A founder’s guide to crisis management | Uri Levine (Waze co-founder, serial entrepreneur)

0:00

Let's talk about crisis.

0:00

I think it might be helpful to do a quick taxonomy of  the types of crisis founders face.

0:05

So two, abstractly, two types of crisis.

0:05

One is  I would call that a cash crisis.

0:05

All of a sudden, your cash program or plan is being  jeopardized, losing a customer, disappearing investor.

0:17

And the other  one is lose of product market fit.

0:23

When product market fit disappear, you  actually need to go back to square one.

0:26

Then you basically say everything that  I know so far is irrelevant anymore.

0:31

You also talk along these lines of never give  up in a crisis and throughout your journey.

0:35

Always keep on looking for ways to  make it work.

0:35

Never give up is the most important behavior of successful CEOs  of startup.

0:39

The second one, by the way, is making decisions with conviction.

0:43

If you don't  make them with conviction, then the team is not going to follow.

0:48

If the team is not going to  follow, then you are not going to be successful.

0:52

The core part of your advice on crisis, it's always the founders fault  if things don't work out.

0:57

At the end of the day, you cannot rely on  someone else, you have only one company, you need to make sure that this company is  successful.

1:03

When you assume responsibility, you're basically saying, "You know  what, I control my own destiny."

1:11

Any advice for how to avoid  falling into a crisis as a founder?

1:14

Number one answer is no, don't  worry, you will face crisis.

1:21

Today, my guest is Uri Levine.

1:21

Uri is the  co-founder of Waze, along with nine other companies.

1:26

He's sold two companies for over  a billion dollars, he's been on 20 different startup boards, has been an advisor to over 50  different startups.

1:31

And even more impressively, this is his second time on the podcast.

1:36

In our first conversation, we walked through the biggest lessons that he's learned over the  course of working with all of these different startups that he chronicled in his beloved book,  Fall in Love with the Problem, Not the Solution.

1:49

In this conversation, we go deep on one very  specific topic, crisis.

1:49

As Uri shares in his book, building a startup is a journey from one crisis  to the next.

1:55

And my goal with this conversation is to give you tools to handle the next crisis and  the next crisis and the next crisis that you face as a founder.

2:05

This topic is so important that Uri  decided to update and re-release his book with a whole new chapter dedicated to managing crisis.

2:10

And this new edition is actually going to launch right around the time this episode launches.

2:15

If you enjoy this podcast, don't forget to subscribe and follow it in your favorite  podcasting app or YouTube, it's the best way to avoid missing future episodes and it  helps the podcast tremendously.

2:22

With that, I bring you Uri Levine.

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5:02

Uri, thank you so much for being  here and welcome to the podcast. Thank you.

5:06

I'm really happy to be here.

5:08

I should have said welcome back to the  podcast, this is your second time here, which is a pretty rare feat.

5:11

And the reason  that you're back is, the first time we chatted in depth about your amazing book.

5:16

I have it  right here, Fall in Love with the Problem, Not the Solution.

5:20

And you decided to re-release  the book recently with a new chapter about something that every single founder is going  to go through.

5:27

You actually have this quote I'll read that I think is a good summary of  why this is so important.

5:30

"That building a startup is a journey from one crisis to the  next."

5:34

Let me just start with this question of why did you decide to add this chapter,  why is it so important to update your book?

5:43

End of the day, recent years have demonstrated  major significant crisises throughout the world, from Covid to interest rate, to inflation, to  wars.

5:50

And then I realized that wait a minute, this is something that I haven't spoke  about during my first book and it's time to write a new edition to that or a new  chapter that will be added into the new release.

6:09

And so this is about crisis.

6:09

And  in addition, my publisher told me that, "Oh, you should have a paperback, it's going  to sell more and more people are going to read it because it's easier to read."

6:21

So I do have the new edition already. There is?

6:25

It will be published in about a month and it  does include a new chapter. And it's a paperback.

6:34

I love that you're solving the jobs  to be done, make it easier to read, we'll make it paperback.

6:36

I also, as you described  it, it made me realize the reason your book is so great is it's basically a step-by-step  guide of all the things you need to know about building a successful company.

6:46

And  what it feels like is you just realize, oh, I forgot this step that every  founder goes through, which is crisis. Multiple crisis.

6:55

Multiple crisis, we'll get into that.

6:55

Also,  I love that you can actually update a book.

7:00

Usually people are like, "Oh, books,  done." You move on.

7:00

I love that you have the opportunity actually to  update a book. That's inspiring.

7:08

I'm already thinking of the next one.

7:11

The next book or the next update to the book? Not sure yet, not sure.

7:15

Look, at the end of the  day, there is a reason for me to write the book.

7:22

I wrote the book in order to make a bigger impact.

7:22

I'm an entrepreneur and everyone knows that, so I built Waze and Moovit and dozens of  other startups, but I'm also a teacher.

7:27

So I feel equally rewarded when I build something  myself or I guide someone to build it.

7:31

And the book is fulfilling my destiny as a teacher,  sharing my know-how with entrepreneurs, with business people, with pretty much everyone  to help them to become more successful.

7:50

So the realization that what I really want is  people to take out of the book is something that will increase their likelihood of  being successful.

7:57

And the next book is going to be pretty much the same, with  the same philosophy of wait a minute, if I can make a bigger impact, I  would like to make a bigger impact.

8:12

It's a beautiful mission.

8:12

I think we're going  to do that. Let's talk about crisis.

8:12

Maybe to make this very real and visceral for people  to get a sense of, you hear the word crisis, you're like, oh yeah, sure.

8:22

Can you  maybe share a story of a crisis that you experienced that might be illustrative of  the types of crisis that founders face across the many companies you've started  and advised, what comes to mind?

8:34

Covid was an excellent example.

8:34

And one of  my startups back then, called Order.

8:34

chat, and actually it was the first AI chat back  in 2020.

8:42

And that was meant to help people to make reservations to restaurants.

8:51

As simple  as, "Oh, I would like to make a reservations for six people for tomorrow night at XYZ restaurant."

8:56

And that chat was actually very, very successful in Israel.

9:04

And the reason is that we actually  built an engine that had facing the user with a chat but also facing the restaurant with a  chat.

9:13

So we did not require any integration, we could go online anywhere and actually  cover all the restaurants in no time.

9:19

And that turned out to be pretty successful and then  Covid hit. And guess what?

9:26

All the restaurants were shut down for hosting guests and there  were no more reservations for restaurants.

9:40

Now we were really good at that, but we  did not have enough funding to actually pivot into something completely different.

9:45

And  the result is that we had to shut it down.

9:45

And still people still ask me what happened  to that?

9:53

What happened to that was Covid.

9:59

I feel like Covid happened to a lot of companies.

9:59

And it feels like that's kind of an impetus to this chapter.

10:05

I think you even said that, it  created so many crisis across so many companies you were involved with, helped you realize a lot  of companies and founders are just not prepared.

10:13

So by and large I would say end of the day, we  look at the global crisises and we say, "Oh, this is going to impact an industry."

10:19

But as an  entrepreneur, you don't care about the industry, you care about your own startup, that's it.

10:26

And  if the rest of the world is suffering from the same problem, doesn't help you, not even a single  bit.

10:31

So your problem is your problem, that's it.

10:40

And then you need to abstract that and basically  realize, okay, wait a minute, I will define a crisis as something that you already had that is  significant, disappears.

10:44

So let's say that you already have millions of dollars in revenues and  all of a sudden your biggest customer decide not to continue and you lose half of your revenues.

11:02

All of a sudden you basically say, "Wait a minute, I have to adapt, something significant happened."

11:07

And that something significant is that your revenues disappear or maybe your funding  disappeared or maybe ...

11:13

So in general, the first type of crisis will be around cash.

