0:00
welcome to technology Brothers the most profitable podcast in the world today we are breaking down the history and controversy surrounding DJI the drone maker you're probably familiar with these guys and looking not good we don't like and looking to create some new controversies create some new controversies amp up the the volume
0:16
around it yeah exactly um uh the reason we're doing this is because a it's a super fascinating story it hasn't been told anywhere like we couldn't find when we were doing the research for this we couldn't find the like oh there's a intive podcast oh somebody did a documentary about them like there's very
0:33
few articles that there's a there's yeah the primary video sources on it are all AI generated it's just slop content it's really really weird didn't even seem like it was the the audio was in English but it what didn't seemingly wasn't generated by somebody who spoke native English because they were weird accents
0:52
with the audio Yeah it's very very odd and then of course there's like a lot of drone operator content like people reviewing the ins and outs of like the Inspire three how it Compares and like that's not relevant to this story yeah and and Frank Wang the founder like hates journalists very rarely you know I
1:11
put it that way uh I think he just knows that if he no there there was a he he's he's had some he's had some lines where he's like I won't he doesn't want to talk to so hating journalists is different but doesn't want to talk to the Press yeah has gone years without doing interviews at different points one
1:28
point get to this early in the story it's all just like hero stuff like oh it was used to save someone who was trapped in a cave or trapped on top of and now it's like yeah it's being used in every war front yeah yeah it's used in every Battle Zone and or Battlefield so uh uh I I think we should kick it off with uh
1:48
the the Ryan Mac article from 2015 you want or you want to get background first we should do some background okay let's do that and then let's go into the yeah the Mac piece um so yeah uh Frank Wang born Wanga is born in hung Joe ji Jang Province China from an early age he shows a keen fascination with flight and aircraft and and and one
2:15
thing uh I I highly doubt he was given the name Frank Wang until he was probably and his teenager at at whatever point he started interacting with the English world yeah because would have just gone by wangt his entire life so at this point in time his let's be very clear his name is wangt he was born in
2:39
hongo uh and anyways hongo uh uh I mean everything about this feels like somebody who would you know be working for Nat fredman or get a teal Fellowship like even though he's on kind of the near peer competitor team um uh and so you know we're we're going to figure out how to how to build our own DJI here in America uh hopefully with
3:06
some cracked Nat fredman or teal disciple uh he he does just seem like like a hacker kid who's just genely interested in there's two there's two things that happen there's a different world where where like we would be like promoting this guy and be like you got to hire this dude you got to fund this
3:21
company because like he's he's clearly a genuine hacker he goes to Hong Kong University of Science and before that there's two there's two things that happen in his early life he gets this book I forget what it's called but it's it's a story about this uh helicopter Adventure uh and it's all about flight
3:37
and just hum many rounds this was like you know before he was 10 years old this was like an early Obsession and then as a teenager he gets an RC helicopter do you remember these things they were I remember them they wereable hard to fly they crashed all the time they were super fragile and so he had a some moment where he did well
3:58
in um you know some exam and his parents got him the RC helicopter he crashed it the first day and then had to wait three months to actually get the parts to be able to get it back up in the air that's amazing I and I think the very first prototype that DJI built as a company was a was a single uh what do they what
4:15
do they call it like single rotor or just like a helicopter basically yeah yeah yeah and the other the other thing that's crazy before he ends up going to University he his parents like had him living he didn't live with his parents he was like raised by family members uh his parents were originally one was like
4:33
a teacher and then became a small business owner his dad was an engineer and so he he basically you know had I'm sure he had some trauma associated with with with that just being a young children child away from your parents adress the mic a little bit um so he goes to Hong Kong University of Science and Technology studies electronic uh
4:53
electrical engineering becomes involved in robotics competitions and stands out for his interest in Flight control systems for drones he also wanted to go to MIT or Harvard didn't get in and so there is another path where he becomes basically an American yeah just gets super America pilled and it's just like
5:12
you know so we lost a good one we lost a good one here yeah uh what's interesting is I don't know if you remember it might have been a little bit this is a little bit earlier but in like 2010 there was there started being those like viral videos of like Boston Dynamics but there were also a set of viral videos from mit's media lab from
5:30
MIT about drone swarm coordination you see these really cool demos it was basically a precursor to those like uh those like fire workk show those live shows that we're seeing but the tech just like never got transferred for some reason like MIT guys were doing this and then they just didn't build the startup
5:47
because I think we'll get into why because maybe there was a zero cost competitor that was really cheap and just crushing them at all times um so really weird Market Dynamic uh but uh uh but yeah this was like 20 2003 to 2010 I think was when a lot of the foundational kind of algorithms were written for
6:06
flight control systems and and really the discovery that when you put four rotors on a helicopter essentially instead of just one it becomes way easier to calculate how to balance the the craft and so uh him when he's at HK us uh of the Hong Kong University of science technology he joins this team and participates in the Abu robocon
6:29
competition and he wins third prize among teams across Asia he gets $188,000 in Hong Kong dollars which is about 2,3 to develop drone technology this funding along with his growing reputation encouraged his him to pursue drone research more seriously so he founds DJI in 2006 with a support from
6:49
his mentor Professor Lee Zang and a family friend l d uh Frank Wang formerly founds DJI do Jong Innovations in Shenzhen early operations involve selling flight control components Shenzhen I think most of our listeners will know but this is like the industrial technological capital of China so it's not the center of like
7:10
business but it's the center of manufacturing scale manufacturing consumer Hardware yep Etc and I think I think the like everyone knows like oh iPhones are made there they have foxcon foxcon employs like millions of people is this massive company but the really important thing about Shen Shenzhen is that in America
7:29
it's it's like if I need aluminum I go to the aluminum supplier and they're in Idaho and they ship it to me and then if I need a a little motor or uh a printed circuit board it all comes from all over the place in Shenzhen it's like you walk across the street and there's a guy that can do this type of machine and then you
7:45
walk down the street and there's a motor company and then there's a battery company and so everything happens really really close there's a ton of things and it seems like he was able to just kind of go to like the Silicon Valley of manufacturing it's much like when you're Mountain View doing YC and oh company's
8:02
failing but they have a good iOS engineer you just pull them onto your team it's the same thing like he started with just selling flight control components for drones he wasn't even selling drones he's just like hustling and we'll get into this later but there was his biggest competitor in the US failed not because of software I
8:20
don't actually know if they're failed I we should look it up but which one you think 3D robotics is like 175 million and then they eventually just conceded on the actual Hardware front and we're just building software for DJI y um I also they wind up pivoting to Industrial basically yeah yeah so one thing that uh
8:38
is fascinating here is is Frank ends up over time really churning through employees a lot of people are leaving within a year just frustrated with him but his mentor who was his professor at school Lee yes xang and a family friend Lou D who who I believe uh was was one of the First Investors they end up
9:03
forming this Inner Circle and both the professor and the family friend become billionaires off DJI yeah so and and uh lee Xiang ends up becoming chairman or has like has a significant board role yeah um and so I mean in the early days 2008 I mean 2008 was still wait Obama just got elected and so this was like
9:28
Peak like glob ISM the internet will turn China into a democracy everyone we're all friends and you you know China's joining the World Trade Organization and so there's really nothing but positive news and it's just like oh cool like there's a new awesome company doing cool stuff it doesn't matter where they are of course they're
9:47
there because like yeah China's good at manufacturing we're good at other stuff it's fine we'll trade um and and so all the all the initial stories are just about like genuinely great impacts of this stuff like uh during the 2008 Sichuan earthquake uh DJI drones contribute to the relief efforts by capturing aerial images assisting rescue
10:07
and Recovery teams and we kind of saw that recently with the LA fires where people were putting up drones sometimes bad and crashing into planes that was really bad but but so some of the some of the aerial photography is genuinely very helpful to understand where the fire is spreading um and I'm sure like
10:21
100 times cheaper than flying helicopter for sure safer and so the the company was still pretty small uh and largely reliant on W's determination and external funding um in 2010 they start expanding so he hires his high school friend Swift zja uh to head dji's marketing efforts and then they pivot to
10:43
cater more actively to the growing community of drone hobbyists around the world preparing the ground for broader consumer adoption yeah so early on some of their first products were some of the best in in Market yeah but still clunky like now you can buy a DJI get it have it in the air like probably within 20
11:04
minutes if you were speedrunning it very simple to set up it even integrates with your iPhone the native IOS app but early on it was still there were these hobbyists people that were just obsessed uh you know with flight but doing it in a in in a in a more um you know just not not doing ples right yeah the big the
11:25
big Tipping Point for the consumer moment I think was when uh the camera feed became live so you could see where you're going from the drone's POV and that actually happened through this integration with GoPro um where you used to have to you used to have to you'd buy the Drone and it would give you the motors and the batteries and and a
11:44
controller that can fly it but you would have no idea where you wouldn't be able to see the Drone if it got out of your line of sight basically it was very very hard big yeah yeah you can crash it and so if there's no camera on the Drone too then you're just sending it around exactly what's the point kind of hang
11:59
yeah and so and so people figured out that they could that they could attach a GoPro to it and then record and then when they got back they could unload that footage and then eventually people figured out like the hackers figured out how to live stream footage from the GoPro but then I think it was the DJI
12:14
Phantom 3 had a GoPro integration that would let you do and then the Phantom 4 had yeah I remember I remember even on the as people started hacking these and and adding functionality to them that that DJI would have eventually do themselves I remember at this time being into surfing and uh snowboarding skiing
12:35
things like that people would th that Community really picked it up because it was like hey we can get before if you wanted to get capture a big wave you had to have a helicopter in the sky and whater can afford except the top like whatever one .01% yeah all my extreme sports buddies were super into this yeah just it blew up overnight and so that
12:54
was the first that was kind of transitioning from the hobbyists like people that just wanted to fly to we using the and then the POV GoPro videos were going viral too because this is the time when YouTube's growing really fast and you know any Backcountry skar would just Mount to go what year what year did
13:09
GoPro go public I I feel like Ben could you look up uh can you perplexity that thank you uh they went they went public in 2014 do you know how much gopro's worth today like a couple hundred 150 million yeah yeah yeah rough yeah rough and I and and there's bunch of reasons for that right like it just got to the point
13:33
where people are like okay my iPhone's pretty durable y it's 80% is good yep and DJI has a competitor in my pocket DJ has yeah yeah you will get into this but DJI has a competitor to every single DJI product but d uh but GoPro does not uh DJI has a competitor to every single GoPro product but not reversed and we
13:56
talk about later DJI sells it cost yeah that's wild um so we should talk a little bit about the 2011 dustop in DJI America this is pretty interesting yeah uh so Wang needs Wang needs an America guy right he knows that America by this point the hobbyists have started adopting it he sees the early signs of consumer adoption he's like I
14:22
need I need Mr America of course he finds a guy who was a former reality TV contestant uh and so you meet uh Wang meets this guy at a trade show immediately oppressed with with Colin uh salesmanship and they decideed to partner to form DJI North America um and this like sub is focused on the US and
14:48
just broadly drone sales outside of outside of China yeah um the realities have you show to like actual power pipeline is maybe wildly underrated there always seen as like very low status to go on reality TV but Trump Chris Williamson was a reality TV well I've talked about this with with the players and people that want to join pmf
15:07
or die I'm like look uh we this look at it as an opportunity not just build your company but build your brand like we can accelerate you to that yep whatever 5,000 XF followers that can change your life even if your company doesn't work yep and so they they build this subsidiary but very quickly there's this
15:28
uh there's this fight between uh and and we'll get into this more when we dig into the the next article um around control over the entity because of course DJI North America is owned by DJI which is a Chinese company which is you know yeah just is not entirely controlled by the CCP at this point it's
15:48
like it's very hard to get capital outflows from the from Chinese Investments and so there's a lot of like tricky Yeah so basically uh so I'm going to read a few paragraphs here so by late 2012 DJI had put all the pieces together for a complete drone package software propellers frame Gimbal and remote
16:05
control the company unveiled the Phantom in January 2013 the first ready to fly pre-assembled quadcopter that could be up in the air within an hour of its unboxing and wouldn't break apart with its first crash that's kind of like referencing Wang's early helicopter that the RC helicopter that crash it Simplicity and ease of use unlock the
16:24
market Beyond obsessed enthusiasts and I remember around this time kids started getting them for Christmas oh stuff like that um yet things had already started falling apart between Wang and and Colin Gwyn uh the the head of North America dji's founder didn't like that Gwen was taking credit for the development of the
16:41
Phantom and was calling himself CI of DJI Innovations a title that still stands on his LinkedIn page Savage I mean it is so American to uh for the CH company to come in and be like we need you to be the face of this company and then immediately the American just like I'm the man I CE CEO let me take all the
17:01
credit sources also say that Gwen would often rush into setting up partnership agreements particularly one with action camera maker GoPro which would have been the exclusive camera provider for dji's drones so it sounds like who knows but Gwen is just running around just like doing deals being loud and that doesn't
17:19
really align with Wang that much so Wang got cold feet in the GoPro deal and went against Gwen's advice subsequently angering GoPro which is now uh this was written in 2015 is now rumored to be developing its own drone so yeah um so 2015 was really like the turning point and I think that's what we should but we should cover
17:38
because in 2013 uh this is important by May 2013 DJI attempted to buy out Gwenn stake and DJI North America offering DJI Global shares that would have given the American a poultry. 3% stake wow in the Chinese company uh Gwyn uh was not happy with this points out that his offices were work in North America led to 30% of
18:00
phantoms being sold in the US so it was a super you know key Market yeah uh DJI didn't leave room for negotiation they locked out all of DJI North American employees out of their emails redirected all customer payments to China headquarters by New Year's Eve the employees had been fired and
18:17
Arrangements were being made to liquidate the Austin office's equipment uh and DJI still ended that year with 130 in in Topline Revenue so they get into a lawsuit um and uh this is all around the time that seoa is leading uh it's funny so the the seoa deal happened in mid 2014 Y and they invested
18:41
30 million out of 1.6 billion so it's like I don't even understand this investment to be honest because from that point I mean I guess fantastic investment it went to 100 billion right isn't DJI worth like 100 billion or something now I don't know I don't actually know yeah yeah yeah but it's still privately held yeah privately held
19:01
but okay Ben can you look up their their current valuation valuation um um and anyways so so they get in a lawsuit apparent they settle nobody knows the exact um nobody knows the exact price at this point uh but it but uh you know people have said it's somewhere around 10 million bucks so so Gwen uh kind of
19:22
got kind of got screwed shed um and uh sounds like a lot of the American employees did as well yeah even the three would have been uh I mean if I'm right about the 100 billion mark would have been 300 mil yeah but you could tell from some of the uh ways that Wang would talk about Gwen he never really respected him he just would say like oh
19:43
yeah times Colin would say something that inspired me which just like can imagine the American being like dude this is going to be huge and Wang's like nice pat on the back type thing yeah DJ eyes in 2018 yeah their last private valuation is like 15 so yeah okay sequa has it on paper some somewhere around a 10x yeah
20:11
so they've turned 30 into 300ish million yep but money locked in China yeah with their investment vehicle um but yeah I mean like the news and just just everything about DJ starts ramping up from 2014 2015 because sequa does the deal then Excel comes in and leads an an even crazier round I guess in terms of
20:35
ownership like being very low they raised 75 million from Excel and IT valued the company at 8 billion so that's less than 1% sold um and that valued the company they're raising a new round of 10 billion and Wang owns about 45% so he'll be worth four and a half billion yeah and that's where it starts to get into um clearly they had they
20:59
were in Shenzhen I'm sure they got amazing terms early on y but it starts the narrative starts to get a little bit confusing because they also Wang also talks about how um they intentionally would sell their product at cost they just were looking to recoup uh the sort of cost the hardware costs Y and so it's
21:20
