basically issuing the isis themselves but how amazing is that that we live in a country  where people are willing to you know as a movement

56:59

now people are willing to fund your education  because they know it's going to increase your earning power and then they'll get paid on the  back end that's like fantastic and like that's all like happening all that innovation is happening  right now without the government needing to get involved or a big government loan program and the  historic people getting saddled people calling

57:17

it inventory literally like the voxes and the new  york times of the world and uh is having a 250 000 debt that you've got to pay down and you can never  get rid of in bankruptcy for the rest of your life yeah that's real indentured service i think the  problem is that you know east coast left-leaning

57:38

um editorial publications um they  have to themselves justify their 190 000 um bachelor philosophy from oberlin college  so you know if you if you take that you know oberlin is the number one listener base  we have on this podcast yeah you just lost yeah but you're right once you've taken out every  valuable trade and and move them from a university

58:02

where you've got to pay a hundred thousand a year  to a an isa where it costs you nothing like what's left it's just gonna be people studying  philosophy oh yeah people intersectionality intersectionality standards they'll be  studying the past they'll be studying the past yeah what a disaster to collapse upon itself  all right as we wrap up here um let's just

58:22

take a moment to think about what some people  are calling the big reset um it's thanksgiving uh we have a change in management in the country  which is is obviously polarizing so i'll put that aside but i think what's happened with these  vaccines in science is truly miraculous and

58:39

let's face it a lot of people is a lot of pain  and suffering this year a lot of people lost their jobs a lot of people lost their restaurants  a lot of people are suffering from mental illness some people are having to take care of their  kids and get to know them i mean it's been hard

58:52

for a lot of people sorry about that sex i wasn't  trying david do you know your children's names now yeah i do now what's it like to spend three hours  with one of your children he's got flash cards in front of him right now there's pictures  on the back the names on the other side so anyway i was trying to be sincere the kids  would even occasionally run into my office during

59:15

coved you know yeah they want to talk to you and  hug you and show affection crazy they're like excuse me sir who are you i'm your father actually  i am i thought i was just working for my office and all these kids show up and tell me it's their  home so well we i just wanted to announce to the

59:33

all-in uh audience that we have upgraded friedberg  and sax's chips just last week uh chamath and i pushed the update for the joy 1.7 update and uh  how's it been going to the two davids now that you have a third emotion we now have emotion of joy  do not use it it feels good and warm inside body

59:54

do not use it all in same day spread it out  over a month hey david did you think that trump uh actually resigned two days ago was that  was that was that the equivalent of a like or the concession tweet it was acceptance of um you're  talking about when they he authorized the gsa to release transition funds to biden yeah i mean that  that that that was his concession right there um

1:00:18

that that's that's basically what you're gonna  get out of him that's his acceptance of the of the election result so after anger he's now went  into bargaining uh and then he was depressed and now he's accepting well what basically happened  is you you know you had rudy and sydney powell

1:00:36

and you know that legal team going to court to try  and challenge all these rules the wack pack yeah try to go to court to challenge all these rulings  i think rudy was like one in 35 meaning i think he won one ruling and lost 35 so it was going very  very poorly so like you versus alan keating go

1:00:53

ahead yeah but yeah that's a whole separate story  we'll get into but uh but the thing that really like ended it was when sydney powell came out with  this elaborate conspiracy theory that actually trump lost the election because um communist code  writers had effectively you know infected this the

1:01:14

software that was running the election and somehow  hugo chavez was behind this even though he's been dead for seven years hugo the republican governor  of georgia and secretary of state were in on it anyway it was so wild and crazy that basically the  narrative just cracked and so then you had like

1:01:36

steve schwartzman come out and then sort of the  republican business community and and pat toomey you know republican senator from pennsylvania came  out and they all just said look this is this is ridiculous and so that that was the moment i think  at which th this narrative that the election was stolen kind of cracked is and i think she kind of  she did everyone a favor by being so like off the