11:20

All of a  sudden your cash is not the same as you expected, something happened, maybe funding, maybe revenues,  maybe projection, maybe you lost a big customers, a cash crisis.

11:39

And then you need to adapt.

11:39

The second one, which is even more significant, is that you lost product market fit.

11:45

And  that might happen, it might happen because of regulations, because of competition, because  of something dramatic happened that there is no more value into your product.

12:02

And we are  going back to basic, product market fit is very simple.

12:07

That means that you create value  to your customers, this is what it is.

12:07

And you never heard of a company that did not figure out  product market fit.

12:13

They simply died, that's it.

12:21

And by the way, product market fit in general have  only one metric, only one metric, retention.

12:21

Look, it's really simple, if you create value, they will  come back, that's it.

12:28

If they are not coming back, that means that you are not creating value.

12:35

And  so in your startup journey, this is going to be the first phase, and it's going to require a lot  of iterations and it's a journey of failures.

12:40

So we're going to try something and it doesn't work,  we're going to try something else.

12:47

And we keep on trying until we find one thing that does work.

12:51

But once you figure that out, you're ready to move to the next part of your journey.

12:56

But what  if it's all disappeared?

12:56

What if all of a sudden someone changed their regulation?

13:03

Someone you  rely on, a very unique data, that you were able to build and all of a sudden someone create a  way to access this data for everyone.

13:10

What if there is a competitor that makes you irrelevant?

13:17

I'm using iPhone, obviously a lot of people using iPhone and I'm using that for a long while. iPhone  is born in 2007.

13:24

Before that we used to have different phones with keypads.

13:34

And when iPhone  was introduced, Microsoft basically say this will never work.

13:41

They were in a position of a market  leader, they own Windows mobile operating system that was running on pretty much all the phones  in the world.

13:48

All the smartphones in the world, from Nokia to Motorola, to Samsung, to pretty  much everything.

13:53

And they look at it and say this will never work.

13:59

They haven't realized  how impactful it is.

13:59

So this is a competition coming out to the market with something  that is completely different.

14:06

And not only disrupt the market but actually create  crisis for pretty much everyone else.

14:15

And the result is that today Microsoft is not a  player in the mobile operating system and Nokia disappeared or pretty much disappeared  and Motorola disappeared and pretty much everyone that was really significant in  this industry, they were not adapted fast enough to the change.

14:32

And the change was that  their product market fit disappeared.

14:32

Now it's not that their product all of a sudden become  irrelevant, people simply wanted something else.

14:48

So when product market fit disappeared, you  actually need to go back to square one.

14:48

And the faster that you realize and you basically say  everything that I know so far, everything that I knew so far is irrelevant anymore. Can I restart?

15:00

Can I go back to square one and restart?

15:00

Because if you cannot, you will die.

15:08

You're following your  own solution and you believe that this solution is going to be marketed better than what the market  wants.

15:18

And what the market wants is different.

15:25

It can be also a matter of regulation change.

15:25

One  of my startups called Fibo died because of change in regulation.

15:35

So Fibo was doing tax returns,  something that everyone hates, but we have to do that.

15:43

And when we started we basically say wait  a minute, when I speak with people and ask them how is tax returns being done in your country,  what I heard was pretty consistent, it's either complex or expensive or both, that's it.

15:56

And I  said wait a minute, what if I can simplify that?

16:04

What if we can make it really, really simple?

16:04

And we define simplification by filing in less than five minutes.

16:10

Whatever you do, if you can  do that in less than five minutes, it's simple enough.

16:15

And we ended up with building a platform  in Israel that people were able to file in less than three minutes.

16:20

And that was actually pretty  amazing.

16:20

Now the result was that in about ...

16:20

In Israel filing is not mandatory.

16:29

So we actually  enable people that were not filing up until now to file because it's simple.

16:34

And we increased  the size of the market by 25% over one year. Of people filing taxes? Yep. Because it was simple.

16:43

So you go into the  platform, you realize that wait a minute, I actually entitled to get a return, so let me file.

16:49

If I'm not entitled to get a return, then I'm not going to file because it's not mandatory.

16:54

And  the result is that we increased the load of the taxation system.

17:02

And all of a sudden the Israeli  tax authority didn't like us anymore and they basically shut us down.

17:07

So changing the regulation  and we lost product market fit overnight.

17:07

They basically say, "Oh, we are going to shut you  down and that's tomorrow." And that's it.

17:22

Now we did not have enough run rate to actually  ...

17:22

because the company was about break even, so we did not have enough funding to go  and try to find something else.

17:33

And we tried to fight the regulator, but fighting  regulator requires a long period of time and a lot of funding and we did not have that.

17:44

So regulation might be a reason why you lose product market fit.

17:52

And you need to go back to  square one.

17:52

And what we decided is that, okay, what I decided on a personal level is that I'm  not going deal with the regulation anymore.

18:03

I don't want to rely on a regulator to allow  me or not allow me to do what I want to do.

18:16

By the way, with Waze, in the early days we  thought that the business model is going to be selling data to authorities, to municipalities,  to maybe public transportation systems and so forth.

18:29

And we basically say wait a minute, we  have the best traffic information in the world, I can go to a municipality and tell them  how long does it take to make a left turn in each and every traffic light in the city  every day of the week, every hour of the day.

18:47

And therefore they can recalibrate the traffic  control system and enable better utilization of the entire road system.

18:53

And it turns out that  this is really, really, really slow business development process. They didn't really care.

19:01

And  that was frustrating.

19:01

Even if you offer that for free they still don't care.

19:08

And the result is  that we changed the business model and we ended up with advertisement.

19:13

But the reality is that I  don't like to work with regulators, that is all. Okay.

19:20

There's so much here I want to dig into.

19:20

One is this example, this story about losing product market fit, it reminds me of, I had Drew  Houston on the podcast, the founder of Dropbox, and he described a moment where when  Apple launched Apple Photos or iCloud, I think it was iCloud, he's like, "It's as  if there's this mushroom cloud exploding far in the distance that you don't hear for  a long time and we didn't necessarily see exactly how much this will have impacted our  business."

19:45

And I think that's what happens a lot of cases.

19:50

You see something happen  and you're like, "No, this is no problem, we're going to win anyway."

19:55

Like Blackberry  I think did the same thing with iPhone.

20:01

We had the same thing with Waze, because when we  started Waze was free and it was the only one that was offering turn-by-turn navigation free.

20:08

And  the reason is that we created our own maps.

20:08

And then one day in 2010, Google announced their free  turn-by-turn navigation.

20:21

Turns out that they were working for the last two years in building maps  of the US.

20:27

And they enabled that on Google Maps, turn-by-turn navigation with audio guidance  to turn right, turn left and so forth.

20:38

And two companies were actually  shocked, the entire industry, but two companies were impacted.

20:43

The first one  is actually TomTom.

20:43

TomTom was the provider of the maps for Google to do navigation.

20:49

And  they basically say, "No, we have our own maps, we are going to terminate the contract."

20:55

And  TomTom said, "Wait a minute, you are paying us $18 million a year and we have five years contract."

21:00

And Google say, "Yeah, we will keep on paying you that amount of money that we are committed, but  we are not going to use your product anymore."

21:11

And that one was Waze because basically everyone  in the industry told us that we are doomed.

21:11

Our own investors told us that, "Look, if we can  sell the company for $20 or $30 million today, do it because you are not going to be successful."

21:23

Now obviously we turned the corner and turned out to be very successful.

21:30

And to that level that  eventually Google acquired us.

21:30

And the reason is that the use case was different.

21:36

Waze  was focusing on the daily commuters.

21:36

So we wanted people to use our application twice  a day, when you go to the office and when you come back home.

21:51

And Google Maps is something  that you are being used not that frequent, you are in general I would say if I ask a hundred  people how often they use Waze, they will tell me every day.