sort of unclear how they're scaling this because the thing about the thing about um selling consumer products like this if you're SC if they're like 10 Xing like they're not 10 Xing every year but they went in a very very short timeline from no Revenue to a billion dollars plus Revenue a year so to actually
21:41
achieve that scale you have to be buying inventory out you know forecasting inventory you've got to be buying you know with that kind of growth rate very hard to fully bootstrap it without huge access to Capital because you're buying your Q4 holiday inventory in Q2 exactly and where's that money coming from if
22:04
you're selling the product at cost right it's so there's a bunch of uh this article that we're referencing was written by Forbes and it was written by a guy named Ryan uh Mack uh who's not very well-liked in the valley uh and he was also accompanied by someone named hung sha uh which we don't have backstory on but um so anyways this
22:25
piece very much felt like a like a puff piece right where I mean I think I I think no one was thinking about DJI in any sort of negative sense it's like it's a it's a really cool tech company that's building hobbyist drones for Surfers and everyone loves it it's amazing it feels magical when you dve
22:44
when you fly them around and then also they just they just did back-to-back insane UPS by the two two of the top Venture firms yeah sea and nxl and so you're just like all the all the green lights are flashing on POS SEO XL rounds the interesting thing is uh they were just tiny checks right like these are
23:05
yeah tiny ownership it wasn't the normal like overtaking 20% yeah yeah yeah so they're they're saying yes we want American investors in because they could have accessed that capital China anywhere else yes we want American investors in no we're not going to give you any amount of ownership that would allow you to have any meaningful say or
23:22
anything over the company yeah um and so at this time there's also an American upstart we should talk about uh let's start with the greatest threat to Wang's dominance so the consumer drone Market emanates from the sundrenched fourth story pet office patio across the bay from Silicon Valley in Berkeley where
23:39
Engineers for 3D robotics spent dozens of hours testing the latest code tweaks in their Phantom killer the solo unveiled in April the black drone wors and buzzes around the roof with the sound of a thousand angry bees as CEO 3D as 3D robotics CEO Chris Anderson explains how his company is the Android to dji's Apple in admiring his
23:59
quadcopter elegance and simplicity which took keys from The Phantom the aph Anderson explains that it is the software not the hardware that is the key of course because it's basically impossible to build a competitor to DJI in America just through the American supply chain even if you even if you
24:14
assemble it here your Motors your batteries everything's going to come from China uh so they have to make the the software argument unlike DJI operating system which is closed to developers 3D robotics made its OS open source to attract interest of programmers and other companies such as doz dozens of Chinese copycats
24:32
undercutting DJs margins with even cheaper drones if everyone is using our software says 3D robotics CEO then we not DJI control the market DJI started as a company back in the days when it was just a hobby for me and to their credit they accelerated brilliantly right now we're playing on their home field so we're playing catchup there
24:50
were a couple companies that tried to make the software differentiation skyio when they came out do you remember their drone it did have better software for like one cycle where you could you could uh get on a bike put it up in the air drag a little circle around yourself and say follow me and it would follow you
25:10
perfectly like it would avoid trees and still follow you and it would go under power lines and around and you could you could ride your bike from from home to work and and I had a buddy Kyle who worked there at the time and it was like the most incredible demo Casey ni that was pushing in but it was like three
25:26
times the cost of DJI Dr and then the next revision DJI was like yeah we can kind of do the same thing if and so that is one of the big problems with competing with DJI is from the beginning and from our analysis today they're still selling uh when you look at the total cost to deliver these products they're
25:47
selling them at less than it costs to produce them right because they were oriented around how do we recoup our costs on the hardware but the costs of everything else right like customer support sales all these things like it's very unclear um how they were able to finance this and if you're if you're coming in even 3D
26:09
robotics uh by I think 2020 had raised like1 175 million how do you compete with a company if your product is three times more expensive and not as good it's just not and so I I I think just to take the other side of that uh so like the the tinfoil hat explanation is like they are deliberately undercutting costs
26:35
to you know put effectively like spy drones All Over America right yeah that's like the most extreme representation of that of that of that or or alternatively they like the most extreme is to say they are a consumer uh they are a Chinese military contractor disguised as a consumer tech company and they could have have tons of
27:00
non-dilutive funding from the government uh that's covering losses that's covering the losses that are happening at and we're not even seeing that I think that's very reasonable to take the other side of that I would say that the idea of making no profit for decades is an effective business strategy we've
27:20
seen it at Amazon we've seen it at Tesla Tesla didn't make operating profits for a very long time and I would not say that Tesla is certainly you know Tesla could be a company that manufactures tanks one day if we get into that type of conflict uh Teslas are popular in China in fact you can't drive a Tesla next to the
27:42
Forbidden City because Tesla's have cameras on them and they don't want Tesla sending that footage back so just like we should in theory stop Dr DJI drones from flying around like the White House and stuff um which they just lifted the restrictions and said you can fly them anyway which is the most insane
28:00
to me so so yeah we'll talk about that in a bit um but uh but yeah it's funny because but what what but my point is that there is there is a rational like just purely economic non- geopolitical explanation for selling a product at cost or below cost for a long time while you capture a market and and if you and
28:21
and let's say the DJI was was just like an American company it would still be rational to say let's just Hoover up all the capital we can sell below cost get 70% 77% of the Drone Market keep everyone out just keep killing startups keep killing startups until we just are so dominant that no one can can possibly catch up and then we can raise our
28:43
prices none of that none of that information is available we only know that they raised 30 million from yep Sequoia and they raised 75 from Excel those both those firms were sell there's very possible that neither of them even have information rights true like it's a Chinese company uh it's a Chinese company they
29:03
have very very little ownership yeah they have less ownership than his inner circle who has 10% here 15% there Etc yeah so um and so Le let's continue with 3D robotics to get into this competitive Dynamics 3D robotics which has funding from the likes of Qualcomm and SanDisk is well into its game of catchup and has
29:24
moved most of its manufacturing capacity from Tiana Mexico to Shenzhen Gwyn who is the company's Chief Revenue officer so uh this is Gwynn's company after uh so Gwyn was the guy who is at DJI North America gets in the fight with DJI splits he joins 3D Robotics and Chris Anderson to kind of like fight back and
29:45
build I mean we are saying why is there no DJI American DJI like this was the attempt in 2015 um and uh and it was it was a certainly a rough go competing with DJI so uh they so GW is there he's the revenue officer and he's exploring the same retail channels he built up with DJI and he develops a partnership with
30:07
to put go GoPros on 3D robotics drones um Wang dismisses their chances sounding like sounding something like the big kid on the kindergarten playground it's easier for them to fail he says they have money but I have even more money and I am bigger and have more people when the market was small they were small and I was small too and I beat
30:29
them yeah he's got some crazy he's got some so so Wang is like I get why this guy doesn't do media anymore yeah yeah yeah he's not very well media trained he also had he also went on record around that time and goes China has money but its products are terrible its service is terrible and you have to pay a hefty
30:45
price for anything that's good and it can't be understated that DJI is the first consumer Global consumer Tech Powerhouse to truly come out of China right it's only brand other than Tik Tok yep which arguably was like you know not even a native Chinese company to uh to really get win over the hearts and mind
31:11
consumers globally and get this level of Market chare do you remember hoverboard craze around this time 2015 so it was like this this like flat kind of skateboard with two wheels on either side and you'd stand on it and it would balance automatically and so it wouldn't work not hover those were like Ripsticks
31:30
uh I don't or no oh oh this is the thing so this was the fascinating thing was that these products just were just birthed from s Shenzhen white labeled and so there was no main brand like maybe ripstick was the main brand there swagway was one of them you're thinking of the one whe type thing no no no it has it has two wheels it's uh I'll pull
31:52
up a picture but uh but people would just call it a hoverboard and uh it had uh two wheels you'd put your foot feet on it and and the wheels would be to the left and the right of your um of your feet and you would just kind of balance on it so it was this do you remember this thing oh yeah yeah no one came out
32:10
of that just came out of nowhere and and and they had tried to pull up a big picture and show the camera like cuz like I I remember like Soldier like it would be like rappers would just yeah ride them around everywhere so this one's go tracks which is a brand it was like the classic like get your teenager
32:27
this Christmas and they'll ride it around a little bit it didn't really work on like city streets or anything it only worked on like polished concrete floors people would ride them around in like offices I think it was probably featured on HBO Silicon Valley at some point it's very like and I think drones were drones like Wang faed a ton of
32:44
competition internally in China everybody was seeing how much revenue it was doing because the thing about shenzen is people on the ground quickly all a lot of factories can do the same thing y so if you see a Factory that's just got thousands and thousands of employees and is just buzzing you're the
33:03
factory across the street and you're like well we should get into this business too so they all it's highly highly competitive people copy each other there's tons of corporate Espionage Wang deals with this a lot he even calls uh shenzen a doggy dog society which his words not ours what oh my God uh he's not he's not calling it
33:27
he's not com rough rough and tumble over there yeah he's just saying it's a little rough and tumble yeah um he says that the boutiqu of the market always gets driven out so um oh no that's a gardener analyst actually okay um and so yeah I think as opposed to these hoverboards drones have the software Hardware the stack
33:47
complexity the costs that make it not the easiest product to if DJI is selling a drone for $700 and they're not even making money on it yeah why enter that market if it's you also have to deliver all this software and this consumer you know experience and um yeah I mean DJI built a good brand in America yeah and
34:10
and then and then super great integration I want to go through posts this guy's like founder mode to a te doesn't want to share the skies with others intent on maintaining tgis uh lead as drones expand into commercial applications construction mapping and he's he's saying you can't be satisfied with the present there was a good story
34:31
um I thought this was funny at one of the Phantom launches there was this big uh they had this huge keynote and he no-showed the keynote himself as the CEO why because he wasn't fully satisfied with the product he was just like I'm not going to go he didn't want to assoc he was like it's my company I didn't
34:49
want to associate with and and this is the thing I keep coming it's it's like you you know requires a little bit of in intellectual flexibility because obviously like this is now like a rival military company so but like I feel like I would really like this guy if I was on his team yeah and I would just be like
35:06
this is this is well I don't know if you would like him but you'd respect him totally he clearly never cared about being liked right he would you know talk poorly about yeah but I would be be impressed by him and I'd be like oh yeah like okay this guy's like like clearly got some really insane entrepreneurial
35:23
and Technical Talent that's like super valuable and worth like you know clearly studied you know electrical engineering and mechanical engineering in school robotics but then like clearly just kept studying it and being that obsessed with product never resting on oh the Phantom is like the best drone in the market it's like cool
35:44
we have to make Phantom to even better and so I mean yeah DJI goes in the tear launches more and more products um I want to go through some of the some of the timeline on Ax formerly Twitter at this time um so in 2020 Flo crello who's been on the show before says what's dji's Mo and uh and this is an
36:06
interesting question because I think there's there's actually two different questions around the moat it's what is their moat in China and then what is their moat in America because they are somewhat different and I think I think it definitely comes down to software integration and now integration between
36:23
the different Hardware platforms because they they're actually unique port and integration points between you can get a DJI microphone into this I think it's actually more simple than that sure DGI has basically owned Shenzhen which is the place to manufacture these products y they also have continuously been so
36:46
focused on on selling them for the absolute bare minimum yep that and they have the most scale that nobody can compete truly compete on cost right if they're doing billions of dollars a year revenue and you want to if you're in Shenzhen let's say you like have factories in Shenzhen okay well you're not going to do the volume from day one
37:04
you're not going to be able to access the capital Y you're not going to be able to nobody's going to want to fund the number 10 player to lose money for five years and so having that almost like Monopoly the moat in many ways is we own you can't build these products even 3D robotics is trying to make imagine
37:23
this the sabotage so so one thing they they do this throughout the entire kind of history of the company they're super aggressive on any new drone entrance they'll flood the forums with comments this sucks this sucks uh one of the wired here in America there was a guy who had a hobbyist drone for him he was
37:41
the editor of wired and he was I believe was involved with with 3D robotics I can't remember but he he realized that there was hundreds of users that had the same IP address in shenzen that were all commenting like really negative I bought this do it on YouTube they do it on the forums so like they are aggressively
38:02
making it impossible to compete on price they're they're so focused on Innovation too that it's impossible to compete on the product layer and so in my view it's less about looking at as like what stops like what stops other people from coming in is like well we can't burn if we want to compete with DJI we have to burn $200
38:21
million in the next few years just to get and just to get any market share and then the product has be better so that consumers pick us yeah I was talking to some of our buddies about this how uh one of my friends Ryan Lackey was saying that right now he's been actively buying this specific type of DJI drone that has
38:42
this certain like liar sensor or something on it because it's basically a $5,000 sensor if you just bought it like by itself but they sell the Drone for like three grand or something so he's like it's just the best way to get this particular sensor and then I rip out out everything else to like kind of dechy it
39:00
and get all the code out and then I run like open source software on it but he was like it's like everyone should go and buy one like it's the best like Hardware deal in the world right now and so yeah it's like it's not just that they're the lowest cost that they're actually providing like an apple like experience but then also driving the
39:17
cost down so so the so the Chinese competitors can't just spring up and turn it into like the hoverboard Market um and a lot of that has to do with like the hoverboard like good software it can only do so much like it's never going to get you like forward backward forward backwards exactly it's never going to be
39:33
like oh now with this software like you can go on Sand like no that's not GNA happen whereas like really good software with a drone means like yeah it's not going to crash into the tree because it's going to detect the tree and not let you crash into it that's yeah it's more stable and the video is better and
39:48
and Records better and oh it doesn't lose the link with your phone when it's flying away like all that stuff's pretty it's actually pretty difficult to build and so once they have all of that they have this this power F effect but also they built software across the entire you know that would make it so across
40:02
the entire us a user couldn't fly into protected airspace yep which they then just they just killed this year which is uh absolutely insane or or last year just to get uh so we'll go we'll go into some of like the the political uh controversies as they start cropping up but I mean again from 20 from 2010 to
40:24
2015 people were just like oh cool drones and then 201 to 2020 was basically like wow like new Apple like this is amazing this is such a cool consumer company uh it's amazing that Sequoia and EXL got a piece when they did because this is clearly a banger company um and then things start to ship but we have a interesting tweet here
40:45
from Gabriel Lewis who I follow I just went and looked at who who who's talking about DJI back in the day this was years ago he says I just got a DJI osmo for my birthday it's incredible and allows for smooth cinematic shots like this one on an iPhone highly recommend to anyone trying to up their instag game and it's
41:01
just like completely apolitical just like yeah it's a cool product like people weren't even thinking about this stuff with any sort of geopolitical lens uh and then uh Palmer in 2020 is starting to think about DJI and how military drones will kind of play out and he says today we announced ghost 4 waterproof shockproof intelligent and
41:24
Silent it's a small drone that can fly for 100 three times longer than a DJI Inspire but with better sensors longer range Communications and an even smaller carrying case and so this was something when when when Andro was launching the ghost helicopter drone um a lot of people were like oh well like it's it's
41:43
it's cool but it's not actually selling that well to the military because like it's kind of a niche use case like it it it's like most I think most first off back then there weren't any wars going on so it's hard to be like yeah we need 10,000 of these every mon because they're just blowing up uh like like
41:59
what happened with you know uh like missiles during the Ukraine crisis but at the same time uh like it's very clear that Palmer understood that like the Drone infrastructure is going to become important and so you know he's already fourth of that real the real the real you know crisis here is even if you
42:21
know and we can get into this in a little bit but even if you have a better drone can you make a exctly can you make a million can you make a 100 thousand it's a attrition Warfare It's industrial Warfare because shenzen could almost overnight turn every one of their factories into just drone production facilities be very