1:01:59

reservation that it just brought the whole thing  to like a meltdown sydney powell always whenever i see her i always i i just think that she's one  second away from her dentures flying out of her mouth and hitting the camera i mean that's your  crazy aunt that's the crazy aunt of thanksgiving

1:02:14

like she said she was gonna release the kraken  and i guess she meant the i think she might smoke i think it was the hair dye running down  rudy's face yes exactly that's the crack rudy's the kraken i mean i'm glad that it was  a total meltdown it was a total [ __ ] show i'm glad the gop finally after trump's defeat  decided with 55 days left to go that they would

1:02:39

take a stand against well let me let me tell  you why let me tell you what i think is going to happen now is i think that this new york times  article we talked about the top of the show about the fact this operation warp speed that it was  a big success i think that the best narrative

1:02:55

for trump if he wants to maintain this idea  that he was robbed is not that he was sort of legally robbed with fake votes or fake voting  software but rather just that if these pharma companies have put out the news a week earlier  yes it would have meaningfully changed like and i think he has an amazing story there i would  agree it's kind of yeah and it's kind of like you

1:03:16

know um when you have like a major sporting  event there's like a bad call by the refs and all the fans basically said oh we were robbed  well you can't get that like result overturned it is what it is you lost but you have a talking  point forever that you lost i mean if you go to saint louis or whatever and you mentioned there's  an asterisk yeah there's an asterisk yeah yeah

1:03:40

when the national lebron association suspended  draymond in that series there are all these sporting events with asterisks by them i mean like  you know if you go to st louis and mention the name don denkinger you know people will know what  you're talking about the i think the car he was he

1:03:56

the saint louis cardinals lost the 85 world series  because of a first base umpire's call or at least that's their view of it right and so i think you  know what what trump can do is is say that look we were robbed because we never got credit for the  vaccine now if i i do think the economy is going

1:04:15

to bounce back really strong next year because of  the vaccines right i think you got to say that if these vaccines end covert in the next three four  five months 2021's gonna be a great year so if trump hands biden these vaccines and the economy  does well next year but something bad happens

1:04:32

between now and four years from now he'll say  i handed this guy everything on a solar platter he screwed it up and that'll be his narrative  for four years from now good could happen i'm just saying what do you what do you think about  um what do you guys think about the pick so far

1:04:48

janet yellen for treasury secretary  is great thank god elizabeth i do think the biggest challenge we're gonna  face is um is this monetary policy issue i mean the dollar is is you know in decline we printed  30 of the us dollars in circulation in the last six months and everyone's cheering that the dow  is at 30 000. it's like well you know there's

1:05:15

30 more dollars so everything's gonna inflate  so i think there's a lot of work to do it's great to have someone sitting in that seat who  understands economic policy really clearly and and the title monetary policy uh yeah i think the  picks so far have been have been really um really

1:05:31

top-notch tony blinken friend of a couple of hours  for secretary of state he's a star um yellen's a dove which i think is really good for just you  know did you guys know the chief of staff sacks do you know who this guy he's been like biden's  aid for a long time kind of is that the deal he was the founder of revolution with steve case  yeah yeah he comes from a venture background

1:05:52

all of biden's picks have been people  who've been long-time washington hands who he's had personal relationships with for  a long time he really seems to value that personal loyalty and they've also been kind  of you know nice and boring safe experience i think he's delivering on kind of what  he promised to be which is a present we

1:06:14

can forget about yeah just tone it down that's  gonna be a caretaker president yeah what do we do without trump to talk about on this podcast  because it's been about 34 we're going to need a new topic to rotate in here we might need  to put in little netflix um as we wrap here um what are you thankful for and what are you most  looking forward to next year um vis-a-vis just

1:06:38

it's been a rough year um i mean listen it's been  nice for people's equity portfolios of course um but it's really what do you hope for america  for humanity for yourselves your family for your friends you know what are you thankful for um  and uh i'll let you freedberg it looks like