22:03

If I ask them how often they use Google  Maps, they will tell me, "When I need it."

22:03

So a different use case and obviously different  product that is built for the specificity of the use case.

22:15

So Waze is way simpler and the  map looks almost abstractive, they're not, but looks like abstractive and way less details.

22:23

And the result is the ability to create something that is simpler and people are using every day.

22:31

But when Google announced turn-by-turn navigation, all the investors in the world turn their back  on us. And that was 2010.

22:40

We were looking for new funding.

22:47

I remember that night, because  we were just about to go and meet with all partners meeting at Khosla Ventures.

22:57

And we had  multiple meetings beforehand and that was like, okay, this is the final seal.

23:04

And the evening before we had dinner with the partners that was promoting  us at Khosla Ventures and he told us, "Look, I have a lot of relationship in the industry,  and I spoke with my friends at Google and they told me that they are at least two years away  from building their own maps."

23:19

And the next morning they simply announced this turn-by-turn  navigation.

23:25

Going to that meeting was a waste of time already.

23:31

And we had very, very hard  time to raise capital because of that.

23:38

But eventually we were lucky in the  sense that once Google announced their turn-by-turn navigation, turns out  that the rest of the industry were took by surprise.

23:48

And Microsoft decided that  wait a minute, we don't have our own maps, so let's invest in Waze.

23:53

So we ended up getting  investment from someone that we did not expect. Okay.

23:59

So first of all, you've  shared all these types of crisis, I think it might be helpful to do a quick  taxonomy of the types of crisis founders face.

24:06

You shared regulation changes, competitors  coming at you, investors not wanting to invest.

24:14

So two types of, abstractly, two types of crisis.

24:14

One is that I would call that a cash crisis.

24:14

So all of a sudden your cash program or plan is being  jeopardized, for losing a customer, disappearing investor, not meeting your expectation, dramatic  price change in the market and so forth.

24:34

And the other one is lose of product market fit.

24:44

So all of  a sudden whatever you have is irrelevant anymore and you actually need to go back to square one.

24:52

For the first type of crisis, if this is a cash crisis, then what you really need to  ask yourself, and in any type crisis, first of all is what is actually being impacted?

25:02

Is that my run rate, is that my product, is that my revenue stream? If I'm still relevant? With Order.

25:11

chat, we were irrelevant, that's it.

25:22

And so the first thing that you  need to do is what is really being impacted?

25:29

And then the second thing is how long it's  going to last?

25:29

Is that a temporary thing? Is that forever? Is that the new future?

25:35

And  then you ask yourself, okay, so how much run rate do I have?

25:46

And you re-plan accordingly.

25:46

And I'll give you some examples, and this is really important, because let's say that you're  a company that we have $5 million of revenues a year, say 400,000 per month, and your burn rate,  your net burn rate is 200,000.

26:05

So you actually at the end of the year, in order to run for a year,  you need about two and a half million dollars to run.

26:20

If you lose half of the revenues, and  you only had two and a half million in the bank, you now have six month to run.

26:28

So obviously you need to re-adapt.

26:35

Now, one of the things that you might say to  yourself, "I'm going to remain on the same course and I'm going to deal with the crisis in  five month from now."

26:40

Or you can basically say, "No, I'm going to change my expense to adjust  to the current revenue stream that I have and still have 12 month of run rate."

26:55

Whatever you are going to decide, you are going to decide, you need to decide today,  right now.

27:00

And the reason is very simple, if you want to reduce the burn, the expenses in order to  extend the run rate, if you wait two more month, then it's going to become nearly impossible to  do.

27:15

If you wait six more month, then obviously this is impossible to do.

27:19

So the longer that  you wait, you actually lose options.

27:19

The only ability to choose is today.

27:27

This is one of the  most challenging part of a crisis.

27:27

You actually need to make a decision rapidly, like today.

27:34

There are few reasons to that.

27:34

Number one is that if you don't then you might lose options.

27:42

Number two, and this is about communicating within the organization that decision.

27:50

Look, if  there is a crisis everyone knows, everyone knows, and you don't do anything about it, this is not  a good practice.

27:57

Now you might want to decide, no, we're going to keep on running full steam  ahead until we hit the wall because by that we increase the likelihood that we will have  enough velocity to bypass the wall.

28:10

But you need to communicate that with your team because  the one that is really suffer is not just you, it's the entire team.

28:22

They know that there is a  crisis and they want to know that someone that holds the steering wheel is making the decisions.

28:29

And if you don't, then guess what?

28:29

You are then a sinking ship.

28:40

And what's going to happen is that  the top performing people, they would leave.

28:46

Let me do a quick summary of what you've shared  to give people a landscape and then let's keep going down this route.

28:50

So there's basically  two types of crisis.

28:50

And there's small crisis, I imagine someone's pissed off at something.

28:57

These are how you describe major crisis, like existential crisis for your startup.

29:00

Is that the way to think about it? Right.

29:04

Because if an A-player leaves,  I hate it, but it's not a crisis. Yeah. Okay, cool.

29:10

So there's two, cash crisis,  which is either a bunch of revenue disappears or investors bail or don't want to keep  supporting you.

29:17

Those are the two major buckets.

29:21

And then there's product market  fit crisis, could be a competitor launches, could be the market changes, things like that.

29:26

And within the cash crisis, so say you realize we don't have as much cash as we planned or  need, the three steps you just described, what is really being impacted?

29:37

Just be  really real with what is the impact to our business with this change.

29:42

How long  do we think this cash crisis will last?

29:47

And how long do we have before  we run out of cash essentially? Yep.

29:51

And then you need to decide, and then you  need to decide on your action and your new plan and maybe it's a new strategy.

29:59

If all of a sudden  I would say if this is about product market fit disappeared, then this is a new strategy.

30:05

And maybe it's about deciding on extending the run rate or keep on trying or whatever.

30:11

And  this is something that is really interesting.

30:17

And we go back to Covid and I look at two of  my startups that were in the travel space, one of them is WeSki, and it's essentially the  booking. com of ski vacations. And guess what? Covid started.

30:33

And there was no more ski trips  to Europe.

30:33

Europe were shut down completely.

30:39

And all the ski areas were shut down.

30:39

And you  know that I'm an avid skier?

30:39

For me that was a disaster on a personal level.

30:45

And eventually  by the way, what happened is that I was back in Tel Aviv and I was unable to travel to Europe,  and it was only somewhere in 2022 that I was able to travel to the US after vaccination and so  forth.

31:02

And in March, 2022, I actually moved myself to Utah to Salt Lake City and I basically  say, "No, I'm going to ski every day that I'm not busy."

31:17

And I skied until the end of the season.

31:17

So what happened is that Covid started and we realized that we have major problem.

31:24

And the  problem was actually, the first thing that you face is cancellation because all of a sudden out  of very few cancellations per day, you ended up with hundreds of cancellations per day because  this is it.

31:39

And after you dealt with that, then the next question that we ask ourselves, okay,  so how bad is it, how long it's going to last?

31:54

Now that was supposed to be the first year  that we were profitable.

31:54

So we did not have a lot of cash in the bank because we expected to  become profitable this year.

31:58

And we basically told our ourself, okay, this season is over, next  season is not going to happen.

32:04

We don't know, but we need to plan for something that is  going to last longer than that.

32:11

And then we basically say, okay, how can we deal with it?

32:16

Now, because of WeSki had a lot of strategic investors from the travel industry, in the travel  industry, they didn't really care about WeSki, they care about their own product.

32:31

If you are  a hotel chain, then guess what? You have no travelers.

32:36

If you're an airline, guess what? You have no flyers.

32:36

So anyone in the travel industry suffered from the same problem.

32:41

And the last thing on earth that they care about is a startup that they invested at.

32:45

And we  realized that, okay, wait a minute, we don't have enough cash to survive for two seasons without  revenues, we need to raise additional capital.