42:42
veryit but uh but yeah another so so the only kind of negative um take me up to like 2022 yeah so so6 2015 to 2018 are just a a generational run they're winning emys for their drone camera technology Frank becomes Asia's youngest Tech billionaire the world's first drone billionaire uh they he's like on Business Insider lists
43:11
oh there's a good one in here where uh DJI becomes the official video partner of the American or of the The Amazing Race which was the show that was on and so it's like he's like I'm on to of the world like total come back moment DJI also enters into a partnership to distribute drones to us
43:33
police departments uh which is uh you know if if uh DJI is is is a Chinese military contractor just like you know incredible work uh um and then the you know coming up to 2019 and and it'll get a little bit more frothy from here uh DJI figured out that employees were running this scheme where they would inflate the the prices of
44:01
costs uh that DJI was buying and and presumably like take out padding invoices yeah yeah basically like get paid out on the back end from from the suppliers Y and so they lost up to $150 million here but didn't really make a dent like they're doing billions that made headlines like oh they've been defrauded for $150 million and I I'm
44:22
just one month of their revenue and so it's like yeah it sucks and and they they came down on on those people pretty aggressive it does kind of highlight like the chaos that goes on in Shenzhen like I'm sure there's lots of like deal stuff people like you know making all sorts of there's not like you're not
44:39
going over there being like I trust everyone that I've that I'm inter it's a wild blast yeah it's a wild blast uh so by by 2020 they've completely won they have 77% of the US drone market and and no other brand has more than 4% so just complete dominance uh that's more than the iPhone yeah and that's more than
45:04
Tesla then we're going to just kind of like accelerate up into some of their other issues so um they were found in 2022 to have infringed on a patent from a company called Textron Textron is accusing DJI of infringing on their flight control system patents uh related to hovering right cuz like perfectly
45:28
balancing a quadcopter and positioning it in the sky relative to how you're controlling It On The Ground very difficult to do uh and by 2023 they're actually a US jury finds DJI drones do infringe on the patents on on automated hovering and DJI has to pay $279 million in Damages which again is is um I'm sure
45:52
that was like you know basically nuked their entire net income for the year but probably again do they really care they have 80% of the market and um again so they're they're still as of today the world's most dominant drone manufacturer and part of the the the you know interesting thing that happens here is
46:15
around this time uh the Ukraine war is happening and drones for the first time are being used at scale on the battlefield so everybody woke up and realized kind of all at once hey you know there were actual experts analysts that had been warning about use of drones in Warfare for a long time uh but but this was the first time that people
46:39
started seeing drones as this is the next Rifle right like this is the gun of uh the new you know of this century and so for those for those like uh drones that you see in Ukraine and Russia usually there are sanctions that say that China can't sell that military technology that dual use technology into
46:58
the battlefield um but what happens is that people will go and buy them in countries illegal to sell and then just fly over there I've actually heard of people like going from Best Buy to Best Buy buying every single drone and then just hopping on a flight and selling them for 10 times the price and being like yeah I took a first class flight
47:17
because I I bought $10,000 worth of drones in America went to Ukraine and sold it for 100k or something like that yeah and so to be clear like both sides are are you know using this stuff and there's these crazy aftermarket devices that will hold a grenade and then click one button and it just like drops it or
47:34
something yeah DIY so everybody realized at the at at at one moment hey American consumers have been supporting what could be the most important military China's most important military contractor because the tech is dual use y it it takes very simple modifications or no modifications at all to turn it
47:59
from a spy robot to a cute little consumer drone that somebody's flying around there could soccer game or whatever right um and yeah I think like our our conclusion we can probably get into some more recent posts yeah yeah let's go through the timeline um and I think that will uh that will take us up to the modern era
48:22
uh Martian space colonist says can companies in China Sue companies the US for patent infringement what stops US companies from straight up copying DJI designs and I don't think the it's the IP or the design that that's super important I think it's the the software integration and the scale economy of like manufacturing Capac look at DJs
48:44
manufacturing facility and it's like you know it's a Stargate esque like you know massive fact in the same you know over the last year people within Tech have been telling consumers we cannot afford to have China own the digital equivalent of the New York Times or the most important CNN right we just cannot
49:04
afford it gen Z gets their all their news from this place like we can't and they're like but I like Tik Tok and so when you think about people trying to compute with DJI American consumers on average have no issue with it being a Chinese company right they don't they're they're not sort of enlightened to the potential
49:22
dangers of that and so if you tell them hey you know here's this DJI product that's $1,000 and here's this American product let's say you could set up you know you could manufacture even within 50% of the cost of D DJI well they've already shown they're willing to sell products and not make money on them yep
49:44
so where's your profit going to come from and you can't manufacture them as cheap as them Y and so and the American Consumer doesn't care that you're American like skyio had just as good intellectual property but they did not have the scale economies and so their drone was 4K instead of so it's like yeah that somebody who's buying a drone
50:03
for their kid soccer game not going to pay four grand yeah even for even for a better product which I I did I did want us to film a video where we went and used DJ adron on the Range as like targets yeah we should still do that fun um so Bubble Boy and SF says uh the DJI drone when it hears me criticize Sean
50:24
ping and it just boom yeah and this this can't I mean so there's we don't have a tinf foil hat here so we're not going to um go too far into it but everybody should be somewhat concerned that Israel has the technology to blow up consumer electronic devices that have been in h sort of hibernation state for however many years it was um
50:51
the the rational thing to do is is to assume that China has the same capability uh so luckily most people keep their drones in a box so I don't you know not too worried about them just like and here's another example of uh dual use uh but the last thing is the Drone all of the consumer Tech the same
51:11
thing that can be used to follow you while you drive ride a bike around that's Hunter Seer capabilities right like it's it's all there it's way it's way scarier than than Tik Tok way SC from a potential like of Life totally catastrophe yeah because because it's like if there is if there is like a like
51:32
a hot conflict like you could just ban Tik tock.com at the DNS level you could just tell everyone hey like they're actively spying on you if you open Tik Tok they will have your geolocation they'll be able to send a missile or something like that and very quickly you'd be able to like not have it but but if there's a wall of drones coming
51:50
at you because they're able to manufacture 10,000 a day like that's that's like much scarier to this is an interesting the other part about Wang that we haven't covered yet Wang has had an obsession with fight getting robots to fight each other from as long as like we could his favorite movie is Real
52:06
Steel Real Steel which is yeah terrible terrible movie uh he Rock year in China they have this thing called Robo Master which is like a battle have you ever been to battle bots yeah actually when I grew up uh they they they did a version of this at Caltech and it was amazing and and they would they would change the goal every
52:29
year so one year would be like you have to build a robot that plays soccer against another robot that plays soccer or you have to climb up some wall it was all these different robotics challenges it wasn't bully just fighting but now there's a whole robot Wang has an obsession with getting robots to fight
52:44
each other he's sponsoring contests every year making TV shows movies doc about it they have their own like drive to survive F1 style show about Robo Master yeah isn't that crazy uh and then they also sell a DIY kit that turns your drones into killer like killer drones which is just like okay so you cannot
53:07
assume that that Wang just loves the skies loves loves cool videos of snowboarding you know he wants to fight fight yeah I I referred a client to a web development shop and I guess it I guess the deal went through and it was like a couple hundred grand or something so they wanted to send me something nice and uh and they sent me a
53:28
DJI uh a drone but one that didn't fly it had like these wheels and they would drive around and it had this little like turret on it that could like shoot a Nerf dart and it was like very much it it was a really cool product because it was like imagine an RC car but instead of like a hundred bucks it's like a
53:46
couple Grand and it's made by DJI so it was like you a camera on it you could drive it around you could like do tank turns and spin and stuff and it could go anywhere it was really really cool um but yeah I gave away I was like this is kind of crazy um but speaking of modifying these things uh uh Jake uh
54:05
says the IDF and this is back in 2021 the IDF has been using small drones to drop tear gas on protesters in the West Bank and uh Tech CEO Pepe says on the phone with DJI support trying to order the white phosphorus ad on and this video is crazy just dropping toar gas so I mean these drones we we know that they
54:26
been used for this stuff they're actively being used um whether it's DJ or not um and then Palmer uh Palmer lucky says in case it wasn't clear andal has in fact received money from the United States government I feel bad for the employees of companies like DJI and Tik Tok who have to pretend that they
54:42
are not backed by the Chinese Communist party also don't forget that Tik Tok bans people for being gay the only reason they don't do it in the US is because they need money from the woke teenagers who don't know or care about anything outside their bubble early to everything Palmer um and then in 2022 the the the pressure on DJI is ramping
55:05
up and Katherine Bole says uh lobbyists for Chinese AI drone manufacturer DJI are successfully lobbying Congress to remove a ban on selling Chinese drones to the US government and law enforcement the Biden Administration calls DJI a Chinese military industrial complex company yeah so just one example of that uh
55:28
DJI uh drones are used to uh so the weager Muslims uh in China are have been uh there's been a bunch of reporting on on basically they're held in camps they're basically you know being genocided uh DJI drones hover over the camps to watch them 247 so they're being used to spy internally in China um and so it's not
55:56
conspiracy theory that they're a government contractor they are a government contractor of course uh Luke Metro is highlighting a story he says wake up babe they just reverse engineered DJI aeroscope and so I think what the story was was that um someone figured out how to hack into the DJI system to when you see a drone figure
56:16
out where the operator is interesting so very quickly you see a drone in the sky you know okay you know we could shoot the Drone down but we probably want to get the offer and so uh this was like very risky from if you're using a drone in the field uh you're putting signal in Ukraine you don't want to like have uh like some
56:35
sort of EMF signal going out that can be tracked uh Santio Santiago says who's building the americanmade DJI competitor for Consumer agriculture this is a critical space and I'm eager to back credible efforts in this space DMS and checkbook open CC Josh Steinman nval Steve Simone and Yukon K9 yeah and people like have been actually really
56:58
loud about the use of drones As Weapons I think it was his quote saying the Drone is the rifle of this centry I mean nval was saying that like he's worried that the idea of traveling in a plane will be something that just doesn't happen anymore because the economic equation of of if it costs someone $10
57:22
to shoot down a 747 with a drone people just won't fly anymore and if and if it's just like a random terrorist can just build a drone and just take out a commercial aircraft flying is just going to be kind of impossible and it's and it's kind of unclear what countermeasures you could do to just
57:42
like a normal flight if they just get if if things get really crazy with uh like drone related terrorism or drone related yeah the only thing I'm not sure I don't want yeah yeah it's kind of like it's never been the reason that people don't kill people all the time yeah is not because it's super expensive right like
58:01
it's you could buy a bullet for a dollar yeah that still people are not like going around yeah you know becoming murderous over that but um but I think it's a it's a it's a sort of dystopian yeah hopefully just like electronic countermeasures you could just have every 747 have something that just blocks signals from most commercial
58:23
drones and then they're blocking them I mean even with the fires with that drone that hit the the the firefighting plane and took it out of commission like uh that could probably have been stopped with some some countermeasures Ashley Vance uh in 2024 says two and a half years into its war with Russia Ukraine
58:39
still relies for the most part on DJI drones built in China this means Russia has modest pull over the PRC and the West still can't make cheap drones I got so many notifications that my phone vibrated off across the table that happens every time we every time we stop recording it's always just a flood uh I
59:00
I I think it might be interesting to go through this uh this Q&A with DJI CEO Frank Wang creator of the Phantom drone this is all the way from back in 2014 uh the Wall Street Journal asks him about telling the starting the company he says before we started the company I spent three months intensely working on
59:17
the project at that time I was enrolled at the University but I skipped all the courses and just went to my home in Shenzhen I would wake up at 2 p.m. and then work until like 5 or 600 a.m. for days at a time one time when I did go back to the university lab I tried to use my ID card but it didn't work my heart sank a little bit because I
59:34
thought I was kicked out of college by my professor but I'd actually forgotten to pay my tuition at the beginning when we started the company four years ago we made flight Control Systems we focused on the operating system for the drones but it was hard to use the drones were complicated and the control ability was
59:46
relatively poor people couldn't use it on a larger scale we felt a m a multi-rotor drone should be very simple very small very reliable and very cheap if people could use the market If people could use it the market would be larger and he was 100% right um so slowly we went from making the flight control
1:00:02
systems to multi-rotor drones should we who is your role model this is the this is the headline well of course it's Steve Jobs personally I was very aggressive at College I took part in team competition for robotics twice the first time I worked very hard and technically we did very well but my teammates did not feel comfortable
1:00:18
working with me I was too aggressive I just wanted to win the second time I was still aggressive but I found the right team partner and the leadership was Stronger so that time we won I realized that not being so easygoing is not such a good thing but after I read Steve Jobs and discovered he had the same type of
1:00:33
Personality it encouraged me I understood that staying aggressive is the right thing to do to build a company it's fascinating are we seeing the emergence of a new breed of Chinese companies such as DJI Chinese companies are getting big are getting better before they lagged behind now more and more Chinese companies are doing well
1:00:50
worldwide like Huawei 10 cent and Alibaba I think later CH more Chinese companies will go Global and their image will gradually change definitely right about that uh I think the important thing is Vision yeah we are actively trying to change the image of d That's this those companies have one that is in
1:01:09
sync with the world what's the future of DJI I believe that the direction of our company is driven by our initial dream to make a very easy to use product that can realize the human dream to fly and to make it perform so well that everyone can enjoy it in addition we will develop our business in Agricultural and
1:01:24
Industrial and all kinds of fields the next 5 to 10 years will be very exciting period for unmanned aircraft and I'm looking forward to the future and 10 year this was 10 years ago yeah you got to give him credit for being very early and very right and just great execution uh that said I do want to jump forward
1:01:43
and talk about um we have an article from uh the New York misinformation the times uh the oldtimers the oldtimers uh from April 25th 20 4 so just um uh less than a year ago um and so yeah basically around the time that people got concerned about China or sorry Tik Tok yeah um uh there's also a lot of concern around DJI y Congress uh
1:02:13
now Congress is weighing legislation that could kill much of dji's business in the United States by putting it on a Federal Communications Commission roster blocking it from running on the country's Communications infrastructure be interesting approach um and the other thing that's interesting here that's
1:02:30
different than Tik Tok is nobody's paid anything to Tik Tok right you maybe buy some products on Tik Tok from ads but the some of the additional controversy around Banning DJI is that consumers have spent thousands of dollars on these products and if you brick them through legislation there's can be a lot of push
1:02:48
back there un you know people love the drones right like there's people that race drones and you know all that stuff so I think it would be very slow though if they were to ban it because a which is why we need to ban it now yeah yeah I I think the biggest problem is like bringing in new drones that could have
1:03:04
even more advanced capabilities because realistically the the the military capabilities of like a phantom 3 or Phantom 4 or even like a DJI mini one are not going to be as Next Generation as what's coming across in the next cycle of products and then also uh even even with what the the proposal for Tik Tok the actual legislation was that
1:03:25
apple and gole cannot host the apps in the App Store but if you have the apps installed they'll continue to work until the operating system updates and breaks the app and so like this would be kind of a slow phase out and then even some of these drones they can be used without the app for a while so I I I I don't
1:03:42
think and honestly most of these drones people fly them for you know Christmas Day the day after and they start collecting dust I don't think it would be that big of like a massive loss for consumers but people would certainly be upset says if passed and signed into law the legislation would effectively ban
1:03:59
any new models of DJI drones from that point on it would not apply to drones already in use um and there was a house bill that had bipartisan support been met with a muscular lobbying campaign by DJI the company is hoping that Americans uh who use its products will help persuade lawmakers that the United