1:06:54

your processing unit has delivered a result so  let's hear it the emotion bank has been cleared uh it i look i don't think that this  year was any uh any cup of tea for anyone so i think like everyone you kind of  value your friendships and your family so it's uh it's been uh it's been a year you know  going into covid i was in the office every day

1:07:22

spending more time at home being closer to my  children i know their names by the way sex i'll teach you how to learn them they're it's been it's  been actually really special being at home a lot and being with the family a lot and realizing like  how much that stuff matters and how being close to

1:07:36

everyone matters because when you're in the run of  the life before you kind of get knocked back and just put everything in perspective you miss  those moments so that's been really special and important to me this year in a really kind of  personal way and just having friendships right i mean it's great for us to all be able to to talk  as we do every day and have people you can kind of

1:07:55

connect with even if you're not sitting in person  i do think that everyone realizes they need that so anyway it's been a it's been an insightful year  money aside it's yeah i was [ __ ] terrorized at the start of this year about money and the end of  the year here you go finally there it is it's all

1:08:10

a [ __ ] roller coaster sold the first company and  now you got the second ipo congratulations mazel sacks has your processing unit overloaded with  this question or are you going to be able to articulate something thankful for and appreciate  it i i i agree with with all the things that

1:08:25

freeburg said um you know the flip side of working  from home all this time is you do get to spend a lot more time with the kids um i personally have  i like this shift to remote work where i can do a meeting from anywhere you know you don't  have to go to the office that's been kind of

1:08:43

kind of nice upside i think i think we've  probably all learned how self-sufficient we can be i have learned how to give myself  a haircut apparently you guys don't think i've done a very good job with it but um  well it's better than you have long hair yeah so yeah but look i mean i'm thankful for um you  know knock on wood we all have our health and um

1:09:07

you know and uh it weirdly the the economy  silicon valley is doing still doing great technology is doing great still the future and  i think the country is even though covet is kind of at its worst right now i do think it's going  to get rapidly better as soon as these vaccines

1:09:24

come to market so i do think we'll we'll work  i do think 2021 will be a much much better year chemoth um in this really crazy way  i actually now am pretty thankful um for what i've learned during the pandemic i  mean i wish we didn't have to go through it but um i think that it was the most psychologically  stressful period of my life um just to be

1:09:52

so isolated from everybody um and i learned  something about myself recently which is that uh in psychology it's called repetitive com  compulsion which is sort of like you know you repeat the sins of your father or in this way you  know i repeat these tired ways of behavior from my teens and my 20s that were just unproductive and  in the day-to-day life of just running around and

1:10:22

going to meetings as david said like flying around  go to a meeting go to the office go here go there you can make a lot of excuses for shitty behaviors  that you carry with you um and so what i'm really thankful for is in this lockdown i've been forced  to really find the things that that i don't really

1:10:41

like about myself and try to fix them um so you  know uh i'm i'm really thankful for that because i think uh hopefully everybody has something  positive to look at at the end of this and that's definitely one thing for me it's very touching and  actually quite appropriate as we wrap here because

1:10:58

sax and free broke and i had some things we don't  like about you chamath that we wanted to bring up you kind of knocked one off the list  already so we got four more to go it's good you're doing this work we were planning an intervention for this end of  the pod but you got to open the door so here we go

1:11:19

you know i'll wrap up was just saying you  know family and friends are the obvious you know things that you appreciate at  this time i i am thankful also for the hope uh that we've seen from uh you know what we  can do collectively as a society when we put our minds to something warp speed comes to mind  uh these frontline workers i mean we we really

1:11:42

maybe have seen what a global uh rec a challenging  problem being solved can do and hopefully that can translate into something like nuclear disarmament  a sustainable energy global warming et cetera and so i think on a on a macro level the most macro  levels the species us humans as a species have now

1:12:01

had an enlightening moment just like world wars  uh and you know hiroshima and nagasaki kind of changed people's perspective the entire world jade  and i were talking about that the other day how the people looked at the world differently after  those uh horrific bombs went off i i think after