33:00

Now, no one, no new investor is going to  speak with us, because there's no ski, so what are you talking about?

33:07

And we approached the  existing investor, and by the way I'm one of them, and we basically say, "Okay, you know what? We need your help."

33:16

And everyone told us, "Oh, we are busy.

33:21

We have other problems  to deal with.

33:21

We have our own problems.

33:28

I don't see how is that going to become  a good investment and so forth."

33:28

And then we basically decided that, okay, wait a  minute, we're going to do a pay to play.

33:37

The pay to play is actually sort of  forcing new investors at the expense of the existing one.

33:43

So for example, doing  a major down round is sort of pay to play, because if you're not participate your position  in the company is going to be diluted severely.

33:59

And this is what we decided to do.

33:59

And that was  way more complex, I describe that in the book, way more complex than that because we also had  safe instruments that we need to convert before we can actually do something like that.

34:10

And that  was really complex.

34:10

But we ended up doing that.

34:16

And today the company is actually very successful.

34:16

After Covid, we used the time of Covid to actually improve the product, and as soon as Covid  was over then we started to grow rapidly.

34:32

And the company is profitable, is growing rapidly,  is actually providing very, very good service to its customers.

34:38

To a certain extent I would say we  ended up getting out of this crisis successfully.

34:49

But if you are in the middle of it and you ask  yourself, so what are the chances that we will end up being successful? It looks way smaller. Way smaller.

34:55

So what happened here is that you realize that, okay, this is not forever, so ski  is going to come back but we don't know how long and therefore we assume that it's going to be for  two seasons until it's coming back, until 2022.

35:18

And for that we need to adapt.

35:18

And so we resized  the company to be very, very lean and small and we raise just enough capital to survive those  two years.

35:26

And it ended up to be working very well.

35:34

But in that sense now, if you would ask me  how much luck was in there, luck is always good. I think that I heard ...

35:43

maybe the most  significant real estate developers in New York is Silverstein, and he built the World Trade Center  and pretty much everything on the Hudson.

35:51

And he was asked how he becomes such a successful  developer and he said, "Tell you the truth, this is 85% luck and 15% skills and know-how  and so forth."

36:03

And then he was asked if he can change one thing, what exactly it's going  to be, and he said, "You know what?

36:10

I'm going to replace the 15% skills with additional  15% luck." So luck is good.

36:14

For me luck, I will define luck as opportunity meets readiness.

36:23

Readiness is up to you; opportunity, not always. Beautifully said.

36:31

I also agree with luck  being so core to most people's success, most company's success.

36:37

But I feel like  you're not giving people enough credit for the hard work that's also involved  in the skills and timing and stuff. On the readiness. That's the readiness.

36:48

Of being ready to take advantage of opportunity. That makes sense.

36:52

Okay, there's a bunch  of stuff I want to dig into here.

36:52

So one is, and this is something, it's kind of a  tangent, but I think it's a core part of your advice on crisis, which is that it's always  the founder's fault if things don't work out, even if they're completely out of your  control, even if the whole world is changing, it's still your responsibility and  your fault if things don't work out.

37:18

I wouldn't say fault, I would say responsibility. Responsibility.

37:25

It might not end up beautiful, in some cases  you will die.

37:25

But at the end of the day you cannot rely on someone else.

37:33

The fact that  the interest rate is going up and the result is that it's becoming very, very hard to raise  capital, the fact that this is industry-wide, so what?

37:46

You have only one company, you need to  make sure that this company is successful.

37:46

And later on if you fail, then you can rely to then  basically say, "This is my excuse, it was not just me."

38:01

Not just me is not going to help you to  become successful.

38:01

Just me is going to help you to become successful.

38:08

When you assume responsibility,  then you are able to ...

38:08

you're basically saying, "You know what?

38:15

I control my own destiny.

38:15

I'm  going to make the decisions and I control my own destiny."

38:21

When this happens, you increase  the likelihood of being successful regardless what happen to the rest of the  market, and you don't really care.

38:31

You also talk along these lines, you have this in  your chapter, the section of never give up in a crisis and throughout your journey, this is by far  the most important behavior of a startup CEO.

38:35

Can you just talk about that.

38:40

Because a lot of times  it's like maybe just stop, maybe just give up.

38:44

You shared one example where it's like I don't  want to deal with regulation, other companies, I'm just going to stop.

38:47

Any advice there, just  like, okay, maybe it does make sense just to stop and try to give the investor's money back versus,  yeah, it's just part of your job not to give up.

38:58

I heard of cases that you basically say our  underlining assumptions didn't work out and our thesis is wrong and therefore we would  like to return the investors their money.

39:05

But entrepreneurs never give up.

39:11

And this is the most  successful behavior of startup CEO, never give up, always keep on looking for ways to make it work.

39:20

And so it is going to be a journey of failures, and in particular during crisis, but you still  need to keep on trying to make it work even though it's way harder.

39:34

So never give up is the most  important behavior of successful CEO of startup.

39:41

The second one, by the way, is making decisions  with conviction.

39:41

This is true for all CEOs or for all companies, not just startups.

39:47

Now startups,  those decisions are probably more frequent and there are a lot of them.

39:53

But during crisis, all  CEOs in the world need to make hard decisions.

40:02

And you need to make them with conviction  because if you don't make them with conviction, then what will happen is that the team is not  going to follow.

40:05

If the team is not going to follow, then you are not going to be successful. But never give up.

40:10

You ask entrepreneurs what will happen and they will basically tell you, "No,  we keep on fighting."

40:21

One of my other startups in the travel industry called Oversee, back then  they called FairFly.

40:27

And the CEO told me that a cat might have nine souls.

40:38

We are a cat in that  sense, we have nine souls.

40:38

And the reason that I know that is that we already died nine times or  almost died nine times.

40:46

And so the reality is that you don't give up, you keep on as long as ...

40:53

And for a second I would say, look, there are only two reasons that you would like to give up.

40:58

One is that your mission is wrong.

40:58

So the problem disappears.

41:06

And if the problem disappears, your  mission is no longer relevant or no longer valid, and you might want to consider to give up.

41:15

The other one is that if the team is not right and you are unable to change it.

41:21

So you brought  toxic investors into the board and they started to control the company and obviously in many  cases they create more damage than help.

41:32

And you're unable to change that anymore,  then this is a good reason to give up.

41:43

Other than that, never give up.

41:43

Crisis, not  crisis, hardship, no money to pay, no ...

41:43

anything that might happen, anything that you might  want to think that might happen will happen.

41:59

I'm excited to chat with Christina  Gilbert, the founder of OneSchema, one of our longtime podcast  sponsors. Hi Christina.

42:06

Yes, thank you for having me on, Lenny.

42:08

What is the latest with OneSchema?

42:08

I know you now  work with some of my favorite companies like Ramp, Vanta, Scale and Watershed.

42:13

I heard  that you just launched a new product to help product teams import CSVs from  especially tricky systems like ERPs.

42:23

Yes, so we just launched OneSchema FileFeeds,  which allows you to build an integration with any system in 15 minutes as long as you can export  a CSV to an SFTP folder.

42:27

We see our customers all the time getting stuck with hacks and workarounds.

42:33

And the product teams that we work with don't have to turn down prospects because their systems  are too hard to integrate with.

42:37

We allow our customers to offer thousands of integrations  without involving their engineering team at all.

42:45

I can tell you that if my team had  to build integrations like this, how nice would it be to be able to  take this off my roadmap and instead use something like OneSchema.

42:52

And not just  to build it but also to maintain it forever. Absolutely, Lenny.

42:57

We've heard so many horror  stories of multi-day outages from even just a handful of ad records.

43:01

We are laser  focused on integration reliability to help teams end all of those distractions  that come up with integrations.