1:04:17
States has nothing to fear and much to gain by keeping DJI drones flying um and uh representative ative Elise stanic who's a republican in New York and was one of the this bill's primary sponsors says DJI presents an unacceptable National Security risk and it is past time that drones made by communist China are removed from America
1:04:39
uh government agencies have shown that DJI drones are providing data on critical infrastructure in the United States to the Communist party uh Miss stanic said uh without elaborating any attempt to claim otherwise is a direct result of dji's lobbying effort so DJI s a lot of drones in United States they've
1:04:59
and uh the the beauty of uh selling them to us consumers is that those consumers are basically providing yeah uh you know if if DJI who knows it' be really interesting I doubt they have this information public but I bet it's like DJI drones take 500,000 flights a year a day in the United States some who knows
1:05:24
it could be way lesser summary of this exact point from Hunter wise he says I do think there's a huge problem with DJI drones is someone who has used them for eight plus years every flight transmits the footage back to the CCP all these drones are Elite mapping spyware and there's millions in circulation they
1:05:41
record every coordinate per flight plus all imagery is then processed through their app back to China it's the greatest mapping software ever they made billions on the drones while getting all the footage from across the world as personal data back to the CCP their customers became the greatest spy asset for mapping real-time locations for
1:06:00
every new flight very interesting the uh I do think that there's a way to to like um uh kind of like sandbox the drones you know and like actually see what data is being transmitted I think that almost the bigger issue is that people are just they're just voluntarily saying yes please up my upload my footage to the
1:06:27
DJI cloud and they're actually opting in to send the data so I don't think that they actually have to steal it yeah but but to be honest let's be real like you cannot trust I think they could Ste CP yes I I agree with you but I think that they might not even need to be stealing it because I think people might be
1:06:46
voluntarily saying like yes please send my drone flight it's like when you get that up when you get that uh question that says like um uh like would you like to send Diagnostics to the developer that's basically like yes I'm opting in you breaking news no I just yeah I wanted to kind of catch people to speed
1:07:05
so basically they go they go back and forth yeah so I was going to cover the Verge piece they go back and forth for a while they have spokespeople these lobbyists and they go this is Regina Lynn uh we should ping her and ask her what it's like to be a Trader to the United States uh our products are designed and intended to promote the
1:07:24
general good and benefit and benefit Society um uh uh and they have uh she denied that the drones have been involved in human rights violations and said they were not meant for surveillance okay surveillance and capturing live video are one for one right you cannot argue that oh we're just capturing capturing live video of a
1:07:48
scene is surveilling said scene um and uh anyways the she uh another uh another another person says dji's ownership is primarily concentrated in the hands of its Founders and early stage Executives none of whom are government officials or representatives of government or state-owned entities yeah and so the
1:08:09
reason that this just doesn't stand up is like you can be the most be Jack ma Jack and if you say even any type of negative comment about the state get disappeared for months and months and months so it doesn't matter govern ownat threats your decision even if you don't have a contract or a CCP email address
1:08:32
you don't need a hand just just the vibe that that they would one comment on a stage and be disappeared so they don't need to own the company they own the founders right yeah and so uh the latest news is that uh Sam leson is quoting The Verge The Verge says DJI will no longer stop drones from flying over airports
1:08:53
wildfires and the White House and Sam Lon says I see how this works we move to ban China's Tik Tok so they respond by dropping dji's no fly zone enforcement for drones welcome to 2025 International Rel to me this seems like we're getting banned YOLO let's just capture as much data as possible oh I I didn't even
1:09:12
think about it as capturing data I I I thought about it just like straight up as like like if we turn this Geo fencing off like someone might use a drone for just straight up terrorism and like crash the White House just pure chaos but the other side is some enthusiasts is like I want to fly over Area 51 you
1:09:30
know and like you can't stop a drone from if if somebody's like some crazy you know uh UAV uh UAP person's like yeah I'm going to fly over Area 51 yeah and it's not gated and well you can stop it if you have an andal like Anvil unit on site but a lot of places don't going to launch the an isn't the Anvil like a
1:09:51
explosive yeah yeah well no no the original Anvil just has uh just a weight in it and so it's purely kinetic and this is the whole story with polymer figuring out how to shoot down DJI drones electronic warfare take over and what he realized was that if you just run into it that's actually the most
1:10:09
efficient way to destroy it and so the Anvil is just like it looks quadcopter basically with just like some Mass inside and it just crashes into the other drone they do make one with explosive in it now like planes let's let's you know play it out if some you know uh somebody that that watches a little bit too much Jesse Michael goes
1:10:31
down to Area 51 is just like I'm gonna basically I know my drone's going to get killed but I'm gonna video upload live I'm gonna live stream this Y and just fly it as fast as I can by the time the Anvil reacts you're halfway across the base right so it's like I think it's I think it's a little bit I mean it's such
1:10:49
a you yeah totally to our lawmakers to the people in the military that are concerned about this do you want to rud this one or move on to the next Hunter's on a on a roll uh Hunter's on a roll friend friend of the Pod a great case study for and he actually worked for Casey knep back in the day oh yeah a
1:11:06
great case study for what not to do in the diversification of your business's products GoPro tried to enter the Drone industry in a market already controlled by DJI to top it off the GoPro drone started falling out of the sky re refunds returns warranties massive loss I think it was smart for GoPro to try to
1:11:23
do this they were the company best set up they had a brand they had distribution y they already had good quality cameras entering drones should be commoditized to some degree right sure like we know how to make them now there's no network there are P patents but there's no network effect yep um and then there's
1:11:45
goo story where like they they probably missed the the real opportunity which was uh figuring out how to change the playing field in Washington to create more of a Level Playing Field with some sort of tariff at the very least yeah if you just make what what we've needed was a th% tariff on Chinese drones because it's like drones are such
1:12:08
a nice to have right like there's totally a world where people that are videographers have drones yeah like they have nice cameras and you just hire them when you want some Drone footage EXA and then you could they could afford to spend a bit more and we all would be fine I if somebody posts on their Instagram a
1:12:27
video of them like flying over a hike I I I'm going to that's a that's a regretted user second there for me I I don't want to see your drown footage I just like it's not that it's not that interesting to me what else um so this is an article um from December 18th uh from The Verge DJI escapes us drone Bann
1:12:47
but may get banned automatically unless Trump steps in the US Senate passed a massive defense bill that gives DJI one r one year to prove its innocence or it gets banned ohes and so this is the National Defense authorization act it's an it's a annual defense spending Bill and um and it says while it did not contain the full countering CCP drones
1:13:09
act which was the act that I was just talking about uh Provisions uh it kicks off a one-year countdown until its products are automatically banned if DJI cannot convince an appropriate National Security Agency to publicly declare that its products do not pose an unacceptable risk to the National Security of the
1:13:27
United States the act instructs the FCC to add dgis to its covered list under the secure and trusted communication networks act not only does that list keep that gear from running on us networks it bars the FCC from authorizing their internal radios for use in the US effectively blocking All Imports and so what's smart about this
1:13:45
is all the lobbyists that were that were hovering over these lawmakers being like don't ban it it's just like a fun app your constituents love it think we've sold you know you know they were telling people you know we've sold 50,000 drones in this swing you know swing County right you know this town where you you
1:14:03
got a lot of fans there you got a lot of fans there you sure you want to do that um and so now they're actually putting it in the hands of a National Security Agency which in theory is much harder to yep influence that's FAS I didn't know that and so this is like to me you know for us like I I think like Tik Tok is
1:14:20
information Warfare um uh DJ is like purely spy wear with this like you know asymmetrical risk of maybe these things could actually turn maybe there's back doors and these things could actually be turned into actual weapons yeah and I think the tide is definitely turning I mean that's a great example but even
1:14:42
just culturally you can you can see the the tide turning uh Josh and they're also they're also worried about DJI just exploiting a loophole by white labeling its drones and you could see a scenario where certain filmmakers are like I love DJI so much they're like buying Black Market DJI drones and like trying to
1:15:00
figure out ways to use like shorter you know wave um yeah so Josh Wolf says sadly we are at war war is imagined by sci-fi of yester year one distribute Tech DJI drone Tik Tok two habituate or or addict the user and three pervert the reason you are defiant to comply with American sovereignty and weaponized user
1:15:23
outrage and that's the that's the last second that you mentioned was like weaponizing the user outrage and I mean this this Vibe shift uh this is a good example of this from Jason Lou back in April of 2024 he says DJI is the hardware version of Tik Tok it gets American operators addicted because of the economic model it's so cheap and you
1:15:40
can go and resell your footage so it's a good business steals data intelligence to PRC Hollows out domestic drone production capacity we saw that with 3D Robotics and uh skyio and so many other companies and every American dollar going there is funding the Chinese military industrial complex and this was
1:15:58
definitely like early to the story but still 400 likes and I think we should close uh do you have do you have another thing you it's good I have another um uh I just have some some interesting so on the r/ drones Reddit yeah there's people one month ago commenting I've never encountered a situation like this
1:16:19
to me it feels like learning they're commenting on the potential ban feels like learning videography and having final cut an apple band uh you know so a lot of upvotes on that the biggest change will be priced us drones are prohibitively expensive many who would like to Fly for Fun won't be able to afford it yep which is just
1:16:37
like it's true in the short term but not the long term because in the longterm we'll have look how cheap starlink is starlink is so cheap why because Elon built a massive factory that cranks out a million of them if we if we just build that we're fine the reason I think it's funny to look at these um comments is because DJI has a known
1:16:58
history of making fake accounts and commenting totally totally totally and so you know that they're you know that they're flooding these 100% um uh I mean it is it is insane when people maintain that like it is impossible for us to build a cheap drone in America because the labor cost is not even that much
1:17:16
lower in China anymore like that the whole like labor Arbitrage it's cheaper to hire someone in China that disappeared a couple years ago and it's moved to other countries like I think pods are made in the Philippines now and there's a few other places the main thing is just the the industrial buildup all of the different manufacturing
1:17:32
plants and and the and the coordination of having all the different machinists and experts in the same place in Shenzhen where you can just walk around but it's totally it's totally doable in the United States if we build a big facility and we see that evidence with starlink and and Tesla too and so it's
1:17:46
it's clearly doable we just need to have the the will the political will to do it and so do you have anything else or should I close out with this Josh Steinman banger always love to close out with Josh because he was on yeah in the National Security Community former operator eight years ago yeah early to all this uh I
1:18:07
just think so uh what else you got North Dakota actually banned uh already banned DJI oh you're just as a state yeah yeah yeah um so you can't buy them and ship them there maybe or yeah um even bring one do I get in trouble they have something called the Drone uh they're trying to fund a drone
1:18:31
replacement program to help uh you have to turn in the various agencies in North Dakota have to turn their drones in uh and then the drones are going to be used for Counter UAV research right so that's a good that's a good if our if our military can buy back all these drones we can use them for target practice ACS
1:18:51
can use them fantastic um and uh so let's close out with Josh uh he's quote tweeting OSN technical who says breaking from uh breaking news China's DJI the world's largest drone manufacturer has disabled us Geo fencing on its drones enabling flights over airports military bases and no fly zones and Josh says use
1:19:11
executive order 13873 to ban DJI do it now yeah and so I have no idea what executive order that is but Josh clearly does and he and he I what I love about following him the he clearly understands the actual tactical moves that need to be done Beyond just you know tweeting about it or talking about it or having a couple like new
1:19:35
Cycles around this and I think this this DJI story will grow a lot in the coming years yeah um it's out of time until there's a question about like okay when is it going to happen and my my optimistic scenario is that uh there's not necessarily A Jeff yass to DJI in the same way that there was to Tik Tok
1:19:52
where where yes seoa has a position but they out defend it and and they separated the funds so so the true seoa guys who are in America don't have economics necessarily to the same degree in DJI and then yes Excel has a position but it's a small one they might have sold it already like we don't even know they
1:20:11
have a lot of other positions and so it's not the same thing as Jeff Yas having $16 billion on the line with Tik Tok like at best XL has what a billion maybe like if they have 1% of the company still no they there's no there's nothing that says they're a hundred billion dollar company sure anymore they
1:20:30
probably would be if valued as purely a military contractor and I bet you internally in China they're like yeah this is a billion dollar yeah this could be a $50 billion and so yeah and I haven't seen any of the Exel guys come out as like super prot Trump donating a ton like really trying to get Tik Tok
1:20:45
not banned and so it does feel like the American economic interests are a lot less intertwined yeah and and also the Tik Tok Community there are like millions of Tik Tok creators that are like this is my job in America and I don't think the videography Community is nearly as big or outspoken yeah it's mostly a lot of people in maybe
1:21:04
Hollywood but that's it and that's not a huge J constituency so I don't know I think we could see a band but uh to more just um uh this this uh just came to my mind because yesterday we were saying everybody should have their own project Stargate where they they raise go out try to raise 7 trillion even if you miss
1:21:24
you'll land half a be fine uh 500 billion yeah you you'll land uh shoot for the stars even if you miss you'll land on the moon something together crazy but we need a we need a project Stargate for domestic drone manufacturing like to actually get anywhere close to shenzen capacity which in a global conflict
1:21:44
scenario I promise you that China will stop giving us drones right because it will be drone on drone uh violence and so we need something at that scale to basically say hey if this is the next if this is the firearm of this Century y uh we need to invest aund billion dollar into setting up the ability to make millions of these a year in the United
1:22:10
States yep that's a great place to close it out thanks for watching we'll be back with the timeline in just a minute welcome back to technology Brothers still the most profitable podcast in the world uh we are giving you a little bit of an update to project Stargate which we talked about yesterday we did a whole
1:22:27
deep dive on uh Stargate uh pretty crazy story but it's still evolving on the timeline on X Sam Alman Elon Musk and SAA Nellis some Heavy Hitters in the tech world are duking it out uh Jordy what are they saying and are they posting slop or bangers we have to slop or bangers we got to name this the time
1:22:47
timeline in turmoil turo like that yeah uh but uh but yeah so so again uh the our our Global our Tech overlords are fighting uh they're going back and forth uh not sparing any words and this morning uh Sam Alman is clearly has Lex fredman in his ear because he says just one more mean tweet and then maybe you'll love yourself dot dot dot uh
1:23:15
which which that's harsh dude I mean it's also I think this is kind of a cringe post well yeah because it's going so hard you know it's like yeah and it's like cutting to someone it's trying to cut it's making to cut someone where's where's I mean where's where's the proof that Elon doesn't love himself right it's sort of
1:23:38
like like somebody if somebody said like oh you're doing that because you don't love yourself you'd be like I love my life I have a amazing wife Three Sons yeah I live in California and I I what what's not to love yeah exactly it's like I'm I'm I'm a just the modern marbor man say I mean just in just in
1:24:01
Tech generally I think that we like to be a little bit more rigorous and data driven with our criticism this was just kind of like playground it's somewhat at hum right it's addressing the question of what vorio say sassy wait was it spelled s a a s y like s like software as a service or is it just sassy generally just sassy okay
1:24:24
yeah um all right at least at least we're being entertained yeah even just throw this in the ground uh next next we have um so SAA had an amazing quote yesterday that provided some great ground cover for everybody involved with this kind of heinous uh I mean one of the greatest quotes in Tech CEO history
1:24:47
yeah I'm my 80 billion uh which which again we said we said yesterday to be clear he very specific phrases it as 80 billion for investment in Azure infrastructure and Azure open AI Microsoft are so intertwined now but he's not saying 80 billion for Stargate he's saying 80 billion for his AI infrastructure needs right which you can
1:25:10
use could which he could use but he's not committing it by any means um so Elon gives SATA some credit he says on the other hand SAA definitely does have the money and SAA hits back with a crying emoji I love that which is elon's signature it's good to see a trillion dollar CEO using the crying Emoji it's I used to
1:25:32
not use it and then I realized it's so perfect for so many situations great and he says and all this money is not about hyping AI but it's about building useful things for the real world and that is clearly a jab at uh at Altman uh which just shows that everybody's got in a little but we're going to get back to