1:12:16

this bomb goes off we're gonna look at the world  and say hey we can solve problems right and maybe we can be proactive about that and then finally i  think for the people suffering from mental illness uh who maybe i was callous and made fun of uh or  maybe just didn't relate to i can relate to now

1:12:31

because i've felt depressed i have felt anxious  i have felt exhausted from this right and it's the first time in the 49 years i've been on the  planet that i ever would say i felt depressed i didn't understand what that meaning was when sax  would tell me how depressed he was i just never

1:12:46

never hit me i'm joking he never said that but  uh it's a good joke i am joking but i i you know i think for people suffering from mental just  get help and and you know talk to people and and i think this really opened my my eyes to that  and of course this podcast uh you know and and our podcast was the best thing that that in one  of the best things in my life that came out of

1:13:07

this whole period i think for me too um and  you know i've heard that from a lot of the people who listened to it and i'm sure if sax  and friedberg had a fourth emotion they would they would agree frankly i think this podcast  has been doing nothing but costing me money you know because i painted you out  to trump support god knows how many

1:13:25

you are not a trump supporter yeah god knows  how many deals i've lost because jason keeps trolling me as a trump supporter and then on top  of it i get cut out of the only good bestie deal if you would i thought at least  i would get this best seat deal and you guys cut me out of it uh  okay listen i just want to be clear

1:13:46

sax is a conservative and a republican he  is not a trump supporter he did not vote for trump this time he'd not vote for trump last  time he does not support trump's behavior you can't out what he's voting dude sorry but he  told me he didn't vote for him well he did it

1:14:01

which one which one of us which one of us is going  to try to hire jared kushner as a general partner uh no definitely not if you are saying most likely  because now you're reinforcing the theme that's actually if you had to pick actually if you had to  pick a venture fund that is most like the higher uh as a gp andreas anything from  are they still around founders fun

1:14:23

no i don't think peter wants to share the  spotlight uh okay um i go in jason don't do anything to get a press release i don't  think that guy needs a fun to go work at true yeah he'll just go buy another no he did get three  middle east peace deals done so but you know david

1:14:44

by the by the way by the way i mean talk talking  about inheriting incredible dividends but is it the most incredible thing that um you can come  in and get middle east peace done but if you really unpack middle east peace do you think  that middle east peace would have happened if the cost of solar was not cheaper than  the cost of oil honestly be like if if if you

1:15:06

if you didn't see an end in sight to oil  do you think that the middle east peace i don't think so well i i know what you're saying  which is that if the middle east wasn't becoming less strategically relevant to us you know that  that creates degrees of freedom i think but um yeah that's had profound benefits for silicon  valley too right like i mean all of a sudden that

1:15:26

went into the vision fund and the the money from  qatar and the money from like all these sovereign wealth funds in the middle east has funded a lot  of venture funds has gone into direct late stage rounds in a lot of companies and it's really been  a great boom for silicon valley people can make

1:15:41

fun of the companies getting overfunded and the  nonsense that's gone on all they want but like money right it filters out into more angel  investing it filters out into more venture lps and it ultimately gives the motivation this  ecosystem so i i i think that the damage to oil has been great for silicon valley the most  incredible dividend of climate change is peace

1:16:01

it's like it's a it it has made radical islam  a failed startup you know a hyped series a that couldn't raise its series b it's made you know  sworn enemies over thousands of years cooperate together all for what reason because you got to  pull the oil out of the ground now and monetize it

1:16:21

because otherwise the cost of wind and you have  to divert solar yeah and you have to diversify because otherwise the cost of wind and the cost  of solar is going to make pulling the oil out of the ground economically and feasible within three  or four years yeah already can't do it all right

1:16:34

they took saudi aramco public they started selling  off their shares and they invested that capital in tech and other stuff around the world and  that's it's been helpful but there is there is a another factor at work which is the  fear of iran is now greater than on the part of saudi arabia and israel that their  fear of iran is is now greater than whatever