43:05

We have a built-in validation layer that stops any bad  data from entering your system and OneSchema will notify your team immediately  of any data that looks incorrect.

43:16

I know that importing incorrect data can cause  all kinds of pain for your customers and quickly lose their trust.

43:21

Christina, thank you for  joining us.

43:21

And if you want to learn more, head on over to oneschema. co. That's oneschema. co.

43:25

This idea of never give up, it's very similar to Dalton Caldwell was on the podcast, he's  a partner at YC, and his whole ...

43:33

he has a famous talk, I guess, at YC, and this  was the title of this podcast episode, is just don't die.

43:40

That's his main  advice to a startup, just don't die. Never give up. Never give up.

43:46

You might die by the way, you  might die, you'll never give up. Then be reborn.

43:50

And to be clear, the way  a startup dies is they run out of money, is that the simplest way to think about that?

43:57

That's the only way that they die.

43:57

By  the way, all the companies in the world, they are unable to pay their  bills and therefore they die.

44:05

And many of the tactics you share is just ways  to not run out of money.

44:05

Oftentimes it involves down rounds, creating strange cap structures  just to keep it alive, losing equity percentage just to keep it going, that's part of the job  basically, and that's what you have to deal with.

44:24

In many cases, we had to engage the employees,  "No, we don't have cash."

44:24

So what we did is that we diluted all shareholders in order to give  employees way more equity.

44:30

So five times more equity than they had before.

44:36

And we told them,  we need you to trust us and believe in the cause and believe in our ability to recover.

44:44

And if  we don't, then everyone loses.

44:44

But if we do, then everyone wins big time.

44:52

And so this will  be a way to actually reengage employees if you are unable to pay them their regular  pay.

44:58

And that was the case in most of the startups that almost run out of cash.

45:03

Occasionally you can do, if you will tell me that you're going to run out of cash next  month and therefore you need to shut down, I would like to imagine that you have at least  six more month of run rate.

45:21

You don't know that, but this is through leadership.

45:27

So you  basically tell your people, "Stay with me, you believed in the cause, you believed in  my leadership, I still believe in the cause and I still believe in you.

45:38

And maybe  we are going to have some hard time, maybe we are going to have some month that unable  to pay, but eventually we will get out of that."

45:51

And in many cases, most people will stay.

45:51

Now, leadership, you don't build leadership during crisis, you might, but in particular  you build leadership through transparency, through recognitions of your team,  through actually putting your team as the top priority.

46:14

At the end of the day,  you are going to be successful if your team delivers.

46:18

And in order for the team to deliver,  then they need you to trust them to deliver.

46:26

This is really powerful advice and I  want to spend a little more time here, which is keeping people on board and engaged  and motivated through a crisis.

46:29

So this kind of almost script you just shared is really great.

46:36

Is  there anything else that you found useful or any advice you could share for helping a founder  keep the team on board, keep people excited, driven?

46:47

These words you shared I think is a  really good example, is there anything else?

46:54

So during crisis, people will appreciate more  than anything else transparency.

46:54

And if you hide information from them, then they would leave, they  don't trust you anymore.

47:01

But if there is a crisis, and look, if there is a crisis then  everyone knows that there is a crisis, it's not surprising for anyone.

47:11

And this  is where they expect your leadership the most.

47:17

This is where they expect you to be  there for them.

47:17

And tell them that this is what we're going to do.

47:22

And if ABC happens,  then we will be successful.

47:22

And if it's not, then we will die.

47:28

And I want you to  believe that we can deliver A, B and C, and I want you to stay here for that part of the  journey.

47:35

And this is really, really dramatic, this is perhaps the most important part.

47:41

Look,  during crisis, the team is the one that is going to take you out of the crisis, and you need them  more than ever. And guess what? They need you.

47:59

When you talk about being transparent and  open about everything, what's an example of just how far you recommend people  go?

48:04

Because you could just be like, here's all of our data and metrics and  numbers, here's what our investors are emailing me.

48:11

How real do you recommend  people get?

48:11

I know it's hard to just summarize in a couple sentences, but  what's a good way to illustrate that?

48:19

So number one, don't sugarcoat.

48:19

So you basically  you don't need to share all the feedbacks from all the investors.

48:27

You can tell them, "Look, I met  dozens of investors in the last couple of weeks and they're all saying no."

48:31

Or we had a signed  term sheet and the investor disappeared. Okay, that's fine. It is what it is.

48:40

Look, the fact that it's ugly, if you don't tell that it's ugly, it's still ugly.

48:44

And so I would share the essence.

48:44

And if we have metrics, then what I would like to do is believe  that everyone is aware of the metrics, of the key metrics of the company.

49:01

This is something that  in general I would say, "Oh, in the lobby of the office, we should have the key metrics displayed  for everyone to understand this is what we stand for, this is how well we are executing anyhow."

49:13

And so when they will see the numbers drop, they know that the numbers drop.

49:19

And this is  something that I will in general I would say, look, key metrics, they should be shared  anyhow.

49:24

And so in particular during crisis, we should keep on sharing them.

49:31

Definitely  not hiding information.

49:31

So if you have a major customer leave or investor disappear or we  are unable to sign a term sheet.

49:38

And so this is the highlight, this is the major issue.

49:49

And  the details themselves, it's less critical.

49:58

Now if people ask, then answer.

49:58

If someone ask, "Okay, so how many investors have you met?"

50:01

I'd  say no, then start counting, 37, be specific. That's a great answer.

50:11

I want to come back to  something you said that I think is so important but so hard, which is to act fast.

50:15

If I was  a founder, something changes in the market, it's easy to say, "Okay, you need to  cut burn, you need go raise money, down round."

50:28

It's so hard to do, to lay people  off, to do all these challenging things for your company.

50:32

Can you again just help people  understand why it's so important to act fast?

50:38

You talked about optionality goes away.

50:38

Just  like what actually happens there if you don't?

50:42

So I'll give you an example.

50:42

So let's  say that you are almost run out of cash and you believe that you're going to  raise capital in the next two month.

50:57

And if not, then you run out of cash.

50:57

One of  the things that you might want to do is extend the run rate.

51:09

One other thing that you might want  to do is actually tell the people that we will be running out of cash in two month.

51:17

And number one,  I want you to help me even if we run out of cash because there are good chances that we eventually  will be able to raise capital and recover that.

51:32

And number two, in order to get your support and  belief in the company I am going to offer you more equity.

51:42

So, the more equity is something that I  will do twice, once today, once you realize that this is going to be challenging, and then again  if we need to ask people to reduce their salary or do something dramatic around that.

51:57

And the first one is actually preventive action.

52:05

So you share the know-how, you share the  challenges that we are going to face.

52:05

And you demonstrate generosity not out of you have  to, but you demonstrate that.

52:15

And then you essentially dramatically increase their loyalty  and their commitment.

52:23

And when you will need them, they will be there. So this is one example.

52:31

The other example is about calculating end of cash.

52:39

And this is really, really important.

52:39

So  let's say that you have run rate of X month, six month.

52:50

If you reduce burn by 50% today, then you  simply increase your run rate to a year.

52:50

If you don't do it today and you wait three more month,  then you only can do that for the ...

53:01

so the first three month you burn the same way that you did  up until now, and now you reduce that to half, so you have six more month, total of nine month.

53:15

If you decided today that you need 12 month, and you don't act today, you will never have 12 month.

53:23

Now, is that the only way to do that?

53:23

No, it's not the only way, but it's one of the  ways that by the way most companies will do.

53:40

So they will reduce burn rate today in order to  extend the run rate.

53:40

Is that going to be more helpful? Don't know.

53:48

Really depending on the case.

53:48

If you had asked me if you reduce the burn rate, increase the run rate, so now you have 12  month to raise new capital, is that going to have higher likelihood of remaining with  the current plan and growth and raise capital within six month? I don't know that.