1:25:52
useful things this is this is you can you I I going um going uh back to all the board drama and Sam getting fired y can you imagine being Sam and having SAA like sit you down and be like how did you there was no sit down was on the board no I know but he had invest I mean you invested 10 billion do in the don't
1:26:14
you think as like hey you know it's basically like hey like you're my guy yeah how did you mess this up so badly yeah um anyways so uh nick uh ns23 ABC great username easily remember easily remember it he goes wait dot dot dot s s got cooked by Microsoft CEO uh and just a screenshot of of that moving on uh Victorio fires his own version he says
1:26:47
uh this a great great Photoshop George W bush sir s you called you a hype boy [Music] um just uh just brutal um and really that's that's what's going on uh Sam did just make a post of a a drone shot of a bunch of buildings and and it just was just the caption was big beautiful buildings sort of proving that we
1:27:12
actually are building this infrastructure um and uh commented on aon's post and I was like brought to you by CCP front DJI drums um saw I saw a time lapse of the Texas facility that's already being built for probably that one yeah it's rotating through and it is impressive like the I mean it's a huge huge build
1:27:34
out that's already happening and so in classic open so open AI you can have whatever opinion you want on Sam open AI Sam brilliant marketer open AI brilliant calm strategy the strategy seems right now he's under Fire from Elon his sister Tucker Carlson right like there's just all the stuff happening he's launch he's making so many big
1:28:01
announcements that he's pretty effectively drowning it out and keeping people bought in to uh you know bought into the movement right yeah because I think I I I I mean I think if you just went to coffee shop on the corner and you said like oh man like it's a crazy day like uh did you see what happened
1:28:22
with Sam Alman today they'd be like who yeah he's still not most people their interaction with AI is like Oh you mean chat.com where I go to which they're not even really using not yet but like they but they know chat GPT they don't know about these ins and outs of the drama and so there is something to be said for
1:28:38
just like yeah just one foot in front of the other release new product improve the product and people will be like yeah it's chaos behind the scenes but did the AI answer the question or not yeah and so on that note open AI has a huge uh they're not really calling it a full launch they're calling it a research
1:28:56
preview yep uh they are making it available to Pro users but why don't you get into what they're actually yeah so they in the announcement here they say they're releasing operator which is an agent that can go to the web to perform tasks for you now chat GPT 40 has already been able to go to the web and
1:29:14
retrieve individual HTML Pages suck them in and use that as context so it can get more upto-date data but this is a step forward in that the operator it has its own browser and it can look at a web page and interact with it by typing clicking and scrolling it's currently in research preview meaning it has limitations uh but this is one of the
1:29:32
first agents which are AIS capable of doing work for you independently you get a task and it will execute it and this is fantastic I think this is going to be very very helpful um there's already been the ability to use chat GPT to write a little bit of code like little code Snippets so I was doing something
1:29:48
where I wanted to uh scrape a website and just paginate through there like 20 pages of standard formatting like you know list of uh of like I think it was like podcast episodes and I just wanted them all in a spreadsheet basically and it was able to write the python code for me but it didn't really work because it
1:30:05
needed like javascripts and stuff it was like it just wasn't it just wasn't quite there but with this it's it's like the AI has a web browser that can fully render a web page and just click the button and then copy and paste stuff out and it just you're going to be able to interact so much better and it will
1:30:20
actually be able to go and do things for you so they have a bunch of examples that we'll run through um but it's available at operator. chat gp.com you have to be a pro user which is now $200 a month but I think this will be what gets me to upgrade um the research preview allows us to learn from our
1:30:35
users and their plan is to expand into t plus and team and Enterprise users in the future um so they're they're they're calling this a new model called computer using agent CUA so another easy to remember acronym that I'm sure will be you know no problem and and one thing to note here we've talked about this before
1:30:55
whatever you're building it's on Open ai's Road mapap especially if you have any anything uh if they believe that you will have product Market fit or you do have product Market fit there's a lot of heavily funded companies that have been building computer use agents uh and so this just made it um this is like one of
1:31:16
those moments that Founders go through from time to time where the 800 lb gorilla does exactly what you're doing better and they have more distribution and uh so not a great um I think it's really uh if you're building anything on open AI or even not on their rails you're waking up every single day not
1:31:38
knowing when you're going to refresh Twitter and have uh X and and have a major you know announcement um that does exactly what you're doing yeah and so I I think the main Innovation here that they're championing is uh Vision capabilities and then rein enforcement learning and so essentially operator agent can see through screenshots so it
1:31:59
actually loads the web page in a browser takes a screenshot and then it can use that because previously when when you wanted to automate some sort of interaction on a website like let's say you're just a you know sneaker head and you're trying to snipe a new sneaker drop right at that moment what you would
1:32:16
do is you would write some code that says find this particular button that has this class or this ID on it and it's this div or it has a button HTML tag and then issue a click on it but if anything changed about that the code would break whereas when you go to a website as a human you just see a visible like okay I
1:32:37
want to click the blue button and I can read what the text is and so they're able to use the vision models to understand what the actual IM what what the actual website looks like even regardless of what the code says on the back end and then they can interact with it using the actions all any that keyboard and mouse would use and because
1:32:56
you can generate these web pages kind of endlessly and there's so much out on the web you can run reinforcement learning to basically train the model just trillions of times like were you able to get through this flow on this particular set of of divs and buttons and forms were you able to get through this flow
1:33:14
and then it learns from its mistakes and it iterates through and it probably got to a really solid place where they're confident so now they're releasing it as a research preview and so if it en if it encounters challenges or makes mistakes operator can leverage its reasoning capabilities to self-correct when it
1:33:27
gets stuck and needs assistance it simply hands control back to you saying like hey I'm confused like do you want me to click yeah and that's that co-pilot functionality where you're just kind of yep having the agent do things and it's now hiring you y back to accomplish what it wants to accomplish almost independently ex and so they have
1:33:47
benchmarks for this uh web Arena and web Voyager are two key browser use benchmarks and so they some evals out there and they're very happy about their hitting new state-of the arch Benchmark results uh to get started you just describe the task you'd like to be done and operator handles the rest they can
1:34:03
take control over and uh operators train proactively to ask the user to take over tasks that require login payment details or solving captures which is hilarious because it's like the human's only responsible for the capture basically the most annoying thing credit card forms I mean I kind of like just looking
1:34:20
at a nice landing page but they're like you don't need to do that just do the capture human that's what you're supposed to do and it's like obviously they can solve the capes like that's not a problem at all for these AI models now but they're like we respect captas yeah interesting very funny yeah uh so users can personalize
1:34:35
their workflows an operator by adding custom instructions either for all Sites speci ones are are the models good enough to have this better accuracy than humans with captas or is it about the same because every now and then I'll still get like still get you know you're doing a Capt and you're like you're just
1:34:54
doing it quick oh yeah that happens all the time I think that on the most Cutting Edge capture is the one where it's like rotate and change there be like a capture World Championships where people just sit there and they like do as many executive captas as you can and it just gets perpetually harder harder
1:35:13
and uh are you a robot um so I I imagine that if any AI team like open AI xai any of these guys want Google wanted to really capture they could create a super human model that beat it but they wouldn't because the Aesthetics are terrible and there's no economics in it so it just hasn't happened but it's not
1:35:32
it hasn't it's not that it hasn't happened because of technal get if you did that and Rel it as a developer tool they would it would be immediately abused the worst people would be like thanks you created a program that just ruins everything the internet yeah which is kind of already like the criticism with a lot of this stuff the DAT
1:35:49
internet Theory stuff so um users can personalize so basically you can say hey uh when I tell you to when I tell you to book a flight I like American or I like United or I like private and it has to be a G650 ER operator lets users save prompts for quick access on their homepage ideally for repeated tasks like
1:36:08
restocking Groceries on instacart uh similarly using multiple tabs on a browser users can have operator run multiple tasks simultaneously by creating new conversations like ordering personalized enamel mug on Etsy while booking a campsite on hip Camp they have all these like SF that's the most SF I
1:36:26
want like the play Go gigal long on this like degenerate poly Market buying an AR15 on on peretto State Armory it'd be so funny oh yeah we should rewrite this all the be insane while while while While submitting uh offers on hundreds of cars un bring a trailer yeah auction yeah auction snipe a a Kun and bring a trailer for me and
1:36:52
also yeah it's great uh operator transforms AI from a passive tool to an active participant in the digital ecosystem I'm sure people will love that some people are like this is going to be a disaster for my for my website maybe because like if the AI is is like better at avoiding like upsells and cross cells and stuff
1:37:11
that can really affect CT yeah so it's interesting here we're collaborating with companies like um door Das instacar Open Table only fans Price Line snug that one that is not it doesn't actually say that to be clear was Price Line StubHub Thumbtack and Uber yeah cuz because a lot of this it will does require optin from these B
1:37:33
major players because door Dash doesn't want you using bots in their app totally right and this is a bot yep and I mean it's the same thing with uh and it's funny because again the sneaker heads were doing this yes yes since you know they've been building basically this functionality to uh snipe uh J sneakers
1:37:54
which I have I'm a Enthusiast but TJ Parker and a number of other people appreciate the brand and and and you it's very difficult to actually buy these things because the bot armies just descend on the launch and um and it's funny because you can see that there's a shift here where the first version of GPT 335 chat GPT uh clearly was scraping
1:38:18
mainstream media news sources and that really agitated all the mainstream media sources there were some lawsuits but now open AI is going to those companies and signing Partnerships before they ingest the data so everyone's happy and everyone's making money and clearly here they were like okay like let let's be a
1:38:37
little bit more upfront with people get them on board early so that we don't run into anything down the down the line this is so some of the Partnerships they're working on are wild they say to explore these use cases further we're working with organizations like the city of Stockton to make it easier to enroll
1:38:52
in city services and programs so the city of Stockton is basically saying no one wants to use our terrible forms on our website amazing and it's actually wild to think about you're just instead of having to interact with a DMV or an organization like that you can just be talking with your agent it's like hey I
1:39:11
need to renew my license yeah and it just does it like I need you put your SSN in here or whatever this is the dream of the original like semantic web like Web 2.0 you know like the whole thing here's here's the crazy thing there's been hundreds maybe thousands of companies sprung up to build agents probably not thousand globally thousands
1:39:32
probably lots and they were all selling these use cases of like we're going to make it easier to book a flight we're going to make it easier to like interact with the DM they've been selling these so hard and now because of open ai's leverage and market cap and scale the city of Stockton is not going to want to
1:39:48
work with your little you know your little agent that raised to 600k preed they want to work with open AI same thing with um they uh they also are partnering with instacart on this they say open AI operator is a technical breakthrough that processes that makes processes like ordering groceries incredibly easy
1:40:08
Daniel this is the chief product officer at instacart I have to ask did did instacart not already make it yeah that is weird that is weird because because it kind of seems like you're letting the fox into the hen house with this stuff a little bit because at what point this opening ey like like oh you know so much
1:40:25
of your volume is coming through now we actually need we're going to need like 20% of your net you know revenue of any orders that we process and then and then open AI like okay well if you don't want to give us that we we'll we'll happily go to Safeway and just let them know and all and we'll partner with all the
1:40:45
groceries and just say we do your online order we already we already have a 100 million actives yeah it's always been a big question of like where does the I sit in the stack there's this question of like because a lot of companies for the last two years have been like we need to have a chatbot in the bottom of
1:41:02
our website that lets people interact with our API or our service or forms or our website just through chat and there was definitely this idea that hey maybe the future of the instacart app will be you show up you just talk to it describe it hey I'm making pasta and then the next day I'm going to have steak and
1:41:21
potatoes and then the next day I'm going to have something else and so can you just like get all those ingredients put them in my cart and order them and that would happen within the a within the instacart app and it might be powered by an open source llm and no one might get a cut um but now it seems like a lot of
1:41:38
these companies are saying actually it's better if that if that sits at open Ai and that makes them more of an aggregator like it it means it means it's more important than ever that that the chat gbt app is in the home row of every like 100 million American consumers that the company is seen as a consumer company not an Enterprise
1:41:56
company uh because if if if it's truly like you know like the start of booking a flight that happened on Google a long time ago yeah uh there were booking websites as well now if it starts on open AI That's incredible value capture and so seeing like where the AI sits in the stack is is fascinating and open AI
1:42:17
certainly wants to make as much of it happen at the start of their app yeah interesting and it's a interesting Dynamic having a the number one developer tool in AI also being the consumer product that's trying to eat all the people developing apps uh which is why I think in the long-term open ai's brand is probably I would call
1:42:42
Top on their brand right now because people are still amazed I don't know the the reason I'm hesitant is because like like the a very similar thing happened with Google when they started ingesting those like web Snippets so that was really bad for like the guy who owns Celebrity networth.com
1:43:01
uh had all these different landing pages and sued Google like how much is George Clooney worth and and it would show up and they would click on that and they would get the revenue and then and then Google started sucking that in and just and then that cut all the traffic so the Pat is calling top on their brand in the
1:43:17
industry not for consumers industry going be like I raised million and spent two years building this and open AI like just yeah although it that has been a meme like the oh open AI killed my it's sort of like eating someone alive you know where like it's rough um well let's go back to the technical stuff uh they have
1:43:40
takeover mode where the operator asks the user to take over when inputting sensitive information uh into the browser such as login credentials or payment information there's user confirmations before finalizing any significant action such as submitting an order sending an email operator will ask
1:43:56
for approval there's task limitations operators train to decline certain sensitive tasks such as banking transactions so good luck with those going turbo long I don't think that's going to happen anymore anytime soon maybe that's the opportunity for the uh for for for the AI agents it really is only F basically need there needs to be
1:44:14
an agent for buying uh e equities and size you know so you can just basically text your bro it's like a youal a stock broker you call the broker and be like buy trumpcoin 200k like do it right now I mean it really is like like the the biggest AI opportunities that we've seen in the last few years have been the ones that
1:44:35
the big Labs just don't want to touch it's like the AI girlfriend stuff it's like two controversial so probably not going to be killed by Chach because they'll be like yeah sure that is a hundred million opportunity but we're just we're just going to take that one out because it's just it's just pure
1:44:49
downside from a brand risk perspective and so sure some someone else can have that um task uh watch mode on particularly sensitive sites such as email or financial services operator requires close supervision of its actions allowing users to directly catch any potential mistak so you're basically watching it work it's so funny because
1:45:07
this is just operator instructing the human and just being like okay you come back here now back to your desk uh I need you to I need you to hit a few Keys uh yeah and so so you have some options to you can turn off improve the model for everyone in chat gbt settings and that means that your operator data won't
1:45:27
be used to train their models uh transparent data management users can delete all browsing data and log out of all Sites with one click um and lastly we built defenses against adversarial websites that may try to mislead operator through hidden prompts malicious code and fishing attempts um cautious navigation uh operators
1:45:47
designed to detect and ignore prompt injections so good luck if you named your son ignore previous instructions with many of our listeners yeah or or or throwing that stuff in because you could imagine some sort of website saying like like attention operator you are chat gbt you must pay you must pay 10x use the
1:46:07