1:16:56

mutual hostility they used to have and so it's  it's kind of bringing people together that way but you got to give kushner credit for still  getting those deals done you know no one thought he could do it i remember everyone was blocking  him i agree he's not he's not a [ __ ] and he's

1:17:10

not um he's the opposite of an abrasive guy and  he's very thoughtful and apparently very uh i don't know if you guys know him personally  but he's supposed to be very smart and um i'm sure that wherever he ends up next he's going  to do very well and he's going to get invited to be in a lot of places yeah no it's clear he did  a very good job on the middle east stuff yeah by

1:17:29

the way how crazy is it that trump delivers on  hottest economy ever peace in the middle east and three vaccines for coronavirus and he's  still lost who would you well it does go to tell you what what people think of character  yeah character if you watch how he tweets but he tweeted himself out of his if he acted normal  sacks he could actually take those victories if

1:17:51

he stopped the personal attacks if he stopped the  grifting he would have won he could he could have been he actually it would have been more than one  if he could have been raymond if he could he could exactly what i was thinking if he came in in 2016  calm cool and collected with the team where there

1:18:07

was dial down the insecurity and dial up sort of  the intensity of actually calling people out for not passing progressive change he would have been  elected in a landslide people would have said well on the way in we were afraid but after four  years the guy could have been magnanimous is what

1:18:23

you're saying yeah and uh it was a real missed  opportunity for him i still think much of trump is he's a wwe superstar and that's what people  voted for it's why jesse ventura got elected governor of minnesota that's why arnold  schwarzenegger got elected governor of california the average you know person that's looking at that  guy versus you know the old dude that doesn't talk

1:18:44

and you know saying some weird stuff about policy  it's like oh man that guy looks awesome let's put him in office like this is going to be [ __  ] fun and if he turned it down when he got in office he'd be much less appealing i think to a  lot of people i think well then my caricature of

1:18:58

himself that makes him so so appealing then i'd  like to go i'd like to go on the record with my 15-year projection then or uh which is  that the rock is gonna run for president uh i i think you know the iran situation just  to put that in perspective david if you look at the age distribution on the  chart i just put in the chat

1:19:18

it is just extraordinary how young that country  is the median age is i think 20 or 29 years old and the they're barely holding on to power  there and it is going to flip into a much more progressive society um than it is now they  are barely holding on when you look at how many

1:19:36

25 year olds and 30 year olds there are in  that country who are drinking and watching tv and they have the internet and  they're watching porn and they're gambling i'm sure and buying bitcoin and doing all  this crazy stuff that country's barely holding on it's going to be a crazy civil war and let's  just hope they don't have nuclear bombs when

1:19:56

that civil war yeah guys guys guys like being  being like extremist it's just like it's just a bad product market fit now you know it's just  like not worth it there's there's no money to fund it nobody cares that much anymore everybody's  moving low nps score yeah would you recommend

1:20:14

extremism to a friend or family member too all  right uh this has been another all-in podcast for bestie c the rain man david sacks and the  queen of quinoa on his coming out party today ipo coming up for metro mile congratulations to  friedberg congratulations to chamoth on the pipe sax and i we're gonna have to figure out  a way to lick our wounds and wet our beaks

1:20:40

let's put our thinking caps on and over the  break find a deal we can exclude these two from we gotta we gotta get in early get thirty percent  of a company and then we gotta have chamoth spack it and freeburg do the late stage  deal with all this metro mile money yeah and we'll see you all next time on the all-in  podcast that was [ __ ] great best one yet yeah

1:21:01

you guys want to see something funny you guys see  that video my wife just sent me that's my uh dog taking a [ __ ] on your driveway sex wait i don't  see it oh man where is it i want to see that deuce can you take a [ __ ] on his model x  oh my god and we'd all have code 13. oh no everybody we rolled over the credits