54:10

But this  is exactly the decision that you need to make.

54:17

That's a really great way of putting it.

54:17

Just the math means the leverage you have now to extend runway is so much higher the  sooner you make the decision.

54:22

And the key, just going back to your algorithm of deciding  if we need to act in this way quickly, is first think about what's being impacted,  then how long is this impact going to last, and then how long do I have before you  run out of money.

54:40

And those questions is your advice for deciding, do we let  people go now, do we raise money now.

54:51

There is always, by the way, there is always  alternative for let people go.

54:51

In general, I would say letting people go is probably better  than reducing salary for everyone.

54:58

But let's say that you need cost reduction of 30%.

55:06

One of the  options is let 30% of the people go.

55:06

Another option is actually reduce salary by 30% for  everyone.

55:16

And it's going to have the same impact.

55:24

Not exactly, the same impact on the balance  sheet and on the P&L, but not necessarily on the organization.

55:31

If the organization feels that  they are committed to each other, they will prefer the second way.

55:37

If this is more of individuals,  then obviously they will prefer the first way.

55:44

Is there a different way?

55:44

What about if management  gives up on their salary?

55:44

That might make the same impact.

55:54

And definitely demonstration  of leadership.

55:54

And by the way, increasing the commitment of the rest of the organization.

56:01

So in that sense, I would say there are multiple ways of reducing the cost.

56:09

But in general, this  is always about impacting people.

56:09

If you look at the startup and you look at the budget, 70% of  the budget is people, maybe 75% of the budget is people.

56:25

Everything else is nickels and dimes.

56:25

If  you're going to tell me, "Oh no, we are going to start the supply of coffee to the office and this  is how we are going to reduce cost."

56:34

No, this is how you create dissatisfaction with the team and  you would reduce costs because some people would leave because of that, not because of lack of  coffee, but because of inability to determine and to make hard decisions.

56:51

So end of the day,  if you need to reduce costs that means people.

56:58

That was really good advice and really good set  of options to consider versus laying people off.

57:03

So most of what we've been talking about right  now has been the cash crisis route.

57:03

We've spent a little time on the product market fit crisis  route.

57:09

But I want to spend a little more time there.

57:12

So for the cash crisis route, you have  these kind of three questions and then it's like, cool, this will tell you how quickly to  act and how severely to make cuts.

57:18

In the product market fit route, is it essentially if  you've lost product market fit, it's to pivot, is that basically the question?

57:27

And then it's  a question of where to pivot and what to do?

57:32

So the first question is, am I still relevant?

57:32

And probably the answer is no.

57:32

And then the next question that you basically say, "Okay, do  I want to pivot?"

57:40

And for that I will say, "If I would start today, is this is what I'm going  to do?"

57:46

And if the answer is yes, then do it.

57:55

Now in many cases you say, "Oh, wait a minute, I  already have the organization and I already have money in the bank and this is what I'm going to do  instead."

58:01

I wouldn't necessarily do that.

58:01

The way that I would look at it is different.

58:13

Because  the other alternative is basically say, "Wait a minute, all of my underlining assumptions have  gone, they are wrong."

58:17

I lost product market fit.

58:25

The value proposition that I had is wrong or is no  longer valid or no longer relevant.

58:25

And therefore I need to start from scratch.

58:33

Do I really have  the assets to become successful on the new path?

58:44

And the assets could be technology that you  already developed, could be the team that you already built, could be the know-how that  you have in that specific market that gives you a significant advantage.

58:55

And if any  of those is really, really significant, then it's possible that you want to  pivot.

59:02

Pivot basically say major fuck up, all of our underlining assumptions have gone.

59:08

And because everything else, if it's not, then that's part of the journey of failure.

59:17

If  you'll tell me, "Oh, we tried this product or we tried this feature and didn't work," then this  journey of fail.

59:21

This is going to be your journey.

59:27

But once you figure out product market fit,  if it disappears, then pivot is one option, shutting down is another option.

59:33

And for shutting  down, there are two things that you need to ask yourself.

59:39

Do I have the energy to keep on going?

59:39

Maybe you basically say, "I spent the last seven years trying to do that and now it's gone  and you know what? I need some time off."

59:54

And the other one is that do I really have the  assets to become dramatically successful?

59:54

Pontera is one of my startups that I started back in 2012.

1:00:02

And back then we called that FeeX.

1:00:02

And we were dealing with financial fees in Israel and we were  actually pretty successful.

1:00:11

And then we decided, okay, wait a minute, Israel is a small market,  let's move to the US. And we moved to the US.

1:00:22

And one day the CEO came to me and said,  "Look, we need to focus, I cannot do both, so we need to pivot."

1:00:28

And we stopped the  Israeli operation completely in order to focus all of our effort on the US operation.

1:00:34

And  then we realized that the nature of the beast is different and therefore we need to re-look for  product market fit.

1:00:40

And eventually we found that with the regulations of the Obama administration,  and that was our product back in 2016 or 17.

1:00:59

And then the administration have changed  and now it's going to change again.

1:00:59

And they changed the regulation.

1:01:03

And overnight we  figured out that ...

1:01:03

And we were actually on being a successful path.

1:01:09

And we had to reinvent  ourself.

1:01:09

Now, what we basically said is, "Look, we have the energy to keep on going, we have  something, a thesis that we believe might be relevant for us.

1:01:26

We have the technology that  can serve the thesis and we have enough cash to try it out."

1:01:33

And we went back to the board  and we offered them two options.

1:01:33

Number one, we give you your money back.

1:01:39

And number  two, this is what we're going to try.

1:01:43

And the interesting part is that investors  don't want their money back.

1:01:43

They did not invest in order to have their money back, they  invest in order to make a significant impact.

1:01:54

And obviously they don't want to go back to  their investors and tell them, guess what?

1:02:00

And so we had all the support to keep trying  something else.

1:02:00

And since 2018, we are actually being pretty successful on this path.

1:02:07

And all of  a sudden, company is 12 years old, and we pivoted twice.

1:02:17

And now we are end of the day helping  Americans to retire richer.

1:02:17

Helping financial advisors to support you on your 401k plans,  on retirement saving plans.

1:02:26

And the result is pretty significant.

1:02:34

So this company is on a path  of being successful, but we almost died twice.

1:02:44

And look, all the CEOs in the world, if you would  ask them, have you nearly died already?

1:02:44

And they will tell you yes.

1:02:50

And then the next question  would be how many times?

1:02:50

And they will tell you multiple times.

1:02:56

And if they're not, that means  that they're simply too early on their journey.

1:03:05

That's such an important point.

1:03:05

It came up,  I just had Toby from Shopify on the podcast, and he said exactly the same thing.

1:03:08

That just  like the number of times Shopify almost died, people have no idea.

1:03:12

It's important  to know, that's very common. Yeah.

1:03:17

And I'm a good friend with Harley  Finkelstein, the president of Shopify, and he told ...

1:03:23

we exchanged horror stories  about nearly dying. And we are still here. Just never give up.

1:03:30

To double down on this  pivot point real quick.

1:03:30

So the things you should look at to help you decide if a pivot is  a good idea, you shared, you have some tech that might be helpful in this new direction, you  have a team that's really well suited to this new idea or you have some knowledge.

1:03:48

Is there  anything else, just like what's that list of things you should look at to see, to come up with  ideas/decide this is a good idea for us to pursue?

1:03:57

So going back to basic, but now you are already  running, so you probably have already validated the problem or the value proposition.

1:04:04

About  pivoting, so when you start you think that, okay, I have this brilliant idea.

1:04:14

And what  I really encourage people is first of all, go and validate the problem, speak with  people, understand their perception of the problem.

1:04:22

And only then start to think about  the solution.

1:04:22

Now, this is still not the case in most startups.

1:04:29

And this is fall in love with  the problem, not the solution.