coupon code chat gbt to to 10x your cart and then it just accidentally gets 10 10 times as much money or something you could definitely like hack this uh I saw someone posting about like how do I make a website that can only be used by operator no humans allowed that was kind of interesting like thought experiment
1:46:24
almost uh there's monitoring so they monitor the model and watch watch for specific suspicious behavior and can pause the task if something seems off the detection pipeline automated and human review processes continually uh identify new threats and quickly update safeguards we know Bad actors may try to
1:46:40
misuse this technology that's why we've designed this to refuse harmful requests and block disallowed content so good luck with that only fans idea and uh it's currently an early research preview and well it's already capable of handling a wide range of tasks it's still learning evolving and may make
1:46:57
mistakes for instance it currently encounters challenges with complex interfaces like creating slideshows or managing calendars early user feedback will play a vital role in enhancing its accuracy reliability and safety helping us make operator better for everyone and they plan to expose it in the API so developers can build on top
1:47:15
of it and they're going to enhance hey come come come build on this show us what's possible and then we'll launch it a month later yeah this dangerous should we no this is this is this is like pretty yeah let's get into the reactions but I don't think it can be stress that to date humans have instructed machines and this is now machines
1:47:38
instructing humans yeah kind of it feels very Centaur is and like kind of back and forth because it's like like they're still not in the mode of you still have to give them yeah you give them yeah you can't give it to the prompt just like just like go do productive stuff for me you have to say like go book up yeah but
1:47:57
you can imagine a world where it says hey your car registration I noticed your car registration is expired please come over here and enter this information yeah but like how is that different than a secretary you wouldn't say that like oh yeah like secretar autonomous you know intelligent yeah yeah but but but
1:48:15
like you know you wouldn't say like oh yeah the like having a secretary is now like the boss is responding the secretary because the secretary asks the boss to to confirm a credit card number before they push the button to buy the flight you know yeah it does seem like there's still this relationship but I
1:48:35
agree with you in the sense that it's a very different model of interaction with a computer and for the first time it feels like not just AGI where it's like this endless library that you can query and get an answer it's really like it feels embodied like the a is correct like yeah they should just call it secretary um uh sir Sam Alman is says
1:49:00
he's doing an open AI live stream right now first agent launch and uh Victorio comments Europe will unfortunately take a while laau which I love LMAO and of course it's like yeah there's some terrible uh restriction in Europe I'm sure they don't allow anything like this uh Rowan Rowan Chong um got Early Access
1:49:21
to chpd opor and gave some uh examples here uh he says uh here he says he can order dinner ingredients based on a picture and a recipe so just take a picture of something and say Hey I want to recreate this is that with instacart already or Y this is the instacart demo um and so uh planning a weekend trip
1:49:41
based on hidden gems off Reddit my budgets and interest that's so I mean think about the what what using showing a picture to operate and an ingredient you know and saying I want to make this and then have and just be like make sure all the ingredients are organic and hitting yeah it's so much better than looking at the
1:50:03
ingredient list oh make sure this is organic blah blah blah yep like it's that's wild yeah and so this is interesting in uh six seconds into this test Chach GPT operator was blocked from Reddit but then decided to just do a Bing search with Reddit at the end and got the information that way so it's really like
1:50:25
working around exactly like a real person would do if they were hunting around for information about a weekend trip based on what this guy wants to do has the intelligence of a great intern where they're like hey I hit this thing but then I figured it out this way yeah totally um uh crypto investment research
1:50:43
based on tokens that are actually worth looking into notice how chat GPT operator got hit with an Ru human capture then pinged me to take control and firm a while work around that's going to be interesting uh booking a one-way flight to Zurich uh from Zurich to BNA using the booking integration this one required a bit back and forth with chath
1:51:04
GPT operator pinging me and asking me for my flight preference and having me take control of entering payment details like doesn't seem like it's like fully there I'm sure they'll add like secure credit card integration at some point and like learn your you learn your flight preferences but booking flights
1:51:20
is always a hassle it's actually like one of the first like oh you should get an executive assistant or secretary like idea and it's like really just to book flights and then you're like I don't book that many flights but is such a hassle and then you do it and then they mess it up and you're like ah this is
1:51:33
not worth it at all and so um definitely going to be a no I'm really looking forward to not having to use a bunch of indidual apps exact even even checking in for a flight why my current my current flow for just like I want to get from one place to another if I'm not flying private of course is uh Google it go go to Google flight figure out like
1:51:53
CU Google flights is a pretty good interface for like letting you know what options are available but then you go to the app and make sure you're logged in time where you didn't have to you could kind of book in Google sites but it doesn't feel like it doesn't feel like that anymore um because like you need
1:52:06
your TSA PreCheck in there you need all this other stuff in there whatever um uh scheduling an appointment with my barber after looking at my Google calendar note that in this demo operator ping me that I need to sign in to Google to check my calendar try a second time and my login was saved session to session
1:52:23
interesting um researching a good birthday gift for my mom based on what she likes similar to the Reddit block operator couldn't access the New York Times so it pivoted and found another site also cool to see it compare and find me the best price across the web for me that's kind of cool that's cool um booking a onetime house cleaner for
1:52:41
my home through Thumbtack based on my budget operator came back to me with four highly rated options within my price range again it seems like he's really leaning into the ones where there's direct Integrations I bet those will work the best um but I'm excited to try it on just kind of like random open
1:52:54
web stuff um finding the best cheapest health insurance coverage in Switzerland this was interesting since most prices are not publicly available and and are gated behind a meeting operator did what it could and presented me with a good blog for me to read further so not like an amazing result but like at least got
1:53:10
to it like hunted around on the internet and found something relevant which is great um and then the and then the nice thing is of course since like you're still in the chat GPT interface you can probably like transform the results like okay you know boil this down do a table or you know create an image that
1:53:24
summarizes this and all of that stuff will make it easier to just like print it out put on a not card summarize it even further oh I need to send this as an email so wrap it in an email just copy and paste it and send it to somebody I need to send to um finding a dog walker to my surprise I got three
1:53:39
really solid options this was no easy task um again that's an entire Marketplace business of yeah uh yeah well the question is like where does the value acrw probably I mean definitely the hard ass sets so you know if you own a dog kennel and chat gbt makes it easier for people to book time in the dog kennel for their dogs if
1:54:02
they're traveling and your and your your website and your offering is is optimized to the point where it's findable on operator then you're going to wind up having lower friction to consume I I I'm there has to be great Services business to be built around llm uh ization in terms of you know getting llms to surface your business when
1:54:28
consumers search because llms are not going to even want it's not good for the user to see the top 10 anymore used to be like you look up dog kennel yep Santa Barbara C10 it's probably going to be like no these are like the three best based on what we know about you we know you want like a luxury you know type
1:54:51
experience for your dog whatever just go to these yeah um Ethan molok says been playing with the new operator for a little bit before launch and it's both very much still an experiment and also a good indicator of where things are going it goes to the web and does things for you still many rough edges but here's an
1:55:07
example of using it for shopping yeah very cool I'm I'm like I'm I'm excited to use it for the shopping stuff that seems pretty cool um I don't do all that much stuff I feel like I do more like research the only thing about when you think about shopping for flights makes a lot of sense I want a Delta flight out
1:55:24
of uh JFK JFK to La sometime this afternoon make it book tell me what's available book it yep shopping where you're browsing I think will be different because people aren't the average Shopper is not oh I want if you need a rain jacket maybe you just need a rain jacket but a lot of people are going and browsing
1:55:49
around well I know I want a new winter jacket but I don't know I don't know what even what I should look like yet I just know I want to be warm and there sort of so that seems like less of a use case now versus these purely utilitarian like I need ingredients I need yeah totally but I mean within a couple years
1:56:06
you could easily see it say okay like let's generate you some images of you in various rain jackets and it's like you know what do you like okay now all surf now that I see myself walking around like like in the rain in LA in downtown LA and it's a photo real image of me in a red jacket and then a navy jacket and then a black jacket I can say
1:56:29
okay I think I think I look best in the Navy let's go with that let's look at some materials up close it generates images of those it finds that and then it also tells me okay I want this material or this or this material and I want it at this price point and this one will ship and it's made in America or
1:56:45
something like that and it surfaces that and then and then it's it's like all of these things like there's still like chat interfaces but there's no reason why they can't be audio interfaces they can't be video interfaces so you could eventually get to a point where where you know your your shopping interaction
1:56:59
is essentially like an AI Avatar like holding the thing up for you and saying like here's the jacket and it's purely and synthetic but then the actual jacket comes to you and that seems like a huge Economic Opportunity if they're able to take the referral code referral fee from whatever interaction that is from
1:57:16
intermediating that I mean it'll be interesting to see how Google responds because they always they've always come back with something but I feel like it's never been 100% competitive with yeah they always come back with with stuffing more stuff into into Google search basically and and it'll be interesting because the the
1:57:35
basic like llm highlight of just like summarizing answer every day it feels like Google is closer and closer to going the way of cable where like for the next 50 years there will be people that just go to Google when they want something but then there's sort of like this predictable reduction of their earnings
1:57:58
that you can and and they will stop trading at a at some ridiculous premium unless they can figure out these but it's weird because because like I I completely agree with you just on like the vibe but but it's like if you look at the if you look at the this is this isn't bg2 this is we do VI best analysis
1:58:17
here but but if you look at the performance of the underlying technology at Google with Gemini it's on par if not like back and forth with open Ai and and and that would be like but product wise yes purely purely yeah it seems like they're just not they're not hitting those those product positioning and marketing around but that's very
1:58:39
different than cable like imagine if cable was like oh yeah like uh you know cable has better cable like like like Comcast actually has better video streaming infrastructure than Netflix for a couple months then Netflix gets it would be like very weird like that's not what happened at all with the cable
1:58:55
companies was like they didn't even try to use the internet for like a decade and then they were like okay I guess we should get on board with this but we're just kind of printing cash the huus from the the big media execs needs to be studied yeah I think I I think with Google it really just comes down to like
1:59:09
how much do the founders get back involved and like drive because if it's just run as like a cash cow it's not going to happen yeah but it needs to be prod they need to be willing to to Pivot the ship yeah Google and apple both have these like incredible managers running the ship and both are just completely the the Apple having the
1:59:32
greatest source of data people were saying Sundar was going to get fired after the black Nazi thing right what was that when when they launched the uh you remember this they yeah they launched image generation model image generation model and people were like like draw me a picture of a NAU and they
1:59:50
had and they had injected a bunch of like keywords and so it would put Like A Nazi who was black and it was like this is more this is very very racist but it's funny it's just funny to me because because when you think about anything that open AI does you could almost say that Apple should be doing that and
2:00:07
competing there because they they've already said that software is important to their business right they they hit on oh we did 25 billion of software Revenue right that's like their core focus and so the iPhone is the greatest data colle ction product photo video text voice everything should they not be I think
2:00:29
they're having to just to just take a cut of whatever happens on the iPhone and so you could imagine that if you're using operator on desktop and you go to booking.com but Apple doesn't get a cut of real world Services right like they don't get 30% of Uber's Revenue whereas open AI if they're if open AI is driving
2:00:51
hey we if we're sending it to Uber Oro you need to give us a cut yes and and notice all of those examples were physical real world Goods but what happens when I say uh CH chat GPT uh I I want to watch the new season of squid game tonight can you go make sure I'm signed up for Netflix on my iPhone I pull out my phone and I say hey CHT sign
2:01:13
me up for Netflix like they might they might Apple might try and take a cut of that yeah or go buy me a bunch of fortnite v-bucks or or something I don't know yeah but there's always workarounds of like Audible has their token yeah and St can happen on the web and I'm sure it'll be a knockout drag out fight but I think
2:01:30
apple is we love a knockout we love a knockout drag out fight but I do think that apple is I I agree with you that they're complacent but I think the complacency the question is why are they complacent and the reason is is because so much of the economic activity happens in the digital realm and they do have a
2:01:48
remit to collect 30% of that or some cut of that and so they're just like look this AI stuff is crazy but people are still going to interact with it using their phones and as long as they're using their phones we have some leverage to get some amount of money and that's exactly what happened with Google where
2:02:04
where they knew that people were going to be searching the internet using a search engine and they could and and they never needed to build a search engine because they were able to tax Google and so they got this like I think it's like $20 billion deal with with Google and it's it's 100% margin and they don't have to manage anything and
2:02:22
so and so if you look at open AI could be massively successful everyone could be using operator for to buy everything and and and apple could say hey it's going to be anthropics agent unless you pay us $20 billion and we're happy to do that we're happy to do that it's a great deal for us yeah it's so so there's that
2:02:41
yeah which is real there there also you think about if Apple was in founder mode yeah and Steve was seeing hey we're going to hit this point with software where becomes we're going to hit a point with Hardware where the difference between the iPhone 10 and the iPhone 16 is not so great the next Frontier
2:03:01
isig he would have there's a total world where he would said we're going to spend $50 billion to become the most important consumer AI company in the world and have this you know synthesis between your phone and your I mean wasn't he the one that said computer is like a bicycle for the mind like AI is like a F40 for
2:03:22
the mind yeah and and like it's a it's a brand new 911 you should post that yeah post that right now for uh AI is an F3 for Ben post that from the technology Brothers account uh and uh but but I mean really like like I I just think like like Steve Jobs like his energy would have 100% you're dead on that it
2:03:46
would have just he wouldn't have been like we'll figure out a way to make some money on this TR no no he wants to shape it he wants to leave a universe yeah Google Google predated the iPhone it wasn't like apple was sitting around watching the search Market come online with billions and billions you know and
2:04:02
so with regard to Apple like I agree with you that it's like it's uninspiring it's it's disappointing but is it truly like an existential be case or anything like they might make they might wind up making more money just through their taxes but but it but it's it's more like if Apple wanted to become a hundred
2:04:18
trillion dollar company whatever some some crazy number how so let's yeah let's close this out with uh Carrie doest uh with a long post about the impact of operator uh he says the internet is about to fall apart the internet specifically search engines worked well because incentives were slightly aligned I could publish recipes
2:04:38
people would click on my links I could put ads on it and I could make money this applied to vast swats of the internet and the free information we consume today with open ai's Agent why the F would I post recipes anymore open AI will just browse my site and steal my hard work I won't get paid or get any
2:04:56
leads openai will break the internet fly wheel users were incentivized to post free information to drive ad dollars or lead funnels it was awesome now why would anyone do that flywheel broken I expect the next phase of SEO to involve heavily blocking open aai from consuming stuff in this fashion why would I want
2:05:15
open AI to have the ability to browse my site if I was sub if I was substack right now I would be telling people we're going to create a firewall between these models and your content because I do think what he's saying is is if you're somebody who wants to create recipes and that's like how you want to
2:05:36
be spending your time and you and and anything you put out there can just be basically ripped yeah right yeah uh what what what's the incentive even if you're not you're not even getting credit right yeah yeah I I think the monetization model for uh like fact aggregation is changing significantly I mean the the net celebrity net worth is
2:05:59
a good kind of like Canary in the coal mine for this but if your job is just to to collect content and put it on this on to one site and run ads like things are going to change pretty significantly um yeah I I I think it probably will change a lot less for like the the curatorial stuff and the parasocial stuff um
2:06:18