1:04:29

And for a few reasons, and maybe number one reason is, look,  entrepreneurship journey is about creating value.

1:04:43

Simplest way to create value, seel a product,  that's it, simplest way. And I like simple.

1:04:49

But then in addition, when you focus on the  problem, then the problem is going to serve as the north star of your journey.

1:04:54

And when  you have a north star, you're going to make less deviation from the course and increase the  likelihood of being successful.

1:04:58

But by and large, your story is going to be way more compelling.

1:05:04

If we will be here in 2007, and I will tell you that I'm going to build an AI crowdsourced based  navigation system, you're going to say, "Oh yeah, very interesting," But you don't care.

1:05:13

If  I will tell you I'm going to help you to avoid traffic jams, then you do care.

1:05:18

When your  customer care, they want you to be successful.

1:05:25

And when they want you to be successful, they  are going to help you to become successful.

1:05:30

And so this is going back into pivoting the same  way, first of all, validate what's your value proposition, what's the problem you're going to  solve.

1:05:37

Now, in most cases you already validated that because you in the market for some years  and you had dialogues with customers and you already realized that.

1:05:47

And maybe you already told  yourself, you know what?

1:05:47

In my next startup this is what I'm going to do.

1:05:53

And so it's possible  that you already validated.

1:05:53

And if you haven't, then this is exactly the time to  revalidate the value proposition.

1:06:04

So this is the first thing that you need to do.

1:06:04

And then the second thing that you want to do is ask yourself, do I really have a significant  advantage here?

1:06:08

Do I really have the team, the technology, the know-how to make a  leap from here and really lead the market?

1:06:22

And then the other part of it is, okay, do I  have the energy and the passion to go and do it all over again?

1:06:28

Because this is going back to  square one, trying to figure out product market fit and then figuring out business model and then  figuring out growth and so forth.

1:06:33

So the entire journey from scratch.

1:06:39

And if you answer yes to  all of those, so you have the very significant value proposition and you think that you  have something that is going to accelerate you dramatically because of the know-how, the  technology, the team, then the next thing that you're going to do is validate it with the team.

1:06:59

In your underlining assumptions the team is going to continue. Maybe, maybe not.

1:07:07

This is  exactly the time that you would like to validate that.

1:07:13

And the way that you're going  to validate that is you basically say to them, "Guess what? We are fucked.

1:07:17

Our underlining  assumptions are no longer valid.

1:07:17

And this is our new opportunity and we can go this path or  we can die."

1:07:25

And let's see what people, if they believe in the new path, then this is a good idea.

1:07:33

In many cases, by the way, it's possible that the new path will come from them.

1:07:38

They're  the one that are closer to the customers, they're the one that are closer to the technology.

1:07:42

They're the one that are probably know better than you if this new path is actually valid or not.

1:07:46

And if this is the case, then you go and do it.

1:07:56

The last one that you want to ...

1:07:56

Look, even  if you don't have the money for it, let's say that you don't have plenty of cash in the bank, go  back to the investors and go back to raise capital because now you actually have a very significant  advantage.

1:08:08

You already have a technology, you already have a team, you already have the  know-how, you are already second time entrepreneur because pivot is like restarting from scratch  or you are already multiple times entrepreneur, so you are way more attractive today than  when you were a few years back.

1:08:26

And so go back to existing investors and new investors  and raise more capital for this new journey. I like this algorithm.

1:08:39

I was writing it down as  you're talking.

1:08:39

So basically when you're deciding to pivot, looking for opportunities  to pivot, step one is find a problem, validate there's a problem that exists.

1:08:47

Step two is figure out if you have the tech, team or know-how that gives you an advantage to  win at solving this problem.

1:08:53

Then ask yourself, do you have the passion and energy to be  spending your life and the many number of years attacking this problem?

1:09:02

Then validate your  team, wants to also go after this problem.

1:09:02

And then check with your investors and try to get  money to fund you going after this problem. Yep. Awesome.

1:09:17

And I like this order now.

1:09:17

Some people will tell you, "Oh, my order is different."

1:09:20

And I'm not saying  if this is the right thing or the wrong thing, but I think that ...

1:09:25

One of the reason that I say  this is the order is, look, when you validate the problem and the value proposition, even if you  don't have the passion, if it's been validated, your passion will be built up.

1:09:39

Because then you  speak with potential customers and you tell them, "This is what I'm thinking of doing and this  is how it's going to help you."

1:09:54

They will say, "Yes, I need that. Can you do it tomorrow?"

1:09:59

Then all of a sudden you get excited about it.

1:10:05

And usually when I speak about consumers  then I tell people, look, when you go and speak about the problem, if the answer that you  are going to get is, "Oh, I know someone that had this problem," don't follow this path.

1:10:17

If they will tell you, "No, no, no, no, no, this is not the problem, the problem is," and  they will give you their version of the problem, this is where you want to follow that.

1:10:27

To a  certain point, if you speak with enough people, you would have the sense that you are being sent  on a mission.

1:10:33

And this is where your passion is going to go through the roof.

1:10:38

And so don't start  with the passion, let the passion be built. I totally feel that.

1:10:45

I have friends who started  this company Zip, which is a procurement, a really good procurement platform.

1:10:49

And I don't know if they were growing up wanting to be building a business  that helps procurement experiences be better.

1:10:57

And they pivoted six times before  they picked this idea.

1:10:57

But through that, I think found how big of a deal this was and  how much happier people can be in their day to day with a better product and got excited  about it.

1:11:10

And now that's what they're building.

1:11:14

The best thing happen when you try  to validate a problem is that you speak with someone and they will tell  you in a very strong emotional word, "I hate that," or something like that.

1:11:23

Yeah,  this is exactly what you're looking for, you're looking for something that people will  engage emotionally and with strong emotions.

1:11:34

Someone once described it as you  want to look for their pupils to dilate when you tell them, when  you talk about this problem. Yep.

1:11:40

There was a quote I wrote down as you were talking  earlier that I think is really great.

1:11:40

It's kind of a framework for ...

1:11:44

the way you used it is to  help you pick which direction to go.

1:11:44

But I think it's a useful framework in general for companies  and founders is ask yourself, if I were to start today, what would I have done and what would I  do if I were to start this company again today?

1:11:58

I think that's such a powerful thing to always  think about even when everything's going great. I agree.

1:12:03

Today is the first day of the  rest of your life.

1:12:03

And this is pretty much everything in your life.

1:12:08

So ask  yourself, knowing what I know today, would I do something different?

1:12:14

Now, if the  answer is yes, then do something different today.

1:12:19

Don't wait until next life or next company  or next relationship or next something.

1:12:19

If you basically know today that you should be  doing something different, then change.

1:12:33

I think that's extra important because  somebody will do that probably and compete with you and put you out of business,  and it's better that you do that first.

1:12:42

But this is true for everything in your life.

1:12:42

Look, if you are working in a place and you are not happy and you suffer there, then  I would say ...

1:12:49

The guidance that I give to my children is very simple.

1:13:00

If you're not  happy at your working place, then ask yourself, is there something that I can do to change  that?

1:13:04

Then try to change that for the next three month.

1:13:09

If you're unable to change that,  then leave.

1:13:09

You don't deserve to be unhappy.

1:13:09

And you need to control your own destiny.

1:13:19

For me,  quitting your job, do you know what it means?

1:13:25

You fire your own job boss, that's what it  means.

1:13:25

You fire your boss by quitting, that's it.

1:13:34

That's empowering, I like that.

1:13:34

Okay, just, okay,  two more questions.

1:13:34

One is I want to close the loop on the Waze story.

1:13:41

So you talked about  how Google launched, a competitor basically, free turn-by-turn directions, that was  the business you were building and you essentially had to change direction.

1:13:50

What did you  actually do, how did you decide and realize this? We didn't change.