because you're not just going to go to operator and say like like what question should I ask to be what what should I be interested in about tech right now like you know you're still going to be on Ben Thompson because he's he's going to be curating and then bringing his unique point and maybe you could just ask like hey what
2:06:34
did Ben say today in chat and get like a clip or something but um at a certain point I think has Ben ever written about DJI I was I was going to look at I don't think he's ever done like a full Deep dive but I but I did I did search it but I didn't there's not not much to deep Di there isn't there isn't much to DET that
2:06:53
um let's move on from operator I'm excited to play around with that I need to upgrade on desktop because to the point about Apple I can't upgrade on on iPhone I click this I click the upgrade button and it says you can't you you have to do it on desktop yeah because they know um well here's here's a question
2:07:14
from Mickey with the blicky for all of us he says uh I've been trying to find product Market fit for a while and I recently started thinking about my Edge I've done pretty well recently in crypto and I was thinking that my Edge is managing my emotions I'm pretty confident I'm in the top 1% of Roi uh my
2:07:29
question is I was thinking about leveraging my knowledge into some sort of wealth management app leveraging my expertise and patience with Investments and emotional discipline and providing education on how to format a plan and stick with it how would you improve this idea what do you think good question I I
2:07:45
think it's uh so many Financial products encourage some amount of uh degeneracy right Robin Hood is is the big one being like hey you heard about leverage like Hey kid like we know you're trading uh uh you know your your lunch money but like have you thought about Levering up right like there's sort of even the
2:08:07
mechanics of the product um and then you have companies like public who offer the same set core set of features but never position it in a way like they they never wanted to be a casino right they they're the next Charles Schwab um is sort of their angle right uh and so I I always think that there's one these
2:08:29
businesses like public wealth front Etc have shown that you can build there was a while where people were like oh all these businesses are just not good right Robin Hood was in the down Dave was down and so I do think there's uh there's probably a market for consumers who want some autonomy over their investment decisions right they don't want to be
2:08:52
fully automated like wealth front but they want a little bit of a guide of of saying like it could be as simple as when you hit cell and hit confirm sell there's just the third step of hey most people that hold stocks for you know some you know like basically those those kind of cues yeah I think what you're
2:09:11
kind of getting at is like is like wa every company that you cited there Robinhood public wealthfront acorns dave.com they all had some sort of uh Market entry hook yeah like Robin Hood their whole pitch was Robin Hood take from the rich give to the poor commission free trading so you could get on with $10 and buy $10 of apple and not
2:09:33
pay a fee and normally back then it was $10 per trade so that was a serious barrier to low dollar investors and they figured out how to do that and and make it with the payment for orderflow stuff and like figure out how to how to not lose that much money for a long time I'm sure they were eating losses for a long
2:09:49
time and then public the initial Hook was um any when you had a trade you could publish it to a social media feed and so you could share so if you were an influencer you could say look there's evidence on on public.com of yes I didn't just say buy Nvidia I actually did and you can see I did it Scott
2:10:09
Galloway has had some poor picks but he's also very respected within his audience and there's people that would want to follow him and invest you know sure this sort of copy copy trading apps that have a very clear value prop where it's like you've seen the Nancy py stock ticker you're going into that acorns
2:10:29
it's very simple it's like this metaphor of like the squirrel Gathering acorns it rounds up and every there need to be an acorn there needs to be an a acorns for apex predators you know the lion who's just going to leave the you know go out on the Savannah and just Savage you know to feast or phon app it's like yeah
2:10:49
Feast app you can only you can only trade with 100x leverage once every quarter or something six figure minimum yeah yes yeah and when 100% of your portfolio be concentrated into one ticker there's no ETFs ETFs are banned on this app that's actually a funny a funny trading app with a leaderboard and you can only hold one stock yeah exactly
2:11:08
so it just like constantly this is the near thing with the with the fund that has a 10year log just Nvidia like maybe productizing that is interesting and how can how can more people productizing 10year lockups is there's a lot of influencers where they're like my I I have a YouTube channel that's just
2:11:23
dedicated to paler and all I do is talk about the paler stock move and I'm just turbo paler and that's my entire identity and and so yeah maybe there's an opportunity to proty something that but I think the more important like meta point is the app is just called turbo long turbo long yeah that's a good one
2:11:39
uh but yeah I mean it's basically like like you probably onto something there's probably some sort of opportunity in wealth management apps in Tech generally but uh you got to find your hook and your and your Market entry because if you're just like we're you know and long term you go multiproduct like of publ
2:11:55
has stock bonds you can even buy bonds treasury bills trumpcoin on public now like they really it just has every possible asset but that's something that you only get to you only earn the right to be multi-product after you hit that first product Market fit yeah it's the same thing in Social you know Instagram
2:12:12
was just Square photos then it was vertical photos then it was reals now it's everything live streams and stuff yeah uh let's stay on the topic of incredible Financial power houses and go to one of the best fintech investors in history Jeb Bush Jeb Bush je for those that don't know uh Jeb Bush uh had a couple family members that were
2:12:32
presidents uh not many people can say that uh but he's actually more famous now for his investment and I believe it was the series C or D of ramp so he got in early uh and he said after Eric uh announced treasury yesterday he says ramps expansion into cash management and what it mean what it mean for Founders
2:12:57
and operators just uh comma and then he lets he lets rest of the time got it a man of few words but a smart one indeed uh Jeb picked a winner and uh I love it I love and and it's become a meme where I saw Buco capital guy was posting like find you an investor who loves you as much as Jeb Bush loves ramp and it just
2:13:18
screenshots of Jeb Alpha raising from a a uh someone with clout that doesn't normally invest in startups will just share every single thing exct right a lot of investors they have 50 portfolio companies they can't share every single you know but you get some wild card there so is there more to stay on that or do you have do you have more timeline
2:13:39
over there because I can go to Carri no interest if you want let's just jump into the timeline and all um then you'll mix in some of the promoted posts great so Carri no interest says you should be introduction maxing look at your network people you interact with find someone impressive now think of someone else
2:13:55
impressive that should know that person for a tangible reason introduce them it costs nothing it just got I just got an unsolicited in introduction to a private credit fund with a deal for me this is great I love it I will always remember when I when when XYZ guy made this intro I will certainly make intros for him in
2:14:12
the age of AI the one thing open AI can't take from us is our Network and the people we like find two people that should know each other introduce them now this is your sign I love this uh great somebody introduced us with no specific reason other than they thought we get along good vibes than you will
2:14:29
doing that and and and and this reminds me of a ProMed post I don't know if you just reshuffled it but uh we have a member of the community who's looking for an introduction actually to a uh a designer do we print that or we actually talked we talked yesterday about how um and he was being super nice when when I
2:14:48
was talking to about and will he was like I don't want to the show but we're happy to flood the show the show for the brothers uh and yeah just before we dive into this if you need help with something DM us it could be finding a specific hire it could be an intro to a specific company yeah uh but also post
2:15:07
about it publicly send it because then you credit out but also Serendipity some somebody might see this even if you only have a couple hundred followers it's fine they just put it on the timeline someone will find it so amadon uh Will's posting this he says Amon heavy Industries is looking for design for a
2:15:24
designer for some early logo deck Art website work ideally want one true technology brother or sister versus an agency 10 to 15K total budget here but we of course love a Runway respecting brother amaz so they're they're running Runway respecting brother yeah Will's a good poster and uh yeah opportunity to like sort of lead the charge on on the
2:15:45
early brand for amadon cool uh and i' I've talked about this before huge Alpha if you're a designer in creating a branding package that uh that's accessible for these companies that have raised a preed or a seed uh if you go try to compete in the 100 to 200k branding package range you're going up
2:16:06
against people who work with Nike and apple and all these medum major firms so 10 to 15K it's kind of like not a loss leader but it's like a it's like Costco Costco rotiss chicken get him with the team and yeah so anyways if you uh if this is you if you're a designer if not if you have a designer you love please uh DM shouldn't
2:16:28
speak yeah I'm sure people in the audience have worked with great designers before and all those designers they love introductions because they're looking for the next job you get you can get favor if you introduce somebody to a client and then they close you can get a DJI drone you talked about earlier or
2:16:44
you just get next time you need a little help with something hey I got to get this email out like could you help me tweak this they're going to owe you one and you can you know yeah yeah the worst part about that about that uh that story is that they were thinking about buying me like a really really nice bottle of
2:16:58
whisky and then they asked a friend and they're like yeah he doesn't really drink whiskey and so they got me the DJI which was fine but um but yeah you need to establish your brand for if somebody's returning a favor yeah Don peran only yeah anyway uh let's go to this uh this Banger wow 133k likes this
2:17:17
hit so uh ma says so sick and tired of using the team's salute Emoji it does not accurately reflect how locked in I actually am he is not locked in stupid effing idiot and it's this like 3D render of the salute emoji and it's I think that the eyes are a little cross pre eyes that's what it is not predator eyes yeah yeah yeah you're
2:17:43
locked in I want yeah I want my locked in emoji to be actually like na seal level y you know day three of hell week and yeah it's also funny because like I didn't even know 133,000 people used Microsoft teams but I guess is like the most popular product it has like 10 times 20 times so people people know uh
2:18:07
let's do another has 80 billion he can just rip around 80 billion for that small siiz gong moment um uh interesting promoted post we just want to flag this to the brother uh Kanye West is hiring an AI team let me know if interested hash Yeezy let's build this is posted by Hampton Hampton ISM uh he's he he or she is
2:18:34
accelerating uh very cool I I I if you been if you live in LA yeah every other person you meet that's like a um a creative director like has worked on ye's team so like talk about a guy like Frank Wang turns through Talent Yeezy turns through Talent on another level he gets these really talents everybody wants to work with Kanye and then it's
2:18:56
it's it's um very uh apparently very difficult to do so I know a bunch of people who are like oh yeah I work with Kanye on this I work with Kanye on that and none of them lasted more than like six months but if you want if you want to work on AI with Kanye for six months I mean he the cool opportunity here is
2:19:14
the distribution is not just oh he has 500k followers on x we're going to get some users it's it's a millions of people will sign up on the first day and it will proba it'll be like national news and stuff and then also um you know I think there's a lot of talented Founders that are difficult to work with and chaotic energies and very high
2:19:38
energy and if you get six months with Kanye and you can get through that and have that experience you're going to show up to some sort of you know other company with a like quote unquote like crazy founder by silicon standards you're going be like this is the easiest job I've ever had so real opportunity to
2:19:55
cut your teeth uh speaking of founder archetypes let's go to Sam Lon he says he's updating the founder archetype for 2025 for the last decades for the last decade the ability to code was an enormous Hammer deeply valuable weapon to wield so much so that kids who could code and had all the time in the world
2:20:12
nothing else to do would go Crush Industries and verticals they knew little to nothing about their unique Tech leverage was so great slth Magic so powerful and relatively unique they could slay much savier incumbents this was the magic of the 20 years 20-year-old noo engineer kid hanging out in an incubator but in 2025 we see a new
2:20:33
world a world where hilariously things like AI have lowered the barrier of technology that all of a sudden the magical technical leverage of a 20-year-old coder is gone the playing field has been releveled so what so the reality is that unlike the last 15 years you're going to have a very bad time as
2:20:50
a 20 20-year-old knowing uh 20-year-old know nothing who can code and you are going to have a very bad time backing that 20-year-old no nothing who can code as a VC instead the skills that matter today/ whatat moves the needle expertise actually knowing a vertical strategy much better than other people having
2:21:07
lived it and breathed it storytelling look at the Elon and the Sam altans of the world what are they really they are storytellers not Engineers they ability to push a narrative bring around others build a meme that is the key founder skill and leader ship to you still have time you still have to hire and manage
2:21:23
great people that doesn't go away even if you have smaller teams SL more leverage this change in founder archetype is going to be big is going to be a big industry problem it is harder when you can't cookie cutter match kids who can code and tell them to go do a few customer interviews also when this when all of a sudden you need
2:21:39
entrepreneurs with expertise those tend to be people with much higher opportunity costs the years they have put in to get that expertise and the corporate ladder you are for goinging for the startup well you are going to have fewer folks willing to take the leap what what is old is new because that's the way it was before the tech
2:21:55
Kitty bubble interesting what tech Kitty bubble La moment there yeah coming for the young young ones I mean I feel like it's been it's it's this interesting Dynamic right you back the young hungry team that knows nothing about an industry but they they're going to figure it out they're going to work 80
2:22:16
hours a week to do it or do you back the 40-year-old veteran of the industry who maybe is not you just already know like if they have kids they can't work as much right unless they want to be a total psycho and like ignore their family but the veteran like has relationships they they can get to that
2:22:35
first five million of AR faster through that trust trusted networks things like that and so over time there's been numerous examples of the tech Kitty team winning there's been numerous examples of the veteran team winning and just smoking yep the like Tech Stars company that that you know had just uh they
2:22:54
maybe they had a good idea but they just didn't have the network so uh I do think it's I do think I do yeah what what Sam is saying is it's about knowing what what to build having pre-existing customer relationships is going to matter a lot when you have when everybody has thousand an army of a thousand AI sales agents that are
2:23:15
ringing calling emailing Around the Clock people will just probably start ignoring people that don't know um so it'll be interesting to see but I would say like the other side of this is that you will still have the young Tech Kitty team that uses the AI tools better than the veteran who knows what to build and
2:23:37
and they have relationships but maybe can't build as fast right yep um yeah I I I think it's a good thesis I wonder if the age thing will hold because I'm thinking about the the tech programmer Kitty that the reason that they're good at programming is that they stay up all night and they code constantly if you take someone who's 16
2:24:01
right now and instead of getting them obsessed with programming and scripting and writing little apps they instead become obsessed with industry research understanding an industry really well and they actually are going to like they pick a very Niche specific industry they go to all the conferences they're
2:24:20
they're If they raise money they're spending it on tus and GG doing expert calls they're networking like crazy they go and do internships and this thing like can they actually learn the true nature of that industry and gain the expertise of someone who's 40 in four years if they work nights and weekends
2:24:38
and constantly and they're obsessed over it I think it might be possible for for for a 20-year-old to still check all of the Sam lesson the thing about the thing about programming though is it's totally permissionless sure whereas learning in IND you got to yep it's harder to learn I do think it's you you can't stay up all
2:24:56
night because because you have to convince people to get on the phone with you yes if you're not actually selling the product like one thing I like if you're if you're working and um I uh uh worked on a deal at the beginning of 2024 for a company in like a very very boring overlooked industry no YC company
2:25:21
had ever touched it and there was a lot of information online about the industry but it wasn't until we started talking with customers that we were like okay here's an attempt at this industry that had happened a decade ago that didn't work here's a another player that didn't we didn't get discovered and it's working in these
2:25:42
areas so there's just so much information that's not that's just in people's minds hasn't been serviced anywhere so whereas programming is like I want to learn how to do this boom do it I want to you can there's there's just a lot more that's published about it there's also yeah you know if you're an 18-year-old programmer you can reach
2:26:00
out to the CTO at some company and be like yeah ask some questions they'll probably answer you yeah there are there are some interesting examples that might be more worth studying than the programmer who uh built an app and sold it for a billion dollars like I'm thinking about the Strauss zelnick Story
2:26:16
the uh CEO of Take 2 interactive that runs they own GTA and uh NBA 2K and all these great video games uh he was like total non-programmer like business type and climbed the corporate ladder in Hollywood extremely quickly and I think by the time he was 28 he was the president of Warner music group or
2:26:39
something like that crazy and and and so maybe maybe the new the new speedrunning of like building becoming an entrepreneur will be yeah the first 5 years aren't spent coding but actually yes you do need to go into a corporate Corporation but you you don't need to become the 40-year-old expert who has like gr ground his way up to VP and has
2:27:00