1:13:57

Back in 2010, we were simply  not good enough, we were still in the product market fit iterations and iterations and  iterations, and we were not good enough.

1:14:07

And we kept on building and we kept on iterating  and iterating and iterating.

1:14:07

But we almost ran out of cash.

1:14:14

And then we had this lucky day that  Microsoft decided to invest, and so did Qualcomm.

1:14:26

The funny part is that I had this dialogue with  Qualcomm Ventures and they told me that they're not sure why is that important for them.

1:14:33

And  I read someplace that they did not invest at Twitter at $55 million.

1:14:38

And this is exactly  what I told them, "May I remind you that you did not invest in Twitter at $55 million  valuation.

1:14:44

This is where Waze is today."

1:14:44

And obviously different story, but that was the fear  of missing out, the FOMO was [inaudible 01:14:58] Yeah, I was going to say, good FOMO.

1:15:00

But the result was that we had enough cash  to keep on trying and keep on iterating and iterating and iterating.

1:15:07

And eventually we ended  up to be very successful.

1:15:07

So that was not about pivoting or changing directions or doing  anything dramatic.

1:15:14

We basically say, okay, we will need to reduce costs dramatically.

1:15:20

We decided that we are not ...

1:15:20

By the way, what we did is we reduced the salary of the  management only.

1:15:25

And to a certain extent I would say people didn't even know.

1:15:31

We decided in the  management meeting that this is what we're going to do.

1:15:39

And if push come to shovel, then we will do  the next step and the next step and the next step.

1:15:47

But we were eventually able to raise capital.

1:15:47

So in that sense, the nearly die was a matter of state of mind, but we did not run out of  cash, we raised capital just before that.

1:16:01

The story is actually really illustrative of  a point I was thinking as you were talking, which is that product market fit crisis often also leads to a cash crisis from  investors not wanting to invest.

1:16:12

In many cases, yes, in many cases. You get a double whammy.

1:16:16

But to a certain extent I would say no.

1:16:16

Product market fit basically means that you go back to square one.

1:16:21

The other alternative  that you have, and by the way it's also valid, is if you are unable to convince your existing  investors to reinvest in the company in order to build the new part of the journey, the  new journey, then you know what?

1:16:36

Shut down the company and restart a new company that is  doing exactly that.

1:16:44

And that's a bigger threat for investors because they are not part of the  new journey.

1:16:51

Now, they might want to say, "Oh, the company owns the IP."

1:16:59

The know-how is the  people, owned by the people, not the company.

1:17:06

How do you avoid the crisis?

1:17:06

A lot  this advice is here, you have a crisis, here's how to deal with it.

1:17:11

Any advice for how  to avoid falling into a crisis as a founder? Number one answer is no.

1:17:17

Don't worry,  you will face crisis.

1:17:17

And if you worry, you're still going to face crisis.

1:17:26

Number  two is that, look, it's way easier to deal with a crisis if you have plenty of cash  in the bank.

1:17:34

So if you can raise capital and maintain higher level of cash in the bank,  it will help you to go through the next crisis, but it's not going to avoid it.

1:17:47

So always be  funded is a good advice.

1:17:47

But in general, look, you do not prepare for the next crisis because  you don't know what kind of crisis it's going to be next.

1:18:00

And you can assume that there will  be the next crisis.

1:18:00

Trust me, there will be the next crisis.

1:18:10

And then the most important part  is that you analyze that fast and then you act fast.

1:18:18

But you cannot prepare for it because  you don't know where it's going to come from.

1:18:26

And this is really, really important.

1:18:26

The best  preparation is that if you have plenty of cash.

1:18:31

In general I would say if you have plenty of cash,  then this is going to help you for many things.

1:18:36

When you say plenty of cash, do you have  any advice, kind of common advice of have 18 months of runway, is there anything  there you'd recommend for founders?

1:18:44

And this is really depending on the CEOs and  their risk attitude.

1:18:44

Some of my CEOs prefer to have two to three years of run rate.

1:18:52

They  basically say, "This is my comfort zone.

1:18:52

I know that I can restart if I need to.

1:18:57

I know that I can  suffer major crisis.

1:18:57

I know that I can go into new direction if I want to.

1:19:07

I know that I can expand  and try something completely different if I want to."

1:19:12

And this is not necessarily as a result of  a crisis.

1:19:12

So maybe you basically say here is an opportunity and I have the cash to do that.

1:19:18

My general rule will be around 18 month.

1:19:25

Are you okay with 12 month?

1:19:25

Yeah, if you risk  taker, bigger risk taker then you can survive with 12 month.

1:19:32

But the challenge is that,  look, if you have shorter period of time, then you don't have enough time to execute, you  need to focus on fundraising all the time.

1:19:38

And you want to focus on creating value and  not just bringing cash into the company. Yeah.

1:19:53

Obviously the downside of raising more  runway is you're giving away more of your company, but it's always this trade off, how much  to sell, how money to get.

1:19:58

Being a founder, what a tough gig.

1:20:04

And I'm going to come back to  this quote you had that I shared at the beginning of the podcast, which is building a startup  is a journey from one crisis to the next. Yeah.

1:20:13

It goes back into how ...

1:20:13

the  other three dimensions of a startup, it's a roller coaster journey with ups and downs  and ups and downs, and it's a journey of failures because we are trying to build something new  that no one did before so we tried multiple things.

1:20:29

For that, Albert Einstein used to say  that if you haven't failed that because you haven't tried new things before.

1:20:33

And it's a long  journey, it's a very long journey.

1:20:33

In particular, the longest part is until you figure  out product market fit.

1:20:39

And now I add the fourth dimension of that, that this is  a journey from one crisis to the next one.

1:20:51

How many companies have you  started, 10 last time I saw?

1:20:54

Yeah, about, a little bit more than that, yeah.

1:20:57

A little bit more than that.

1:21:02

Not all of them are going to be  successful, but most of them are. In some form.

1:21:07

And you just keep doing it.

1:21:07

You're  a glutton for crisis is what I'm hearing here.

1:21:15

I'm not here for the crisis, I'm  there for the value creation.

1:21:22

Uri, is there anything else that  you wanted to share that you think might be helpful to get into before we wrap up?

1:21:31

I really like this podcast, I really like it. Me too.

1:21:35

And hopefully, in my mind, this is my mindset of  a teacher, my destiny is about value creation, and if this podcast or this book, this one,  can help people to become more successful, then I fulfill my destiny.

1:21:58

Uri, I'm so delighted to be helping you fulfill  your destiny. Two final questions.

1:21:58

Where can folks find the book? When is it for sale?

1:22:03

And  then just how can listeners be useful to you?

1:22:08

The book is going to be published  in about a month from now.

1:22:08

And it is already available for pre-orders on Amazon, but later on it will be on bookstores  throughout the US and Canada and so forth.

1:22:20

What's the date it'll be published  because we're recording this ...

1:22:20

Maybe it's coming out around the time we  publish this. So what's the date?

1:22:26

I think it's February 15th. Okay, great.

1:22:29

I think this is coming out  right around there, so perfect timing. So perfect timing.

1:22:32

And you can follow me  on LinkedIn or you can go to my website, urilevine. com.

1:22:39

And I want you to read the  book.

1:22:39

End of the day, you asked me at the beginning what do I want to accomplish?

1:22:48

Do I  want people to buy the book or read the book?

1:22:54

And I told you, "Look, everything that I'm  trying to do in my life is about doing good and doing well."

1:22:59

So buying the book is  the doing well part of it and reading the book is the doing good part of  it.

1:23:06

And I want you to read the book. That's so good.

1:23:10

Uri, thank  you so much for being here.

1:23:15

Thank you, appreciate it. Bye everyone.

1:23:17

Thank you so much for listening.

1:23:21

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1:23:25

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1:23:30

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1:23:35

See you in the next episode.