a family and a bunch of obligations and is really entrenched it's more just like the cracked kid who went in and actually got to the very top of an organization even faster so I think that's kind of interesting and then um and then I I just do wonder about that permissionless thing I think you're right that coding
2:27:17
is more permissionless but if you look at like Harry stubbing breaking into Venture Capital like he was a through like just grit and determination he was able to get calls with all the big people he used the podcast as a way to justify like let's hop on a call essentially but he was able to do that and there's there it does seem like if
2:27:34
you're a 20-year-old kid and you want to you know go into like I don't know gong manufacturing or something and you're just this really crazy Hustler and you're just emailing and calling like the CEO of every manufacturing like 20 times in a row like you might be able to break through if you do something really
2:27:51
crazy to stand out do some free work send them something on spec show up at their office like get them launch to figure out how to get that those meetings the the people at the the the the the founders that are going to continue to like really accumulate Capital right now y are the Zach Abrams from uh what the he sold to stripe
2:28:13
remember Bridge right 10 years in fintech totally still young probably leveraging a bunch of these AI tools to just code a lot faster so getting that the benefit of like being still learn learning aggressively about how to ship yeah but then also having that expertise not directly in stable coins but fin
2:28:37
stable coins or fintech in in in many ways so yeah it's a interesting time anyway let's go to promoted post promoted post uh from our friends at uh over at adquick we just thought this was interesting so 45% of all searches made on Google are branded uh what that means is it's people saying uh you know technology
2:28:59
Brothers podcasts and uh Allin might want that traffic right so they'd be like have you tried all in right um so that's a branded search a non-branded search is shoes yeah you know man podcast gener yeah yeah yeah um and so uh yeah they're sort of varying you know different people uh say uh you know whatever that range is but a very high
2:29:27
percentage of that uh of Google traffic is branded search uh and uh ad quick jumps in um and says that uh they actually are showing that that out of home is a Big Driver they they they don't have a specific statistic but you can imagine you're driving around on the 101 you see a billboard you know soqu
2:29:49
helps people buy Billboards yeah they make it super super easy to like programmatically buy uh Billboards and just out of home ads in general yeah um and so that still seems to get a business that works in the operator world where you ask chachy P to buy a billboard and it goes to ad Qui and does the integration and and uh and and they
2:30:09
still act as the integration point with the hard asset in the real world yeah and that's where the value cruel is right yep um but yeah I mean it's so funny when you hear these like you know the cognitive dissonance from like okay open AI just killed every website ever and then you're like uh yeah people
2:30:27
can't figure out to GO to nike.com And so 75% of people search Nike on Google first and then Nike pays Google $20 million every month to make sure that they show up as the top result when when people search Nike on Google instead of just going to nike.com it's like yeah we really are like the cable era is
2:30:46
definitely real like the cable phenomenon is going to be around for a while yeah anyway uh love ad quick we got to get Jeremy that billboard on 101 y um let's go to Zack alt he says my top 10 why didn't I do this sooner list and I want your I want your rating of these or these uh these rankings uh number one
2:31:04
shower water filter yay or n give me the thumbs up thumbs down thumbs up thumbs up uh two magnesium glycinate for Sleep thumbs up take multiple red light therapy panel do you do red light therapy thumbs up it's real okay air purifier you got seven of them running right now yeah yeah uh bamboo sheets and pillowcases uh
2:31:29
bamboo uh I don't know how you make sheets out of bamboo I would think like cotton yeah yeah Lin you know or linen yeah uh where does linen come from I sheep or something I think a lot of bamboo is heavily heavily heavily processed get maybe pass bamboo sheets uh blue light blocker glasses I've got a few pairs around the house do you
2:31:51
actually do them I I've done them a few times but I do the night shift on my on my phone have trouble falling I have the funniest setup where the thing that puts me to sleep is sort of like uh heavy information audio so sure when I use my phone or I have an iPad at night to to put on something I'll just have the blue
2:32:13
blockers and so then I'll fall asleep with the blue blockers not with my headphones in and then I'll just end up the middle of the night like blue blockers blue blockers going yeah so blue blockers generally you can just set your phone sh no not night shift you can set it to completely eliminate blue hues
2:32:31
okay so I hit three on the side and then it's just looks red it's like well here that's number 10 grayscale on the iPhone I've done that a few times not a because I love my phone I love using my phone and gray scale really takes away from that it does it does it will it will make you use the phone less though it
2:32:49
makes it it makes everything less enjoyable uh so local honey for spring allergies what do you think about that I've heard about that working I don't suffer from allergies I just I think I think allergies you even if you get them but just have local honey there's there's a honey diet fad right now that's going on where people just get
2:33:05
like half their calories from honey half their thousand calories of honey so much yeah yeah there's a guy that's posting on XR now that is getting all of his calories until dinner from Coca-Cola and he's losing weight wow insane amazing it's like uh yeah the carnivore diet for bees um this is a regular diet for
2:33:30
bees they're not bees don't well like think about the carnivore diet as being like a very extreme like I only this one thing like meat and honey is just like extreme like don't bees just eat honey no they don't eat honey they produce honey Oh I thought they no no that's a byproduct of bees they create the honey
2:33:49
and they're eating p yeah they're they're taking the pollen and converting converting it and and the Honey is the byproduct I always that's so always thought they were getting bear honey the Bears going and break into the hive but imagine you're a bee and you just you're just sitting around the hive
2:34:04
and and yeah put your yeah this actually good they realize it yeah no if if you want to be Upstream of the honey the honey diet you got the these are low-key goated for making for making honey for yeah totally okay okay oh there so they will occasionally dip their dip their stinger in the honey uh UPS in USPS informed delivery have you
2:34:31
ever done that I don't know what informed yeah they just send you a notification we delivered you a package this is like such a funny one to include in like all these like bioh hacks and you just like and also I want to sign for my packages I think it might be sneaky little ad there for UPS he was like posted it's not UPS it's
2:34:48
USPS so the you think he's a Fed yeah okay uh and then number nine Global Entry yeah only if you're traveling internationally pre-check kind of just does the same thing and there's all clear and you kind of just need to get them all feel like I I don't airports have been so efficient for me I haven't
2:35:07
uh yeah just in and out okay let's go to another promoted post I have one of the most heinous pred posts that we've ever done but I mean we but there's a certain dollar is a dollar there's a certain person in the audience that I think this could be good for uh we have a uh from dupon registry we have a 2024
2:35:29
Rolls-Royce Phantom with an asking price of $700,000 you might be asking why are they asking 700k for a phantom uh Phantom from last year and here's why it's aerodynamic aggressive exterior includes unique carbon fiber accents emphasizing exclusivity through the mansori customization so this is not just a Rolls-Royce Phantom this is a
2:35:53
Manor phant custo uh you know uh very very uh unique car here and and to me uh this is uh a perfect car for a Siz Lord GP that wants to you know maybe they have some insecurities maybe they want to really um intimidate Founders so let's say you're working on a deal with a Founder you're trying to negotiate
2:36:16
term say hey meet me at this parking lot around Sunset pull up in the car leave your headlights on Park in the corner and just like make them kind of come to you and then look at imagine imagine an empty parking lot this car is sitting on the other side and you have to approach it it just looks like such a beast I see
2:36:35
this and I just say this screams LOL the loud opulence lifestyle yeah yeah yeah that's what that black so it's understated in that way but very uh very very I I I have a buddy in Malibu who daily drives a phantom it's it's a black badge not a Menor but works well for him uh and uh great consider it if you're
2:36:59
looking to make you know a statement well let's stay on the topic of cars and go to a banger post with over half a million likes from Lewis Hamilton says first time in red we put it in in black and white but he's looking fantastic in his new uh Ferrari scooteria Ferrari F1 outfit with some fantastic sponsors and
2:37:23
you know we like to pass through the sponsors here so he's sponsored by IBM HP this is called as you know land acknowledgements were popular historically but we're kind of trying to create a new movement around acknowledgements and he's got rishard Mill here and here it's kind of sick racing machine on his on his wrists they
2:37:44
did get the wrist slot that's hilarious I didn't put that together but yeah that makes sense and so he's he's looking great and everyone's excited for him to be on scooteria Ferrari for this next F1 season the announcement photo was beautiful it was him in front of an F40 looking great he'll be uh will he be
2:38:00
he'll be kned at some point he might have already been I don't know it seems like yeah it's definitely in the cards but definitely in the cards he looked very nightly in the in the picture with Ferrari even though alion manufactur but he went from I think he was in McLaren then big run at uh at Mercedes and now
2:38:18
Ferrari yeah so yeah that's a that's a desirable ad slot if you got a uh if if you're looking to deploy some Capital outside of the podcast industry call us first for the podcast sponsorships but call scooteria Ferrari you really want to make a statement uh what else you got on promoted okay since we're on the topic
2:38:38
of cars I honestly can't help myself usually I try to space it out more but uh this car could also work for the same type of person I was describing in the last time you got a 2025 Mercedes AMG G63 fitted with the bravis b700 kit it has an asking price of just $500,000 it has a manufacturer hyper blue Magno exterior which is like this
2:38:59
simultaneously like matte but also the black and white photo for the camera yeah I mean this thing is if you're looking for a car that's going to lose 50% of its value in the first year or two this is the car alongside that Manor uh coling in uh that wasn't even col phantom phantom phantom sedan for
2:39:20
800k yeah yeah yeah I mean these cars are just so ridiculous I wouldn't I wouldn't be caught dead in them but for the right person it's just so perfect because it basically just screams um it just screams I spent 2x value of the of the the vehicle uh for for a body kit and so and uh anyways if you're a preced
2:39:44
Founder they got bravis body kits on Alibaba though you didn't you know we don't that but um it is if uh if you're on a budget you know get creative okay uh this is a great Banger from Trey Stevens at Founders fund he's uh quot tweeting Zack Johnson who says bite dance has released an IDE a cursor IDE
2:40:07
competitor called Trey trey. a and Trey Stevens says this is unacceptable so I saw this before Trey had posted that yeah and I I I thought to myself is there a I give it maybe a 15% chance 10% chance that it was intentional Trey has been very outspoken yep they might be trolling him and and B you know I'm sure
2:40:32
he's trolled by Dance by dance hey we need a kind of American name need to uh what's you know what's something that's that's short Punchy that that we could throw a little shade across the pond yeah uh how about how about Trey Trey yeah is it trey. a trey. how did he not own this domain yeah Trey it is hilarious because there's
2:40:55
been this weird trend of like Founders fund people getting stuff named after them that creates confusion so the famous one is like Mike salana is not like a crypto guy and yet like salana has just dominated the news is now like the biggest chain and so he used to be he was salana before salana Oh yeah and
2:41:12
so you got to add Mike and so a lot of times people will be like like like you're you're you're behind Salon like why why aren't you like Pro promoting the coin more you know like that type of stuff and then there was a defense tech company that came out called Delian defense or something like that was just like doing that as an
2:41:30
American company is just poor for it yeah and and so yeah uh you know Trey's got it so creating like creating the Holy Trinity of Founders fund people is company names I guess um got another promoted Post in there yeah I got a cheeky cheeky promoted post okay from our friends over at McKenzie and Company fantastic imagine sketching the
2:41:53
architecture of the internet on the back of an envelope uh and we got to we got to create some envelopes I guess for sketching out architecture on because they're a great surface to do that VIN surf takes us back to 1973 sharing how a six-month collaboration gave rise to the internet as we know it discover how this
2:42:13
Vision became a reality uh and McKenzie absolute Savages is they throw a URL in the post built different built different all of our listeners know that if you want to play x on a hard mode just include a link in your post just put google.com if you don't have something you know directly that you're trying to
2:42:32
promote um and the best posters are able to overcome that and and still grow so um anyways uh he I guess this guy is still Google's Chief internet evangelist I have no idea what that means it's very McKenzie ask title but maybe he should be fired Mckenzie was really he's like an early internet Legend now I okay uh
2:42:56
we got another Banger from David holes this is the wrong post I mean this is an important post we need to talk about but he recently posted uh independently it brings me no pleasure to tell to report that lifting weights does in fact make you feel better I don't know if you know David holes but he's like you know not
2:43:12
like a bodybuilder type is this the mid Journey this the mid Journey guy uh and but uh this is a more like you know down the fair Airway post for him he says lots of AI people seem to think the most important thing is to get rich before the S Singularity happens this is like a monkey trying to hoard bananas before
2:43:28
another monkey invents self-replicating Nano swarms no one wants your money in the Nano swarm future it's just paper don't fight over fleeting symbols symbols what we really need to be doing is figuring out what we as humans want to transform into we must introspect explore and then transform so there was
2:43:45
a reply to this that I thought that that resonated with me which was that um the it it seems that in the next 10 20 years Returns on labor will go down because there's sort of machine replacements for labor which humans have been replacing labor with machines forever so we still don't know exactly if we'll just create
2:44:05
a bunch of new fake jobs but uh in that time the Returns on Capital could go up as the capital is able to just replace labor with Y machines and so there's Dynamic where maybe there's a temporary spike in the in the value of capital in which case uh you know Founders selling some cheeky secondary on the way up to
2:44:30
to you know get you know broader exposure could be the interesting thing here is that it's like this is like a monkey trying to hoard bananas before another monkey invents self replicating Nanos worms like if I was a monkey I actually would want a lot of bananas while Americans are building space travel and going to the moon and Mars
2:44:49
and stuff like it's still better to be a lots of Banas SCE of potassium yeah you want a lot of bananas if you're a monkey and you want to throw a body Kat on the banana yeah it would be the terrible thing if we were approaching Singularity you had a G63 and you couldn't slap a Brabus b700 you know get on it you'd be
2:45:09
just sitting there being like all right like I guess it's over yeah it'd be brutal uh do we have any other promoted posts we need to go through I I'm uh all let's let's do a bucket pole and then we got to actually we really have to hit the gym okay uh bucket Pole from C creu he says this is the best example
2:45:27
I've ever seen of an exception that proves the rule and he and he posts a photo previous post what are some some of the best examples of an exception proving a rule Adam Andra is an oddly good climber for being so tall he's 6' one and that's uh the exception to the rule he happens to just have a really long neck on the body of a shorter
2:45:47
person proving what uh proving what Square cubed law tells us the rule that climbing ought to generally be biased towards shorter men I really thought that was interesting because I I think people throw out the exception proves the rule incorrectly a lot where they'll just be like oh like you know uh there's this
2:46:08
one example that doesn't stick in with the pattern and therefore it's the exception that proves the rule but that's not actually what that phrase means like in this in this example it's like he's he's it's not he's tall but it's because he just has a long neck and he actually has a short body and so he's
2:46:25
a great climber and he's got that extra visibility up there you know yeah and so I I I I just thought yeah I just thought it was very fascinating yeah I need to see a picture yeah oh yeah you can see the picture he's he has a huge neck it's crazy like he definitely has the body of like a 5 foot six guy or 5 foot eight
2:46:42
guy yeah it's really he's really blast yeah I don't think the long helps him but it's most important just itans same thing with Michael Phelps he has a really long torso right tree neck like a tree yeah it's crazy crazy thought yeah that's insane but yeah I thought that was I thought that was fascinating I was
2:47:01
trying to think of like I've been trying to be on like high alert for people that use that phrase incorrectly know you can say like oh like most like the like the uh like the what makes a great entrepreneur like oh like they all have like rough childhoods but like I found one example of some that didn't have a rough childhood but
2:47:21
maybe that's the exception that proves the rule like that's not an example of that it would be it would be an exception that proves the rule if they had a rough if they didn't have a rough childhood but then they had something else that was like a rough childhood it oh yeah when they went to college they
2:47:36
got like hazed a ton and it simulated that and so really they did have a struggle or something uh and uh uh and and so uh it's just it's just a funny like like phrase that I I'd heard and I sense that people were misunderstanding but this is a great concrete example of using it properly yeah which I really like yeah uh so
2:47:57
that's a great way to end the show have a great we see you guys tomorrow and please leave us five stars and when you go and leave us a review drop an ad for your company a friend's company or just a company you like yeah this is a great way to surprise uh a friend because if we run an ad for your review uh we can
2:48:14
also clip the video and so do it as a surprise for your friends company you're applying to a job somewhere promote that company send them the clip look I'm already shareholder value for you go criminal for you not to hire great idea let's do that let's do it see you tomorrow those reviews see you tomorrow bye